Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Dividend Stocks: How to Soften the Bear's Short-Term Bite / Stock-Markets / Dividends
Larry D. Spears writes: For investors, May started out as a month of great promise. On May 1, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 65.69 points, closing at 13,279.
Since then, however, that promise has turned to plummet.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
SPY Bounced, XLF and FXE Not So High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
This is just to give you a perspective on “why the bounce?” SPY bounced of yet another Orthodox Broadening Top trendline, just above daily Mid-Cycle support at 128.41. The current Broadening Formation has been forming since mid-February. Each of these formations attest to the pumping of liquidity on each downside breakout. Unfortunately for the Fed and its minions, this break-down has gone further than the others and now the previous formations offer resistance to any attempts to resume the uptrend.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Stock Market Oversold Bounce... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
When the markets opened for trading today, we had the following oscillator readings across the major indices on their daily charts. We had the Dow, and this was the least oversold, at 25-RSI and a 1 stochastic. That unto itself is deeply oversold. We followed that up with a 23-RSI on the S&P 500 chart with a 0, yes, 0 stochastic reading. The numbers on the Nasdaq 100, the most oversold at 21-RSI and 0 stochastic. Call the bears off for a while when there are those types of readings. We were simply too oversold to get involved with any down side action in the very short-term. The oscillators need to unwind up on those daily charts for the bears to be able to get any sustained downside action in the future. This is a game, and, often, the game plays by certain rules that never seem to change.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
Greece Eurozone Exit Consequences? / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Why Read: Because possible (read likely, or even 'virtually certain') contagion issues arising out of a Greek Eurozone exit will be important to you - whether you invest in the financial markets or you don't.
Featured Article: An important article with a 17 slide PowerPoint presentation was published recently by Business Insider. Said to have been generated following review of "several months of research", the following overviews conclusions set out in the presentation. In summary, among other things, the presentation suggests that if Greece exits the Eurozone:
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Monday, May 21, 2012
Stock Market Corrective Rally Correction Nearly Over, Downside Acceleration Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The VIX may be finished with its back-test of the neckline. There is an outside probability of one more quick touch at 22.60 before moving higher. The VIX is still nowhere near its intended target, so this is just a short reprieve from the rally.
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Monday, May 21, 2012
Stock, Forex and Commodity Markets Analysis and Trading Charts Setups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
We have been having a superlative run in May. But we have little time to gloat over what we did in the last 10 days. Time to look at some weekly charts as Asia opening draws closer. The verdict is at the end of the post but dare you not read through all my charts before reading the conclusion. I have spent hours on a sunday late night to pick setups for you. So please give me an audience and read it.
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Monday, May 21, 2012
FTSE - A rose between two thorns - MAP Analysis / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
In MAP Analysis Part 1... I said the FTSE is showing some anomalies and needs further analysis!
The reason stated was that it appears that there was a subwave build up and having analysed it further using the principles described in parts 1 through 5 the picture is indeed one of subwaves and is not rosy! I have zoomed in on the big picture so you can see the waves within waves.
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Monday, May 21, 2012
Stock Market Interim Rally Directly Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Now that the correction has gone on for nearly three months, it is time to say that it is of intermediate nature - and most likely incomplete!
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Monday, May 21, 2012
Are You Ready for Market Mayhem? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Shah Gilani writes:
There's going to be a lot of very heavy betting over the next few days, weeks, and months on what's going up, what's going down, and what's going around:
1.How far will Facebook IPO price go?
2.How far DOWN from here will JPMorgan go, with the FBI and DOJ now sniffing around?
3.How far AROUND the globe will the fallout be if Greece loses its game of chicken?
Monday, May 21, 2012
Global Stock Markets Outlook Ahead / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
For the past week, stock markets around the globe can best be describe as ‘looks like 2008’ about to be replay. Most markets are loosing ground and in fact most recent lows are being tested or broken. In line with most of our analysis for the week ending 19th of May 2012, most markets are facing a freefall. Below is the Executive Summary for this week’s analysis of selected markets around the globe. This analysis is purely based on technical analysis and also partly with the use of spectral analysis.
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Monday, May 21, 2012
Stock Market Dam Has Broken, As Massive Divergences End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Last week, I left readers with the possibility of the US markets finding a low if they could hold support early last week, we were expecting a gap down towards 1333-1338ES, to finish a potential 5 wave decline from 1411ES.
It was then I was expecting some sort of rally to try and confirm the working ideas we had, well we got a rally (if you can call it that) but it was not what we were expecting for either the bullish or bearish ideas we were working, so much that we had to take invasive maneuvers quickly, the markets lack of strength was alarming and whilst we bought the lows around 1333ES twice, we simply never seen the sort of strength I was expecting, by Wednesday I had other ideas and made it known to members that failure to get above 1342ES (1340SPX) was a big issue and was very bearish, well the market failed to get above our area, in fact it struggled right at our 1342ES #, so much that is got us short and looking lower, and throwing away our initial ideas that we were working the start of the week and got us aggressively bearish.
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Monday, May 21, 2012
Gold Triple Bottom and Stocks Oversold – Now What? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
On Gold:
Gold has now made a bullish reversal on a weekly basis, as price rallied sharply on Thursday and Friday.
Support held, which means Gold could be on the verge of setting a double/triple bottom around $1,550:
Monday, May 21, 2012
Dr. Frankenstein's Europe, No Easy Greece Exit, Bank Runs / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
"Had I right, for my own benefit, to inflict this curse upon everlasting generations? I had before been moved by the sophisms of the being I had created; I had been struck senseless by his fiendish threats; but now, for the first time, the wickedness of my promise burst upon me; I shuddered to think that future ages might curse me as their pest, whose selfishness had not hesitated to buy its own peace at the price, perhaps, of the existence of the whole human race."– The musings of Dr. Frankenstein about his creation of a monster, in Mary Shelley's 1818 novel, Frankenstein
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Sunday, May 20, 2012
Stock Market Downtrend May be Ending Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
A nasty week in most of the world’s stock markets as the current downtrend extended. The SPX/DOW lost 3.9%, the biggest weekly drop since November, and the NDX/NAZ lost 5.3%. Asian markets were -4.0%, European markets were -5.0%, and the DJ World index lost 5.4%. Economic reports for the week were mixed with negatives edging out positives 7 to 6. On the uptick: the NY FED, the NAHB, housing starts, industrial production, capacity utilization, and the WLEI. On the downtick: retail sales, the CPI, business inventories, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, and jobless claims rose. Next week we will get a look at more housing data, durable goods orders and consumer sentiment. Best to your week!
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Sunday, May 20, 2012
Not Pretty For The Stock Market Bulls...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
There's so much to say, and yet, so little to tell the tale. Let's start with Friday's action. We came into Friday extremely oversold on all the normal time-frame charts we follow. The 60-minute, and daily charts, are at very oversold levels, especially the daily index charts, which rarely, if ever, get to 30 RSI's in an ongoing bull market. We entered the day averaging 26 on the RSI's, on all the important index, daily charts. So we bounced hard today, right? Nope!! Not one bit.
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Sunday, May 20, 2012
Asian Stock Markets Set to Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
After over two years of consolidating, the broad-based Dow Jones Asia/Pacific Index appears set to break this pattern and trend lower.
The index, which covers a large number of Asia and Asia/Pacific countries and select regions, has formed a reversal Head-and-Shoulders formation. This has been developing since early 2010. The pattern is not complete until the index breaks below the 110 support line. This is anticipated to occur by Q3.
Saturday, May 19, 2012
Renewable and Non-renewable Resources Investing, An Argument for a Contrarian Investment / Stock-Markets / Resources Investing
While it might not look like it now, the most investable trend over the next 20 years is going to be in the resource sector, the renewable and non-renewable resources, the minerals, ores, fossil fuels and biomass a wealthier and growing global population is increasingly demanding from finite supplies and already strained production capabilities.
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Eurozone Greek Tragedy Turns Into a Farce as Grexit Looms Large / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Martin Hutchinson writes: The elections on May 6 only made the Eurozone's problems even worse. The French and the Greeks have rejected sensible policies in favor of self-delusion.
Those elections, and the failure of Greece to form a government, have actually moved the Eurozone crisis one step further - from potential tragedy into a complete farce.
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Facebook IPO May Break the Stock Market and Initiate a Free Fall Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Let me start by clarifying something. I am not saying that the market could crash spectacularly in the next few days and that in that event the Facebook IPO would be a major contributing factor. I am not saying that. The market is saying it.
Facebook boosts IPO size by 25 percent, could top $16 billion
NEW YORK/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Facebook Inc increased the size of its initial public offering by almost 25 percent, and could raise as much as $16 billion as strong investor demand for a share of the No.1 social network trumps debate about its long-term potential to make money.
Facebook, founded eight years ago by
Mark Zuckerberg in a Harvard dorm room, said on Wednesday it will add about 84 million shares to its IPO, floating about 421 million shares in an offering expected to be priced on Thursday.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/facebook-expands-ipo-size-aims-011714...
Friday, May 18, 2012
Fear stalks the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Fear is stalking the darkening streets of the investment world. Will the EU fall apart? If so, how will this impact on the rest of the world? Will governments resort to printing money in order to inflate their debts into oblivion or will austerity prevail; leading to a collapse in the world’s financial markets?
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