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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Oversold Stock Market Bounces... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

This morning I spoke about how the 60-minute index charts were oversold, and thus, it wouldn't be very wise to short the gap down that was going to take place due to more bad news in Europe. The gap down took place, and then the market went back and forth, down as many as 150 Dow points before reversing late in the day. At the same time those 60-minute charts got oversold, the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP) chart got overbought. It wasn't on the 60-minute chart, but instead, on its daily chart. It had a 70 RSI reading. We all know that 70 RSI's are not the best conditions for further upside most but not necessarily all of the time. In this particular case, that was true for the dollar, which remains very bullish bigger picture on its chart. That was it for the very short-term, and thus, the reversal on all sides here as the dollar fell late and the market surged as that fall took place. It was a nasty black candle on the UUP today with the RSI still at 71 on its daily chart. This is an indication that the market is about to engage in more upside action in those nasty bigger-picture bear-flag patterns.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 12, 2011

The Chart That Predicted '87 Stock Market Crash Now Predicts Major Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Sara_Nunnally

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI just got my hands on something juicy...

We've been talking about technical analysis and being able to read charts here at Smart Investing Daily for the past couple of weeks.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 12, 2011

Three Moves Investors Should Make Before the Next FOMC Meeting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald, Chief Investment Strategist, Money Morning writes: The decisions made at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Sept. 20-21 could affect market performance for years to come. That's why investors should prepare ahead of time. Of course, there's no way to predict exactly what U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will do, but 20 years of experience in global markets suggest he's considering five alternatives drawn from a rapidly diminishing menu of options:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 12, 2011

Stocks and Commodities May Get Hammered If U.S. Dollar Rallies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSaying an asset class may be “hammered” may seem like a colorful way to express an opinion, but the table below shows stocks and commodities were indeed hammered during a sharp U.S. dollar rally that occurred in the period August 2008 - November 2008.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 12, 2011

What Social Mood Is Saying About the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSocial mood is absolutely horrible right now. In my experience as a trader I do not recall a similar time frame in my life. Social mood has deteriorated to the point that it would not surprise me to see two grown men come to blows over a fantasy football draft. Oh wait, that happens every year!

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 12, 2011

Stock Market Downward Pressure Increases in Sepember / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Donald_W_Dony

As the S&P 500 approaches the expected low in late September, downward pressure is increasing and volatility continues to expand.
The VIX, which moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, has risen from a medium risk level of 24 in early August into the high risk band of over 33. At the same time, the stock index dropped from 1290 to 1120 (Chart 1).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Stock Market Almost Ready to Fall Off a Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - After last week, it is likely that the downtrend continues. It has a tentative projection to 1065.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Monday Stock Market Pivot Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: George_Maniere

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn 1940 Jesse Livermore wrote one of the classic books on the workings of the Stock Market “How to Trade in Stocks. By this time Jesse Livermore had developed a mathematical formula that incorporated what he termed “Pivot Points” in determining when to initiate a buy or a sell. When he calculated pivot points, the pivot point themselves, were the primary support or resistance of the asset. This meant that the largest price movement (either up or down) was expected to occur at this point. The other support and resistance levels were less influential, but still had the ability to generate significant price movements.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Will Stock Markets Crash This Week? Are Years of Reckoning Dead Ahead?  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Joseph_Russo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSure the market could crash this week and deservedly so, but it doesn't really matter because it's just a ride.

Frankly, I could not care less whether the S&P crashes back down below 666 or if it catapults its way to new heights north of 2000. At the end of the day, it's just a ride.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Stock Market Meltdown, Bear Market Remains Probable / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe week started off with a meltdown in Europe. They lost 4.35% on monday while the US markets were closed. When the US market opened on tuesday, it gapped down losing about 3%, made the low for the week, rallied nearly 6% from that low, then ended the week with another meltdown in Europe (-3.20%) closing about 1% above the low for the week. Economic reports for the week were sparse with positives edging out negatives four to three.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Credit Versus Equity The War Is Waged / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBull versus bear. Greed versus fear. Smart money versus dumb money. Depression versus transitory soft patch. Credit versus equity.

In one corner is the credit market, a rather mighty opponent where $1 million defines an odd lot. Credit has spoken loudly. They have priced in a severe recession, depression whatever you want to call it.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Moving Average Sell Signals on the S&P Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Only twice in the last 11 years (2000 & 2007) have all of my directional weekly moving averages turned down into a negative crossing, which subsequently confirmed that an acute, intermediate-term bear phase was underway.

In 2000, after the downside moving average inflection point, the S&P 500 declined from 1380 to 768 (-45%), and in 2007 the SPX declined from 1475 to 666.79 (-55%).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Greece Debt Default On Deck.... Stock Market Anxious... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

Late this morning, after the market started recovering from its early move lower to start the day, there was news from Germany that Greece was likely to default by some time next week. The Dow fell two hundred points in a very short period of time as traders and investors started removing themselves from long plays. Hard to blame them, of course, as this type of news, should it become fact, would be devastating for markets around the world. The market spent the rest of the day spinning and churning once we got to -300 on the Dow. There was no collapse past that initial move lower off the news, but no real rally either.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Prepare For A Recession and Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBrace yourself for a recession.

Central banks around the world seem to be doing so, making little effort to prevent it this time around, resigned to letting the business cycle play out.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Investor Opportunities Credit Crunch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article “In doing what the Swiss National Bank is doing (Ed. Pegging the Swiss Franc to the Euro), it has effectively ended the Swiss Franc as a currency.” Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter

Crises are Magnifying and Intensifying but are also providing Substantial Profit Opportunities, providing one knows what to focus on, and what to avoid – our dual focus here.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 09, 2011

Stock Market Bear Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Zeal_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarly August’s sharp stock-market plunge ignited an explosion of bearish theories.  And with the headline stock indexes still grinding along near lows over the month since, fears of a new bear market continue to proliferate today.  But interestingly, the fast selling velocity that spooked traders is not characteristic of young bear markets.  Instead it is a bull-market-correction phenomenon.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 09, 2011

Fed Can’t Twist Stock Market Sell Signals Away / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Wall Street Journal’s cover story on September 8 boldly proclaimed “Fed Prepares to Act”. The article hinted that ‘Operation Twist’ may be in the works (more on that below). Can you imagine the market’s reaction to a headline like that in the late 1990s when the Fed was looked at as some kind of miracle worker? The S&P 500 futures would have popped in the morning and inflation-protection assets would have had a strong open. On the morning of said Wall Street Journal article, the markets barely took notice of possible Fed action. This is clear evidence the markets no longer place central bankers on the miracle worker’s pedestal. It also shows fear of debt-induced deflationary outcomes is now outweighing the fear of inflation. These are significant and dangerous shifts for the market’s risk/reward profile. If this shift continues, stocks (SPY) and commodities (DBC) may experience further, and rapid declines in the next six months, if not much sooner. We added to our short positions (SH) on August 8.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 08, 2011

Stock Market Shorts May Prey On Serious Problems In Europe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Bridgewater Associates is the world’s largest macro hedge fund firm, meaning they have a good handle on the problems in Europe. Some excerpts from a Bloomberg article on the firm’s current outlook:

These days, the view from Bridgewater is dour. They divide the world into two groups: developed debtor nations that are deleveraging and emerging creditor countries that are leveraging up. After years of overspending financed by borrowing, the former are being forced to lower their debt relative to their income levels, constraining spending levels and employment gains.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 08, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Rally May Not have Ended / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

The post March 2009 closing high for the Industrials occurred on April 29th at 12,810.54 and for the Transports that high occurred on July 7th at 5,618.25.  This in turn left a Dow theory non-confirmation in place.  This was then followed by a close below the March 2011 secondary low points on August 4th.  As a result of this close, a Dow theory primary trend change occurred.   This is the first such occurrence since the bear market rally out of the March 2009 lows began and I do not take this development lightly.  But, at the same time, based on other technical factors, I also have to question this trend change.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 08, 2011

Stock Market Sentiment At Extremes...Nearly Inverted... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

I started speaking about this phenomenon last week when the bull-bear spread got down to 4.3%. It was 7.6% the week before, and I must admit, I was surprised to see it drop to that 4.3% level. Then today the sentiment figures got even more bearish on the spread. Only a 1.1% spread between bulls and bears with the bulls at 38.7% and the bears at 37.6%. When levels get this low, and it is unusual that they do, getting sustainable downside action is not easy for the bears any longer. That doesn't mean there won't be down days because, of course, there will be. Some will be nasty. It just suggests that sustainable downside action will become far more difficult as the bear trade is full. When the bears are all in it gets too tough to kill the market. No different than when the bulls go all in. Upside action becomes more difficult. The bull-bear spread can invert negatively but that is rare.

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