Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 15, 2016
Stock Market Double Bottom Positive Divergence Fails To Rally Market Big For Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The market recently tested down to 2119 last Friday on the talk of a rate hike and poor economic reports. We saw the ISM Manufacturing Report and services come in well below expectations. Friday was painful, but the market tested down to 2019, which is still one full percent above the 2100 up trend line of massive support. After a fed Brainard rally on Monday, we saw the market head lower once again yesterday as it touched 2120. A nice double bottom at the lows, which also happened to set up a positive divergence on the short-term only, sixty-minute index charts. The daily charts aren't anything worth talking about from a bullish perspective. They're now more bearish in nature. However, a double bottom with short-term positive divergences usually means, especially in a bull market, that we'll test higher somewhat short-term.
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Wednesday, September 14, 2016
Stock Market Wild Week Ahead: The Selling is Not Through! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
A lot of traders I know were thinking that a low on Monday would be it and then off to the races. I was in that camp too. The problem is the rising wedge was never broken. So what now? Pretty much the same for the SPX and GDX: another strong rise on Wednesday followed by even more severe selling toward the week’s end. I’m thinking more like the SPX 2045 area by Sept 16-19.
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Wednesday, September 14, 2016
The Era of Centralization is Ending… and the Elites Are Terrified / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The biggest issue in financial political power structure today is the End of Centralization.
In the post 2008 era, the Globalists made a major push to hold the system together. The multi-billionaire class, particularly those who made fortunes from crony capitalism and bubble economics joined forces with the Keynesian media shills to convince the world that the only way we would survive would be if trillions of Dollars were given to those who were deemed “systemically important.”
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Wednesday, September 14, 2016
Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Friday’s decline broke the neckline of a small head-and-shoulders pattern seeming to leave behind the cupola Lindsay described as the top of his Domed House pattern: points 21 - 25.
If the market holds to the template, the Dow should fall to point 26 and rebound to point 27 within the same price range as the First Floor Roof (points 15-20).
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Stock Market Freefall Episode Coming Soon... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX has nearly retraced yesterday’s rally in an impulsive fashion. 2100.00 has already been tested in the futures. It is not likely to provide much support in this decline. The new target appears to be the December closing price at 2044.00.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Stock Market Expanded Zone Of Importance....Bears Do What They Do Best... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
On Friday we had one those gigantic down days we see every so often on big volume and a horrendous On Friday we had one those gigantic down advance decline line. The type of move off a top that almost always leads to more immediate down side. That is, until we moved from the stock market to the fed market where all seems to be well no matter what is taking place in the real world economy.
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Tuesday, September 13, 2016
Central Banks Able to Get “Trading Machines” to Pump Up Markets, for Now… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report. Craig runs one of the most highly respected and well known blogs in the industry and has been covering the precious metals for close to a decade now and puts out some of the best analysis on banking schemes, the flaws of Keynesian economics and evidence of manipulation in the gold and silver markets.
Craig it's great to have you back and thanks again for joining us today. Welcome.
Craig Hemke: Hey Mike, it's always a pleasure. Thanks for the invite.
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Monday, September 12, 2016
Global Stocks, Bonds Fall Sharply - Gold Consolidates After Two Weeks Of Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Global stocks and bonds fell the most since the Brexit panic today as recently dormant volatility came back with a vengeance. There are deepening concerns that global central banks’ ultra loose monetary policies have been ineffectual and may indeed be creating asset bubbles in stock, bond and indeed property markets internationally.
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Monday, September 12, 2016
Stocks Break Below Their Two Month Long Consolidation - New Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, September 12, 2016
Forecast Summary WTI, EURUSD, USDJPY / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
WTI now appears to be forming a top, it would appear as though the dead cat bounce is running out of steam and we should see the push for lower lows over the next couple of months.
We expect to see some increased volatility and could even see $50+ over the coming weeks.
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Monday, September 12, 2016
North Korea Rocks Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016
U.S. stocks are falling like crazy in the aftermath of the latest of North Korean nuclear tests, sending traders into the state of frenzy. It even seems to have nudged Fed officials towards an interest rate increase, albeit only a little. It appears there is no shortage of market capital news this week.
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Monday, September 12, 2016
Stock Market Intermediate Correction Has Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, September 12, 2016
Gold, Stock Market Down: Now What? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Last I wrote, I was expecting a stock market top early in the week with the late week dropping. We had gone short on Thursday, but late screwy wave action had me pull out to neutral (to my chagrin). I had been looking for a 10 week low within this general time frame and I believe we are there. A move down to challenge the SPX 1994-2100 area would not surprise me on Monday. This should be a great buying area for one more move to new highs by early October at the latest before we see the expected autumn swoon.
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Sunday, September 11, 2016
A Little Perspective and Stock & Bond Market Notes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The opening segment of this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH 412) was intended to be a quick blurb but went on to become a five page exercise. It is shared publicly not so much because it is hard core analysis (which the rest of the report took care of), but because after a week like last week I think being a little wordy can be for the better.
I had a difficult week last week; a couple things had gone wrong and my schedule was just ridiculous. On Wednesday I was feeling pretty stressed out and wondering why I just can’t seem to catch a break. Then I looked up and saw a man with two hooks for hands walk by. It was almost as if he were sent into my view to straighten me out.
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Sunday, September 11, 2016
Stock Market Predicts Donald Trump Victory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Some of you know that I like to forecast fundamentals based on my view of the technicals. We have had success with this in the past predicting a No vote in the Greek referendum on the EU bailout when polls suggested the Yes vote would prevail and also recently predicting a Brexit Leave vote when a vote to Remain was clearly favoured by the polls.
I believe the markets have a sixth sense and wrote an article about this titled The Sixth Sense of Markets, produced on the 14th April 2016, which is available to view on my website.
Saturday, September 10, 2016
Stock Market SPX Downtrend Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Another boring week until Friday. The market started the week at SPX 2180. After opening at SPX 2184 on Tuesday, it dropped to 2175 in the first hour of trading, then hit a higher high at the close. On Wednesday the SPX hit the high for the week at 2188. After that it declined into the close on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 2.3%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.4%. Economic reports for the week were light and slightly positive. On the downtick: ISM services and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: consumer credit, investor confidence, and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week, another options expiration week, reports will be highlighted by industrial production, the CPI/PPI and retail sales. Best to your week!
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Saturday, September 10, 2016
Jubilee Jolt: Dow Down 400, Stocks Smashed In Biggest Drop Since Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It was just two days ago that we wrote, “Gold Has Biggest One Day Rally Since Brexit as Elites Rush Into Gold”.
Now, to end the week, US stocks had their biggest drop since Brexit on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 394.46 points, or 2.1%, to 18085.45, and the S&P 500 declined 2.45%, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.5%.
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Saturday, September 10, 2016
Are These Billionaire Bets Ringing Bells at the Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The billionaires are coming out of the woodwork.
Carl Icahn paid his way through Princeton playing poker. The man understands risks and has accrued one of the largest fortunes in history playing the markets. Regardless of whether or not you think he’s a shark when it comes to activism, he usually wins and wins big.
Icahn is more bearish now than at any point in his life. He has 149% NET short the market.
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Saturday, September 10, 2016
Stock Market Hard Gap Down And Run.... Fed Governor's Talking Rate Hike... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
When you have negative divergences on an index chart, or any chart for that matter, you're waiting for a gap down to occur in order to get that negative divergence to kick in and create real down side action. The gap down we saw today was quite powerful, but what was even more impressive was the gap and run lower. Many times we get a gap down, but most of the damage is done in the first few minutes. After that the market starts to recover and all is forgiven. This gap down didn't have those characteristics. Quite the opposite. It gapped down quite nicely and kept running lower. A sign of real selling from the big boys and girls who rule price. A negative divergence can be in place for weeks or months before the right candle stick hits and carries it appreciably lower.
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Saturday, September 10, 2016
Unlock Your Inner Contrarian With This Free Report on Apple, S&P and more. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Dear Reader,
Consider the common thread in these recent market calls:
Read full article... Read full article...Forecast: A 70% decline in the base commodity that runs the industrialized world (when most traders were bullish).