Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, April 17, 2015
Toil and Trouble in Nasdaq Tech Stocks Sector / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: EWI
Editor's note: This article is from Elliott Wave International's brand-new investment report, "U.S. Investors Face a Giant, Historic Bubble." It originally appeared in the March issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist, published March 13, 2015. For a limited-time, EWI has agreed to give our readers exclusive free access to the full report. Please click here to read it now.
On March 2, the day of the all-time closing highs in the major stock indexes to date, a swift-acting subscriber snapped a photo of this headline on financial news television.
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Friday, April 17, 2015
NASDAQ Stock Index Diverging From SP500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The NASDAQ is showing the same type bearish divergence from the S&P 500 last seen from Nov 28 to Dec 5, 2014. The Lindsay top has a variance of 222/225 trading days placing the last possible top for the S&P 500 on Monday, April 20, 2015. From Dec 5 to Dec 16, 2014, the S&P 500 fell about 5.46% top to bottom over 7 trading days. Following the same pattern places the next low on the FOMC meeting date of April 29, 2015, which also happens to be a Wall Cycle low of 11.25/33.75 trading days from the series starting on Mar 11, and following on Mar 26 and April 14.
Friday, April 17, 2015
Footsie UK Stock Market Final High / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Austin_Galt
Today the 16th April 2015 may very well go down as the high of the bull market that began in 2009. Let's take a look at the recent action using the daily chart.
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Thursday, April 16, 2015
Will Ever More Boomers Selling Retirement Assets Change Investment Prices For Decades? / Stock-Markets / Demographics
By: Dan_Amerman
When investors pour cash into a market, all else being equal – prices rise. And when investors pull cash from a market – prices fall.
If we accept that simple relationship, and agree that the basic laws of supply and demand apply to investments just like they do to the rest of economics, this could mean that we are in the early stages of a tidal reversal in the investment markets – which just may change everything when it comes to our future income and standards of living.
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Thursday, April 16, 2015
Won't Be Contagion with 'Grexit' Greece Euro-zone Exit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Bloomberg
Stan Druckenmiller, the Chairman and CEO of Duquesne Family Office, sat down with Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle to discuss China's economy and stock market, Greece possibly exiting the euro and the concern over a contagion in the region.
On an interest rate increase, Druckenmiller said: "My fear is we’re not going to see anything for a year-and-a-half because they set up metrics eight or nine months ago…I have no confidence whatsoever that you’re going to see rate hikes in September or December or whenever because when they lay out metrics and then they change, and then they change again, and then they change again, who knows where -- when they’re going to go."
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Thursday, April 16, 2015
A Secular look at USD and USB / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
A look at the monthly chart of USD reveals the backdrop for my analysis and conclusions.
First, the rally may be seen as a Cycle degree Wave II.
Second, the 50% Fibonacci retracement value of Cycle Wave I happens to be 100.87. Note how close the high came to this.
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Thursday, April 16, 2015
Stock Market Boom and Crash: Cause and Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Wim_Grommen
This article explains, based on transition properties, why a stock market boom occurs during the acceleration phase of a transition, inevitably followed by a stock market crash in the stabilization phase of a transition.
Thursday, April 16, 2015
US Stock Market Will Likely Drop 5% by Next Week! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last weekend, I expected the US stock market to drop suddenly from Monday into Tuesday. While I expected about close to a 2% drop, we got closer to a 1% drop instead (I give myself a C grade there). Out of this cycle low Tuesday (Gann 4/8/12 and Wall Cycle 22.5 TD low), we rallied 1.3%. I also talked about the prevailing 32 TD top due Thursday this week, which I believe came a day early on April 15th. There has been much talk about Lindsay's methods, and his method agrees with me that we made an important top on April 15th.
Thursday, April 16, 2015
Stock Market Getting Overbought Short Term Again Near The Breakout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Overall, the action was solid today. It approached the breakout as the S&P 500 neared 2119, but it wasn't meant to be. The sixty-minute short-term index charts hit 70 RSI, and that was the end of the rally for the day. The market pulled back some over the last twenty minutes. No breakout today, but that doesn't mean it won't happen as the daily-index charts are looking better. Nothing bearish in terms of the oscillators. They are confirming price. This is on the daily charts.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2015
What's going on with the Dow Jones Transportation Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
The best way we can describe the Dow Jones Transportation Index is that it is a little higher than than last week at this time, but it is still at the lower end of its trading range.
The Transportation Index has been in a trading range since the end of last October. The Index is not very strong at this time, so it is in a higher-risk condition.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2015
It Takes a Different Breed to Be Contrarian / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Casey_Research
By Justin Spittler
The most memorable scene in the film adaptation of Glengarry Glen Ross is when Alec Baldwin’s character—a hotshot real estate broker from the prestigious Mitch and Murray agency—tells a group of struggling real estate agents that it takes “brass balls to sell real estate.” There’s probably some truth to that, but it takes bigger cojones to buy what everyone else hates.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2015
Stock Market Poised for a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
My earlier thesis of an unfinished retracement in SPX hit the nail on the head. Note that it didn’t go above the March 23 high, verifying the weakening uptrend. I recalibrated the Megaphone formation and verified it as an Orthodox Broadening top rather than a Broadening wedge. The formation may be triggered at 2103.00, so this is where I expect a Flash Crash to begin.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2015
China Finally Stops Fighting the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Peter_Schiff
Although China's economy has been leading the world in annualized growth since the days that mobile phones had retractable antennas, there have always been some aspects of the country's commercial and financial system that loudly broadcast the underlying illogic of a Communist Party's firm control of burgeoning capitalism. China's stock markets were one such venue where things just didn't add up...literally.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Hybrid Lindsay Stock Market Forecast for a Top Near April 15 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
With Friday’s breakout from the symmetrical triangle (formed during March and early April) equities should be off to the races and on their way to the triangle’s target of 2,175, right? While there is no reason to doubt the breakout or the target, “off to the races” may be too strong of term for now as there is a Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high near April 15. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
All Indicators Are on an Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
As SPX approaches the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2082.30 and the 50-day Moving Average at 2079.52 we are likely to see a bounce. However, all indications are that it will be short-lived. SPX will be on a confirmed sell signal beneath the 50-day Moving Average.
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
The Ball is in the Stock Market Bulls Court / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: WavePatternTraders
SPX
We went into last week with two ideas, with the bearish crowd proclaiming a crash was due once 2040SPX had been broken, it seems the majority of traders were just too bearish, low and behold as if by magic the magic hand comes to the rescue and supports the market in Globex. The move last week supports the idea now that the market is likely going to make a new all time highs for wave 5 of an ending diagonal, that's the preferred idea now, although we could see a small pullback, staying above 2060SPX helps the bullish case and target new highs towards 2125-40SPX.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Do We Now Have a Stocks Bull or Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
If you have gone to StockTiming.net (.net) in the past, you have seen the formula for creating a Monthly, long term Bull/Bear market chart.
This morning, I would like to post the chart and make a few comments.
The chart is below and under a lot of stress. There is a Federal Reserve impact going on because of the Inflowing Liquidity levels.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Tech Stocks Bubble: Different this time? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: EWI
Editor's note: This article is from Elliott Wave International's brand-new investment report, "U.S. Investors Face a Giant, Historic Bubble." It originally appeared in the April issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published March 27, 2015. For a limited-time, EWI has agreed to give our readers exclusive free access to the full report. Please click here to read it now.
In March, we covered the return to a popular fascination with technology.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Stock Market Sixth Sense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Austin_Galt
The argument between fundamental and technical analysis is an old one and is unlikely to be resolved any time soon. I generally find those that bash technical analysis just don't understand the whole concept of it. Many snub their noses at it, perhaps dismissing it because they don't understand it. Perhaps they are too brainwashed or lazy to even bother trying to understand. That's fine.
Some ask sneeringly, how does technical analysis predict a black swan event? It doesn't. Neither does fundamental analysis. However, the advantage of technical analysis over fundamental analysis is that it provides clues that something may be about to happen.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Daggers for this Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Michael_Pento
The recent stock market volatility has caused the major averages to lose nearly all their gains for 2015. However, it is clear stock prices are still extremely overvalued by virtually every metric, especially when viewed in the absence of GDP and earnings growth.
For starters, the Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio on the S&P 500 is currently 27, whereas the normal level for this longer-term valuation metric is just 15. Also, the ratio of Total Market Cap to GDP is currently at 125%. This reading, which measures the value of all stock prices in relation to the economy, is the second highest in history outside of the tech bubble and is far above the 110% level witnessed in 2007. And with a median PE ratio of all NYSE stocks at a record-high 22, there can''t be any doubt that stock prices are at extreme valuations.
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