Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, May 19, 2012
Renewable and Non-renewable Resources Investing, An Argument for a Contrarian Investment / Stock-Markets / Resources Investing
While it might not look like it now, the most investable trend over the next 20 years is going to be in the resource sector, the renewable and non-renewable resources, the minerals, ores, fossil fuels and biomass a wealthier and growing global population is increasingly demanding from finite supplies and already strained production capabilities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 18, 2012
Eurozone Greek Tragedy Turns Into a Farce as Grexit Looms Large / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Martin Hutchinson writes: The elections on May 6 only made the Eurozone's problems even worse. The French and the Greeks have rejected sensible policies in favor of self-delusion.
Those elections, and the failure of Greece to form a government, have actually moved the Eurozone crisis one step further - from potential tragedy into a complete farce.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 18, 2012
Facebook IPO May Break the Stock Market and Initiate a Free Fall Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Let me start by clarifying something. I am not saying that the market could crash spectacularly in the next few days and that in that event the Facebook IPO would be a major contributing factor. I am not saying that. The market is saying it.
Facebook boosts IPO size by 25 percent, could top $16 billion
NEW YORK/SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Facebook Inc increased the size of its initial public offering by almost 25 percent, and could raise as much as $16 billion as strong investor demand for a share of the No.1 social network trumps debate about its long-term potential to make money.
Facebook, founded eight years ago by
Mark Zuckerberg in a Harvard dorm room, said on Wednesday it will add about 84 million shares to its IPO, floating about 421 million shares in an offering expected to be priced on Thursday.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/facebook-expands-ipo-size-aims-011714...
Friday, May 18, 2012
Fear stalks the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Fear is stalking the darkening streets of the investment world. Will the EU fall apart? If so, how will this impact on the rest of the world? Will governments resort to printing money in order to inflate their debts into oblivion or will austerity prevail; leading to a collapse in the world’s financial markets?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 17, 2012
When Will The Flight Out Of Euros Benefit Gold and Silver Prices? / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2012
Around the year 1650 A.D. the word highwaymen entered our language. It referred to robbery committed on a public road against travelers. Now we use the phrase "highway robbery" for which we pay the tolls to travel on modern day roads. The highwaymen alas are among us and we have elected them. At such times it would not take much more in the destruction of mining equities to make investors feel as if they have been seduced by sweet talk and abandoned to the wolves of Wall Street by latter day highwaymen.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Get Ready for Another 2008-Style Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
Well, my hat is off to the global central planners for averting the next stage of the unfolding financial crisis for as long as they have. I guess there’s some solace in having had a nice break between the events of 2008/09 and today, which afforded us all the opportunity to attend to our various preparations and enjoy our lives.
Alas, all good things come to an end, and a crisis rooted in ‘too much debt’ with a nice undercurrent of ‘persistently high and rising energy costs’ was never going to be solved by providing cheap liquidity to the largest and most reckless financial institutions. And it has not.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Apple Stock Runs Out of Feul and Breaks Support, Market Action Poor.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Apple Inc. (AAPL) is a leading stock as we all know too well by now. The single most loved stock on planet earth. No other stock is as closely watched. No other stock gets as much love. No other stock gets bought as quickly as Apple does. That is, until it no longer does. Everything becomes full over time. When all anyone wants to do is talk about a given stock, it's time to look elsewhere. The good news is all in and it's flush-down time. There's only so much a single stock can give, before it runs out of fuel. Every stock over time runs out of fuel. There are no exceptions, bigger picture, over the years. Apple is now down just a little over one hundred dollars from its all-time highs. It's not going to be seeing those old high readings again anytime soon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Stock Market Cycles Indicate Downtrend Incomplete / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
The S&P 500's 20 & 40 day cycle lows are due May 17-18, which pretty much means any time now. In view of today's strength, was yesterday's low THE CYCLE LOW? Or is this up-move a head fake ahead of another plunge in the indices into Thursday & Friday, or perhaps into next Monday or Tuesday (in the event of a late cycle low)?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Financial Crisis 2012, No, None of This Makes Any Sense / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
After the financial crisis in 2008, "Too-Big-To-Fail" banks had to go. In 2006, the four largest banks - J.P. Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo - held 33% of U.S. bank assets. Now, they hold 41% of U.S. bank assets and grow by the minute.
The Federal Reserve is, at least on paper, the country's leading bank regulator. Instead, it behaves like the TBTF banks' turbocharger. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is full of talk, and nothing else:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Stock Markets Remain Addicted to QE, Why We're Turning Japanese / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
When you've been working the markets as long as I have, you learn that the biggest dangers are always found in a place just over the horizon.
It's why I spend my time hunting for stories, news items and opinions that in the old days were considered far "below the fold."
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Turning Andrews Pitchforks into Predictable MAP Cycle Forks, MAP Analysis Part 6 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Apology – after re-reading it comes across as all analysis is rubbish except for mine. There is good analysis and bad analysis but I am trying to point out there is a difference between systematic and random. Using systematic analysis you can constantly revise and improve your analysis, where as if you are not systematic and object and draw random lines here and there to substantiate your feeling – that depends on which way the wind blows.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Stock Market S&P QE3 Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The S&P is within its daily 345 SP to D3 cycle fork .
It has broken below its 4H345 MLL - next cycle line WL-1.
Prices are moving down the 4H123 ML but are not expected to make the MLL due to the support of the W345MLU, D12 cycle fork MLL, D345 WL-1, D345SP to D3.
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
Tankage!! SPX and Metals Overview / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
When I wrote the last article on the metals, I was looking for lower gold and silver prices in the summer. Gold and Silver are at 3 month lowsIn the article I said GLD would fall to $150 and we are there now. So now what?
I didn't want to leave you hanging, so I have included a short update.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 16, 2012
U.S. Stock Market Indexes Break Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Following the May 9th 2012 Market Minute titled " Downward trend starts", the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 have both broken their key support levels and now appear to be moving lower. The US indexes were one of the few world equity markets that had not started to decline in April or early May.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Gold, Forex and Stocks Intermarket Analysis and Trading Chart Setups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
We would first like to give a quick update on the state of fundamental data and policitcal situation before we dive deeper into technical charts and forex setups.
French Election
With 51.7% of the vote, the socialist Hollande has narrowly won the French presidential election. At the election to the National Assembly due to take place in June, his side should win the majority needed to govern. However, Hollande’s victory makes the battle to contain the sovereign debt crisis even more complex. Hollande largely ignores France’s economic problems; the French economy is likely to drift further southwards. It will also make it even harder for France and Germany to agree a common line. The ECB will continue to de facto finance the peripheral countries by printing money for longer than many had feared.
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
VIX Reflects Escalating Concerns About the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Prior to the open on May 7, we discussed concerns about Greece (GREK) and outlined evidence of slowing momentum in stocks. Since then, the S&P 500 has dropped 31 points. On the morning of May 15, some better than expected data came from Germany with GDP growing 0.5% in the first quarter versus expectations of 0.1%. As shown below, the German DAX Index (EWG) is having trouble holding on to its early morning gains (as of 7:35 a.m. EDT). If the DAX cannot rally on better than expected news, it is not a good sign for risk assets in general.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Is Europe's Exodus Nigh? / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
InformedTrades writes: Is the Exodus for Euro project indeed nigh? Anti-bailout voices have vehemently espoused so but there are two sides to every coin (or drachma). The fundamental picture hasn't changed by a great deal since I started writing about Europe's extreme pilgrimage through fire and brimstone. However with the passage of time and the very recent rhetorical jawboning and haranguing, the schism between the world's delusional make-believe and reality has shrunk; the gap is being bridged further by fast paced developments in the political arena of Greece and France, serving as a catalyst for the truth.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
High Risk of Near Term Global Financial, Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
At each juncture, I look at the available information as represented in the market price and technical data. I approach the body of evidence without preconception and with an open "beginner's mind". I see what I see. I analyze. I develop a set of probabilistic outcomes and then rank them. Then I write my report. I simply report my findings.There is an extraordinarily high risk of some variety of global market panic in the relatively near term. In fact, I would say that there is a extant setup that is as perfectly aligned for an extreme market event as could be dreamed of by the most bearish of permabears. I'm no permabear, but a thorough review of the current price and technical charts has revealed an inordinate confluence of data points which collaborate to represent a very high risk profile. The current extreme risk profile is amplified by a nearly total lack of recognition on the part of market participants. A deflationary episode, potentially on the scale of the 2008 event, is presently on the table. Investors would do well to at least consider the facts, analysis and conclusions of this report.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 15, 2012
Europe Does It Again..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
We woke up to futures down over one hundred points this morning. There were two main culprits, bad news out of Greece on their financial situation, which keeps taking turns for the worst, and the political headache for Chancellor Angela Merkel out of Germany, the opposition party winning a key election not necessarily friendly with her views. Merkel is desperately trying to hold Germany out of the financial crisis inflicting the rest of the Euro-zone. She'll have one less friend to work with now. Certainly, she doesn't need opposition right now, but it's what she'll be getting.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 14, 2012
Greece May Trigger Bearish Stock Market Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Over the weekend, there was little in the way of good news coming from Greece. According to Bloomberg:
Greece’s biggest anti-bailout party, Syriza, said for the second time in as many days that it won’t join a unity government, pushing the country closer to new elections that have sparked concerns about a euro-area exit.
Nine-MSN, in a story dated May 14, also gives little encouragement relative to progress in Greece:
Read full article... Read full article...Emergency Greek cabinet talks have yielded no clear progress, raising the prospect of new elections that could scupper reforms and drive the country out of the eurozone. If a cabinet cannot be formed by Thursday, when parliament convenes, new elections will have to be called in June.