Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Greece Debt Deal - New All-time Highs Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, July 16, 2015
US Dollar, Commodities and the Great Deflation Round 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report I would like to show you some charts that could be telling us that the second shoe maybe getting close to dropping in the on going deflation scenario that really started to take hold last year at this time. If you recall the US dollar broke out of a massive base and with most commodities following lower. Commodities have been consolidating for most of 2015 chopping out some decent sideways trading ranges. In order to really get this second leg going to the downside, for commodities, the US dollar is the key component that needs to breakout topside.
The first chart tonight will be of the US dollar which topped out in March of this year creating a double top reversal pattern. After nearly reaching the price objective in May the dollar had a good bounce only to come back down to the previous low around the 93 area in the middle of June which I could make a case for a double bottom. The low on the right side of the potential double botttom has been carving out an inverse H&S bottom with today’s price action touching the possible neckline. Needless to say this is a critically important point right here and now for the US dollar.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Stock Market Holding Ahead Of Parliament Vote In Greece... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market started the day overbought on the short-term sixty-minute charts. It seemed likely we would sell early in order to unwind those overbought conditions, but that wasn't the case at all. The market didn't blast up as 70 RSI stopped things a bit, but it did move up some. As the day wore on we finally started to see the oscillators unwind some as the market fell a bit. Nothing dramatic, but it fell a little bit off the highs. The reason for the fall was really more than just being overbought. There was some anxiety ahead of the Parliament vote tonight out of Greece. The wrong vote would send Greece out of the Euro zone, out of the Euro, and send the global market reeling lower.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Bubble in Trouble: Record Debt. Unprecedented Optimism. You can be ready Before it bursts... / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: EWI
Exclusive invitation: Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released a new subscriber report, A Bubble in Trouble. On an exclusive, limited-time basis, they've allowed us to share it with you, for FREE. Learn more and read their research-packed report now >>
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Not Over Till the Fat Lady Goes on a P/E Diet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
For the vast majority of investors, portfolio returns are generated by the equity markets or at a minimum heavily influenced by the equity markets. We have enjoyed an almost six-year bull market run in the stock market, which has helped heal portfolios after the devastating market crash of the Great Recession. So much so that many prominent market analysts have proclaimed the beginning of a new secular bull market. If we have indeed entered such a new phase, we need to recognize it for what it is, because – as I’ve written for 17 years – the style of investing that is appropriate for a secular bull market is almost the exact opposite of what is appropriate for a secular bear market. I think that most analysts would agree with that last statement. The disagreements would revolve around whether we are in a secular bull or a secular bear market.
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
China Stock Market Shanghai Composite Decline Kickoff to a Larger Move? Video / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: EWI
What if the 34% sell-off was just the beginning?
In this new interview, Elliott Wave International's Mark Galasiewski discusses the panic in China over the Shanghai Composite's recent decline.
Learn why, from the Elliott wave perspective, the Shanghai Composite's recent decline is a relatively normal occurrence -- and what it implies for the future of Chinese stocks. Watch.
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Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Stock Market Cycles - A Long Hot July / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
With the intra-day low on Tuesday and the closing low on Wednesday, the forecast for a low in the Dow early last week worked out well. Last week's commentary also laid out the case for that low to be followed by a very short rally into a high (approximately) this Wednesday.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Bulletin: It’s a Credit Bubble! / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Gary_Tanashian
You may have caught the title’s little inside joke.
Sometimes you (well, I anyway) can look at a graph representing data that is a culmination of history (i.e. reality) and just let it settle in for some perspective and even some conclusions.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
China Crash, Greece Crisis Harbingers of Stocks Bear Market? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst all eyes in the West were on Greece as its marxist Syriza government played game of thrones with the Greek peoples lives as they black mailed the Eurozone, the chinese stock market crashed, collapsing by over $2 trillion into a BEAR MARKET sending over 200 million chinese retail investors into a panic as they got a bitter taste of the dark side of capitalism, of what happens when investors believe the hype that stocks can only go up. We have all seen this play out many times before!
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Greek Stocks - Why You Shouldn't Consider Buying This Crisis / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: DailyWealth
Brett Eversole writes: Greece's crisis has been underway for months. But the most extreme event happened two weeks ago... Greek stocks fell 19% on June 29.
That's the largest one-day fall we've ever seen in Greek stocks.
Buying after this crash might seem like a good idea. Most investors know it's usually good to "buy when there's blood in the streets."
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Greece Settled....Mostly Anyway.... Stock Market Off The Bottom Of Its Range / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The weekend was full of fast-moving news regarding Greece. Some of the news was good and some was not so hopeful. As the weekend went on and the euro zone continued to play hard ball, it was clear Greece recognized they had to blink first or completely go belly up. The Euro-zone leaders knew they had somewhat of the upper hand and refused to blink. Good for them. Bad behavior should never be rewarded. The people of Greece were held hostage to that bad behavior. It's not hard to feel bad for them, but in the end, they were also without much of a good choice. It's not etched in stone yet, but it appears Greece sees no alternative but to accept what the Euro zone is offering. If that is the case, then we can close the books on a wild few weeks of volatility based on every piece of news that comes our way.
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Monday, July 13, 2015
Could Markets React Positively to Grexit? 7 Reasons Why They Could / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Atlantic_Perspective
Politicians, investors and the general public are absolutely fed up with news about Greece. Over the last 2 weeks, the unthinkable possibility of Greece leaving the Euro started to materialize. And the stock market reacted quite well.
A Eurozone made up of 18 countries is quickly being seen as the new normal. And more than that, a desirable new normal.
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Monday, July 13, 2015
Stock Market Critical Support Holding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 13, 2015
China Crash, Greece Collapse, Harbingers of Stock Market Apocalypse Forecast 2015? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst all eyes in the West were on Greece as its marxist Syriza government played game of thrones with the Greek peoples lives as they black mailed the Eurozone, the chinese stock market crashed, collapsing by over $2 trillion into a BEAR MARKET sending over 200 million chinese retail investors into a panic as they got a bitter taste of the dark side of capitalism, of what happens when investors believe the hype that stocks can only go up. We have all seen this play out many times before!
Sunday, July 12, 2015
Greece and China: Heralding a New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
What started out as typically sluggish summer week quickly morphed into an extremely eventful one. In just the last five days we witnessed the intensification of the Greek debt roller coaster, the bursting of a mini-bubble in Chinese equities, a temporary shutdown of trading on the NYSE, and a brief but meaningful pullback in U.S. equities. And to think the summer is still young!
Investors are clearly disquieted over the impact the overseas crises might have on the U.S. stock market. But are they right to be concerned?
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Sunday, July 12, 2015
Stock Market Roller Coaster to Continue This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I warned of the wild swings coming in the financial markets based on astrology. This indeed is what occurred! Our C 2 auto-trading account is now +52.3% from April 15, 2015 to July 10, 2015! We had a great week trading because we were forewarned due to astrology!
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Saturday, July 11, 2015
Stock Market New Uptrend Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Volatile week. The market started the week at SPX 2077. On Monday it traded down to SPX 2057 before rallying to 2079, only to drop to 2044 on Tuesday before rallying to 2084. On Wednesday the market headed down to SPX 2045, before rallying to 2074 and then dropping to 2051 on Thursday. Friday the market rallied to SPX 2081, then closed the week unchanged at 2077. One to two percent swings nearly every day, after weeks and weeks of less than one half percent daily swings. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ were -0.25%, and the DJ World was -0.8%. On the economic front negative reports outnumbered positive ones for the first time many weeks. On the uptick: ISM services and wholesale inventories. On the downtick: consumer credit, the WLEI, the MMIS, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims both increased. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Industrial production, the CPI/PPI, Retail sales and the Beige book.
Saturday, July 11, 2015
Greece Saves The Stock Market Day....Weekly Bullish Candlestick Review.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
It was a tough week for the bulls Monday through Thursday There were some really bearish candles printed, especially yesterday with a big reversal lower after a huge gap up. Today looked as if it would be the day the market finally gave up S&P 500 2040 with some force. Yesterday gave every indication the end of the bull-run was at hand. Not to be. Greece, last night, agreed to some key concessions on austerity that the Euro zone demanded on having if they were to give them any help. The markets abroad loved this news. The futures blasted up, and, of course, we followed along right behind. We gapped up but instead of collapsing like previous days, we held the move and worked our way mostly higher throughout the rest of the day. A close well above the open. Bullish action, and, thus, this never ending base between 2040 and 2134 continues.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
China’s Stock Market Crash as Bubble Bursts / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Zeal_LLC
China’s stock bubble has burst, with its stock markets utterly collapsing after rocketing parabolic. The failure of this popular speculative mania has grave implications for the global stock markets. It shatters the universally-believed myth that central banks can nullify normal market cycles. No government has more power over its stock markets than China’s, yet not even it could magically eradicate greed and fear.
Even before their recent calamity, the Chinese stock markets had been the most-interesting financial story of 2015. Having the world’s second-largest economy, China is immensely important in global markets. And its stock markets were soaring, as evidenced by China’s flagship benchmark stock index. It is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC), the local equivalent of the US S&P 500.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signal Still Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Let’s do a review of the market signals. There seems to be the question that, if we had a market bottom on Tuesday, won’t we see a larger rally? The answer is, not necessarily.
The current market conditions seem to have the SPX trapped beneath the Ending Diagonal trendline at 2085.00. That may imply we saw both a low (2044.02) and a high (2083.72), a double Pivot, on the same day, July 7. A higher high at or near 2085.00 could still develop, but a failure to rally above 2085.00 would be profound.
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