Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, September 03, 2016

US Jobs Disappoint... Nothing Terrible... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market had two reports it was focusing on this week. The ISM Manufacturing Report that was to come out on Thursday and the Jobs Report that would come out today. The first one laid an egg. Huge disappointment. Market fell, but then came back strong. Bad news wasn't bad news for the market. Today the Jobs Report missed, but not as bad as yesterday's miss. That said, still a miss by between 25/50k jobs depending on who you listen to. The market blinked lower on the futures for a moment but then recovered. It's almost as if the market reacted as if was a stock market still. It had a forgetful moment. It immediately then realized that it's now a fed market and fed markets work on rates and basically nothing else.

Friday, September 02, 2016

Stock Market Master Cycle May have Bottomed Yesterday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I cannot help but conclude that the SPPX made a very shallow Master Cycle low yesterday. Today’s move gives it away, by rallying to the trendline, taking out Monday’s high, but not the trendline.

The shallow decline only went down to match the July 14 gap up above the trendline at 2157.88, spending 34 market days above that level.

Friday, September 02, 2016

Most Stock Market Investors Are One Recession Away from Annihilation / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN: Would you rather:

1. Make a little money most of the time, with a small chance of losing a lot?
2. Lose a little money most of the time, with a small chance of making a lot?

Probably depends on how you are wired.

(Most people are wired like number one.)

Friday, September 02, 2016

The U.S. Election Year Fix is In… But Can Janet Make It To November? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The election year fix is in… and Janet Yellen is praying the markets hold together until November.

President Obama met privately with Yellen in April of this year. It was their first private meeting together since November 2014 (the Congressional election in which the GOP took both houses of Congress).

President Barack Obama met with Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen on Monday to discuss the U.S. economy amid signs that growth may be slowing as consumers retreat from spending.

Ahead of the afternoon meeting, White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest described Obama as “pleased” with Yellen, who he appointed to lead the Fed in 2014. It is the first time since November 2014 that the Fed chair has met with the president on her own. The meeting was closed to the news media.

Source: Bloomberg

Friday, September 02, 2016

Stock Market Technically Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very interesting day. They were up at the opening, came down, tested yesterday’s lows successfully, although the S&P 500 made a lower low, and the Nasdaq 100 did not confirm. They then rallied sharply to midday, pulled back in the afternoon, and in the last hour they came back again to close mixed on the session.

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

SPX Near a Confirmed Sell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be on its way to the 50-day Moving Average at 2149.76. However, the trigger point for a confirmed sell may be the Broadening Top trendline and previous bottom at 2160.39 for a confirmed sell signal. In fact, the confirmation may have been at the failed bounce after the decline to 2160.39. In any event, the SPX still has a distance to go. The floodgates of selling may open beneath the 50-day M.A., so it may be good to be ahead of the crowd.

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

S&P 500 Supported on Several Fronts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Richard_Cox

The last year saw a host of conflicting news events across the globe that affected the entire financial market.  The S&P 500 index was no exception. During this period, the S&P moved from 1,810 to 2,180 registering gains of over 20% in the process. Despite weakening economic data and building uncertainties in many global economies, the S&P 500 still managed to outperform it contemporaries due mainly to stronger domestic economic reports in the US.

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Next Monetary Experiment - Japan Prepares To Buy Pretty Much Everything / Stock-Markets / Trading Systems

By: John_Rubino

For most of the world, the past decade’s monetary and fiscal experiments are viewed as failures. See, for instance, French support for the EU project crumbling on both left and right and Why were smart people suckered by Abenomics?

So what do the best and brightest now running global economic policy do when their experiments don’t work? Apparently they double down, repeating the experiment with an even bigger dose. In Japan:

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Stock Market Long View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

You may have noticed that I have used two different Orthodox Broadening top trendlines. Both work, but for different reasons. The top one shows maximum resistance where the SPX has not been able to overcome it, while the lower one shows support, which has been broken in the past and appears to be challenged again today.

Monday, August 29, 2016

The Power of Price Spikes On Intraday Charts / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week ended on a very positive note for those who follow and trade filtered price spikes.

What is a filtered price spike? In short, I scan pre-market, and post-market trading hours’ price charts of SPY, QQQ, IWM, GLD, and GDX for a very special odd tick in the market which creates a spike on the chart.

These spikes could be to the upside or downside, does not matter. What they tell me is the direction which the market (market makers) are going to try and move the market in then next 48 hours.

Monday, August 29, 2016

Stock Market No Clear Short-Term Direction, Will It Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, August 29, 2016

Have The Markets Become Too Big to Fail? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long discusses with John Rubino

Government Interference

"Governments are acting like they don't think they can handle a garden variety equities bear market anymore."

You're seeing central banks all of a sudden become among the biggest buyers of equities in the world. It's one thing to buy bonds and intervene in the interest rate markets, but another to buy equity. This is governments buying the industrial capacity of the world and from an Austrian Economics point of view, this is catastrophically dangerous.

Sunday, August 28, 2016

Post Yellen = Market Confusion / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Yellen seems to me to be mastering the art of saying things so that everyone can come away hearing what they wanted to hear.

For those concerned about the Fed leaving interest rates too low for too long, she adopted a hawkish view on the economy, particularly when it comes to the payrolls. For those thinking that any Fed rate hike would send the Dollar soaring, pressuring Emerging Markets as well as equity markets both here domestically and elsewhere, she sounded the theme of interest rates remaining low for a long time. Thus, if the Fed were to hike sooner rather than later, no need to worry because it would not signal the beginning of a rapid series of rate hikes.

Sunday, August 28, 2016

Stocks, the Era of Centralization is Ending… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The most critical element of the BREXIT is that it is THE closing bell being rung on the period of Centralization from 2009 to today.

What do I meant by Centralization? I am referring to the era of Central Planning of the global economy by Central Banks.

In the US, we’ve seen the Federal Government/ Federal Reserve become involved in virtually every major industry in the economy including insurance, healthcare, housing/mortgages, banking, financial services, and even energy.

Sunday, August 28, 2016

Janet Yellen At Jackson Hole / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Jesse

The equity markets are bouncing along support on the lower bound as they wait to hear what Chairman Yellen has to say about the Fed's perspective tomorrow and what else is said over the next few days at Jackson Hole.

As for gold and silver, they went down in honor of the option expiration on the Comex for the most part this week, and today is just the anti-climax.

Traders claim to be 'confused' about what the Fed is up to. So for their benefit and yours, here is a brief cheatsheet.

Saturday, August 27, 2016

SPX Downtrend Should be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

The market started the week at SPX 2184. After a decline to SPX 2176 on Monday the market rallied to 2193. A pullback followed to SPX 2170 on Thursday, then a gap up opening on Friday, rally to 2188, selloff to 2160, then ended the week at 2169. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.75%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: existing home sales, Q2 GDP, consumer sentiment, and the Q3 GDP estimate. On the uptick: new home sales, the FHFA, durable goods orders, plus weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly payrolls, ISM and the PCE. Best to your week!

Saturday, August 27, 2016

Yellen Plays Both Sides Again... Stock Market Doesn't Trust Her.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market had spent weeks ahead of the Jackson Hole, Wyoming speech by fed Yellen before making any type of move that included some volatility and a try higher with some force. The thinking was different depending on who you asked. Some thought she'd simply say nothing other than the usual, which was she'll raise when it's appropriate meaning she's looking at the data that comes in from report to report. Others thought she'd definitely talk about raising rates in September. That she'd give a definitive date and then we'd see how the market responds. She played the middle ground. She's very good at being vague. She said that employment is full, and that things are better and that rate hike is coming. We already know one is coming Ms. Yellen. But when? She didn't say. Same old. She'll see. When she feels like it she will.

Saturday, August 27, 2016

Stock Market - All Is Calm, All Is Not Right / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Doug_Wakefield

With every passing year since 2008, support for the idea of free markets and open competition without constant intervention by central banks has been declining. The idea of trust your central banker to always “assist” the markets has lead the public at large into the false illusion that stocks can always be engineered to return to all time highs in the US, even if just reaching these levels recently. 

Friday, August 26, 2016

How Extreme Oversold Markets Can Be Profitable / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The trading week was starting to look as though it was going to end without any excitement. Wow, did that ever change on Friday!

On Wednesday Aug 24^th, the stock market sold off to a level which I consider to be an extreme oversold condition for the week. While I do have several criteria as to why and how I come to the conclusion, the chart and indicator below show me when the market is oversold and ready for a bounce.

Friday, August 26, 2016

Stock Market Slightly Down Day with Positive Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had an interesting, topsy-turvy day. They came down at the opening, rallied back to resistance, but both indices were unable to get through, and then they rolled over in a 5-wave decline to retest the lows, only to bounce in the last half hour. It was a negative close, but with positive technicals.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 33.07 at 18,448.41. The S&P 500 was down 2.97 at 2172.47. The Nasdaq 100 was down 8.06 at 4775.43.