Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 04, 2012
Stock Market Fear and SPX Toppings / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Zeal_LLC
With the US stock markets surging nearly a third higher in just 6 months, the odds are rising for a major topping. As the best times to sell high, recognizing these events in real-time is very important for traders. But it is a big challenge due to the gradual way toppings unfold. An indicator that can really help is the famous implied-volatility fear gauges. They tend to exhibit unique and identifiable behaviors at toppings.
Friday, May 04, 2012
Stock Market Free-fall Crash to Cycle Bottom / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We should see SPY continue to fall through its Cycle Bottom support at 136.13. It must go lower than the lesser Broadening Top trendline at the bottom of the chart.
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Friday, May 04, 2012
Stock Market Still Above Key Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global markets are reacting differently to the ongoing challenges in Europe. But they all have one item in common. They appear to have stalled above key support levels.
The broad-based Dow Jones World Stock Index (Chart 1) is now consolidating above the important 245 support level. This line has held the global index over the past two months.
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Friday, May 04, 2012
Financial Crisis Next Major Trigger Will be ETFs and Derivatives / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Jesse
ETFs and derivatives may be fine for a trade or a hedge to a trade, but by no means are most of them that I have looked at worthy of a long term hold. I distinguish them by their opacity, leverage, and lack of transparent audits from legitimate physical trusts.
And some of the ETFs, especially in commodities and on the short equity side, appear to be almost fraudulent both in construction and representation, and are often more instruments of manipulation and raw speculation for extracting wealth from the less sophisticated than investment vehicles.
Thursday, May 03, 2012
Stock Market MAP Waves Part 2, An Alternative to Elliot Waves - Corrections Explained! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
In part 1 http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/... or http://mapportunity.wordpress.com/...I presented the methodology and probabilities for Weekly and Daily pivots. Here I will be looking at establishing the probabilities of smaller scale wave counting and begin to highlight the difficulties in using small scale wave counting. I will also look at where are you most likely to find extensions. You can check the numbers for yourself using simple moving averages to validate my findings, or duff them, in order to make more informed investment decisions. Remember the world was once flat!
Thursday, May 03, 2012
Why the World Economy Won’t Collapse, Bullish for Stock Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
Arising from my last week’s blog, a reader sent me the following link: Bond, Stock & Gold Market Update - Lundeen
He also posed a particularly interesting question (paraphrased): “If Mr Lundeen’s conclusion regarding rising risks in the bond markets is correct, is it possible (maybe even likely) that – if money fleeing the bond markets was to seek alternative investment avenues – all three of the equity markets, the commodity markets and the gold market might rise?”
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Thursday, May 03, 2012
Stock Market Striking Similarities Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Darah_Bazargan
I have this growing suspicion that many of you are making the subtle transition to a potential bullish outlook for the stock market. I'll need a minute or two of your time so that I can King Kong all of that nonsense.
If I must say, last week was full of distractions. Obviously the first, Apple's remarkable quarter was a surprise to many, especially given the five day sell-off prior to the actual news release. This outcome provided investors with relief, and the reassurance of knowing this bellwether did not actually stumble, but instead just underwent a retracement. Unfortunately, the leaders of the stock market, including Apple, have yet to clear their previous highs. This I can tell you has done very little to generate much renewed confidence among investors.
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Thursday, May 03, 2012
Stock Market Negative Divergences Unwound... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
As the day moved along yesterday, I noticed the short-term 60-minutes charts got both a bit overbought, and they also printed negative divergences. From that point, yesterday until early this morning, the Nasdaq fell sixty points, two percent to work off that combination of overbought and poor divergences. That's about what it usually takes, give or take one percent. Remember, these bad divergences, and overbought conditions, occurred on the 60-minute time-frame charts, and not on the daily charts. That's key as those 60-minute charts can unwind those conditions within one to two days, while, if they took place on the daily chart, it could take several weeks, and sometimes even months. Never panic out of long positions just because those negatives set-up on a 60-minute time frame on all the index charts.
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Thursday, May 03, 2012
US Stocks Fight to Hold Up While EU and US Data Give Mixed Signals / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Investors and traders just can’t seem to catch a break when it comes to economic news. For example Tuesday in the United States we saw strong ISM manufacturing numbers which surprised the market. The numbers were way above expectations and it triggered a feeding frenzy in US based investments like stocks and the green back.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 02, 2012
U.S. Stock Market is in a Fed Fueled Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Harvard economics professor Martin Feldstein spoke to Bloomberg Television's Sara Eisen this morning, saying that the real danger to the U.S. economy is that "this is a bubble in the stock market created by low long-term interest rates that the Fed has engineered."
Wednesday, May 02, 2012
Stock Market Top is In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that this rally was done in 43 hours. It apparently didn’t need the full 21.5 days from the April 10 low, as I had suggested yesterday.
Things should speed up from here. I estimate that the decline to point 6 may only take 2 days (12.9 to 17.2 hours). Then a rally into the weekend.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2012
SPY-TLT Relationship a Cautionary Tale / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In reaction to today's strong ISM data, the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) has rocketed towards a retest of its April 2 high at 142.21. Meanwhile, the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) has weakened, but curiously it has not imploded in a way that would suggest either that the economy is stronger than most people think or to allay suspicions about sustainable strength in the equity indices.
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Tuesday, May 01, 2012
Why Stock Market Investors "Sell in May and Go Away" / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Money_Morning
Jonathan Yates writes:
The time-value-of-money concept forms the basic foundation for all investments.
And like anything having to do with people, there are rhythms to the stock market that are a function of time-- whether it is the time of the trading day or a particular time of year.
One of these seasonal rhythms is so strong it has given birth to its own adage. Every investor knows it.
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Tuesday, May 01, 2012
Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away? Not this Year / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Frank_Holmes
One catchy investing maxim that's popular this time of year is "sell in May and go away," the notion that investors should cash in their investments and take the summer off. Historically, this hasn't been a bad strategy. You can see from this chart that June, July, August and September have been the worst four months of the year for the S&P 500 Index since 1988.
Monday, April 30, 2012
Stock Market MAP Analysis - Russell Update 30 April / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
Following last weeks update I feel that it is important that some parameters are explained to avoid comment updates which are behind the price movement. As a result I have changed the format slightly with the addition of expected movement limits on various time scales, and will update my big pictures to include these. I also feel that users should have a better understanding of the parameters and as such last week published an explanation of MAP wave basics http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article34332.html , and will be adding more detail over the coming weeks. Part 2 is in final edit and hopefully will be ready by the end of the week. To get updates of my analysis please just click follow on my blog.
Monday, April 30, 2012
The Risk of Investing in a Markets Full of Conmen / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Bill_Bonner
Dow up more than 100 points yesterday. Gold up $18.
Google…Apple…what more do you need to know?
“Blah, blah, blah…don’t you feel you’re wasting your time?”
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Don't argue with the Markets, Stocks do not appear to be Anticipating Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
A fascinating chart crossed my desk yesterday – apparently originated by Doug Short and referred to by Mike Shedlock.
Monday, April 30, 2012
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact and the short-term correction could be over.
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Stock market review (weekly) after 27th April, 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Manas Banerji writes: Global recovery is heavily threatened by bad to worse macro economic reports and by rating downgrades. Financial market is again feeling the environment of last year; in fact I would say that it is more this time. China and many other major Emerging nations are also getting in trouble. Now it is no meaning to discuss the real cause behind S&P downgrades, only thing I can say market is in risk.
Monday, April 30, 2012
Why U.S. Dollar is Critical for the Stock Market S&P 500 Index This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: J_W_Jones
Unfortunately I was sick the past few weeks and I am just now getting back into the swing of things. Similar to the demand pull that the warmer than usual spring has had on macroeconomic data, the warmer spring caused me to have an earlier than usual sinus infection as well as some horrific allergies. I suppose I am pushing it a bit far when I am comparing my health concerns to economic data, but alas I fly my nerd flag proudly.