Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Acceleration Of Events With Rising Chaos – US Dollar Death Foretold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
In the closing months of 2014, on numerous occasions the position was put forth that as the days of January stacked up, toward the end of the month and going into February, that the global financial structures would show severe strain, widespread disruptions, and possible signs of cracks in breakdown. The forecasts were clearly stated and repeated. Even the present flow of events has been shocking, despite the expectation. The forecast certainly has proved correct. The disruptive events and pace of systemic breakdown are surely going to continue. The year will go down in history as extremely messy, extremely chaotic, and extremely important in the demise of the USDollar. Check the 7-year cycle for an amazing sequence that goes back to the 1973 Arab Oil Embargo, the 1980 Gold & Silver Hunt Brothers peak, the 1987 Black Monday, the 1994 Irrational Exuberance with ensuing Asian Meltdown, the 2001 Inside 9/11 Job, and the 2008 Lehman failure. The year 2015 will be known for the USDollar demise with full fireworks, set up with Ukraine and the European repeat of Waterloo. A quickening pace of events is highly indicative in two natural types in nature, namely the lead up to a natural earthquake, and the lead up to a human childbirth.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Cyber War Poses Risks To Banks and Deposits / Stock-Markets / Cyber War
Cyber Attacks Growing In Frequency – Entire Western Financial System Is Vulnerable
The threat posed by cyber war to our increasingly complicated, technologically dependent and vulnerable financial institutions, markets, banks and indeed deposits becomes more clear by the day.
British and US agents will carry out a mock cyber attack or ‘cyber war games’ on the Bank of England and commercial banks in City of London and on Wall Street in the coming months as part of tests on critical, but vulnerable financial infrastructure.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Bread and Circuses (Not All Inflation Is about Footballs) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Guy Christopher writes: I know it's easy to brush off those constantly mounting reports and stories of decay, destruction, and despair. I sometimes find myself ignoring as much bad news as possible, just to keep my sanity.
Then I realize that heaping one atrocity after another onto my growing pile of information-overload is purposely designed to wear me out, so that I'll ignore new attacks on my Constitution and new betrayals from those I elected to office. They want me to grow weary of learning what's true, hoping I'll overlook what I recognize as lies.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Stock Market George Lindsay's 8-year Interval Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
The late technician, George Lindsay described an 8-year interval as part of his 22-year Overlay (An Aid to Timing, SeattleTA Press, 2012). He wrote that the high (or "moment of truth") at the end of the interval is often followed by a harsh 2-3 month decline followed by an approximate 5-month rally in equities.
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015
This Is What It Means To Lose A Currency War / Stock-Markets / Currency War
The term gets tossed around a lot, but the meaning and consequences of a “currency war” aren’t intuitively clear to most people. Especially confusing is the idea that you lose the war when your currency goes up. The suddenly very strong dollar, for instance, should, one would think, be a good thing, since it seems to imply that the rest of the world is impressed enough to covet our currency.
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015
The Most Overlooked “Buy” Signal in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Editorial Note: With the Dow opening at a loss of 285 points, today’s featured article couldn’t have been timed better. Below, Matthew Carr shares his favorite metric for determining whether a market is a “Buy” or “Sell.” We hope you’re able to put this information to good use.
The markets are flashing red.
Your palms are starting to sweat.
Should you sell? Should you buy?
Is this the bottom? Or the beginning of the end?
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015
Stock Markets Gapping Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As of 8:30 am SPX appears to have broken through hourly mid-Cycle support at 2037.79. The 50-day and Intermediate-term support are behind it. Short-term support at 2031.90 may temporarily delay the SPX decline, but if it opens beneath it, the final support may be hourly Cycle Bottom support at 1985.48.
There appears to be no organized resistance to this decline so far. USD/JPY is down to 117.56 this morning and falling. My report on the liquidity indexes make it clear that there may be no support from those resources, either.
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015
Stock Market Meandering...WDC Sad...Where From Here... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market doesn't seem to know what it wants to do short term, but what I can tell you is that there is no selling nor buying of any great intensity as we're simply handling out. When the big picture trend is in a handle you still have to give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls. That said, you can't argue with the red flags either from the perspective of just ignoring them because you want to. Your desire to not want to think about any headaches can eventually cause you some if you don't at least recognize the possibilities.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Nearly Six Years In... And Plenty of Upside Remains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: The Bernanke Asset Bubble will celebrate its sixth birthday this March...
But this bubble still has plenty of room to run...
Stocks are nowhere near "bubble" valuations today. And that means our upside is still high.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Stock Market Test of Strength / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Until the ECB announcement of €1 trillion in QE, the equity markets were struggling to maintain their upside, near-vertical trajectory. The equity market Cycles seemed to have recently changed in character, and were at serious risk of rolling over and failing. And a failure at this point in the Investor Cycle, after such a massive and speculative bull market, would open the door to a significant decline and possibly even signal that the current great bull market was finally over.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
ECB QE Action - Canary’s Alive & Well / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Excerpted from this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH 327), a 35 page report covering economic data and indicators, US and global stock markets, commodities and clear technical and macro fundamental parameters on gold, silver and the miners…
Canary’s Alive & Well
This week we will cover the ECB QE action, Euro, USD and their implications for global trade. We’ll also update a still-intact rally in gold, silver and the miners along with some (NFTRH+) trade opportunities. But first let’s review December’s Semiconductor Equipment sector Book-to-Bill ratio, just out on Friday evening and discuss some of the dynamics in play with respect to the ‘b2b’ and the US economy.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Possible Stock Market Pop-n-drop in Store For SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX futures opened at 6:00 pm last night down 15 points. It sank another 10 points before catching a bid and recovering all the loss. The Premarket is currently up 2 points. The overnight action suggests a potential target near 2075.00.
ZeroHedge reports, “Surprise! The weakness overnight in US equity futures has been eradicated in its best USDJPY-driven fashion. S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq futures have all managed to float higher on a sea of Crude and JPY carry exuberance to fill the overnight gap perfectly... except now that they have, USDJPY and Crude have turned down...We suspect the word "contained" will win CNBC-Bingo today...”
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Stocks Fluctuate Following Recent Move Up As Investors Take Some Short-Term Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, January 26, 2015
Stock Market More Retracement Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 25, 2015
Stock Market ECB EQE week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
After ECB EQE rumors surfaced over the holiday the market gapped up to SPX 2029 on Tuesday, having closed the previous week at 2019. The gap up was immediately sold off to SPX 2004. Then despite a gap down opening on Tuesday the market worked its way higher until a 1.2tn Euro EQE was announced prior to the open on Thursday. The market hit SPX 2065 on Thursday, then pulled back on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were 1.25%, the NDX/NAZ were 3.00%, and the DJ World was 1.90%. On the economic front weekly reports were solidly to the upside. On the downtick: building permits. On the uptick: housing starts, the FHFA, existing home sales, leading indicators, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting and Q4 GDP.
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Sunday, January 25, 2015
Central Banks and Economic Reports Keep Stocks Bull Market Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
At the age of 72 months, the U.S. bull market may be long in the tooth. Stocks may be significantly over-priced based on the CAPE-10 P/E ratio, and Warren Buffett’s favorite measurement, the ratio of market capitalization to GDP. Plunging oil prices, threatening deflation, and weak global economies may be worrying economists.
But the U.S. market remains within two percent of its all-time high, and major European markets are surging back toward their previous highs.
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Saturday, January 24, 2015
Financial Tsunamis Most Often Come Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
On Thursday, January 15th, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) discontinued its three year effort to maintain its minimum currency floor of the Swiss franc. In a single day the move sent the Swiss Franc (SWF) climbing a massive 21% against the U.S. dollar and 41% against the euro. The move sent shockwaves of unprecedented ferocity through the massive foreign exchange (FX) market, which is by far the largest, and most highly levered, trading market in the world. The monetary tsunami threatened both FX participants and even their brokers. But more importantly, even as the rest of Europe looks to suffocate itself in a blanket of debased currency, the Swiss have opened a window of reality on the massive central bank scheme. Hopefully some of the fresh air will spread throughout the rest of the world.
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Saturday, January 24, 2015
Goldman Sachs Blankfein - Regulation is Like Background Noise / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Lloyd Blankfein, CEO and Chairman of Goldman Sachs, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Blankfein discussed the performance of Goldman Sachs, the impact of regulation on the financial industry and the outlook for the industry.
On regulation, Blankfein said: "If you ask me how much time do I spend thinking about regulation, and rules and that kind of compliance, all the time. But it doesn't push out other things. It's like background noise. It's like music."
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Friday, January 23, 2015
The Opportunity in This Market is “Eye-Opening” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Dr. Kent Moors writes: As we shift into the “post-oil age,” one thing is very clear: This is no longer a zero sum game.
While crude will continue to be the star, other sources of energy will start to gain market share.
A new energy balance will begin to take hold, and it will have less and less to do with crude.
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Friday, January 23, 2015
ECB and EU LTRO and QE for Dummies: Or, Make These Trades / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Shah Gilani writes: Pssst! Do you want to make some money trading some initials? Real easy money?
For real. I just made my subscribers 382% trading these initials. And we’re not done. After closing out our 382% gain, we’re in the same trade again, and we’re up 180% in just a few weeks – and still going.
We’re also in a conservative trade, trading the same initials mind you, and we’re up 41% there.
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