Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, May 02, 2012
U.S. Stock Market is in a Fed Fueled Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Harvard economics professor Martin Feldstein spoke to Bloomberg Television's Sara Eisen this morning, saying that the real danger to the U.S. economy is that "this is a bubble in the stock market created by low long-term interest rates that the Fed has engineered."
Wednesday, May 02, 2012
Stock Market Top is In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that this rally was done in 43 hours. It apparently didn’t need the full 21.5 days from the April 10 low, as I had suggested yesterday.
Things should speed up from here. I estimate that the decline to point 6 may only take 2 days (12.9 to 17.2 hours). Then a rally into the weekend.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2012
SPY-TLT Relationship a Cautionary Tale / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In reaction to today's strong ISM data, the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) has rocketed towards a retest of its April 2 high at 142.21. Meanwhile, the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) has weakened, but curiously it has not imploded in a way that would suggest either that the economy is stronger than most people think or to allay suspicions about sustainable strength in the equity indices.
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Tuesday, May 01, 2012
Why Stock Market Investors "Sell in May and Go Away" / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Money_Morning
Jonathan Yates writes:
The time-value-of-money concept forms the basic foundation for all investments.
And like anything having to do with people, there are rhythms to the stock market that are a function of time-- whether it is the time of the trading day or a particular time of year.
One of these seasonal rhythms is so strong it has given birth to its own adage. Every investor knows it.
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Tuesday, May 01, 2012
Stock Market Sell in May and Go Away? Not this Year / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Frank_Holmes
One catchy investing maxim that's popular this time of year is "sell in May and go away," the notion that investors should cash in their investments and take the summer off. Historically, this hasn't been a bad strategy. You can see from this chart that June, July, August and September have been the worst four months of the year for the S&P 500 Index since 1988.
Monday, April 30, 2012
Stock Market MAP Analysis - Russell Update 30 April / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
Following last weeks update I feel that it is important that some parameters are explained to avoid comment updates which are behind the price movement. As a result I have changed the format slightly with the addition of expected movement limits on various time scales, and will update my big pictures to include these. I also feel that users should have a better understanding of the parameters and as such last week published an explanation of MAP wave basics http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article34332.html , and will be adding more detail over the coming weeks. Part 2 is in final edit and hopefully will be ready by the end of the week. To get updates of my analysis please just click follow on my blog.
Monday, April 30, 2012
The Risk of Investing in a Markets Full of Conmen / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Bill_Bonner
Dow up more than 100 points yesterday. Gold up $18.
Google…Apple…what more do you need to know?
“Blah, blah, blah…don’t you feel you’re wasting your time?”
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Don't argue with the Markets, Stocks do not appear to be Anticipating Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
A fascinating chart crossed my desk yesterday – apparently originated by Doug Short and referred to by Mike Shedlock.
Monday, April 30, 2012
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact and the short-term correction could be over.
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Monday, April 30, 2012
Stock market review (weekly) after 27th April, 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Manas Banerji writes: Global recovery is heavily threatened by bad to worse macro economic reports and by rating downgrades. Financial market is again feeling the environment of last year; in fact I would say that it is more this time. China and many other major Emerging nations are also getting in trouble. Now it is no meaning to discuss the real cause behind S&P downgrades, only thing I can say market is in risk.
Monday, April 30, 2012
Why U.S. Dollar is Critical for the Stock Market S&P 500 Index This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: J_W_Jones
Unfortunately I was sick the past few weeks and I am just now getting back into the swing of things. Similar to the demand pull that the warmer than usual spring has had on macroeconomic data, the warmer spring caused me to have an earlier than usual sinus infection as well as some horrific allergies. I suppose I am pushing it a bit far when I am comparing my health concerns to economic data, but alas I fly my nerd flag proudly.
Sunday, April 29, 2012
U.S. Financial System Still Facing Armageddon? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Four years after we brushed up against "financial Armageddon," did you think you'd be reading this?
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said...banks need to have more capital at hand in order to ensure the financial system is stable. Bernanke said regulators were taking steps to force financial institutions to hold higher capital buffers...Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 29, 2012
Stock Market Bulls Find Their Footing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
The decline that we have seen over the past few weeks has been very corrective and does not support a strong break lower; the result was a strong reversal higher from our targets as expected. If you noticed the AUDUSD pair failed to take out its previous lows so held key support, as well as oil holding the $102 area. As long as you see other risk markets support US stocks I don't see any evidence to support a bearish stance atm.
Sunday, April 29, 2012
Giant Sucking Sound as Demand for Credit in Europe Collapses; Pritchard Misses the Boat / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Mike_Shedlock
In a report on fixed income, David Owen, Chief European Financial Economist at Jefferies, notes that demand for credit in Europe has plunged.
Owen asks Is it the supply or demand for credit that matters?
Read full article... Read full article...25 April 2012
Perhaps the most memorable comment Mario Draghi made to the European Parliament today was the need for a euro area Growth Pact, but he did draw comfort from the results of the ECB's latest Bank Lending survey.
Sunday, April 29, 2012
U.S. Stock Market at Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
An interesting week. The market opened the week with a large gap down, the fifth gap opening in six trading days, and traded down to SPX 1359 in the first half hour. That was the low for the week. The market then recovered, somewhat, on monday and tuesday. Then AAPL’s earnings were released after tuesday’s close. On wednesday the market rallied, despite a ‘hold the course’ FOMC statement. Thursday the rally continued. Then on friday Q1 GDP was reported lower than expected, but the market still managed to end higher. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.65%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.35%. Asian markets were -0.6%, European markets were +1.0%, and the DJ World index rose 1.1%. Economic reports were mixed, with negatives outpacing positives 7 to 6. On the uptick: new/pending homes sales, FHFA, new home prices, consumer sentiment and the monetary base. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, WLEI, Case-Shiller, durable goods orders, the M1-multiplier, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we’ll get reports on monthly Payrolls, ISM, Chicago PMI and Auto sales. Best to your week!
Sunday, April 29, 2012
Savings, investment, and the Keynesian preference – a follow-up / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Alasdair_Macleod
There is a general belief that government finances are somehow immune from the financial reality faced by everyone else – an illusion fostered by bond markets and supported by the public’s wishful thinking. Look no further than the plight of the eurozone for evidence of the reality. Not only that, but history tells us that countries regularly default, yet we continue to buy government bonds in the belief they are less risky than any private sector debt. And if we begin to question the status quo, we are even told by financial regulators that government debt is less risky than anything else. Banking regulation enshrines it in Basel Committee guidelines, and modern portfolio theory – which guides securities regulation – casts it in stone.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Stock Market Holds Well...Lateral Continues... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
This is what the bulls wanted to see take place; a nice unwinding in the key oscillators on the important index daily charts. They wanted to see price hold well, while MACD's, RSI's, and stochastic's rock lower. This was the result they wanted, and it's the result they have gotten thus far. There is never a guarantee that this process will continue, but the results, thus far, have been quite good, and therefore, it's likely to continue.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
The Fed Will Come To The Rescue But Deliberately Late! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
There can be no doubt anymore that the global economic recovery is in trouble again.In the U.S. we can see it in the reversals of previously positive economic reports; unexpected declines in durable goods orders, industrial production, new home sales, existing home sales, new home starts, construction spending, new jobs creation, personal income, consumer confidence, small business confidence, and so on.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Stock Market S&P 500 Technical Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Submissions
Volkmar “Marc” G. Hable. Technical comment. This is an update on the technical comment regarding the S&P500 (symbol: SPX).
1. An ascending wedge has formed in the past months. This represents a fairly reliable pattern in the S&P500 as well as the German DAX large cap index. Other indices display a less reliable reaction to that pattern but may follow suite to those two leading stock indices.
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Friday, April 27, 2012
Stock Market Breadth, VIX, And Trends Give Slight Edge To Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Chris_Ciovacco
On April 26, we mentioned the chart of the VIX “Fear Index” (VXX) relative to the S&P 500 (SPY) represented a good way to monitor risk in an environment with some conflicting signals. An updated version of the chart, as of Thursday’s close, is shown below. The bulls made some progress with the blue upward-sloping trendline being violated, which shows decreasing levels of fear relative to the willingness to take on risk (see red arrow).