Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Are Institutional Stock Market Investors Starting to Worry? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
There is an old adage about when the VIX is too low. During the past 5 days, it dropped almost 40% and it is now at a historically low level.
Since the VIX (Volatility Index) moves opposite to the stock market, it is saying: don't worry, everything is wonderful.
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Friday, July 17, 2015
Compelling Reasons Why the Next Move Down in Global Markets is Just Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Rajveer_Rawlin
There are some compelling reasons to believe that the next move down in risk assets across the globe is about to begin:
First and foremost the Euro a good proxy for global risk appetite has completely broken down despite the perceived resolution to the crisis in Greece. The strong dollar could eventually cause the liquidation of carry trades (Source marketwatch.com):
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Friday, July 17, 2015
Stock Market Investors Take the Low Risk Road / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
The S&P 500 Index has hit numerous new highs in the past three years. Note the log-scale graph below and the broken support lines from 2000 and 2007. The current support line, depending on where it is drawn, is on the verge of breaking.
Friday, July 17, 2015
Beware of Stocks vs Crude Oil Price / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
How high can stocks go following the dissipation of Grexit, reiterated ECB calls to stick with its asset purchases and the stabilisation in Chinese stocks? Can equity bulls ignore the relationship between oil and stocks?
The 22% decline in oil from the May high raises the old question from early Q1: Will cutbacks from oil companies weigh on overall spending? Remember how in January, economists raised the red flag over oil prices' tumble below $50s, owing to the implications of severe cuts in capital expenditure by big oil/gas companies could, falling by as 20%, as low revenues no longer justify project finance.
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Friday, July 17, 2015
GOLD and SP500 Intraday - Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Gregor_Horvat
S&P futures did not go far in the last 24 hours, so our view did not change; looking for a reversal down into a three wave retracement for wave B) soon. Notice that we can count five waves up from 2037 while current price is already outside of upward channel so momentum is decreasing, signaling for a turn.
Friday, July 17, 2015
8 Unprecedented Extremes Indicate a Stock Market Bubble in Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
This article was adapted from Robert Prechter's June 2015 Elliott Wave Theorist. For more charts and detailed commentary, analysis and forecasts from Prechter's latest issues, click here for the extended subscriber version of this report -- it's free.
It is amazing to read assertions from the Fed and others that the stock market is nowhere near being in a bubble. Several aspects of the financial environment are actually so extreme as to be unprecedented. Some indicate a bubble, and others a bubble in trouble.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Fed Follies and Assorted Shenanigans / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
Stocks managed to hold their own today in honor of Janet Yellen's testimony before the House. And it was painful to watch.
The Greek situation continues to remain highly unstable, but the rinse cycle is not quite due yet. but the markets are ignoring these things because of 'technical conditions.'
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
The Biggest Trade Ever! (No Exaggeration) / Stock-Markets / Demographics
By: Casey_Research
I won’t keep you in suspense. The biggest trade ever is in demographics. In particular, our rapidly increasing life expectancy.
Quick story. My Coast Guard friends are retiring now. You get to retire after 20 years of service, but some of them have been taking advantage of early retirement and are leaving the service as young as age 40.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Volatility Likely to Slow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Richard_Cox
When we look at the historical trends of the market, some interesting trends start to emerge. It can be said that historical averages are not always applicable to what is likely to happen in any given market situation but the fundamentals and technicals are currently aligning in ways that suggests the historical trends in stocks are likely to continue for the next few months. For stocks, this ultimately means a period of prolonged sideways trading that is likely to persist either until the summer months have finished or until the Federal Reserve actually makes it clear that interest rates will be rising according to a specific timetable.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Greece Debt Deal - New All-time Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, July 16, 2015
US Dollar, Commodities and the Great Deflation Round 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report I would like to show you some charts that could be telling us that the second shoe maybe getting close to dropping in the on going deflation scenario that really started to take hold last year at this time. If you recall the US dollar broke out of a massive base and with most commodities following lower. Commodities have been consolidating for most of 2015 chopping out some decent sideways trading ranges. In order to really get this second leg going to the downside, for commodities, the US dollar is the key component that needs to breakout topside.
The first chart tonight will be of the US dollar which topped out in March of this year creating a double top reversal pattern. After nearly reaching the price objective in May the dollar had a good bounce only to come back down to the previous low around the 93 area in the middle of June which I could make a case for a double bottom. The low on the right side of the potential double botttom has been carving out an inverse H&S bottom with today’s price action touching the possible neckline. Needless to say this is a critically important point right here and now for the US dollar.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Holding Ahead Of Parliament Vote In Greece... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market started the day overbought on the short-term sixty-minute charts. It seemed likely we would sell early in order to unwind those overbought conditions, but that wasn't the case at all. The market didn't blast up as 70 RSI stopped things a bit, but it did move up some. As the day wore on we finally started to see the oscillators unwind some as the market fell a bit. Nothing dramatic, but it fell a little bit off the highs. The reason for the fall was really more than just being overbought. There was some anxiety ahead of the Parliament vote tonight out of Greece. The wrong vote would send Greece out of the Euro zone, out of the Euro, and send the global market reeling lower.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Bubble in Trouble: Record Debt. Unprecedented Optimism. You can be ready Before it bursts... / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: EWI
Exclusive invitation: Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released a new subscriber report, A Bubble in Trouble. On an exclusive, limited-time basis, they've allowed us to share it with you, for FREE. Learn more and read their research-packed report now >>
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Not Over Till the Fat Lady Goes on a P/E Diet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
For the vast majority of investors, portfolio returns are generated by the equity markets or at a minimum heavily influenced by the equity markets. We have enjoyed an almost six-year bull market run in the stock market, which has helped heal portfolios after the devastating market crash of the Great Recession. So much so that many prominent market analysts have proclaimed the beginning of a new secular bull market. If we have indeed entered such a new phase, we need to recognize it for what it is, because – as I’ve written for 17 years – the style of investing that is appropriate for a secular bull market is almost the exact opposite of what is appropriate for a secular bear market. I think that most analysts would agree with that last statement. The disagreements would revolve around whether we are in a secular bull or a secular bear market.
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
China Stock Market Shanghai Composite Decline Kickoff to a Larger Move? Video / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: EWI
What if the 34% sell-off was just the beginning?
In this new interview, Elliott Wave International's Mark Galasiewski discusses the panic in China over the Shanghai Composite's recent decline.
Learn why, from the Elliott wave perspective, the Shanghai Composite's recent decline is a relatively normal occurrence -- and what it implies for the future of Chinese stocks. Watch.
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Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Stock Market Cycles - A Long Hot July / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
With the intra-day low on Tuesday and the closing low on Wednesday, the forecast for a low in the Dow early last week worked out well. Last week's commentary also laid out the case for that low to be followed by a very short rally into a high (approximately) this Wednesday.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Bulletin: It’s a Credit Bubble! / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Gary_Tanashian
You may have caught the title’s little inside joke.
Sometimes you (well, I anyway) can look at a graph representing data that is a culmination of history (i.e. reality) and just let it settle in for some perspective and even some conclusions.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
China Crash, Greece Crisis Harbingers of Stocks Bear Market? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst all eyes in the West were on Greece as its marxist Syriza government played game of thrones with the Greek peoples lives as they black mailed the Eurozone, the chinese stock market crashed, collapsing by over $2 trillion into a BEAR MARKET sending over 200 million chinese retail investors into a panic as they got a bitter taste of the dark side of capitalism, of what happens when investors believe the hype that stocks can only go up. We have all seen this play out many times before!
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Greek Stocks - Why You Shouldn't Consider Buying This Crisis / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: DailyWealth
Brett Eversole writes: Greece's crisis has been underway for months. But the most extreme event happened two weeks ago... Greek stocks fell 19% on June 29.
That's the largest one-day fall we've ever seen in Greek stocks.
Buying after this crash might seem like a good idea. Most investors know it's usually good to "buy when there's blood in the streets."
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Greece Settled....Mostly Anyway.... Stock Market Off The Bottom Of Its Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The weekend was full of fast-moving news regarding Greece. Some of the news was good and some was not so hopeful. As the weekend went on and the euro zone continued to play hard ball, it was clear Greece recognized they had to blink first or completely go belly up. The Euro-zone leaders knew they had somewhat of the upper hand and refused to blink. Good for them. Bad behavior should never be rewarded. The people of Greece were held hostage to that bad behavior. It's not hard to feel bad for them, but in the end, they were also without much of a good choice. It's not etched in stone yet, but it appears Greece sees no alternative but to accept what the Euro zone is offering. If that is the case, then we can close the books on a wild few weeks of volatility based on every piece of news that comes our way.
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