Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, January 26, 2009
Financial Markets at Cross Roads On Stimulus Plan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Proposed Economic Stimulus Plan May Not Stimulate Much
The new administration is proposing an $825 billion "stimulus" plan. Most of the package is geared toward helping existing or expanded programs such as unemployment assistance, law enforcement, food stamps, etc. Much of this spending will "save" existing jobs or keep existing programs already in place. This may help prevent things from getting worse, but it will offer little in the way of providing new stimulation for the economy. Another large portion of the stimulus plan is in the form of tax cuts. While depreciation incentives may spur some new business spending, credits to individuals may offer little incentive to spend given the state of their balance sheets and concerns about employment. After all the hype about infrastructure spending, only about 25% of the package is geared toward this area.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
Stock Market Trend During Presidential First Year / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
A New Era: But Probably Not The One We Hope For - With the inauguration of President Obama, the world feels that genuine change is in the air. All the policy and economic horrors of the previous administration are soon to be washed away. And before we know it, things will be back to "business as usual" and the great American Dream will soar onward and upward to unseen new heights.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 26th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it extends last week's trading range above the 50% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1154.62. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March renews this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1203.40 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1203.40. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1222.25. First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 1132.00. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1123.08. The March NASDAQ 100 was up 6.50 pts. at 1170.75 as of 5:54 AM CST. Overnight action sets the stage for a higher opening by March NASDAQ 100 when the day session begins later this morning.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
How to React to the Bad Stock Market News / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
We had a lot of new people join the site earlier this month and I've been getting lots of emails and questions from them. One thing that stands out though is a lot of people asking about news items. For instance going into last week I had someone email and ask about the earnings for airline stocks. They wanted to know if they should buy or sell because of the earnings. How to game the news so to speak.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
How to Trade the Stocks Bear Market DIA ,Gold, Silver and Crude Oil ETF's / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Broad Market Trading AnalysisLast week the broad market slide lower on heavy volume as the DOW tries to hold the 8000 level. If this support level is broken then we could see another leg lower with the DOW sliding down to the 6500 level. The reason I am mentioning this is because gold surged higher on Friday with big volume as traders start to anticipate this drop as well as the drop in the USD which is currently at a short term resistance level. If the market starts to drop, then holding gold stocks may not be the best safe haven. When the market sells off it tends to pull all stocks with it, by holding GLD fund or physical gold, SLV fund or physical silver, and the USO fund or physical crude oil, you could have better returns on your investment trading the commodity rather than going long stocks in a bear market.
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Monday, January 26, 2009
Peter Schiff Was Wrong / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
There are numerous YouTube videos, articles, and references to Peter Schiff being "right" rapidly circulating the globe. While Schiff was indeed correct about the US imploding, most of the praise heaped on Schiff is simply unwarranted, and I can prove it.First, let's start with a look at the claim being made. Peter Schiff concludes many of his articles, books, etc. with the following statement.
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Monday, January 26, 2009
Corporate Earnings to Drive This Weeks Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
Equity markets remain wary and soft with earnings (or the lack of them) remaining the focus. This week, 137 companies from the S&P 500 are reporting earnings results , including 12 Dow Jones components. American Express (expected EPS $0.22), Caterpillar ($1.31), Texas Instruments ($0.12) and McDonalds ($0.83) are due today. With earnings per share (EPS) expectations this low, it hammers home the point that the pain has spread beyond the banking system and that we have entered a synchronized slowdown globally. So just another manic Monday in prospect then.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Remains at Neutral / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The "dumb money" sentiment indicator remains neutral on the equity markets, and the "smart money" remains bearish. It should be noted that this is the seventh week in a row where the "dumb money" is neutral, and this is not a scenario that is generally supportive of higher prices especially with prices on the S&P500 under their 40 week moving average. The ideal situation for higher equity prices would be for the "smart money" to be bullish and the "dumb money" bearish (i.e., bull signal).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Imminent Intermediate Term Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - We are testing the former lows. They look as if they are going to hold, but ...!
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Sunday, January 25, 2009
Protect Your Wealth Using Alternative Investment Strategies / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
VelShan Thani writes: There are many arguments among the economic analysts and experts about whether we are having inflation or deflation or stagflation or depression and so on and so forth.
I was prompted to write this article by those arguments.
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Sunday, January 25, 2009
Stock Market Bulls and Bears Lick Their Wounds / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Once again, a lot of back and forth action occurred on the indexes, but not real movement. After the most recent sell-off, the market has begun to move in an ever-smaller price range. For those on either side of the spectrum, there are plenty of arguments as to why a new bull market is being born, or the bear market will continue.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 25, 2009
Investor Flight to Safety as Global Recession Fears Intensify / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
Fears about the intensity of the global recession and renewed skepticism regarding the beleaguered financial sector fueled a flight to safety during the past holiday-shortened trading week. President Obama's inauguration offered only a brief respite from the dreadful economic and earnings data and pounding of the stock markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 25, 2009
Financial Crisis TARP Bailouts and Dow Jones Index Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
- Stocks for the Long Run and Other Myths
- Mister Softee is Only Worth 136 Dow Points
- Nash-Kelvinator, Studebaker, and Other US Giants
- TARP 3 and 4 Are on the Way
What does it mean for Citigroup to be at $3? As it turns out, it distorts the information we think we are getting from the Dow Jones Industrial Index. And more TARP money is surely in our future, and far more than anyone in authority is now suggesting. This week's letter will cover both topics and a little more. I think you will find it interesting.
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Saturday, January 24, 2009
Stock Market Grinding Volatility due to Good and Bad Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
The market gapped down on bad earnings from General Electric (NYSE: GE), even though Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) was rewarded for their earnings report. One good and one bad just like the other day when Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) was good and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was bad. We gapped down and ran only to have the usual strong reversal back up. We fell again and basically tested the days lows and then fired on up. We got very close to that super important 805 support level when the bulls kicked things in and ran it back up thus saving a fast move down to the old lows at 775 Sp. From there it was slow erosion back down but did close green on the Sp and Nas.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 24, 2009
Stock Market Oversold into Seasonally Strong Period / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: The market is oversold going into a seasonally strong period.
Short Term - After 3 consecutive down weeks the market is oversold.
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Saturday, January 24, 2009
Dow Jones Index Stocks Bear Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Last week we took a close look at the November low, and reviewed the price action since then relative to extremely short-term trading tactics. Later in this piece, after taking a retrospective look back at the Transportation average, we will explore some merits and challenges associated with executing medium-term speculative strategies. The small chart plots three months of daily closes for the Dow Jones Industrials. It shows that the move up toward the January high was clearly corrective.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 24, 2009
Depression or Recession as GE Price Crashes to 12 Year Low / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
As GE goes, so does the nation? There is (or was) a saying in Michigan, “As GM goes so goes Michigan.” We might want to modify that phrase for General Electric and the country. Profit from continuing operations declined 43 percent to $3.87 billion, or 36 cents a share, amid the global credit crisis that eroded income at the finance segment.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2009
Stock Market, What's Next? Another Leg Down, or Rally? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Most investors only look at what is happening to the "Broad Market".
For instance, tracking the action of an index such as the S&P or the NASDAQ is an observation of broad-market action because you are looking at the composite action of all the stocks within each index.
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Friday, January 23, 2009
Financial Crisis Bear Markets, Things Are Always Worst at the Bottom / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
The inimitable Dennis Gartman, who has been publishing his popular commentary since 1987, took a break from one of his busy days to chat with The Gold Report. As he reads it, things will get worse before they get better—but we're not facing Armageddon. In fact, he posits that the worse the news gets the closer we are to emerging from the economic morass. He agrees that liquidity injections by the Fed and central banks the world over will lead to inflation—but he foresees single-digit stuff as opposed to hyperinflation. He favors modest holdings in physical gold—but would rather lose money on the bullion and coins he personally holds. He buys into the peak oil argument—but doesn't expect the day the world runs out of crude oil to dawn for maybe 10,000 years.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 23rd January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extended Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March renews this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1203.18 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...