Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Do We Now Have a Stocks Bull or Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
If you have gone to StockTiming.net (.net) in the past, you have seen the formula for creating a Monthly, long term Bull/Bear market chart.
This morning, I would like to post the chart and make a few comments.
The chart is below and under a lot of stress. There is a Federal Reserve impact going on because of the Inflowing Liquidity levels.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Tech Stocks Bubble: Different this time? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: EWI
Editor's note: This article is from Elliott Wave International's brand-new investment report, "U.S. Investors Face a Giant, Historic Bubble." It originally appeared in the April issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published March 27, 2015. For a limited-time, EWI has agreed to give our readers exclusive free access to the full report. Please click here to read it now.
In March, we covered the return to a popular fascination with technology.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Stock Market Sixth Sense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Austin_Galt
The argument between fundamental and technical analysis is an old one and is unlikely to be resolved any time soon. I generally find those that bash technical analysis just don't understand the whole concept of it. Many snub their noses at it, perhaps dismissing it because they don't understand it. Perhaps they are too brainwashed or lazy to even bother trying to understand. That's fine.
Some ask sneeringly, how does technical analysis predict a black swan event? It doesn't. Neither does fundamental analysis. However, the advantage of technical analysis over fundamental analysis is that it provides clues that something may be about to happen.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Daggers for this Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Michael_Pento
The recent stock market volatility has caused the major averages to lose nearly all their gains for 2015. However, it is clear stock prices are still extremely overvalued by virtually every metric, especially when viewed in the absence of GDP and earnings growth.
For starters, the Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio on the S&P 500 is currently 27, whereas the normal level for this longer-term valuation metric is just 15. Also, the ratio of Total Market Cap to GDP is currently at 125%. This reading, which measures the value of all stock prices in relation to the economy, is the second highest in history outside of the tech bubble and is far above the 110% level witnessed in 2007. And with a median PE ratio of all NYSE stocks at a record-high 22, there can''t be any doubt that stock prices are at extreme valuations.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Why Markets Ignored Weaker Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Sam_Kirtley
For so many years markets have been used to focusing overwhelmingly on US employment, with the Fed emphasizing that return to full employment was key to their monetary policy plans. However, with employment data printing strongly for some time now the focus has shifted away from employment, meaning that the monthly NFP print that traders had been living and dying by is no longer as relevant. The disinflationary impact of lower energy prices and the lack of wage inflation is now the main focus for the Fed, and therefore those factors have replaced NFP as the key metrics that set market tone.
Monday, April 13, 2015
Stock Market Printing False Hope in a False Reality / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Western, especially U.S., equities have become the leading sentiment indicator for the masses. And while the masses are not necessarily participating, a closer look at this false dawn reveals that the rise of equity buying panic may actually be the leading negative sentiment indicator.
Still buying into the market are only those who still have a job with a matching 401K, and a greater proportion of these individuals are just collecting the match and holding it in "safe" mode.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Stocks Extended Short-Term Uptrend - New All-Time Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, April 13, 2015
Stock Markets Breaking Out Worldwide - Buy the Dips Ride the Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report I would like to show you some charts on the US stock markets along with some overseas markets as things are starting to heat up. It’s beginning to look like a world wide event taking place. Some of the European stock markets are breaking out of huge bases along with some Asian countries. Even in the US several of our stock market sectors are just a stones throw away from breaking out to new highs. I think it’s a good thing to see a lot of the worlds stock markets in bullish mode.
First lets take a look at several US stock markets and then we’ll move on and look at some overseas markets to get a feel for this bull move that is getting underway. As you will see some stock markets are stronger than others and that is where we’ll focus some of our attention.
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Monday, April 13, 2015
Stock Market Accumulation or Distribution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an important top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
Reduce Your Next Year's Tax Bill – Starting Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. David Eifrig writes: If you're like me, April 14 can be a painful day.
It's the day before "Tax Day" here in the U.S., when individual income tax returns are due to the IRS.
No matter your politics... or your thoughts on what the tax rate should be... it hurts to see that final number of just how much you've paid in taxes this year. It's difficult not to imagine what you could buy with those thousands of dollars. Or how much you could boost your savings.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
In This Inverted Stock Market, Down is Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Stocks ended last week back near all-time highs after a string of more bad economic news. At this point in an aging bull market,that's like saying stupid is smart, black is white, or Hilary Clinton has not been running for President since stepping down as Secretary of State.
Not only is bad economic news problematic for the market, but it is being rendered even worse by the policy response by central banks who are destroying the value of money and regulators who have drained markets of liquidity.
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Sunday, April 12, 2015
Stock Market About to Hit Sudden Air Pocket! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
I warned back a few days ago that the market looked tired. We got a few more points since then as the FED minutes on Wednesday help fuel the market higher. The set up is there for another "sudden 2% drop" like we had on Mar 31-Apr 1 early next week. The chop continues and the smart money keeps selling to the public while the FED cheers them on! Don't worry its OPEX week, and we have the new moon as well Pluto retrograde and Mars sq. Jupiter to help us recover later in the week!
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Saturday, April 11, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week gapping down from SPX 2067, Friday’s close, to 2057. That opening gap down was the low for the week. The market then rallied to SPX 2090 on Tuesday, pulled back to 2073 on Wednesday, then hit 2103 on Friday. Despite all the choppiness the market had a good week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.70%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.35%, and the DJ World gained 1.90%. Economic reports for the week were sparse but again tilted to the upside. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, export prices, the WLEI, and the MMIS. On the downtick: ISM services, import prices, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports are highlighted by Industrial production, Retail sales, the CPI/PPI and the FED’s Beige book.
Saturday, April 11, 2015
The Most Dangerous Financial Headline I’ve Seen Since 2008 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: In my capacity as Chief Investment Strategist, I read newsfeeds from more than 100 sources every day. That helps me keep tabs on the Unstoppable Trends we follow here, what’s going on around the world, and, more importantly, discover opportunities for you that others don’t yet understand or even recognize.
Given everything going on – ISIS, Russia, Washington, fabricated economic numbers, earnings… you name it – it takes a lot to surprise me. I’m pretty jaded.
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Saturday, April 11, 2015
Stock Market Bulls Keep It Moving Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Nothing seems to derail this market. This is why you always stick with the trend in place until you get the type of reversal stick, or sticks, over the course of many days that says the trend in place has ended. We have come very close quite a few times to seeing that take place, but we have yet to see it actually occur. The game will test you mentally day after day. That's the real problem with trading instead of longer term investing. Long-term players don't get, or have to get, emotional since they aren't really following things daily. Traders not only follow daily, but many follow minute by minute. The market hasn't made the big move up and out over 2119 yet, but it's working its way up there.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
Stock Market Pivotal Events - History is Fact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
In writing this post I came to realize that its subject matter is too expansive for any single post. So consider this an introduction to a series of posts that I'll probably do in the coming months, as facts come to the fore and lend themselves to historical analysis. Two examples are presented below.
You might not be the type who needs or cares to subscribe to commercial market commentary/advice/trading/management services, but one thing we all can do is work through the freely available stuff calling itself 'analysis' flying around out there at warp speed and cull what is based on facts or honestly produced analytical work from the other garbage that is all too often based on ego, bias or agenda.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
Stock Market Showing Signs of Fatigue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I was dealing with the futures sell-off when the market was closed on Good Friday. I had been expecting strength into Monday, but the futures down move of almost 20 points made me rethink an alternative scenario. As it was, we didn't have to sell the longs and held them into Tuesday where we sold at 2087 SPX and went short. The rest of the week was spent in a grinding, sideways, up and down market where it finally resolved itself to near 2093 today (closing at 2091). We remain short.
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Friday, April 10, 2015
U.S. Investors Face a Giant, Historic Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Dear investor,
I sat down in the wee hours late last night to write you today's letter because I just read this brand-new, time-sensitive report that I feel compelled to share with you immediately.
What you are about to read is highly contrary to the majority opinion on Wall Street ...
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
How Easy Money Drives the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
By: Frank_Shostak
In a market economy a major service that money provides is that of the medium of exchange. Producers exchange their goods for money and then exchange money for other goods.
As production of goods and services increase this results in a greater demand for the services of the medium of exchange (the service that money provides).
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Thursday, April 09, 2015
Austrian Government to No Longer Guarantees Bank Deposits / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: GoldCore
- Austria will remove state guarantee of bank deposits
- Austrian deposit plan given go ahead by the EU
- Banks to pay into a deposit insurance fund over 10 years
- Fund will then be valued at a grossly inadequate €1.5 billion
- New bail-in legislation agreed by EU two years ago
- Depositors need to realise increasing risks and act accordingly
- “Bail-ins are now the rule” and ‘Bail-in regime’ coming