Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, December 21, 2014
Stock Investors Look Ahead into 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
With 2014 winding down, now would be a convenient time to discuss the prospects for the financial market and economy in 2015.
Year 2014 was in some respects a tumultuous year; from the slowdown in Europe and China to the collapse in oil and ag commodity prices, the deflationary undercurrents of the 60-year cycle was apparent this year. The long-awaited bottom of the 120-year cycle of deflation was finally made in October, and aside from some residual weakness still evident, the cycle bottom was a successful one.
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Saturday, December 20, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week in the markets. The market opened the week at SPX 2002 after last week’s 3.5% selloff. After a gap up opening on Monday carrying the SPX to 2019, it gapped down on Tuesday hitting 1973 right at the close. After that the market gapped up Wednesday, and on Thursday, then came with one point of its all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.2%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.2%, and the DJ World index was up 2.2%. Economic reports for the week were slightly biased to the downside. On the uptick: industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB, building permits, the CPI, and the WLEI. Next week, a holiday shortened week, we get Q3 GDP, PCE prices, and more reports on housing. Best to your holiday week!
Saturday, December 20, 2014
What Are Technical Indicators Saying About the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
It was just a week ago that financial headlines bemoaned the market having suffered its worst week in 2 ½ years. The bears came out of hiding with scary forecasts. Plunging oil prices, previously thought to be a positive for global economies, were suddenly seen as a major negative, along with the collapse of Russia’s economy and currency. Warnings of a potential global meltdown, perhaps even a 1998 style mini-crash, grew in number.
Bullish investor sentiment and confidence plunged. The weekly poll of its members by the American Association of Individual investors (AAII) fell to only 38.7% bullish.
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Friday, December 19, 2014
Derivatives and Mass Financial Destruction / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Globally systemically important banks (G-SIBs in the language of the Financial Stability Board) are to be bailed-in if they fail, moving the cost from governments to the depositors, bondholders and shareholders. There are exceptions to this rule, principally, small depositors who are protected by government schemes, and also derivatives, so the bail-in is partial and bail-out in these respects still applies.
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Friday, December 19, 2014
A Time to Prepare / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The observation of modern finance through the lens of sound money requires an onion peeler. Each time I imagine onions, I think of my soft contact lens patients; the ones who abuse them. I think of the patients who wear them too long or through periods of mild irritation or redness and practice poor hygiene. Soft contact lenses mask normal corneal sensitivity. They act like tiny onion goggles. With soft lenses in place, one can literally chop onions and not feel the normal irritating sensation at all. The problem is they tend to be the last to know about the trouble.
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Friday, December 19, 2014
China, Dollar, Japan, Europe Burning Questions for 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
Louis Gave is one of my favorite investment and economic thinkers, besides being a good friend and an all-around fun guy. When he and his father Charles and the well-known European journalist Anatole Kaletsky decided to form Gavekal some 15 years ago, Louis moved to Hong Kong, as they felt that Asia and especially China would be a part of the world they would have to understand. Since then Gavekal has expanded its research offices all over the world. The Gavekal team’s various research arms produce an astounding amount of work on an incredibly wide range of topics, but somehow Louis always seems to be on top of all of it.
Longtime readers know that I often republish a piece by someone in their firm (typically Charles or Louis). I have to be somewhat judicious, as their research is actually quite expensive, but they kindly give me permission to share it from time to time.
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Friday, December 19, 2014
U.S. Economy is in a Sweet Spot! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - The world's prominent central banks are pursuing an accommodative monetary policy and this bodes well for the stock market. Remember, when it comes to investing, monetary policy trumps everything else and the risk free rate of return determines the value of every asset. When interest rates are low and credit is cheap and plentiful, asset prices tend to inflate. Conversely, when interest rates are high and credit is tight, asset prices tend to deflate.
Friday, December 19, 2014
Insane Santa Claus Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Joseph_Russo
Just a few short days ago, it appeared that bearish forces were destined to deny Wall Street its customary "Santa Claus Rally." Enter the Yellen Fed and the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, and suddenly, like magic, Santa and his proverbial rally appears to have found its way back on course to treat Wall Street with a healthy dose of Christmas Cheer.
How in the name of Jesus are long-term investors (let alone short-term traders) supposed to deal with this type of rollercoaster market from hell?
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Friday, December 19, 2014
Show Me The Money (Flow)! Tracking Money-Flow Through Value Shifts In Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: George_R_Harrison
We’ve all heard of the old magicians trick of distracting with one hand while the other is where the real set-up is taking place.
It seems we’re up against the same process at work in the markets we’re experiencing today.
There’s a fundamental and major shift taking place. Everyone feels the ‘vibe’ of it, but, where’s the proof (instead of the speculation) to bear out the truth of it?
It’s not to be found from conventional sources, that much is clear.
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Thursday, December 18, 2014
Stock Market Volatility Soaring....Whipsaw....Down Bias For Now..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Volatility is soaring and traders are suffering. Too difficult to play with massive whipsaw moves intraday just about everywhere, but with the trend still clearly lower for now. When the VIX is in the low teens it's easy on the soul, but when it rockets in to the lower 20-range, things can get very intense. You can barely keep up with the score. You blink and the S&P 500 moves five points. You blink again and it's another five, and so on. The range for the day across the board on all the key-index charts can give you motion sickness. Huge drifting. This is when markets become too difficult to put the finger on the buy or sell button. It becomes luck trades and that's not what you want to be doing. It can work, but Russian roulette is better used somewhere else.
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Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Dow Mini Stock Market Megaphone Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Austin_Galt
The Dow made marginal all time highs in early December before turning back down. Many people are now jumping at shadows with every correction that takes place. This is understandable given the Dow’s precarious position but it is my opinion that the ultimate top is still yet to be seen.
Let’s examine the situation using the daily and weekly charts.
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Russian Currency Crisis and Debt Defaults Could Create Contagion in West / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: GoldCore
Russia’s currency market witnessed further huge volatility again today. The finance ministry said it would start selling foreign exchange which are primarily in dollars. This appeared to reduce selling pressure on the battered rouble.
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
How to Profit From Russia's Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Russia
By: Money_Morning
The collapse in oil prices has exposed some vulnerable economies. All of them are dependent upon crude export sales to maintain even the appearance of a national budget.
As you might expect, every member of OPEC falls into this group, although Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates have sufficient reserves that will allow them to carry sizable budget deficits for some time.
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Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Stock Market Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
7 Year Cycle Highs
For several decades the Dow has exhibited a cycle of seven years between highs. It has been as short as six years and, on one occasion, it stretched closer to eight years. All cycle highs matched the highs of Lindsay's basic cycles. The previous cycle high was in Oct 2007 and which makes a cycle high due now. The high should be point H of Lindsay's long cycle. Past experience implies it could come as late as Oct 2015 but a six-year cycle low makes that very unlikely.
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Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Russia Crisis - If You Put Your Money in the Bank Will You Get it Back? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Bloomberg
Howard Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, told Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle and Matt Miller today that loose rule of law is a major concern for investors who are considering buying assets in Russia. Marks said: "In order to make investments, you have to believe that you will benefit from the rule of law...The underlying question about Russia is whether you will. The question is, if you put your money in the bank will you get it back in the end?"
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Will the European Union Reindex Stock Markets to 100 points? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Wim_Grommen
The introduction of the euro brought the citizens of Europe many advantages, including uniformity. It would be nice if that uniformity also applied to the comparison of the various stock exchanges. An index point is not a fixed unit in time and does not have any historical significance, so the European citizen may therefore not attach any significance for the future. Comparing index points to their history and also comparing the various stock exchanges makes no sense. The time is ripe to reindex European stock exchanges to 100 points. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Asian Stocks Markets: Sand In The Gears Of The Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Submissions
George R. Harrison writes:
The Asian Stock Market scene has been dynamic and strong. At least until some sand got into the gearworks a few months back and started to grind the bull markets to a halt.
The 'canary in the coal mine' was first spotted in the Malaysian Stock Index.
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Wall Street’s Big Boys Bulldoze Through the Spending Bill They Want / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: We’ve got a spending bill, folks!
The government of the United States will remain open for business thanks to the usual suspects in Congress being open to being bought.
Sometimes it only takes a few phone calls from a deep-pocketed giant bank CEO to remind legislators who butters their bread.
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Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Investment Advisor - “Why I Quit” / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Andy_Sutton
As many of you probably already know, I have decided that it is no longer in the best interests of clients to provide ‘advisory’ services regarding securities specifically, and paper investments in general. This decision follows a rather similar move made by former broker Ann Barnhart and while our reasons differ slightly, the bottom line is the same: I feel that it is no longer possible to provide even a reasonable assurance to my clients that I can provide anything in the way of protection from market volatility, bail-ins, cleanouts like 2008, and so forth in an advisor capacity. So, to put it bluntly…I quit. But I’m not done if that makes any sense. Please bear with me and keep reading.
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Stock Market VIX Volatile Volatility, you have to see this to believe it! / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
My conjecture may be right. Someone very big appears to be caught on the wrong side of this trade. I have been watching this nonsense for the past two hours. This may not end well for the poor guy(s) that cannot get out.
Earlier today ZeroHedge revealed a low liquidity alert in the SPX futures. It may have also extended to the VIX.
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