Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 06, 2016
Stock Market More Short-term Distribution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues. It could soon enter a corrective phase.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
5 Reasons to Be Worried about US Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
The NYSE and NASDAQ stock markets have been on a historic bull run since 2009. The NYSE has bounced back to just under 11,000 from a low of 4,716 during the Financial Crisis. The other major indices have put in similar performances.
There was a 10% or so correction early this year, but US stock markets rebounded strongly.
It’s rare for stocks not to see a major market correction in more than eight years. Many analysts also argue that macroeconomic fundamentals aren’t strong enough to support stock valuations… even if the US is performing better than Europe and other global economies.
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Tuesday, September 06, 2016
A Look at September: Gold and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The month ahead looks choppy for both markets. Gold (especially the miners) has just come off of hard drop, so we may expect an upward/sideward bias until we get past Mercury Rx (retrograde) around September 22, where we could see a more explosive up move into early October with a GDX target above 33. Next week looks fairly bullish to me, but with some attempt at selling the rallies (look for the 28.43 area Wednesday and also around 29 Friday to be sell zones). Tuesday may go down and if it does, would represent a nice buying opportunity in the miners and PM's, IMO. Taking profits early when in Mercury Rx is usually a wise idea.
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Monday, September 05, 2016
The “End of the World” History Stock Market Chart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to show you a long term 40 year monthly chart for the $COMPQ which I call the history chart. Some of you were not even born when some of these significance events happened. At the time they seemed significant enough that most thought the end of the world as we knew it was near. Some of the older members will remember some of these events like they just happened yesterday.
I was personally involved in the stock market during each one of these times, and I can assure you it did feel like the world was coming to an end. When one observes some of these stock market events from a distance they hardly matter in the big picture. Perspective is everything.
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Sunday, September 04, 2016
Market roundup WTI, EURUSD, FTSE / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ken_Ticehurst
WTI now appears to be forming a top, after the price action last week our $60+ scenario appears to be becoming lesss likely, although still possible it would appear as though our dead cat bounce is running out of steam and our lower lows will be coming sooner than we anticipated.
Saturday, September 03, 2016
SPX Uptrend Extending? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2169. After a rally to SPX 2183 on Monday the market pulled back to 2161 by Wednesday. Thursday started off with a rally to SPX 2174, dropped to 2157, then the market rallied to 2185 by Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.50%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.45%. Economic reports for the week had twice as many gainers as losers. On the downtick: the ADP, ISM, auto sales, monthly payrolls and weekly jobless claims increased. On the uptick: personal income/spending, the PCE, Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, factory orders, the Q3 GDP estimate, plus the trade balance improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FED’s beige book and ISM services. Best to your week!
Saturday, September 03, 2016
Free Event! 22+ Markets. 3 Continents. Numerous New Opportunities. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
Our partners at Elliott Wave International (EWI) have just announced a new, free 3-day event for global investors at elliottwave.com.
On September 6-8, they're opening the doors to their latest forecasts for top markets in Europe (FTSE, DAX, CAC + 9 more) and Asia-Pacific (ASX, Shanghai, SENSEX + 8 more).
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Saturday, September 03, 2016
US Jobs Disappoint... Nothing Terrible... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had two reports it was focusing on this week. The ISM Manufacturing Report that was to come out on Thursday and the Jobs Report that would come out today. The first one laid an egg. Huge disappointment. Market fell, but then came back strong. Bad news wasn't bad news for the market. Today the Jobs Report missed, but not as bad as yesterday's miss. That said, still a miss by between 25/50k jobs depending on who you listen to. The market blinked lower on the futures for a moment but then recovered. It's almost as if the market reacted as if was a stock market still. It had a forgetful moment. It immediately then realized that it's now a fed market and fed markets work on rates and basically nothing else.
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Stock Market Master Cycle May have Bottomed Yesterday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I cannot help but conclude that the SPPX made a very shallow Master Cycle low yesterday. Today’s move gives it away, by rallying to the trendline, taking out Monday’s high, but not the trendline.
The shallow decline only went down to match the July 14 gap up above the trendline at 2157.88, spending 34 market days above that level.
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Most Stock Market Investors Are One Recession Away from Annihilation / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN: Would you rather:
- Make a little money most of the time, with a small chance of losing a lot?
- Lose a little money most of the time, with a small chance of making a lot?
Probably depends on how you are wired.
(Most people are wired like number one.)
Friday, September 02, 2016
The U.S. Election Year Fix is In… But Can Janet Make It To November? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The election year fix is in… and Janet Yellen is praying the markets hold together until November.
President Obama met privately with Yellen in April of this year. It was their first private meeting together since November 2014 (the Congressional election in which the GOP took both houses of Congress).
President Barack Obama met with Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Monday to discuss the U.S. economy amid signs that growth may be slowing as consumers retreat from spending.
Ahead of the afternoon meeting, White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest described Obama as “pleased” with Yellen, who he appointed to lead the Fed in 2014. It is the first time since November 2014 that the Fed chair has met with the president on her own. The meeting was closed to the news media.
Source: Bloomberg
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Friday, September 02, 2016
Stock Market Technically Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very interesting day. They were up at the opening, came down, tested yesterday’s lows successfully, although the S&P 500 made a lower low, and the Nasdaq 100 did not confirm. They then rallied sharply to midday, pulled back in the afternoon, and in the last hour they came back again to close mixed on the session.
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Wednesday, August 31, 2016
SPX Near a Confirmed Sell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to be on its way to the 50-day Moving Average at 2149.76. However, the trigger point for a confirmed sell may be the Broadening Top trendline and previous bottom at 2160.39 for a confirmed sell signal. In fact, the confirmation may have been at the failed bounce after the decline to 2160.39. In any event, the SPX still has a distance to go. The floodgates of selling may open beneath the 50-day M.A., so it may be good to be ahead of the crowd.
Wednesday, August 31, 2016
S&P 500 Supported on Several Fronts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Richard_Cox
The last year saw a host of conflicting news events across the globe that affected the entire financial market. The S&P 500 index was no exception. During this period, the S&P moved from 1,810 to 2,180 registering gains of over 20% in the process. Despite weakening economic data and building uncertainties in many global economies, the S&P 500 still managed to outperform it contemporaries due mainly to stronger domestic economic reports in the US.
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Tuesday, August 30, 2016
The Next Monetary Experiment - Japan Prepares To Buy Pretty Much Everything / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems
By: John_Rubino
For most of the world, the past decade’s monetary and fiscal experiments are viewed as failures. See, for instance, French support for the EU project crumbling on both left and right and Why were smart people suckered by Abenomics?
So what do the best and brightest now running global economic policy do when their experiments don’t work? Apparently they double down, repeating the experiment with an even bigger dose. In Japan:
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Tuesday, August 30, 2016
Stock Market Long View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may have noticed that I have used two different Orthodox Broadening top trendlines. Both work, but for different reasons. The top one shows maximum resistance where the SPX has not been able to overcome it, while the lower one shows support, which has been broken in the past and appears to be challenged again today.
Monday, August 29, 2016
The Power of Price Spikes On Intraday Charts / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week ended on a very positive note for those who follow and trade filtered price spikes.
What is a filtered price spike? In short, I scan pre-market, and post-market trading hours’ price charts of SPY, QQQ, IWM, GLD, and GDX for a very special odd tick in the market which creates a spike on the chart.
These spikes could be to the upside or downside, does not matter. What they tell me is the direction which the market (market makers) are going to try and move the market in then next 48 hours.
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Monday, August 29, 2016
Stock Market No Clear Short-Term Direction, Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, August 29, 2016
Have The Markets Become Too Big to Fail? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long discusses with John Rubino
Government Interference
"Governments are acting like they don't think they can handle a garden variety equities bear market anymore."
You're seeing central banks all of a sudden become among the biggest buyers of equities in the world. It's one thing to buy bonds and intervene in the interest rate markets, but another to buy equity. This is governments buying the industrial capacity of the world and from an Austrian Economics point of view, this is catastrophically dangerous.
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Sunday, August 28, 2016
Post Yellen = Market Confusion / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
Yellen seems to me to be mastering the art of saying things so that everyone can come away hearing what they wanted to hear.
For those concerned about the Fed leaving interest rates too low for too long, she adopted a hawkish view on the economy, particularly when it comes to the payrolls. For those thinking that any Fed rate hike would send the Dollar soaring, pressuring Emerging Markets as well as equity markets both here domestically and elsewhere, she sounded the theme of interest rates remaining low for a long time. Thus, if the Fed were to hike sooner rather than later, no need to worry because it would not signal the beginning of a rapid series of rate hikes.
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