Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, July 26, 2015
Stock Market Slippery Slope / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
US equities continued to slide today as the recent makeover rally designed to put some lipstick on some new tech pigs has continued to retreat.
Stock had their worst week of the year. I hope you were able to take something off the table.
New housing sales slumped badly according to this morning's economic data.
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Sunday, July 26, 2015
Stock Market Primary III Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started off at SPX 2127. After a rally to SPX 2133 on Monday, completing eight straight days of higher highs/lows, the market headed lower for the rest of the week, with four straight days of lower highs/lows. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.25%, and the DJ World index was down 2.0%. On the economic front positive reports edged out negative reports in a quiet week. On the uptick: existing home sales, the FHFA, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: new home sales and the WLEI. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, the first look at Q2 GDP, and the Chicago PMI.
Saturday, July 25, 2015
$1.5 Quadrillion Derivatives Time Bomb / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: STRATFOR
When investing becomes gambling, bad endings follow. The next credit crunch could make 2008-09 look mild by comparison. Bank of International Settlements(BIS) data show around $700 trillion in global derivatives.
Along with credit default swaps and other exotic instruments, the total notional derivatives value is about $1.5 quadrillion - about 20% more than in 2008, beyond what anyone can conceive, let alone control if unexpected turmoil strikes.
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Saturday, July 25, 2015
Corporate Earnings No Help.... Stock Market Breadth On The Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Last night we saw a strong move higher out of Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), everyone's favorite, all-time froth stock. They reported earnings. Yes, it can happen. The stock blasted higher, and so did the futures, but that wasn't the only reason the stock futures shot up. There were other solid reports wrapped around one bad report from TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP). Visa Inc. (V), Starbucks Corporation (SBUX), and others were great, so the combination of good reports had the Nasdaq futures exploding higher by nearly fifty points. Everything was set up to reverse the recent move lower on the indexes off the top. The futures held somewhat overnight, but started to give it up some when biotechnology leader, Biogen Inc. (BIIB), came in with a dud for their report on earnings.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
The Epicenter of the Next Global Financial Crisis - Financial Dreadnoughts / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Jesse
The 'trigger event' for the next crisis could be elsewhere, someplace distant, and out of the way. The first World War was ignited by a political assassination over a fractious disagreement in Sarajevo that engaged an international web of interconnections.
Granted that hubris was on a high note, particularly in Germany, and the system itself was fragile and deeply interwoven.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
The War on Cash is Now a Global Phenomenon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: Graham_Summers
More and more institutions are trying to make it harder for you to move your money into cash.
Globally, over $5 trillion in debt currently have negative yields in nominal terms, meaning the bond literally has a negative yield when it trades. In the simplest of terms this means that investors are PAYING to own these bonds.
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Thursday, July 23, 2015
Stock Market Fluctuations Following Recent Rally - Flat Correction Or Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, July 23, 2015
AAPL Disappoints.... Stock Market Holds Well.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was looking forward to the earnings report from Apple Inc. (AAPL), the leader of all leaders. The anticipation was very high due to the news recently released from Google Inc. (GOOG), which was magnificent. Most thought AAPL would follow in their footsteps. The market was close to breaking out ahead of the report, but the big leader gave a small report for investors. A little shy this and not so great that, had the stock down at massive support at 119 last night after hours. It did hold there and start to push up a bit, which allowed for a big sigh of relief from the frothing bulls. A move below 119 on AAPL would open up a vein of selling to 114, and possibly further below. AAPL gapped down hard, roughly eight points, which gave the Nasdaq a major headache.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Stock Market Early Shorting Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This may be an early entry opportunity for shorts, since we may see SPX retrace all the way to yesterday’s close. This would be considered to be super aggressive, since the battered VIX isn’t registering any signals, yet.
I believe the VIX is being suppressed, in order to prevent investors to properly hedge for the decline. This would also discourage short-sellers, who rely on the VIX for their signal. This portends a very deep decline, since there is virtually no hedging and very little short-selling, which would provide a bottom for this decline as short-sellers take profits.
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Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Are Free Markets The Solution? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Harry_Dent
You’ve probably seen the Jack Link’s Beef Jerky commercials where unsuspecting campers think it would be fun to mess with Sasquatch – an eight-foot tall, 400-lb. freak of nature.I like these commercials. What kind of idiot thinks they can get away with that?
When you mess with Mother Nature, she knocks you out with a fist to the face or a kick in the ribs.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2015
Stock Market No Fireworks Yet, But We May Have Seen the Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I was amazed this afternoon to see the top come in 61 days from the high on May 21, very close to 3:30 pm on both days. Due to the July 4 holiday, this turned out to be precisely 43 market days, to the hour, from top to top.
This is no guarantee of a top, but as I mentioned earlier, today was indicated by the Cycles Model as an important Cycle high. In fact, my earlier prognostications suggested that today might be a lower high in SPX, which it was. But I am marking it as a slightly truncated Wave 5 of (5) high, since it is only 190 ticks lower than the previous high.
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Monday, July 20, 2015
China Crash and the Extinction of Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Michael_Pento
China's four-week-long stock market rout wiped out nearly 30% off the Shanghai Composite Index since its highs of June. To stem those losses the Chinese government has formulated an interesting hypothesis: stocks won't go down if you ban sell orders.
Working off this proposition Beijing has ordered shareholders with more than a 5% interest to stop selling shares; directors, supervisors, and senior management personnel are also barred from reducing their holdings.
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Monday, July 20, 2015
Markets Big Deflationary Downwave Quick Reference Guide... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Clive_Maund
We are believed to be on the verge of another deflationary downwave, similar to or more severe than the one which drove the dollar spike - and commodity slump - between July of last year and March, and caused by an intensification of the debt crisis, with increasing capital flight out of Europe and into dollar assets as the EU crumbles. More QE will not save the situation, as it is already discredited and will have no more effect than trying to inflate a tire or rubber boat that has a big hole in it.
It is understood that in this modern age many readers have a very limited attention span, due to time constraints and the tendency to multi-task. For this reason this update is being kept short and to the point. It is intended to make plain in the clearest possible manner the scenario that is expected to unfold in the coming months. So let's get to it.
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Monday, July 20, 2015
Stock Market in Danger of Bear Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week I was looking for a short term low Monday and a rally into Wednesday, then down into week's end. The short term low occurred on Sunday in the futures market then sky rocketed all the way into Friday, July 17. In the past, whenever I've seen the 8 TD top go 10 TD's on a 16 TD top area, the market got over extended and lead to hard selling the following week.
Clearly, my forecast was a miss, but I don't think the next one will be too far off. We have the 16 TD low due July 22-24 (July 24 if we go 18 TD's like the last top). The next top is the 8 TD top due right on the FED meeting date July 29. The following week sees the 5/40 wk low due around the 5th of August.
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Monday, July 20, 2015
Stock Market Relief Rally and More / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, July 19, 2015
The Historical DOW Stock Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
Some are concerned that the stock market is overvalued, and the bull market may end soon with a resounding crash. They have some valid points. US GDP, to date, has underperformed most modern recoveries. Corporate revenues have been soft lately due to the USD’s bull market. Interest rates are at historical lows and can only go higher, eventually. Record corporate stock buy backs have been helping to drive the stock market higher. Nearly everywhere you look Central Bankers are increasing their balance sheets by buying debt, and stocks in some cases. And, there are bubbles forming in the Bond market, Biotech, and Social media sectors.
Sunday, July 19, 2015
Five Ways for Stock Investors to Profit from the Greek Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com
Michael A. Robinson writes: Today I'm setting you up with five ways to profit from the Greek Debt Crisis and any other sell-offs that come along.
The market swoons and soars we've seen over the past couple of weeks are part of a long-term trend.
Just in the last week, we saw enormous battles between the bulls and the bears as a bevy of market "pundits" tried to factor in what the dramas in Greece and China will mean for the markets.
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Saturday, July 18, 2015
Stock Market Technical Weakness Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Christopher_Quigley
The expected “oversold technical bounce” due to recent market weakness materialized this week. With the good news from Greece spurring sentiment on, the NASDAQ has just jumped to new highs with the Dow 30 and S & P 500 not too far behind. Nothing unusual here. However, just like a clay mound in the Australian desert that is being burrowed out by termites the American stock market’s apparent strength is actually being hollowed out by technical failure.
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Stock Market Room For Further Upside....Transports Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The short-term charts were overbought on the Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500, etc. It would be good if we could unwind them. That's exactly what we saw on everything other than the Nasdaq, but that was because Google Inc. (GOOG) was up so much on their earnings. Also, Apple Inc. (AAPL) did well, and it's heavily weighted, but, for the most part, things did unwind. A little more wouldn't be a bad thing, but that doesn't have to happen since the trend overall is still higher and weakness is being bought up. I say higher overall since the long-term trend is up and since 2040 S&P 500 has held on a closing basis. The bears came close, but no cigar. 2044 two times the best they could muster up. Today saw a small gap down on the S&P 500 and Dow, while the Nasdaq gapped up on Google Inc. (GOOG). The rest of the day was spent in a very narrow range as the bulls were trying very hard not to allow too much in terms of price erosion. They're doing their best to keep the S&P 500 close to 2134.
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Saturday, July 18, 2015
Why Pensions Are A (Big) Black Swan / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: John_Rubino
When talk turns to what might derail today’s debt-driven “recovery,” the big names and easy stories get most of the attention: China with its soaring debt, volatile equities and heavy-handed intervention; Japan with its stratospheric debt and science fictiony demographics; Greece, which needs no explanation; the developing countries with their weak currencies and mountain of dollar-denominated debt. And of course America’s triple bubble of stocks, bonds and derivatives.