Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, January 25, 2009
Stock Market Bulls and Bears Lick Their Wounds / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Once again, a lot of back and forth action occurred on the indexes, but not real movement. After the most recent sell-off, the market has begun to move in an ever-smaller price range. For those on either side of the spectrum, there are plenty of arguments as to why a new bull market is being born, or the bear market will continue.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 25, 2009
Investor Flight to Safety as Global Recession Fears Intensify / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
Fears about the intensity of the global recession and renewed skepticism regarding the beleaguered financial sector fueled a flight to safety during the past holiday-shortened trading week. President Obama's inauguration offered only a brief respite from the dreadful economic and earnings data and pounding of the stock markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 25, 2009
Financial Crisis TARP Bailouts and Dow Jones Index Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
- Stocks for the Long Run and Other Myths
- Mister Softee is Only Worth 136 Dow Points
- Nash-Kelvinator, Studebaker, and Other US Giants
- TARP 3 and 4 Are on the Way
What does it mean for Citigroup to be at $3? As it turns out, it distorts the information we think we are getting from the Dow Jones Industrial Index. And more TARP money is surely in our future, and far more than anyone in authority is now suggesting. This week's letter will cover both topics and a little more. I think you will find it interesting.
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Saturday, January 24, 2009
Stock Market Grinding Volatility due to Good and Bad Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
The market gapped down on bad earnings from General Electric (NYSE: GE), even though Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) was rewarded for their earnings report. One good and one bad just like the other day when Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) was good and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was bad. We gapped down and ran only to have the usual strong reversal back up. We fell again and basically tested the days lows and then fired on up. We got very close to that super important 805 support level when the bulls kicked things in and ran it back up thus saving a fast move down to the old lows at 775 Sp. From there it was slow erosion back down but did close green on the Sp and Nas.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 24, 2009
Stock Market Oversold into Seasonally Strong Period / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: The market is oversold going into a seasonally strong period.
Short Term - After 3 consecutive down weeks the market is oversold.
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Saturday, January 24, 2009
Dow Jones Index Stocks Bear Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Last week we took a close look at the November low, and reviewed the price action since then relative to extremely short-term trading tactics. Later in this piece, after taking a retrospective look back at the Transportation average, we will explore some merits and challenges associated with executing medium-term speculative strategies. The small chart plots three months of daily closes for the Dow Jones Industrials. It shows that the move up toward the January high was clearly corrective.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 24, 2009
Depression or Recession as GE Price Crashes to 12 Year Low / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As GE goes, so does the nation? There is (or was) a saying in Michigan, “As GM goes so goes Michigan.” We might want to modify that phrase for General Electric and the country. Profit from continuing operations declined 43 percent to $3.87 billion, or 36 cents a share, amid the global credit crisis that eroded income at the finance segment.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2009
Stock Market, What's Next? Another Leg Down, or Rally? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Most investors only look at what is happening to the "Broad Market".
For instance, tracking the action of an index such as the S&P or the NASDAQ is an observation of broad-market action because you are looking at the composite action of all the stocks within each index.
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Friday, January 23, 2009
Financial Crisis Bear Markets, Things Are Always Worst at the Bottom / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
The inimitable Dennis Gartman, who has been publishing his popular commentary since 1987, took a break from one of his busy days to chat with The Gold Report. As he reads it, things will get worse before they get better—but we're not facing Armageddon. In fact, he posits that the worse the news gets the closer we are to emerging from the economic morass. He agrees that liquidity injections by the Fed and central banks the world over will lead to inflation—but he foresees single-digit stuff as opposed to hyperinflation. He favors modest holdings in physical gold—but would rather lose money on the bullion and coins he personally holds. He buys into the peak oil argument—but doesn't expect the day the world runs out of crude oil to dawn for maybe 10,000 years.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 23rd January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extended Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March renews this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1203.18 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2009
Another Rollercoaster Day on the Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The ‘could go up, could go down' club that is the Dow Jones these days continues its volatile flirtation with the psychological 8,000 level. More disappointing earnings, guidance numbers and layoff news from Microsoft, eBay, Lockheed, AMD and the regional banks took their toll. The Dow finished down 130 points yesterday, despite a late in the day rally.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Wild Stock Market Swings in Losing Session / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The market certainly got some volatility today, down in the morning, up mid-day and then back down late in the day. But it ended with losses for the session. The day started out with a big gap down on negative futures. They backed and filled in the morning, bear-flagged, and then went lower, reaching the session lows by mid-morning. That was right at yesterday's mid-day lows. When those levels held the indices then staged a rally.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Financial Markets Forecasts for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
2008 was the year that collatorised debt obligations wiped out the capital bases of the west's biggest banks, which played itself out during September 2008 following the china syndrome chain reaction that followed the Lehman's bust that led to the unprecedented actions of capital injections and nationalisation of too big to fail banks that looks set to continue for the whole of 2009 and beyond. The crisis had been festering and growing since the August 2007 interbank market freeze due to flawed and some could say fraudulent mark to market valuation of worthless over leveraged mortgage backed CDO's.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Worst Stocks Bear Market for 200 Years! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
We have featured the work of Wharton Finance Professor Jeremy Siegel on a number of occasions and are doing so again to get some badly needed perspective on what is, by all objective accounts, a very confusing current market picture.
Siegel's work has both adherents and detractors, but it's hard to argue with his data. His most famous work may be the following bit of pictorial pulchritude:
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Thursday, January 22, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 22nd January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight due to short covering as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March renews this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1205.55 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1193.52. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1205.55. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1132.00. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1123.08.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Death Agony of Thatcherism Deregulated Financial System Model / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
During the end of the 1970's into the 1980's British Conservative Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and the City of London financial interests who backed her, introduced wholesale measures of privatization, state budget cuts, moves against labor and deregulation of the financial markets. She did so in parallel with similar moves in the USA initiated by advisers around President Ronald Reagan. The claim was that hard medicine was needed to curb inflation and that the bloated state bureaucracy was a central problem.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Stock Market 2009 Elliott Wave Count Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
The short-term Elliott Wave count of the S&P 500 Index is shown below, with the preferred count shown in colour and the alternate count shown in grey. For the preferred count to be correct, wave [b] of a triangle MUST be forming at present, and follow through to wave [e] for completion to form wave XX before starting wave Z…this pattern represents a triple combination that would allow the broad stock markets to rise into mid March/early April 2009.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Another Bear Market Bounce Or Stocks Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks rallied hard yesterday from oversold levels as newbie Treasury Secretary Tim “the enchanter” Geithner talked of the need for a “forceful” fiscal stimulus and action on a “dramatic scale” to strengthen banks. He also hinted that plans for a “ bad bank ” may be gaining traction. A round of executive bank share purchases from Jamie Dimon (550k shares) at J.P. Morgan and embattled Ken Lewis at Bank of America (200k shares) also helped to give better tone to financials and instil a bit of much needed confidence. But it may be just another dead bank bounce.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Where the Stock Market, Gold and Silver are Headed Next / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
January 20th, 2009 probably one of the biggest days of this year, marked by several key new appointments. We have inaugurated our 44th president, Barack Hussein Obama, elected into office with the hopes that he will bring with him, a magic wand and resolve two decades of excess liquidity and derivative growth. A hope that will, undoubtedly, be shattered very quickly. Obama will simply continuing doing what actually start this problem and that is, print more money (or the new politically correct term, quantitative easing). The only ideal “solution” at this point, is for current government to successfully create another bubble somewhere.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Stock Market Still Has A Pulse / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The market took back a large chunk of what it lost yesterday. However, considering the losses that have stretched over almost two weeks, the market is still under water. On the positive side, both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have established a lower low-for the time being. Both are also currently sitting right above support levels. For the S&P 500, support is in the 800 area and resistance is in the 850 area. For the DJIA, support is located in the 8000 area while it faces resistance at around 8280.Read full article... Read full article...