Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, May 21, 2012

Stock Market Interim Rally Directly Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Now that the correction has gone on for nearly three months, it is time to say that it is of intermediate nature - and most likely incomplete!

Monday, May 21, 2012

Are You Ready for Market Mayhem? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: There's going to be a lot of very heavy betting over the next few days, weeks, and months on what's going up, what's going down, and what's going around:

1.How far will Facebook IPO price go?
2.How far DOWN from here will JPMorgan go, with the FBI and DOJ now sniffing around?
3.How far AROUND the globe will the fallout be if Greece loses its game of chicken?

Monday, May 21, 2012

Global Stock Markets Outlook Ahead / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

For the past week, stock markets around the globe can best be describe as ‘looks like 2008’ about to be replay. Most markets are loosing ground and in fact most recent lows are being tested or broken.  In line with most of our analysis for the week ending 19^th of May 2012, most markets are facing a freefall. Below is the Executive Summary for this week’s analysis of selected markets around the globe. This analysis is purely based on technical analysis and also partly with the use of spectral analysis.

Monday, May 21, 2012

Stock Market Dam Has Broken, As Massive Divergences End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

Last week, I left readers with the possibility of the US markets finding a low if they could hold support early last week, we were expecting a gap down towards 1333-1338ES, to finish a potential 5 wave decline from 1411ES.

It was then I was expecting some sort of rally to try and confirm the working ideas we had, well we got a rally (if you can call it that) but it was not what we were expecting for either the bullish or bearish ideas we were working, so much that we had to take invasive maneuvers quickly, the markets lack of strength was alarming and whilst we bought the lows around 1333ES twice, we simply never seen the sort of strength I was expecting, by Wednesday I had other ideas and made it known to members that failure to get above 1342ES (1340SPX) was a big issue and was very bearish, well the market failed to get above our area, in fact it struggled right at our 1342ES #, so much that is got us short and looking lower, and throwing away our initial ideas that we were working the start of the week and got us aggressively bearish.

Monday, May 21, 2012

Gold Triple Bottom and Stocks Oversold – Now What? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Willem_Weytjens

On Gold:

Gold has now made a bullish reversal on a weekly basis, as price rallied sharply on Thursday and Friday.
Support held, which means Gold could be on the verge of setting a double/triple bottom around $1,550:

Monday, May 21, 2012

Dr. Frankenstein's Europe, No Easy Greece Exit, Bank Runs / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

"Had I right, for my own benefit, to inflict this curse upon everlasting generations? I had before been moved by the sophisms of the being I had created; I had been struck senseless by his fiendish threats; but now, for the first time, the wickedness of my promise burst upon me; I shuddered to think that future ages might curse me as their pest, whose selfishness had not hesitated to buy its own peace at the price, perhaps, of the existence of the whole human race."– The musings of Dr. Frankenstein about his creation of a monster, in Mary Shelley's 1818 novel, Frankenstein

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Stock Market Downtrend May be Ending Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

A nasty week in most of the world’s stock markets as the current downtrend extended. The SPX/DOW lost 3.9%, the biggest weekly drop since November, and the NDX/NAZ lost 5.3%. Asian markets were -4.0%, European markets were -5.0%, and the DJ World index lost 5.4%. Economic reports for the week were mixed with negatives edging out positives 7 to 6. On the uptick: the NY FED, the NAHB, housing starts, industrial production, capacity utilization, and the WLEI. On the downtick: retail sales, the CPI, business inventories, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, and jobless claims rose. Next week we will get a look at more housing data, durable goods orders and consumer sentiment. Best to your week!

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Not Pretty For The Stock Market Bulls...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

There's so much to say, and yet, so little to tell the tale. Let's start with Friday's action. We came into Friday extremely oversold on all the normal time-frame charts we follow. The 60-minute, and daily charts, are at very oversold levels, especially the daily index charts, which rarely, if ever, get to 30 RSI's in an ongoing bull market. We entered the day averaging 26 on the RSI's, on all the important index, daily charts. So we bounced hard today, right? Nope!! Not one bit.

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Asian Stock Markets Set to Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Donald_W_Dony

After over two years of consolidating, the broad-based Dow Jones Asia/Pacific Index appears set to break this pattern and trend lower.
The index, which covers a large number of Asia and Asia/Pacific countries and select regions, has formed a reversal Head-and-Shoulders formation. This has been developing since early 2010. The pattern is not complete until the index breaks below the 110 support line. This is anticipated to occur by Q3.

Saturday, May 19, 2012

Renewable and Non-renewable Resources Investing, An Argument for a Contrarian Investment / Stock-Markets / Resources Investing

By: Richard_Mills

While it might not look like it now, the most investable trend over the next 20 years is going to be in the resource sector, the renewable and non-renewable resources, the minerals, ores, fossil fuels and biomass a wealthier and growing global population is increasingly demanding from finite supplies and already strained production capabilities.

Friday, May 18, 2012

Eurozone Greek Tragedy Turns Into a Farce as Grexit Looms Large / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: The elections on May 6 only made the Eurozone's problems even worse. The French and the Greeks have rejected sensible policies in favor of self-delusion.

Those elections, and the failure of Greece to form a government, have actually moved the Eurozone crisis one step further - from potential tragedy into a complete farce.

Friday, May 18, 2012

Facebook IPO May Break the Stock Market and Initiate a Free Fall Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Steven_Vincent

Let me start by clarifying something. I am not saying that the market could crash spectacularly in the next few days and that in that event the Facebook IPO would be a major contributing factor. I am not saying that. The market is saying it.

Facebook boosts IPO size by 25 percent, could top $16 billion

NEW YORK/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Facebook Inc increased the size of its initial public offering by almost 25 percent, and could raise as much as $16 billion as strong investor demand for a share of the No.1 social network trumps debate about its long-term potential to make money.
Facebook, founded eight years ago by
Mark Zuckerberg in a Harvard dorm room, said on Wednesday it will add about 84 million shares to its IPO, floating about 421 million shares in an offering expected to be priced on Thursday.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/facebook-expands-ipo-size-aims-011714...

Friday, May 18, 2012

Fear stalks the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Brian_Bloom

Fear is stalking the darkening streets of the investment world. Will the EU fall apart? If so, how will this impact on the rest of the world? Will governments resort to printing money in order to inflate their debts into oblivion or will austerity prevail; leading to a collapse in the world’s financial markets?

Thursday, May 17, 2012

When Will The Flight Out Of Euros Benefit Gold and Silver Prices? / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2012

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Around the year 1650 A.D. the word highwaymen entered our language. It referred to robbery committed on a public road against travelers. Now we use the phrase "highway robbery" for which we pay the tolls to travel on modern day roads. The highwaymen alas are among us and we have elected them. At such times it would not take much more in the destruction of mining equities to make investors feel as if they have been seduced by sweet talk and abandoned to the wolves of Wall Street by latter day highwaymen.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Get Ready for Another 2008-Style Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Dr_Martenson

Well, my hat is off to the global central planners for averting the next stage of the unfolding financial crisis for as long as they have. I guess there’s some solace in having had a nice break between the events of 2008/09 and today, which afforded us all the opportunity to attend to our various preparations and enjoy our lives.

Alas, all good things come to an end, and a crisis rooted in ‘too much debt’ with a nice undercurrent of ‘persistently high and rising energy costs’ was never going to be solved by providing cheap liquidity to the largest and most reckless financial institutions. And it has not.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Apple Stock Runs Out of Feul and Breaks Support, Market Action Poor.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Apple Inc. (AAPL) is a leading stock as we all know too well by now. The single most loved stock on planet earth. No other stock is as closely watched. No other stock gets as much love. No other stock gets bought as quickly as Apple does. That is, until it no longer does. Everything becomes full over time. When all anyone wants to do is talk about a given stock, it's time to look elsewhere. The good news is all in and it's flush-down time. There's only so much a single stock can give, before it runs out of fuel. Every stock over time runs out of fuel. There are no exceptions, bigger picture, over the years. Apple is now down just a little over one hundred dollars from its all-time highs. It's not going to be seeing those old high readings again anytime soon.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Stock Market Cycles Indicate Downtrend Incomplete / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The S&P 500's 20 & 40 day cycle lows are due May 17-18, which pretty much means any time now. In view of today's strength, was yesterday's low THE CYCLE LOW? Or is this up-move a head fake ahead of another plunge in the indices into Thursday & Friday, or perhaps into next Monday or Tuesday (in the event of a late cycle low)?

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Financial Crisis 2012, No, None of This Makes Any Sense / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Fred_Sheehan

After the financial crisis in 2008, "Too-Big-To-Fail" banks had to go. In 2006, the four largest banks - J.P. Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo - held 33% of U.S. bank assets. Now, they hold 41% of U.S. bank assets and grow by the minute.

The Federal Reserve is, at least on paper, the country's leading bank regulator. Instead, it behaves like the TBTF banks' turbocharger. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is full of talk, and nothing else:

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Stock Markets Remain Addicted to QE, Why We're Turning Japanese / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Money_Morning

When you've been working the markets as long as I have, you learn that the biggest dangers are always found in a place just over the horizon.

It's why I spend my time hunting for stories, news items and opinions that in the old days were considered far "below the fold."

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Turning Andrews Pitchforks into Predictable MAP Cycle Forks, MAP Analysis Part 6 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Marc_Horn

Apology – after re-reading it comes across as all analysis is rubbish except for mine. There is good analysis and bad analysis but I am trying to point out there is a difference between systematic and random. Using systematic analysis you can constantly revise and improve your analysis, where as if you are not systematic and object and draw random lines here and there to substantiate your feeling – that depends on which way the wind blows.