Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, August 18, 2016

Stock Market Turn-Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had an interesting down day, and then up day, finishing in the plus column after the FOMC announcement indicating no interest-rate rising. The day started out with a move to the downside, they formed bear wedges, went lower, and by midday they were at their session lows. They rallied during the noon hour, and when the FOMC announcement came, they spiked up, and after pulling down briefly, they pulled back and spiked up again, and closed near the highs for the day.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

SPX Completes Wave 1 Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed a Wave 1 decline, or nearly so. It still has a bounce higher after that in wave 2. It may try to “fill the gap” up to 2190.00 in the process. There is no signal, yet.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Kondratiev Wave - The Financial Winter Is Nearing! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Nature functions in cycles. Each 24-hour period can be divided into smaller cycles of morning, afternoon, evening, and night. The whole year can be divided into seasonal cycles. Similarly, one’s life can also be divided into cycles. Cycles are abundant in nature – we just have to spot them, understand them, and be prepared for them, because they happen whether we like it or not. Likewise, economic experts have noticed that the world also follows different cycles. An important pioneer in this field was the Russian social economist, Nikolai Kondratiev, also called Nikolai Kondratieff, a relatively unknown genius.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

The Lurking Disaster Germany and Saudi Arabia Have in Common / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

The global exporters’ crisis is intensifying (read my free special report on Germany’s inevitable crisis).

Germany’s largest bank said it is deeply concerned about stagnation in the United States. Separately, Saudi Arabia’s central bank gave $4 billion to the country’s banks to help them deal with liquidity issues.

Wednesday, August 17, 2016

Rio Olympics like the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

Olympic host, Rio de Janeiro, is getting a lot of coverage in the media and not all of it good.  Much of the news is very bad and yet the games go on… similar to the equity market.

Lindsay’s Three Peaks/Domed House pattern has passed point 21 (July 20) and the question becomes ‘is the Dow headed into the final top at point 23 - or is it engaged in the typical 3-5 wave correction seen most of the time at this point in the pattern?’ An example can be seen in March 2015 (lower case roman numerals in green).

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Deutsche Bank Analyst Says a Stock Market Shock Is the Only Way Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

We don’t know if the internet is just enabling us to hear things we previously didn’t hear… of if this is the most predicted stock-market crash in history!

It seems barely a day goes by now where someone hasn’t jumped on our bandwagon and is predicting, or calling for, a major crash.

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Stocks Bulls Relentless... No Thrust...Grinding Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

You have to hand it to the bulls. They are a relentless group that never wants to throw those bears a bone. They're getting a bit selfish aren't they? I mean, come on, every once in a while, the bears have to get some love. Don't they?! The news overseas on the economic front over the weekend wasn't good, yet, even though some foreign markets were down, our futures seem to know of only one direction. The low of the day was the open, but overall the S&P 500 traded in only a seven-point range for the entire day. When the VIX gets this low it's harder for the market to flash major-league volatility. It gets a bit boring, for sure, but that's the price you pay for increasing froth, which is clearly what's taking place here.

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Even Hedge Funds Can’t Understand Today’s Manipulated Markets / Stock-Markets / Hedge Funds

By: John_Rubino

One of the big surprises of the past few years is the number of brand-name hedge funds reporting terrible results. Their customers are not amused:

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Stock Market S&P 500 Down 10% into Early September? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The chart below shows the weekly SPX since late 2008 to the current. According to my calculations, Wave Y of a WXY “Y” of B WAVE terminated at 2168/69 on July 14.  Everything after that has been irregular and part of wave X of “Z” into November 21. Wave X is being subdivided xyz and y of that wave terminated today at 2193/94.

My down side target is near 1970 by Sept 9, with the big wave down “c”of Z from the solar/new moon eclipse top of Sept 1 to the expected ten week low of September 9. After that, a new high around October 17 near 2241 and then down into the November 21 expected low near 1638.

Monday, August 15, 2016

Stock Market Bears Turning Bullish At New All Time Highs - Time to Get Worried? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The relentlessly bullish grind higher in the face of year long mantra of perma-doom, collapse, crash or worse is once more seeing stocks setting a series of new all time highs. Even today, as I write the Dow is trading AT a new all time high of 18,665! So what is it that could derail the mother of all stocks bull markets? Or at least suggest a significant correction was just around the corner?

Monday, August 15, 2016

Stocks Remain Close To New Record Highs, Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, August 15, 2016

A Look At Commodities and Financial Markets Trading Week Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Submissions

Symmetry Trader writes: Crude Oil (CLU6) - Our primary trading instrument turned up in a correctional fashion this week.

We look for it to be up for the next couple of weeks. Look for buys at 42.50 and resistance at 47 area

Monday, August 15, 2016

Stock Market New Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues.  It could soon enter a corrective phase.

Sunday, August 14, 2016

Stock Market Final Pop - It Can’t Wait Any Longer – Deja Vu! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The stock market tends to repeat itself on regular bases. Why? Because it moves mainly based on the emotions of market participants, with the exception of extreme times when the masses are moving the market with extreme fear or greed, at which point they are flooding the market with buy or sell orders to create a final pop or drop in the market just before a major market reversal.

As with everything in the universe, everything moves in cycles, periods of expansion and contraction, and there are regular wave-like patterns that happen on a regular basis no matter the time frame one is reviewing on a stock chart.

Sunday, August 14, 2016

New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started with the SPX at 2183. On Monday the SPX made a slightly higher high, hit an all time high at 2188 on Tuesday, then pulled back to 2172 on Wednesday. On Thursday the SPX matched that high, then dipped some to end the week at 2184. Overall it was a quiet week with a range of less than 1%. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.25%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: the PPI and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, export/import prices, consumer sentiment, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims both improved. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, Industrial production and Housing.

Saturday, August 13, 2016

The Next Interest Hike is Just Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: David_Chapman

Shortly after the release of the most recent nonfarm payroll numbers, the pundits were quickly talking up the potential for another Fed interest rate hike at the September FOMC. The BLS reported that the July nonfarm payrolls were up 255,000 jobs, when they expected only 180,000 to 185,000. The June nonfarm payrolls were also revised upwards. Unemployment (U3) was unchanged at 4.9%. Despite the seemingly strong job numbers, the monthly nonfarm payrolls remain highly questionable. Further, other economic data has been anything but robust, with the recent Q2 GDP numbers coming in at half the level expected. The most recent trade data was also lower than expected. Canada reported job losses in July of 31,200, well below expectations, and the equivalent of the US nonfarm payrolls being down 300,000.

Saturday, August 13, 2016

Weekly Candle On Nasdaq Suggesting Stock Market Top?... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

After seven up-weeks we see a candle printed on the Nasdaq this week that normally suggests a temporary top is at hand. I say normally because nothing about this market is normal any more. It has defied all logic, and, quite honestly, has changed its technical stripes. Normal, bearish candles are not working with any consistency such as they had years prior. Gap ups that fail after a move higher, or black candles on gaps that would normally signal the end of a move, are now being entirely ignored for the most part. Candles, such as we saw this week on the Nasdaq, fit that bill for a topping period, but would it shock me if we're up next week? Not one drop.

Friday, August 12, 2016

Stock Market Strong Positive Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very strong session, taking a big leap at the opening to retest the highs, and then backed off sharply. They came on strong and by midday the S&P 500 made new, all-time highs, but when the Nasdaq 100 failed to cooperate, they pulled back, but held. They came on one more time and made a nominal new highs again on the S&P 500 over 2188. Nasdaq 100 again could not make a new high, and they both backed in the last 10 minutes. It was a very positive session.

Friday, August 12, 2016

Here Comes The Stock Market Air Pocket! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The astro/cycle/wave read between now and August 15th looks for a quick abrupt air pocket of close to 3% in the SPX. At first, I was looking for a Wave 4 pullback to 2132/33 by late Friday, but upon re-examination, I believe it will be more in the order of 2122 by Monday. Normally, lows in the market don’t go past the moon in Sagittarius (late Thursday –Saturday), but I have to remind myself of Uranus Retrograde: expect the unexpected.

Thursday, August 11, 2016

Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The hourly chart puts the SPX is a good context for understanding this bounce/retracement. There are virtually no shorts here to run, so the algos are likely to pack up and see what happens. The caution point is where the hourly Cycle Top at 2185.15 and short-term trendline lay.

A reversal/pivot here may give the SPX the momentum to break the next trendline support at 2171.00. Mid-Cycle support is just beneath it at 2169.26, so we may wish to use it as our next short entry point.