Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
This Is What It Means To Lose A Currency War / Stock-Markets / Currency War
By: John_Rubino
The term gets tossed around a lot, but the meaning and consequences of a “currency war” aren’t intuitively clear to most people. Especially confusing is the idea that you lose the war when your currency goes up. The suddenly very strong dollar, for instance, should, one would think, be a good thing, since it seems to imply that the rest of the world is impressed enough to covet our currency.
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015
The Most Overlooked “Buy” Signal in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Investment_U
Editorial Note: With the Dow opening at a loss of 285 points, today’s featured article couldn’t have been timed better. Below, Matthew Carr shares his favorite metric for determining whether a market is a “Buy” or “Sell.” We hope you’re able to put this information to good use.
The markets are flashing red.
Your palms are starting to sweat.
Should you sell? Should you buy?
Is this the bottom? Or the beginning of the end?
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015
Stock Markets Gapping Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
As of 8:30 am SPX appears to have broken through hourly mid-Cycle support at 2037.79. The 50-day and Intermediate-term support are behind it. Short-term support at 2031.90 may temporarily delay the SPX decline, but if it opens beneath it, the final support may be hourly Cycle Bottom support at 1985.48.
There appears to be no organized resistance to this decline so far. USD/JPY is down to 117.56 this morning and falling. My report on the liquidity indexes make it clear that there may be no support from those resources, either.
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Tuesday, January 27, 2015
Stock Market Meandering...WDC Sad...Where From Here... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market doesn't seem to know what it wants to do short term, but what I can tell you is that there is no selling nor buying of any great intensity as we're simply handling out. When the big picture trend is in a handle you still have to give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls. That said, you can't argue with the red flags either from the perspective of just ignoring them because you want to. Your desire to not want to think about any headaches can eventually cause you some if you don't at least recognize the possibilities.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Nearly Six Years In... And Plenty of Upside Remains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes:
The Bernanke Asset Bubble will celebrate its sixth birthday this March...
But this bubble still has plenty of room to run...
Stocks are nowhere near "bubble" valuations today. And that means our upside is still high.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Stock Market Test of Strength / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
Until the ECB announcement of €1 trillion in QE, the equity markets were struggling to maintain their upside, near-vertical trajectory. The equity market Cycles seemed to have recently changed in character, and were at serious risk of rolling over and failing. And a failure at this point in the Investor Cycle, after such a massive and speculative bull market, would open the door to a significant decline and possibly even signal that the current great bull market was finally over.
Monday, January 26, 2015
ECB QE Action - Canary’s Alive & Well / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Excerpted from this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH 327), a 35 page report covering economic data and indicators, US and global stock markets, commodities and clear technical and macro fundamental parameters on gold, silver and the miners…
Canary’s Alive & Well
This week we will cover the ECB QE action, Euro, USD and their implications for global trade. We’ll also update a still-intact rally in gold, silver and the miners along with some (NFTRH+) trade opportunities. But first let’s review December’s Semiconductor Equipment sector Book-to-Bill ratio, just out on Friday evening and discuss some of the dynamics in play with respect to the ‘b2b’ and the US economy.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Possible Stock Market Pop-n-drop in Store For SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures opened at 6:00 pm last night down 15 points. It sank another 10 points before catching a bid and recovering all the loss. The Premarket is currently up 2 points. The overnight action suggests a potential target near 2075.00.
ZeroHedge reports, “Surprise! The weakness overnight in US equity futures has been eradicated in its best USDJPY-driven fashion. S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq futures have all managed to float higher on a sea of Crude and JPY carry exuberance to fill the overnight gap perfectly... except now that they have, USDJPY and Crude have turned down...We suspect the word "contained" will win CNBC-Bingo today...”
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Stocks Fluctuate Following Recent Move Up As Investors Take Some Short-Term Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, January 26, 2015
Stock Market More Retracement Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 25, 2015
Stock Market ECB EQE week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
After ECB EQE rumors surfaced over the holiday the market gapped up to SPX 2029 on Tuesday, having closed the previous week at 2019. The gap up was immediately sold off to SPX 2004. Then despite a gap down opening on Tuesday the market worked its way higher until a 1.2tn Euro EQE was announced prior to the open on Thursday. The market hit SPX 2065 on Thursday, then pulled back on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were 1.25%, the NDX/NAZ were 3.00%, and the DJ World was 1.90%. On the economic front weekly reports were solidly to the upside. On the downtick: building permits. On the uptick: housing starts, the FHFA, existing home sales, leading indicators, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting and Q4 GDP.
Sunday, January 25, 2015
Central Banks and Economic Reports Keep Stocks Bull Market Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sy_Harding
At the age of 72 months, the U.S. bull market may be long in the tooth. Stocks may be significantly over-priced based on the CAPE-10 P/E ratio, and Warren Buffett’s favorite measurement, the ratio of market capitalization to GDP. Plunging oil prices, threatening deflation, and weak global economies may be worrying economists.
But the U.S. market remains within two percent of its all-time high, and major European markets are surging back toward their previous highs.
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Saturday, January 24, 2015
Financial Tsunamis Most Often Come Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: John_Browne
On Thursday, January 15th, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) discontinued its three year effort to maintain its minimum currency floor of the Swiss franc. In a single day the move sent the Swiss Franc (SWF) climbing a massive 21% against the U.S. dollar and 41% against the euro. The move sent shockwaves of unprecedented ferocity through the massive foreign exchange (FX) market, which is by far the largest, and most highly levered, trading market in the world. The monetary tsunami threatened both FX participants and even their brokers. But more importantly, even as the rest of Europe looks to suffocate itself in a blanket of debased currency, the Swiss have opened a window of reality on the massive central bank scheme. Hopefully some of the fresh air will spread throughout the rest of the world.
Saturday, January 24, 2015
Goldman Sachs Blankfein - Regulation is Like Background Noise / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Bloomberg
Lloyd Blankfein, CEO and Chairman of Goldman Sachs, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Blankfein discussed the performance of Goldman Sachs, the impact of regulation on the financial industry and the outlook for the industry.
On regulation, Blankfein said: "If you ask me how much time do I spend thinking about regulation, and rules and that kind of compliance, all the time. But it doesn't push out other things. It's like background noise. It's like music."
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Friday, January 23, 2015
The Opportunity in This Market is “Eye-Opening” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: As we shift into the “post-oil age,” one thing is very clear: This is no longer a zero sum game.
While crude will continue to be the star, other sources of energy will start to gain market share.
A new energy balance will begin to take hold, and it will have less and less to do with crude.
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Friday, January 23, 2015
ECB and EU LTRO and QE for Dummies: Or, Make These Trades / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Pssst! Do you want to make some money trading some initials? Real easy money?
For real. I just made my subscribers 382% trading these initials. And we’re not done. After closing out our 382% gain, we’re in the same trade again, and we’re up 180% in just a few weeks – and still going.
We’re also in a conservative trade, trading the same initials mind you, and we’re up 41% there.
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Friday, January 23, 2015
Market Should Not Doubt' Mario Draghi ECB QE / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Bloomberg
Larry Fink, CEO and Chairman of BlackRock, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Fink discussed the European Central Bank's asset-purchase plan and the outlook for the euro-dollar exchange rate, Federal Reserve policy and the U.S. economy. He also spoke about the Swiss National Bank's decision to abandon its currency cap.
Reacting to the ECB's quantitative easing announcement, Fink said: I think we've seen over the last few years you have to trust in Mario...the market should not doubt Mario. He's been able to pull this through...This monetary policy is going to keep the euro weak. And I think a weakened euro will allow European companies to improve. So I do think the European economies will be marginally better this year than last year."
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Friday, January 23, 2015
Francs, Bonds, Barrels, and Bail-Ins / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Andy_Sutton
As recently as a few weeks ago, the European Union directed its member nations to draft their own independent legislation for dealing with the resolution of a failed G-SIFI (Globally Significant Financial Institution). At the same time, we have all sorts of seams opening in the currency, bond, and commodity markets. The Swiss Franc is now un-pegged from the Euro, there have been wild swings in the bond markets in Europe due to the aforementioned action, and oil is in an absolute free-fall. There are many geopolitical (and likely criminal) maneuverings behind all of these phenomena, however the chaos in the financial world thus far has been remarkable in that there hasn’t been much given everything going on.
Thursday, January 22, 2015
The Most Important Thing You Should Do to Make Money in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Last Thursday, the front page headline of the USA Today Money section read “Stock Plunge Digs Deeper.” Above it was a graphic showing that since December 31, 15 days earlier, the Dow Jones Industrials had fallen 2.2%.
Plunge?
The article went on to recount the prior day’s trading when the Dow fell 187 points, or 1.1%. A poor showing for sure, but hardly anything to get excited about.
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Thursday, January 22, 2015
Stock Market Indexes Remain Within Medium-Term Consolidation - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish