Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 13, 2015
Stocks Extended Short-Term Uptrend - New All-Time Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, April 13, 2015
Stock Markets Breaking Out Worldwide - Buy the Dips Ride the Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
In this report I would like to show you some charts on the US stock markets along with some overseas markets as things are starting to heat up. It’s beginning to look like a world wide event taking place. Some of the European stock markets are breaking out of huge bases along with some Asian countries. Even in the US several of our stock market sectors are just a stones throw away from breaking out to new highs. I think it’s a good thing to see a lot of the worlds stock markets in bullish mode.
First lets take a look at several US stock markets and then we’ll move on and look at some overseas markets to get a feel for this bull move that is getting underway. As you will see some stock markets are stronger than others and that is where we’ll focus some of our attention.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Stock Market Accumulation or Distribution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
Reduce Your Next Year's Tax Bill – Starting Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Dr. David Eifrig writes: If you're like me, April 14 can be a painful day.
It's the day before "Tax Day" here in the U.S., when individual income tax returns are due to the IRS.
No matter your politics... or your thoughts on what the tax rate should be... it hurts to see that final number of just how much you've paid in taxes this year. It's difficult not to imagine what you could buy with those thousands of dollars. Or how much you could boost your savings.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
In This Inverted Stock Market, Down is Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Stocks ended last week back near all-time highs after a string of more bad economic news. At this point in an aging bull market,that's like saying stupid is smart, black is white, or Hilary Clinton has not been running for President since stepping down as Secretary of State.
Not only is bad economic news problematic for the market, but it is being rendered even worse by the policy response by central banks who are destroying the value of money and regulators who have drained markets of liquidity.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
Stock Market About to Hit Sudden Air Pocket! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I warned back a few days ago that the market looked tired. We got a few more points since then as the FED minutes on Wednesday help fuel the market higher. The set up is there for another "sudden 2% drop" like we had on Mar 31-Apr 1 early next week. The chop continues and the smart money keeps selling to the public while the FED cheers them on! Don't worry its OPEX week, and we have the new moon as well Pluto retrograde and Mars sq. Jupiter to help us recover later in the week!
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Saturday, April 11, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week gapping down from SPX 2067, Friday’s close, to 2057. That opening gap down was the low for the week. The market then rallied to SPX 2090 on Tuesday, pulled back to 2073 on Wednesday, then hit 2103 on Friday. Despite all the choppiness the market had a good week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.70%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.35%, and the DJ World gained 1.90%. Economic reports for the week were sparse but again tilted to the upside. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, export prices, the WLEI, and the MMIS. On the downtick: ISM services, import prices, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports are highlighted by Industrial production, Retail sales, the CPI/PPI and the FED’s Beige book.
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Saturday, April 11, 2015
The Most Dangerous Financial Headline I’ve Seen Since 2008 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: In my capacity as Chief Investment Strategist, I read newsfeeds from more than 100 sources every day. That helps me keep tabs on the Unstoppable Trends we follow here, what’s going on around the world, and, more importantly, discover opportunities for you that others don’t yet understand or even recognize.
Given everything going on – ISIS, Russia, Washington, fabricated economic numbers, earnings… you name it – it takes a lot to surprise me. I’m pretty jaded.
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Saturday, April 11, 2015
Stock Market Bulls Keep It Moving Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Nothing seems to derail this market. This is why you always stick with the trend in place until you get the type of reversal stick, or sticks, over the course of many days that says the trend in place has ended. We have come very close quite a few times to seeing that take place, but we have yet to see it actually occur. The game will test you mentally day after day. That's the real problem with trading instead of longer term investing. Long-term players don't get, or have to get, emotional since they aren't really following things daily. Traders not only follow daily, but many follow minute by minute. The market hasn't made the big move up and out over 2119 yet, but it's working its way up there.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
Stock Market Pivotal Events - History is Fact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
In writing this post I came to realize that its subject matter is too expansive for any single post. So consider this an introduction to a series of posts that I'll probably do in the coming months, as facts come to the fore and lend themselves to historical analysis. Two examples are presented below.
You might not be the type who needs or cares to subscribe to commercial market commentary/advice/trading/management services, but one thing we all can do is work through the freely available stuff calling itself 'analysis' flying around out there at warp speed and cull what is based on facts or honestly produced analytical work from the other garbage that is all too often based on ego, bias or agenda.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
Stock Market Showing Signs of Fatigue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last time I wrote, I was dealing with the futures sell-off when the market was closed on Good Friday. I had been expecting strength into Monday, but the futures down move of almost 20 points made me rethink an alternative scenario. As it was, we didn't have to sell the longs and held them into Tuesday where we sold at 2087 SPX and went short. The rest of the week was spent in a grinding, sideways, up and down market where it finally resolved itself to near 2093 today (closing at 2091). We remain short.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
U.S. Investors Face a Giant, Historic Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Dear investor,
I sat down in the wee hours late last night to write you today's letter because I just read this brand-new, time-sensitive report that I feel compelled to share with you immediately.
What you are about to read is highly contrary to the majority opinion on Wall Street ...
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
How Easy Money Drives the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
In a market economy a major service that money provides is that of the medium of exchange. Producers exchange their goods for money and then exchange money for other goods.
As production of goods and services increase this results in a greater demand for the services of the medium of exchange (the service that money provides).
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
Austrian Government to No Longer Guarantees Bank Deposits / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
- Austria will remove state guarantee of bank deposits
- Austrian deposit plan given go ahead by the EU
- Banks to pay into a deposit insurance fund over 10 years
- Fund will then be valued at a grossly inadequate €1.5 billion
- New bail-in legislation agreed by EU two years ago
- Depositors need to realise increasing risks and act accordingly
- “Bail-ins are now the rule” and ‘Bail-in regime’ coming
Thursday, April 09, 2015
Stock Market Indices Close Positive in Volatile Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stock market indices had a very volatile, topsy-turvy day, unable to take out support or resistance, but had some violent swings in between on FOMC statement today.
The day started out with a pop to the upside, they then pulled back, the S&P 500 making lower lows, but the Nasdaq 100 refusing to, and then they popped. The Nasdaq 100 made nominal new highs, but the S&P 500 failed to confirm as well, and then they rolled over. The FOMC created a lot of volatility after first spiking down, and then exploding to the upside, making new highs for the day on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 failed to do so, and they pulled back. At the end of the day, they bounced to firm it up a little bit.
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
Five Total Wealth Stock Market Investing Principles to Use Today / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I’ve talked to thousands of investors over the years who are absolutely convinced that they need to understand the market’s most complicated nuances to get ahead.
In reality, though, success comes down to just five things that I call the Total Wealth Principles.
Get ‘em right and you can make more money with less risk while enjoying a peace of mind that the vast majority of investors will never have. I know that sounds like a tall order, but it’s not. Or, at least, it doesn’t have to be.
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
U.S. Hegemony and Dollar Threatened By New Chinese Bank / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
- Chinese Success in Attracting Major Western Countries to New Bank Marks Beginning of New Era
- Diverse members include UK, Israel, Germany, Australia and Russia and Iran
- Demonstrates the degree to which U.S. global influence is declining
- U.S. needs to reform its approach to IMF and World Bank system if it to successfully reassert its influence
- U.S. “Failure of Strategy and Tactics was a Long Time Coming”
- Beijing’s challenge to post-World War II financial and monetary order
- New bank shows continuing decline of U.S. hegemony and dollar as reserve currency
Wednesday, April 08, 2015
Gold, Crude Oil, Stocks & Bonds Four Month Markets Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Everyone is looking for the holy grail of the financial market which will tell what will happen next in stocks, commodities, bonds etc… Knowing that the holy grail of trading does not exist I am going to step out on a limb and share my four month stock market forecast along with commodities and bonds.
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Wednesday, April 08, 2015
Will Quantitative Easing Demolish Stock Market Indicators? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
In late 2008, we knew we had a problem.
For years we had used the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) for predicting recessions before they occurred. This leading indicator had a much better track record than the more traditional ones.
But after QE started in November of that year, this indicator started to falter. The institute had predicted a recession in early 2011, but as QE dragged on, it just didn’t happen.
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Wednesday, April 08, 2015
Stock Market Indices Give Back Early Gains to Close Negative / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stock market had a very strong start to the day, and a 3-wave move up that took the indices from 4350 Nasdaq 100 to nearly 4380 and the S&P 500 from 2081 to 2090. They pulled back midday to consolidate, but at the end of the day, without breaking out the formidable declining topsline, it became quite difficult to get through. They rolled over hard in the last hour, taking the Nasdaq from 4372 to 4344, and the S&P 500 from 2088 to 2076. They closed negative, giving back the entire gains of the day. The formidable overhead resistance at the 4380-84 zone Nasdaq 100 and near the 2090 area on the S&P 500 become too much for the stocks to overcome.
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