Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, January 05, 2015
Financial Markets 2015 Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: For the first time since 2008, stocks traded down on the last trading day of the year and the first trading day of the New Year.
Whether this will prove to be a mere statistical curiosity or a harbinger of troubles ahead remains to be seen, but there are enough headwinds facing investors to force them to don foul weather gear for the year ahead.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Wow, They Really Are Tapering QE Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
In the sound-money community there is universal skepticism about the Fed's plan to stop monetizing the world's debt. Hardly anyone thinks they'll go through with it and absolutely no one thinks they'll succeed if they do.
But the Fed is acting like it's serious. Take a look at the monetary base, which is the amount of new currency that's been created and pumped into the banking system. The trajectory since the 2008 crash tells you all you need to know about the "recovery," which turned out to be just the Fed printing money and a few mostly rich people spending some of it. But check out the far right edge where the line turns negative. Not wildly negative, but still, the Fed does appear to have stopped adding and started subtracting. The money supply is falling.
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Sunday, January 04, 2015
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2014 - Stocks Bull Market Raged On! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bull market raged on for another year to close at Dow 17,823 near the markets all time high set just a few days earlier at 18,103, this despite widespread calls of bear markets and even crashes that coalesced around a series of bad news events such as surrounding the US debt ceiling triggering a government shutdown and not forgetting Octobers end of QE apocalypse, with such doom calls always reaching their most vocal just at the end of every correction.
Sunday, January 04, 2015
World Stock Markets Continue to Separate from the U.S. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global equity markets typically trend in a cohesive path. They can separate for brief periods of time, but they ultimately will move as one unit.
The last time the markets separated was in 2008. Oil prices were soaring and three indexes (Canada, Russia and Brazil) all continued to advance while world markets fell.
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Saturday, January 03, 2015
This Stocks Bull Market Is NOT Over Yet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes:
The U.S. stock market boom is nearly six years old... But the fun ain't over yet!
Yesterday, I showed you how stocks could go much higher... even as interest rates finally rise. And today I'll show one more reason why this great bull market is NOT over yet...
This reason is extremely simple...
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Saturday, January 03, 2015
Stock Market Happy New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2089. After hitting an all time high at SPX 2094 by noon Monday, the market traded lower for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.35%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.80%, and the DJ World index dropped 1.30%. Economics reports for the holiday week were sparse, and biased to the downside. On the downtick: construction spending, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing and the WLEI. On the uptick: consumer confidence and the monetary base. Next week’s report will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes and the Payrolls report.
Saturday, January 03, 2015
Seasonal Sweet Spot for Small Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Sy_Harding
Studies show that one of the most persistent patterns investors follow is
‘chasing performance’. It’s most prevalent at this time of year. Investors shop for next year’s winners from the lists of the best performing stocks or mutual funds of the previous year. They switch from the successful investment strategy they have been following to one that out-performed it over the previous period. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2015
Fed Abandons Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The seemingly-invincible US stock markets powered higher again last year, still directly fueled by the Fed’s epic quantitative-easing money printing. But 2015 is shaping up to be radically different from the past couple years. The Fed effectively abandoned the stock markets when it terminated its bond buying late last year. So this year we will finally see if these lofty stock markets can remain afloat without the Fed.
Mainstream stock investors and speculators are certainly loving life these days. The flagship S&P 500 stock index enjoyed an excellent 2014, climbing 11.4%. And that followed 2013’s massive and amazing 29.6% blast higher! The last couple years were truly extraordinary and record-breaking on many fronts, with the US stock markets essentially doing nothing but rally to an endless streak of new nominal record highs.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Profit from Greece and the European Union Crisis in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: Yet another Greek tragedy is playing out in economically distressed southern Europe.
Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras failed to win support for his presidential candidate.
So citizens will head to the polls again, this time 18 months ahead of schedule.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Welcome, Baby 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
So Baby 2015 has slammed the book on wrinkled old 2014 (this imagery just cracks me up), a year that featured the continuation of existing macro trends like US stocks up, global stocks wobbling, precious metals weak and commodities weak to tanking.
Personally, I found the year revolting as an honest market participant, but thankfully made like a caveman and simply used my tools to help me avoid the pitfalls of my emotions and logical mind. I try very hard to tune down the Tin Foil Hat stuff, but I continue to be in awe of Policy Central and the depths of what looks to me like depravity that they will stoop to in order to keep up appearances. Reference Operation Twist and its “inflation sanitized” selling of short-term notes and buying of long-term bonds.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Slow January for Stocks, Commodities and Dollar? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Savage
With the S&P losing support so early in a new daily cycle on Friday I’m afraid we’re probably set up for a choppy market in January.
Thursday, January 01, 2015
Stock Market Gappy New Year! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
It looked like a few rats tried to jump ship as the bell rang on 2014. But it is hard to trust any one day or week as a guide during the holidays so we can just call it what it was, a down week within a general US market uptrend.
The strong uptrend however, is on the longer-term charts. Some dailies are in down trends kicked off by the pre-Santa correction (ref. the NDX below and the NYSE, as two examples). As we noted in NFTRH, the Russell 2000 was the first to go daily trend up into what is often ‘small cap season’. It has got a big fat gap though, and a test of the MA 50 seems in store.
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Thursday, January 01, 2015
Food Stamps, Subprime and Hyperinflation / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The next generation will look back at the current period with utter astonishment. The archives will be riddled with debates and all manner of euphemisms for what led to the collapse of the world’s first and last fiat reserve currency.
It is a process well underway. Take a look at two seemingly unrelated, though current, economic-financial trends: Food stamps and subprime.
The case of spending compared with risk. Food assistance is but a tiny tributary broken off from a massive river of denial.
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Thursday, January 01, 2015
Stock Market 2014 Review ...Froth The Real Story / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
There is only one real story for 2014. FROTH! Unprecedented levels in terms of time. Since February we have been on a sell-signal with regard to the bull-bear spread. Low rates and liquidity from the Fed here and abroad have allowed that signal to be ignored for the most part other that two quick pullback's of 5.1% and 9.9%. They were painful but healed up quite rapidly. There were decent gains for the year across the board with the Nasdaq 100 leading early, the S&P 500 and Dow catching up as the year moved on, but the small- and mid-cap stocks were the big gainers late in the year. Froth prevailing in those areas, even with the high levels of bulls to bears. Froth is greatest in those small-cap risky companies, but that didn't stop the bulls from running there late in the year.
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Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Stock Market Pop-n-drop or Just Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX futures added to the retracement by rising near 2085.00, but are coming back down as I write. The Premarket is up about 2 points, but seems to be losing ground.
Jobless claims went up today for the month of December. ZeroHedge reports that it is the highest monthly rise in jobless claims since the polar vortex last year. Chicago PMI is being reported at 9:45 and is not likely to be good. Today may not be a good day for stocks.
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Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Stock Market Yen Carry Trade is Unravelling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has completed a small impulse down and has made a 29.3% correction so far. It may go as far as 2086.54 (50%) or to 2088.20 (61.8% retracement) before it is over. However, the institutional investors may be coming in and if they start selling, SPX may be on its way to Intermediate-term support at 2053.01 or even the 50-day Moving Average at 2028.51 by tomorrow. The odds favor adding an additional layer of short positions at this time.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Is Now the Time to Buy Small Cap Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Investment_U
Matthew Carr writes: There are a number of misconceptions that are perpetually parroted as truth.
For example...
Albert Einstein did not fail mathematics... In fact, he mastered higher forms of calculus (which most of us don’t see until college) before he was 15.
You can’t see the Great Wall of China from space... It is barely visible from low Earth orbit. Even then, you need binoculars.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Stock Market Tradeable Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
Counts are lining up for the next tradable top in the Dow near Dec 29. Let’s call it sometime this week. The forecast involves several of the models developed by George Lindsay but one easy-to-grasp reason is the chart below. In the past I’ve shown my own discovery of centering a middle section forecast on the high of the previous multiple cycle to forecast the high of the current multiple cycle. Previous forecasts this year using this model have all resulted in significant (tradable) corrections in the Dow.
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Nearly Six Years In And Plenty of Upside Remains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's got to be time to sell, right?
After all, stocks have been going up for nearly six years now – they've got to be near the end of their run... Right?
I disagree...
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Monday, December 29, 2014
Stock Market Master Cycle Top May Have Extended to Mid-January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
On Friday, SPX closed beneath its hourly ending Diagonal formation. As I write, the SPX Premarket is down another 6 points. This doesn’t guarantee that it will open there, but it means that the market will bear watching this morning.