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Friday, January 23, 2009

Financial Crisis Bear Markets, Things Are Always Worst at the Bottom / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: The_Gold_Report

The inimitable Dennis Gartman, who has been publishing his popular commentary since 1987, took a break from one of his busy days to chat with The Gold Report. As he reads it, things will get worse before they get better—but we're not facing Armageddon. In fact, he posits that the worse the news gets the closer we are to emerging from the economic morass. He agrees that liquidity injections by the Fed and central banks the world over will lead to inflation—but he foresees single-digit stuff as opposed to hyperinflation. He favors modest holdings in physical gold—but would rather lose money on the bullion and coins he personally holds. He buys into the peak oil argument—but doesn't expect the day the world runs out of crude oil to dawn for maybe 10,000 years.

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Friday, January 23, 2009

Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 23rd January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading

By: INO

The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extended Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March renews this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1203.18 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

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Friday, January 23, 2009

Another Rollercoaster Day on the Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

The ‘could go up, could go down' club that is the Dow Jones these days continues its volatile flirtation with the psychological 8,000 level. More disappointing earnings, guidance numbers and layoff news from Microsoft, eBay, Lockheed, AMD and the regional banks took their toll. The Dow finished down 130 points yesterday, despite a late in the day rally.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Wild Stock Market Swings in Losing Session / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Harry_Boxer

The market certainly got some volatility today, down in the morning, up mid-day and then back down late in the day. But it ended with losses for the session. The day started out with a big gap down on negative futures. They backed and filled in the morning, bear-flagged, and then went lower, reaching the session lows by mid-morning. That was right at yesterday's mid-day lows. When those levels held the indices then staged a rally.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Financial Markets Forecasts for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

2008 was the year that collatorised debt obligations wiped out the capital bases of the west's biggest banks, which played itself out during September 2008 following the china syndrome chain reaction that followed the Lehman's bust that led to the unprecedented actions of capital injections and nationalisation of too big to fail banks that looks set to continue for the whole of 2009 and beyond. The crisis had been festering and growing since the August 2007 interbank market freeze due to flawed and some could say fraudulent mark to market valuation of worthless over leveraged mortgage backed CDO's.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Worst Stocks Bear Market for 200 Years! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Oxbury_Research

We have featured the work of Wharton Finance Professor Jeremy Siegel on a number of occasions and are doing so again to get some badly needed perspective on what is, by all objective accounts, a very confusing current market picture.

Siegel's work has both adherents and detractors, but it's hard to argue with his data. His most famous work may be the following bit of pictorial pulchritude:

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 22nd January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading

By: INO

The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight due to short covering as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are still possible near-term. If March renews this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1205.55 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1193.52. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1205.55. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1132.00. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1123.08.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Death Agony of Thatcherism Deregulated Financial System Model / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: F_William_Engdahl

During the end of the 1970's into the 1980's British Conservative Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and the City of London financial interests who backed her, introduced wholesale measures of privatization, state budget cuts, moves against labor and deregulation of the financial markets. She did so in parallel with similar moves in the USA initiated by advisers around President Ronald Reagan. The claim was that hard medicine was needed to curb inflation and that the bloated state bureaucracy was a central problem.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Stock Market 2009 Elliott Wave Count Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: David_Petch

The short-term Elliott Wave count of the S&P 500 Index is shown below, with the preferred count shown in colour and the alternate count shown in grey. For the preferred count to be correct, wave [b] of a triangle MUST be forming at present, and follow through to wave [e] for completion to form wave XX before starting wave Z…this pattern represents a triple combination that would allow the broad stock markets to rise into mid March/early April 2009.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Another Bear Market Bounce Or Stocks Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Stocks rallied hard yesterday from oversold levels as newbie Treasury Secretary Tim “the enchanter” Geithner talked of the need for a “forceful” fiscal stimulus and action on a “dramatic scale” to strengthen banks. He also hinted that plans for a “ bad bank ” may be gaining traction. A round of executive bank share purchases from Jamie Dimon (550k shares) at J.P. Morgan and embattled Ken Lewis at Bank of America (200k shares) also helped to give better tone to financials and instil a bit of much needed confidence. But it may be just another dead bank bounce.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Where the Stock Market, Gold and Silver are Headed Next / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Daniel_Smolski

January 20th, 2009 probably one of the biggest days of this year, marked by several key new appointments. We have inaugurated our 44th president, Barack Hussein Obama, elected into office with the hopes that he will bring with him, a magic wand and resolve two decades of excess liquidity and derivative growth. A hope that will, undoubtedly, be shattered very quickly. Obama will simply continuing doing what actually start this problem and that is, print more money (or the new politically correct term, quantitative easing). The only ideal “solution” at this point, is for current government to successfully create another bubble somewhere.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Stock Market Still Has A Pulse / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Kingsley_Anderson

The market took back a large chunk of what it lost yesterday. However, considering the losses that have stretched over almost two weeks, the market is still under water. On the positive side, both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have established a lower low-for the time being. Both are also currently sitting right above support levels. For the S&P 500, support is in the 800 area and resistance is in the 850 area. For the DJIA, support is located in the 8000 area while it faces resistance at around 8280.

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Thursday, January 22, 2009

Stock Market Indices Snapback in Significant Turnaround Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets had a strong opening, a tough and steep retest that held, and then some mid-day back and forth vacillations, at which point the direction looked in doubt. Two or three mid-day tests of support held, and then they started a very strong rally that started feeding on itself spurred by apparent short covering, and in the last hour in particular spiked up right into the close with sharp gains.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Proshares Ultrashort SPY Upleg Near Completion / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that after the Proshares Ultrashort SPY (AMEX: SDS) pulled back (to 82.88) during the first hour of trading, it climbed strongly to an intraday high at 87.11, which happens to be just shy of yest.'s rally peak at 87.65. The fact that the price structure failed to make a new high, and instead has backed away from the highs, suggests strongly that the upleg from the 1/06 low at 64.29 is at or is quickly nearing completion ahead of a meaningful decline.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Investors Preserve Your Wealth during the Global Banking Crisis / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Gary_Dorsch

“Accepting losses is the single most important investment device to insure safety of capital. It is also the action that most people know the least about, and are least likely to execute. The most important single thing I learned is that accepting losses promptly is the first key to success. It's a great mistake to think that what goes down must come back-up,” warned Gerald Loeb, the Dean of Wall Street, in his epic book “The Battle for Investment Survival,” last copyrighted in 1965.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Fear Trumps Obama Hope As Dow Jones Plunges Below 8,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: PaddyPowerTrader

The public euphoria surrounding Obama's big day out failed to lift equities. The regional banks were laggards and a drag on the S&P while chip stocks led the NASDAQ's fall. Take State Street bank for example, who were meant to be one of the “safe” plays in financials. Despite better earnings they finished down 59% after a shambolic investor call in which it became apparent that they had a major issue with off balance sheet vehicles. If taken back on the balance sheet it would cost $23bn in unrealised losses on bonds.

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Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Disastrous Stock Market Session Welcomes Our New President / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets had an unmitigated disastrous session today, opening lower with a gap down on negative pre-market futures and selling off sharply early in the morning. They bounced back and forth around the inauguration, and when there was nothing major said of economic significance, the markets continued to make lower lows and lower highs all day, failing to break through trendlines or moving averages at any point, and closing near the lows for the day going away.

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Tuesday, January 20, 2009

FTSE 100 Index Stock Market Forecast 2009 / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

I am expecting the FTSE stock market index to follow a similar trend to the Dow Jones, however the ongoing currency crash means that the FTSE 'should' perform relatively more strongly than the Dow as a consequence of the exchange rate movement. The in-depth analysis of October 2008 - Stocks Bear Market Long-term Investing Strategy that accurately forecast the 20% corrective rally (that appears to have terminated) to be followed by a subsequent stocks bear market low in Mid 2009, included was the strategy of scaling into the market at the rate of 10% of funds allocated to stock market investing per each month that the stock market was within 10% of its lows. The bear market rally following the October low has been very weak, which suggests much lower trading than the October low.

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Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Dow Jones Stock Market Forecast 2009 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Looking forward a week is hard enough let alone 12 months, Still, the in-depth analysis of October 2008 - Stocks Bear Market Long-term Investing Strategy that accurately forecast a 20% corrective rally (that appears to have terminated) and a subsequent stocks bear market low in Mid 2009, with a strategy of scaling into the market at the rate of 10% of funds allocated to stock holdings per each month that the market is within 10% of its lows. The bear market rally following the November lows has been weak, which does not bode well for stocks, as the hope associated with the Obama rally appears to have evaporated.

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Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Presidential Cycle Suggests Strong Stocks Bull Market in.. 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Nilus Mattive writes: I don't consider myself a political person. I don't stay up late on election nights to tally results. Nor do I put signs up in my front yard. In fact, my personal views about the way our great country should be run don't even fit into any of the mainstream viewpoints.

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