Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 08, 2015
The Masters of the Universe Are Also Universal Market Manipulators / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Shah Gilani writes: Dear Wall Street Insights & Indictments Reader,
Just look at the market today, any market, anywhere in the world. They’re all higher.
That’s what happens when the true Masters of the Universe, the puppet masters at the U.S. Federal Reserve, twiddle the strings to manipulate markets for their purposes.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 08, 2015
Stocks and Commodities - the Deflationary Myth / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
With commodities now moving down into their three year cycle low I’m hearing more and more talk about deflation. This is complete nonsense. Bernanke had it exactly right when he pointed out that any determined government could halt deflation at will with a printing press. As a matter of fact the only mildly deflationary event we’ve seen since 1932 was a brief period during 2008 and early 2009. Bernanke succeeded in stopping it in its tracks almost immediately with QE1.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 08, 2015
Stock Market Pop-n-drop Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX pattern left itself open for a final surge by the ned of the day by not breaking support at 2020.41 and the algos took it from there with Fed Governor Charlie Evans’ comments last night. This was based on the unexpected collapse of the 10-year yields, raising risk premia in stocks as well as commodities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 08, 2015
Stocks Regain Some Ground After Recent Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 08, 2015
Big Moves Developing In Stocks, Gold, Oil and Gas Strategic Markets… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Today I would like to touch on several different areas in regards to our trades we have going right now. First lets look at the INDU and some of the reasons I went short yesterday. The daily chart shows a rising wedge in which the price action closed below the bottom rail yesterday. Today’s bounce was a little stronger than what I was hoping for closing above the bottom rail of the falling wedge. There is also another and I believe stronger chart pattern in play and that is a possible double top. As you can see on the rising wedge, reversal point #4 is higher than reversal point #2. When you look at the RSI, at the top of the chart, you can see a big negative divergence. The same holds true with the MACD at the bottom of the chart. The blue histogram is still negative and the slo sto is falling. The 50 dma comes in just above at 17,632 so all these indicators are negative.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 07, 2015
Is Your Portfolio Ready for Stock Market 2015? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Is the recent bout in volatility yet another ‘buy-the-dip’ opportunity or a sign of worse to come? Investors struggle to both keeping up with the markets while protecting themselves against a severe correction. By taking a step back, investors might be able to see the forest for the trees to gauge whether their portfolio is ready for what lies ahead.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 07, 2015
Deflation and the Year Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Stocks were hit by selling pressure on Monday as the S&P 500 (SPX) declined 1.83% and the Dow 30 shed 1.86%. The energy sector bore the brunt of the selling with the NYSE Oil Index declining 4.61%. Crude oil prices also dropped nearly 5% for the day to close at 5 ½-year lows.
Fears that Greece may exit the euro zone are being blamed on the latest broad market decline. Upcoming elections in Greece have spooked many investors, who feel that the country's exit from the euro zone would be disastrous. The most likely reason for the market decline, however, is the fact that investor sentiment has been excessively bullish in the last couple of weeks. A pullback in the major indices should remove much of the excess optimism and pave the way for a sounder market environment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Stocks Levitating,Silver Good Support - Basic Truths and Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Most normal individuals believe these basic truths.
We cannot borrow our way out of debt.
We cannot spend our way into prosperity.
We cannot tax ourselves into wealth.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Amber Alert: Emerging Markets Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
Fasten your seat belts, 2015 is going to be extremely turbulent if the US Fed keeps tightening monetary policy. Such is the addiction of the global patients now, that unless the Federal Reserve prints dollars again -- which they won’t as long as the US GDP is recovering robustly -- the withdrawal symptoms from cheap money injections are going to be manifest as massive volatilities in emerging markets and ricochet back to the developed world, as they are already doing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Hedge Funds Net Long the SPX? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Normally this is where the SPX back-tests the 50-day Moving Average. Today is not a Pivot day, so I would not be surprised if SPX simply touches the 50-day and resumes its decline, but we have to be patient. It is not in the nature of a decline to miss a retest of support/resistance.
A decline beneath 2017.00 raises the probability that the decline has resumed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
My Economic Outlook for 2015: New Year Resetting for Fresh Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
George Leong writes: Looking back on 2014, despite the elimination of quantitative easing and the pending rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, it’s clear that the bulls controlled the stock market.
In early December, things were looking rough. Stocks were threatening to move lower as the market focused on the economic stalling in China, Japan, and Europe, along with the political and economic turmoil in Russia that could kill the economic renewal in the eurozone and the global economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Stock Market Loses Key Support...Bears Need Follow Through.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market had a bad day today. Why? Because all the key indexes lost their 50-day exponential moving averages and that's bearish short term. The bulls will have to get busy in a hurry to get it back above. The longer it stays below the braver the bears will get and the lower the market will go, which also means the further away the 50's will get. That means the next rally may only back test those lost 50's only to follow that up with another strong move lower. Losing the 50-day exponential moving average with force is the key and today we got just that. The S&P 500 closed 15 points below. The Nasdaq closed 21 points below and the Dow closed 75 points below. Roughly half a percent or more. If the bears can get a strong gap down tomorrow they are really in business, but do remember that it's hard to keep a market oversold and that's what those key index shorts term charts are. RSI's 30 or below.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
How We’re Going to Get Rich in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Shah Gilani writes: Last week, while wishing my newsletter subscribers at Capital Wave Forecast and Short-Side Fortunes a happy New Year, I warned them that 2015 isn’t going to be a happy-go-lucky year.
The one prediction I emphasized over and over was that volatility would be extreme.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 05, 2015
Gold and Mining Stocks Refuse to Decline Despite Soaring US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative short positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The USD Index soared much higher on Friday, well above the previous high. With the USD Index being so high, it seems odd that gold managed to close higher and the same went for mining stocks, which even outperformed the yellow metal. Is the rally in gold around the corner?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 05, 2015
Stock Market Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX gapped down nearly 4 points, which was less than the decline at 9:00 am. So, despite the algos attempting to spike the open, SPX still opened down and is now beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2039.84.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 05, 2015
New Year Updates in Gold and SP500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Our long term subscribers have been following the Gold and SP 500 markets with us for years, and for sure last year was full of volatility in both. Right now we are continuing to stay on the sidelines in Gold until we can see a confirmed close over $1232 per ounce (US Dollars). We like to keep it simple and avoid a lot of the noise that the charts on a daily basis can bring, as well as day to day and week to week volatility.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 05, 2015
Economy and Markets Widespread Deceptions & Hall Of Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
As 2014 leaves off and 2015 begins anew, the main theme seems to be the end of the American Empire, the demise of the Petro-Dollar, the blunt of USMilitary over-reach, and the global urgency of putting the King Dollar into a cement casing coffin. The global movement will gain strong momentum to end the dollarized terrorized nightmare. The entire world is coming to realize that the USDollar is wrecking the financial structures, ruining economies, forcing colossal debt abuses, while its defense is a grand threat to world peace. The extension of time before the execution has required pilferage of foreign adversary wealth and confiscation of foreign allied wealth. Shrouded in the entire grand transition is a myriad of deceptions, each playing a special role to maintain the system that favors the exceptional criminal and corrupt nation, the United States. The deceptions carry over into almost every aspect of financial and economic life and times. The hall of mirrors has become the American hallmark, soon to serve as the epitaph of fallen empire.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 05, 2015
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Take Profits Following December Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, January 05, 2015
Black Swans and White Noise 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The introduction of noise into a system can amplify the movement or efficiency of that system. Sometimes a little agitation helps to broaden a signal; this phenomenon of stochastic resonance has helped in understanding many nonlinear and complex systems - from medicine to diet.
The current financial system is a poster child for the non linear. Many nodes, endless connections. No way to parse all of the nodes and the connections. It hums along, based on confidence and dependent on an artificial type of intervention.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 05, 2015
15 Stocks, Financial, Commodity and Currency Market Surprises for 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
It’s that time of year when people start thinking about New Year’s resolutions and investment planning for the future. It’s also the time of year when analysts feel more or less compelled to offer up forecasts. My friend Doug Kass turns the forecasting process on its head by offering 15 potential surprises for 2015 (plus 10 also-rans). But he does so with a healthy measure of humility, starting out with a quote from our mutual friend James Montier (now at GMO):
Read full article... Read full article...