Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, August 02, 2015

Stock Market Reluctant Primary Wave IV? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2080. After a gap down opening on Monday the market hit SPX 2064. It then doubled bottomed and hit SPX 2111 by Wednesday. After a gap down opening Thursday to SPX 2095, the market then rallied to close out the week at 2104. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.75%, and the DJ World index was +0.70%. Economic reports for the week were generally negative. On the uptick: durable goods orders, Q2 GDP and the Chicago PMI. On the downtick: consumer confidence/sentiment, pending homes sales, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls, ISM and the PCE.

Sunday, August 02, 2015

Preparing for The Stock Market Crash - Inverse ETFs and Puts Timing... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

In this update on the broad market S&P500 index we are going to look at no less than 5 charts for it, covering different time frames, the reason for this is that there are different points to make on each of these charts.

Before looking at the charts for the S&P500 index we are going to review first a range of charts, including the latest charts for Margin Debt and NYSE available cash. These charts provide the direst warning imaginable of impending trouble.

Sunday, August 02, 2015

BSE Sensex Stocks Bear Market Underway / Stock-Markets / India

By: Austin_Galt

The Indian stock exchange, the BSE Sensex, looks to be tracing out its first steps in a new bear market so let's review the action using the monthly and weekly charts.

Sunday, August 02, 2015

Stock Market Some Day..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

We are all trying to wrap our heads around this base. Arguments can be made on both sides. The bulls will tell us that sentiment is unwinding nicely as we hold the range, while the bears will say the longer this goes on without breaking out tells us the bulls have run out of steam. Actually, both are right to some degree but the truth is that we really don't understand fully why the market won't make a definitive move one way or the other. S&P 500 2134 and 2040 are rock solid in terms of resistance and support. There are other factors. Ms. Yellen is clearly dovish and wants this market higher. She's playing up how rates won't be aggressively raised, if at all this year. When she spoke Wednesday at their last meeting she said they are still data dependent, and they made no firm statement about raising rates in September, which is when everyone believes she will do the dirty deed. She seemed to almost go out of her way to let us all know that she may not raise it at that time.

Saturday, August 01, 2015

Markets Floor Monkeys and Decentralization of Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

As most of you know, I used to be a clerk on the floor of the old P. Coast options exchange in San Francisco. What a place. I could tell stories about that floor for weeks. The craziest things you ever heard.

But let’s keep it professional. The funny thing about a trading floor like the PCX (or the NYMEX, or the CME) is that you have winners and losers. You have big winners and big losers. You have people who blow themselves up. You have people who blow themselves up so spectacularly, they take a chunk out of their clearing firm.

Friday, July 31, 2015

Stock Market Triumph of the Swill / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jesse

"Pride goes before a destruction, and arrogance before a fall." Prov 16:18

This was a fairly lackluster day in US equities.

Sentiment is now back to somewhat complacent as the VIX has fallen back to a 12 handle.

Thursday, July 30, 2015

Reasons Why the Greek Crisis Will Only Get Worse / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: So Europe brought Greece to heel like an unruly dog, eh? And the government of that sad-sack nation got stuck with the same onerous debt terms it was trying to avoid when it held a referendum?

German bankers win, life goes on... right?

Nope.

Thursday, July 30, 2015

Stock More Optimism Following Fed's Rate Decision Release - But Will It Last? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Stock Market VIX Not Show Great Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

I'm not happy with yesterday's VIX action.

The VIX closed at 13.44 which was Neutral+.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Stock Market Long Hot July Continued / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

The Hybrid Lindsay forecast calling for a high in the Dow near Wednesday (July 15) of that week (A Long Hot July) was successful even if a day early. Although both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ continued their advance until the following Monday, the Dow Industrials index printed its high on July 16. That week’s Commentary also mentioned the forecast for a low during the period July 24-31. Let’s see how that is developing.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Everything's Starting to Crash! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Harry_Dent

In a recent update I gave six signs of an impending crash. Just today we have a number of those signs starting to hit.

Despite a $486 billion fund to prop up its market, China’s stocks sunk another 8.5% today – the biggest one-day drop since 2007.

This is following a 35% crash into early July. Now, after bouncing back up to 4,200, the Shanghai Composite is down to 3,750. If it falls another 10% to below its recent low of 3,374, that will be the decisive blow – for us and them.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

How to Protect Yourself from China's Crashing Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Chinese stocks plummeted again yesterday.

The Shanghai Composite tanked 8.48% to 3,725.56, while the Shenzhen Composite fell 7% to 2,160.09. And the ChiNext, China's smaller equivalent of the Nasdaq, fell 7.4% to 2,683.45.

Based on everything the Chinese government and regulators have done to stem the sharp sell-off in Chinese shares and pump them back up, the unexpectedly big drop yesterday, on virtually no discernible bad news, could signal a serious crash ahead.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

How to Identify a Classic Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Michael_Pento

One of the most ironic and fascinating characteristics about an asset bubble is that central banks claim they can't recognize one until after it bursts. And Wall Street apologists tend to ignore the manifestation of bubbles because the profit stream is just too difficult to surrender.

The excuses for piling money into a particular asset class and sending prices several standard deviations above normal are made to seem rational at the time: Housing prices have never gone down on a national basis and people have to live somewhere, the internet will replace all brick and mortar stores, and perhaps the classic example is that variegated tulips are so rare they should be treated like gold.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Markets Macrocosm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Below is the opening segment of this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 353. After this theoretical exercise we got down to nuts and bolts analysis, which provided logical 'bounce' targets (provided a bounce is indeed what is in play) for Gold, Silver and HUI, a compelling trend in the Commitments of Traders data and more talk about the trends that will need to be in place before a favorable macrocosmic environment is in place for the gold sector.

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Stock Market Bulls Beware! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Monday, July 27, 2015

Will Chinese Stock Market Crash Affect the US? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

US Equities are sliding following the overnight

Crash of the Chinese stock market. This is the second largest single day crash in Chinese stock market history as over 1500 companies are halted at limit down for the day. European stocks were bid lower, although of their lows for the day.

Monday, July 27, 2015

Is the Stock Market Tide Turning? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Puru_Saxena

According to our methodology, the primary uptrend on Wall Street is still intact; however, we are starting to observe some troubling signs which suggest that we may be in the final innings of this bull market. 

You will recall that for several months now, we have been stating that this remains a very split market with only half of the sectors participating in the ongoing advance.  Accordingly, we have been suggesting that our readers only stay aligned with the leading stocks in the strongest areas and sectors. Given the price action of the past few trading sessions, we feel it is now absolutely essential to stay extremely disciplined and promptly eliminate any laggards from one’s investment portfolio.

Monday, July 27, 2015

Weary Investors Signal an Exhausted Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: It was probably not a coincidence that stocks ended their worst week of the year on the same day that Hillary Clinton gave a speech outlining her capital gains tax proposals. Stocks didn't crater just because of the speech, but it sure didn't help.

As I noted in a Money Morning Special Broadcast sent out just after the speech on Friday, the Democratic presidential candidate proposed to double capital gains taxes on most investors.  There was no mention in her speech of any desire to extinguish the egregious "carried interest" tax that allows her richest private equity donors to pay lower taxes than their secretaries. But her proposal was neither about showing political courage nor intelligent tax and economic policy.

Sunday, July 26, 2015

Stock Market Slippery Slope / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jesse

US equities continued to slide today as the recent makeover rally designed to put some lipstick on some new tech pigs has continued to retreat.

Stock had their worst week of the year. I hope you were able to take something off the table.

New housing sales slumped badly according to this morning's economic data.

Sunday, July 26, 2015

Stock Market Primary III Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 2127. After a rally to SPX 2133 on Monday, completing eight straight days of higher highs/lows, the market headed lower for the rest of the week, with four straight days of lower highs/lows. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.25%, and the DJ World index was down 2.0%. On the economic front positive reports edged out negative reports in a quiet week. On the uptick: existing home sales, the FHFA, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: new home sales and the WLEI. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, the first look at Q2 GDP, and the Chicago PMI.