Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

The Great Train Wreck Of 2015 – 2016 Is Beginning / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Ninety seven years ago in Tennessee a train wreck killed 101 people.  It was shocking, unexpected, and devastating.

In the year 2000 the Tech-Wreck was unexpected, the NASDAQ market crashed, and $Trillions of paper wealth disappeared.   Most investors were shocked and their savings were devastated.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

Growth of Chinese Margin Accounts Drove Bubble – Now Drives the Crash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: GoldCore

- Restrictions on borrowing to speculate were eased in 2010
- Middle class savers gradually saturated the market trading on leverage
- Market crash began as government tried to reign in leverage in overheated markets
- Leverage amplified gains on the up-leg, amplifies losses on down-leg forcing further sell offs
- Policy u-turns could not halt crash

Thursday, July 09, 2015

China Crisis Stock Market Hyper-Oversold Condition Calls for Bounce - Target... / Stock-Markets / China Stocks

By: Clive_Maund

It's a shame more Chinese investors didn't get to read our timely warning of an impending mega-smash in the Chinese stockmarket - it would have been worth the cost of a subscription TO AVOID LOSING THEIR LIFE'S SAVINGS.

It was mentioned as an aside yesterday's update on the oil sector, in which we took huge profits in United States Oil Fund Puts, that the Chinese market was massively oversold and now exhibiting extreme technical compression and thus starting to look attractive for a rebound, and we will now proceed to see exactly why that is on the charts for the Shanghai Composite Index.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

China Stock Market Crash Echoes of 1929 / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: You've heard the stories about the 1929 stock market crash, how investors should have figured out that, when taxi drivers and shoe-shine boys hawked stock tips, the end was near.

The lesson we're supposed to have learned was that cheap margin – the debt that investors can use to finance stock purchases, when wielded by uneducated, blindly optimistic "plungers," can drive stocks up and up over a cliff into an abyss.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

China Stock Market Crash - A Choice of Evils / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: STRATFOR

The Shanghai Composite Index fell 6 percent on July 3, rounding out a 28 percent decline since June 12, when the country's stock markets peaked. The deterioration occurred despite intensive government efforts to stabilize prices and revive investor sentiment. Overt attempts by Beijing included cutting benchmark interest rates and reserve requirement ratios and loosening restrictions on investor access to margin loans, in addition to less overt moves, such as direct interventions to prop up the market with government-backed purchases of blue chip stocks. On Friday, in a clear bid to win investor confidence in its oversight abilities, the securities regulator announced it would investigate signs of potential market manipulation. Yet so far, Beijing's efforts have failed to achieve the desired effect of stimulating, or at least stabilizing, China's leading stock markets.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

NYSE Shut Down Likely Due to Power Outage / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Bloomberg

Tom Farley, NYSE Group President, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle about the glitches that brought the NYSE trading to a halt for three and half hours.

On what led to the shutdown, Farley said: "We were getting intermittent messages of customers not seeing the exact behavior that they would otherwise expect with respect to messages. I didn't feel like we had the level of trust in our systems that is required and I made the decision, working with regulatory team and counsel's office, let's suspend trading."

Thursday, July 09, 2015

Stock Market Splat...At The Precipice...Fed Will Act Soon.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

I thought about different titles, but after thinking about it the word splat is the word that seemed best to explain today's action across the stock market world. China got annihilated last night to the tune of 6%, which would equal 120 S&P 500 points and 1000 Dow points. Imagine those headlines, if that occurred here in the United States. Europe followed China. We followed Europe, and the result is a market on the precipice of seeing its bull market vanish away. It hasn't happened yet, and may not happen, but the bulls are being tested here in a very large way. It's put up or shut up time for the bulls. If we lose 2040 on the S&P 500 then its lights out. Of course, it must lose it with force, then back test and fail on that back test to verify that the good old days are gone for a while to come.

I thought about different titles, but after thinking about it the word splat is the word that seemed best to explain today's action across the stock market world. China got annihilated last night to the tune of 6%, which would equal 120 S&P 500 points and 1000 Dow points. Imagine those headlines, if that occurred here in the United States. Europe followed China. We followed Europe, and the result is a market on the precipice of seeing its bull market vanish away. It hasn't happened yet, and may not happen, but the bulls are being tested here in a very large way. It's put up or shut up time for the bulls. If we lose 2040 on the S&P 500 then its lights out. Of course, it must lose it with force, then back test and fail on that back test to verify that the good old days are gone for a while to come.

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Greece: Act One of a Global Debt Drama - Video / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: EWI

Greek citizens vote "Yes" to kick the can down the road

Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Stock Market Trend Forecast - PPT Intervention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Savage

The PPT intervention today may have prematurely forced the half cycle low. If so then stocks will bounce for a few days and then roll over into the real meat of the intermediate decline.

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

China Stock Market Crash / Trading Freeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

China is back in the news as “Greek Hope” for a settlement with the ECB fades the crisis in Europe for the time being. However, the Markets in China are in a panic state and threaten a further breakdown as the Shanghai Index hovers just above 3600.00 after an epic overnight roller coaster ride.

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Leveraged Chinese Stock Investors Learning Painful Lesson / Stock-Markets / China Stocks

By: GoldCore

- Shanghai Composite has lost over 32% of its value in less than month
- Investors selling on “panic sentiment”
- Persistent intervention by government agencies has failed to support market
- Market has doubled over past year while real economy struggles
- Chinese Market had been boosted by participation of market-illiterate savers
- May morph into wider crisis

Wednesday, July 08, 2015

GreExit Feta Complete, Stock Market Lindsay Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

On Sunday Greeks voted on an economic program that no longer exists, in a referendum which was of questionable legality. Grexit seems to be a fait accompli.

In the meantime, regardless of the Greek vote, US markets will continue to do what they do. The Hybrid Lindsay forecast calls for a low early this week followed by a rally to, roughly, July 15. In addition to Middle Section forecasts which are the heart of the "hybrid" model, other methods (Lindsay's and my own) are forecasting a high in this time period.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Greece Debt Crisis to Trigger Euro-zone Credit Freeze, Expiry of Greek Euro Bank Notes / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

According to to Syriza politicians, Tsipras and Varoufakis a NO vote would have delivered the Greek people victory in its negotiation with the Troika with promises of an agreement already on the table and of course the banks would reopen Tuesday. Which just like a string of promises made for the whole of 2015 have proved totally worthless propaganda aimed at convincing a delusional Greek electorate that a paradise of sorts was awaiting them if only they voted NO / committed mass suicide, the reality of which is only slowly starting to dawn on an increasingly panicky Greek people who are experiencing economic collapse accelerate on a daily basis.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Stock Market Panic Decline May be About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be bouncing from the Broadening Wedge trendline and retesting the neckline of its Head & shoulders formation. The lack of any meaningful bounces here is profound.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

SPX Sinking Premarket / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The retracement appears to be playing out in the futures. The Wave (a) high was 2078.94 on July 2 while the overnight futures appear to have topped out in a 9-wave (c) at 2077.94. It is still unclear whether it will continue to rally after the open, but the futures favor a failurs.

The Premarket is still positive, up .75 while the futures are down -7.80 as I write. The Cycles Model suggests we may still rally today. The Cycles Trading Channels suggest a possible top near 2082.65, which is very close to the Ending Diagonal trendline.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Marc Faber Warns: “Wake Up, People Of The World! Greece Will Come To You …Very Soon” / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bloomberg

- World is “over-indebted”, Mark Faber tells Bloomberg
- “Defaults will follow or they will have to create very high inflation rates”
- Greece will leave EU or Troika will take 50% “haircut”
- Leaving EU may be Greece’s best option

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Dow INDU Stocks Index Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

We are getting a test of the low from the big decline last Monday which is to be expected as many times it takes multiple tests before support really sticks. This is now the moment of truth as this low needs to hold support or a bigger decline can be expected. There is the 200 dma, the time cycle low and the very high volume spike from last Monday, in the down to up volume chart, that are showing this could be an important low.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

SPX Stocks Index Still on a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

There is a big hole in today’s trading session during which trading was halted. Stocks soared during the halt and quit rising just as soon as the problem was supposedly “fixed.” How can we trust a market like this?

Right now I am taking the approach that the zigzag decline may have been a sub-Minute Wave (b). That means Wave (c) is underway and is likely to finish tomorrow. I should note, however, that SPX could easily reverse on a moment’s notice and that it remains on a sell signal.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Greece Takes Stock Market Down....Merkel Playing Hardball....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

There was bad news over the weekend as far stocks markets around the world were concerned. They preferred a yes vote from the people of Greece. Keeps things status quo. Didn't happen. The people voted no on austerity. No status quo. Change is what they want. They figure they have nothing to lose. Markets hated the vote and down those futures went. Way down. In Europe as much as 4%. Our market was down 1.5%. As usual, that more than changed by the time we woke up this morning. The nastiness cut in half, and not only that, for a moment today, when things looked better overseas based on rumors, the market went green. It hung in there until Angela Merkel, the leader of Germany, told Greece there would be no supply of liquidity based on the terms they wanted. Unacceptable, thus no liquidity.

Tuesday, July 07, 2015

Bill Gross on Greece: 'We're in the Eye of the Hurricane' / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bloomberg

Bill Gross of Janus Capital spoke with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Guy Johnson about Greece's debt.

On whether he is surprised by the calm reaction of the markets, Gross said: "Yes, I am surprised...It appears that we're in the eye of the hurricane. I do not believe that this situation really is calm."