Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 06, 2015
“Oxi!” - Greeks Defy Eu As Varoufakis Resigns To Ease Tensions With “Partners” / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Brave Greeks vote overwhelmingly against austerity
- Varoufakis resigns to clear air for next phase of negotiations
- We think a Greek debt deal is highly likely over the next few days
- EU elites had hoped “yes” vote would force the replacement of Syriza with unelected technocratic experts
- Syriza may nationalize banks to protect depositors from “bail-ins”
- UK slashes Deposit Insurance from £85,000 to £75,000
- Europe and the world now in uncharted waters, gold will protect
Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market Rally in a Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market is Going Take Another Spill! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last weekend, I was negative on the stock market. I also expected an 8 TD top by July 2. We got a late week rally. Now we have the Sun opp. Pluto today and Sun/Mars making a cardinal t-sq. to Uranus/Pluto into July 12. This makes for wild swings in the market. I have a TLC low due 7/8, but the shallow angle begs for a low the day before or 7/7 (as happened last week) right on the 4 TD low.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Syriza Convinces Greece to Commit Suicide, GrExit Beckons, Market Reaction / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Syriza has successfully managed to convince the mass of the people of Greece of their victim hood at the hands of the evil Troika and thus to vote NO in a referendum engineered for such an outcome as phrased by a question which basically boiled down to "Do you want Austerity", "YES or NO", to which obviously on face value 90% would be inclined to vote NO. However, it had been hoped that most Greeks would be able to see through Syriza's thick propaganda smoke screen that in recent days had been ramping up the message of a virtual paradise to follow a NO vote.
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Sunday, July 05, 2015
Greece's Problems are the Tip of the Iceberg, China Crisis Underway / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: America celebrates the July 4th holiday under the threat of homegrown terrorism while global financial markets face a trifecta of threats from Greece, Puerto Rico and China.
And those are just the immediate threats – the world still has to deal with the longer term threat of hundreds of trillions of dollars in debts that it can never hope to pay back and the pursuit of failed central bank policies that are destined to send markets over the cliff sooner rather than later….
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Sunday, July 05, 2015
Financial and Commodity Markets Become Scary: Crash Point Or Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
We cannot remember having seen so many markets at critical points simultaneously. It is truly astonishing. Scary movie or turning points? We do not know for sure, but let’s review the strategic assets in order to get an understanding of the likely scenarios going forward.
First and foremost, the TED spread is about to cross a critical resistance level. We look at the TED spread as a fear indicator, a signal that a correction is coming. The steady rise of the TED spread since last summer is not a healthy signal. The trillion dollar question is how far it will go, and which markets it will hit.
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Saturday, July 04, 2015
Happy 4th of July Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The week started off at SPX 2102, then dropped to 2057 on a gap down Monday. After that the market gapped up three days in a row, but only managed to get back to SPX 2085 by Thursday. Then ended the holiday shortened week at SPX 2077. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.20%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.25%, and the DJ World lost 1.6%. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative ones. On the uptick: pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, the ADP, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate declined. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, auto sales, factory orders, plus weekly jobless claims rose and payrolls declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, ISM services and Consumer credit.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Fed’s Full Normalization and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The US Federal Reserve has been universally lauded for the apparent success of its extreme monetary policy of recent years. With key world stock markets near record highs, traders universally love the Fed’s zero-interest-rate and quantitative-easing campaigns. But this celebration is terribly premature. The full impact of these wildly-unprecedented policies won’t become apparent until they are fully normalized.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Stock Market Where are we? And where are we Going? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
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SPX
These are the questions we all want answering. The gap down last week from the Greece announcement that there would be announcement, potentially it could suggest a possible truanted high in place at 2130. Although we have yet to see a 5 wave decline from 2130SPX, so depending on the outcome to the Greece, may or may not push the markets much lower, although I would favor a large gap down should the vote favor leaving the Euro, similar to last weekend.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
China's Stock Market Rollercoaster Ride Continues / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
But There is a way to endure the wild ride -- with Elliott wave analysis
"Chao gu" is the Chinese term for speculating in stocks. Roughly translated, it means "stir-frying" shares. Lately, though, for millions of Chinese investors, it means getting fried.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Capital Controls and a Bank Holiday in Greece… Here’s How You Can Profit / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By Nick Giambruno
For the unprepared, it happens like a mugging…
When you hear a central banker or politician deny that something is going to happen to bank depositors, you can almost be certain that it will happen. And probably soon.
Thursday, July 02, 2015
Three Total Wealth Stock Investor Tactics You’ll Need Because Greece Isn’t Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Greece actually missed its payment last night, exactly as we thought it would. And in doing so, it became the first Eurozone country to ever default on its debt. Some say that the country is in “arrears,” but that’s splitting hairs.
At this point, “everybody” wants quick resolution.
Things are so bad that nearly 14,000 people have contributed to a crowdfunding page started by a 29 year old Londoner, Thom Feeney, on Indiegogo.com. As of yesterday, donations totaled $245,000.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Greece Good....Greece Bad....Greece Vote Sunday..... Stock Market Froth Still High.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Greece is the number one headline these days. We have other factors to look at from froth to horrific-looking monthly-index charts. But, by far, the most popular and important subject with regards to the health of the stock market is based on how things are moving along, or not, with Greece. Will they default after the vote on Sunday? Will the public speak up and vote yes on the sanctions for which the Euro zone are asking? Will Tsipras give in to the people? No one knows the answers to those questions.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Greek Debt Crisis: "Too late to prepare now" - Video / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
An Elliott wave perspective on the Greek crisis
Today, I got on the phone with Brian Whitmer, editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Stock Market Increased Risk Levels ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The VIX (see the chart below) is showing increasing stress levels.
Note that the VIX has risen above the blue dotted resistance line level. Since the VIX moves opposite to the stock market, this was a bad event on Monday.
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Wednesday, July 01, 2015
Greece Debt Crisis Trigger for Stock Market Crash or Bull Rally? Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow stocks index has been on a volatile slide since making its 18,350 new all time high of Mid May, having recently nudged to a low of 17,600 that many have attributed in large part to the unfolding Greece debt crisis, the latest of which is Greece missing its deadline for a Euro 1.6 billion repayment to the IMF Tuesday that has galvanised stock market bears to once more proclaim that the stocks bull market is over and a new bear market has begun.
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Wednesday, July 01, 2015
SPX Stock Market Retracement May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX retracement was stopped at its Ending Diagonal trendline at 2082.00, having briefly challenged it at 2082.78. It is now beneath the neckline of the Head & shoulders formation at 2075.00. Head & shoulders patterns allow throwbacks for a brief period, as long as the index does not close above them. This one apparently qualifies.
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Wednesday, July 01, 2015
The End of Dow 18,000; Bailouts No Longer Extended / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Eurogroup Says Greece Bailout Program Will Not Be Extended And Will Expire on June 30, ABC News, June 27, 2015
Greece Debt Crisis: Banks to Remain Shut All Week, BBC, June 29, 2015
Greece Confirms It Will Default On Its IMF Payments, Financial Post, June 30 ‘15
“We have to admitted we are powerless over alcohol, that our lives are unmanageable” – First Step in Alcoholics Anonymous 12 Steps
The World Is Defenseless Against The Next Financial Crisis, Warns BIS, The Telegraph, June 28 ‘15
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Tuesday, June 30, 2015
China Stocks - This Is What a Bubble Looks Like / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Matthew Carr writes: We just experienced another “Black Friday”...
Not in the U.S. markets, but across the Pacific in China.
You want to talk about overvalued? Overheated? The Chinese stock markets were on a tear earlier this year. The Shanghai Composite was up more than 100% at the start of June... and most of that was accomplished between the end of March and the beginning of June.
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Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Stocks Plunge on Greece Euro-Zone Financial Armageddon Blackmail / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Syriza government that like a spoilt child keeps throwing its toys out of the euro-zone pram has been pushing Greece towards economic and financial collapse since its January election win, as Syriza continues to blackmail the euro-zone that if Greece does not get its way then they will take the euro-zone down with them, prompting markets to discount the potential contagion effect of the Greece debt default, bank run saga being replicated amongst other larger Euro-zone member states that has prompted stock markets to slide across europe and the wider world as illustrated by yesterdays Dow and FTSE plunges that have galvanised the bears into action to once more proclaim the stocks bull market end is nigh.
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