Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 15, 2009
Risk Aversion Returns To Haunt Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
It's now official; the horrific US retails sales numbers yesterday confirm that for many consumers Christmas was indeed cancelled. The price action in equity markets tells us that the New Year is less “hey ho, hey ho” and now “I owe, I owe, it's off to sell stocks we go”. Worth noting is that the index of banking stocks plummeted through the lows of November 2008 yesterday. There really was nowhere to hide with the broader S&P 500 and the NASDAQ faring even worse in terms of percentage declines.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Stock Market Forecast 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
With the New Year comes the annual tradition of predictions on where the stock market is headed. It has been a long time since I have so much variability in forecasts. Main stream economists have abandoned the usual permabull stance and many are in fact predicting large declines. Most, however, continue with a staunch approach of buy-and-hold in the face of the biggest declines since 2001. Any buy-and-hold investor who purchased after 1997 is now officially sitting in the red.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Ouch! Stock Market Takes It On The Chin / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
All things considered, the beating stocks took yesterday was quite expected. It seemed clear that support was going to be breached on the indexes. As shown on the charts below, there is one last line of defense for the Dow Jones Industrial and the S&P 500 before reaching the lows. Notice also, that volume has been picking up over the last several days. That is not a good sign for the bulls.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Stock Market Indices Plunge and Close Sharply Lower / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Quite a negative session today. The indices plunged from the get-go as pre-market futures were sharply lower. They went lower and sharply so all morning, hit the morning lows after about an hour and a half, and then bounced around for several ours in consolidation mode. They did try to break out mid-afternoon and made slightly higher rally highs, but couldn't follow through overhead resistance and rolled over to new 6 day lows on the Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 tested the lows but didn't confirm the NDX downside move, and they then both bounced into the close.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Insitutional Investors Stock Index Trading Range Breakout Imminent / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
This Friday, it will be 6 full weeks that the Institutional Index has stayed within its trading range ... will it make it that long?
It was exactly one week ago when we showed you the 60 minute Point & Figure chart for the Institutional "core holdings" index. Last week's chart is posted first, followed by this week's chart.
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Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 14th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it extends Monday's decline below the 20-day moving average. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1156.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1231.42 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Stock Markets Waiting on Obamulus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Here is a new word for your lexicon. Obama + Stimulus = Obamulus. In a word that is what the market is focused upon plus key bellwether earnings reports due Thursday from JP Morgan, Intel and Genetech. Indices turned around yesterday after Bernanke's (“I'm all in”) LSE speech and word that Senate Majority leader Reid believes he has enough votes to get approval for the additional $350bn of the TARP. So led by financials the blue chip Dow finished only modestly lower with the broader indices and the NASDAQ getting their head above water.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
The Stock Markets Next Move / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Despite the recent sell-off in the market, when all is said and done, the S&P 500 is still caught in a range between 850 and 950. As I mentioned at the beginning of the week, if 850 is breached, the retest of the November low will likely occur. The longer the index stays in this trading range, the more significant a breakout in either direction.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
The Most Important Investment Report of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Do you know what to expect from the markets in 2009? Are you prepared to take advantage of the opportunities – and avoid the dangerous pitfalls – that you will face this year?
Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm, has just released a free report that can help.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Timing the Next Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
What is it going to take before we see a bottom in stocks leading to a new bull market?Time.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Capitalism At Risk: Live Free Or Die / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has gone beyond playing with fire, and may have indeed set the house on fire. It's one thing to push interest rates to near zero to stimulate the economy; it's another to “ monetize the debt ” by printing money to buy government debt. In recent weeks, the Fed has broken outside even those boundaries and become actively engaged in managing the private sector beyond the core banking system. Worse still, the steps taken may be difficult to reverse and as such may shape the U.S. economy for a long time.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Stock and Commodity Market Investments Themes for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Larry Edelson writes: At the beginning of every new year, just as we do with our personal lives, it pays to take a few steps back … put the past year in the markets into perspective … and contemplate the year ahead.
And today, this is more important than ever.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 13th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
The March NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it extends Monday's decline below the 20-day moving average. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1156.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1231.67 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
How Deregulation Fueled the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Shah Gilani writes: No one person is responsible for the credit crisis, the failure of investment banks, the insolvency of commercial banks world-wide, the implosion of the world's stock markets, or for leading us to the precipice of another great depression.
The truth is there were many.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Banking Stocks Lead Equities Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
There is more than a whiff of October 2008 about the price action yesterday with Citibank (–17%) and Bank of America (–12%) leading equities tumbling. Investors gave a clear thumbs down to the plan by Citi to sell its brokerage business to Morgan Stanley as it smelt like a desperate attempt to raise capital. Some wag called it Citi-Morg! Alcoa kicked off US earnings season and came in with numbers that missed with some style.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Financial Markets Vertigo and Forecasts for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
I get a lot of newsletters from money managers around the country, which I try and read as they are written by people who are “in the trenches,” actually making decisions on behalf of their clients. It broadens my perspective. Frankly, most are not all that well written and unimaginative, but who ever said writing was easy? But some really strike a chord with me. Today’s Outside the Box I have read twice, which is unusual for me. Cliff Draughn is a wealth manager in Savannah, Georgia (Draughn Partners) and a good friend. His letter is a wide ranging tome on a variety of topics, but is full of common sense and one that I think will resonate with readers. I trust you will enjoy this.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Wall Street's Rigged Casino / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Last year was certainly a turbulent one for investors. Not only did good assets and companies sell off with bad, but the very integrity of the U.S. markets was brought into question. Financial firms spend millions of dollars convincing the average citizen that investing in stocks is necessary and prudent, yet the playing field is far from level. Fraud, naked shorting and other forms of manipulation are now endemic to the American markets. As Overstock's lawyer, John O'Quinn points out, “You have more chance to be treated fairly in a casino in Vegas.” How can you invest if you can't trust the system?Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Stock Markets Another Negative Start to the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The markets had another very negative start to the week, much like we've seen over the last few months. The day started out with negative pre market futures, but they weren't too bad. However, The market just opened lower and kept going down.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Stock Market Index Sector Weightings, the Anatomy of a Bubble / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Good Things Come to Those Who “Weight” - There's nothing like a bubble to make the markets really exciting. You can make a lot of money in bubbles…if you get out in time (emphasis on the “if”).
It's not very easy though.
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Monday, January 12, 2009
US Stock Market Index Open Interest Put / Call Ratio Analysis / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Well, Santa has come and gone and provided those who bet on a Christmas time rally a nice return, the best ever in fact with respect to the broads. After such an outcome, it's traditional to see a pullback to work-off an overbought condition when the majority of traders return from holidays, so don't be surprised if the broad markets fall early this week. Given continued high and rising US index open interest put / call ratios however, updated here for your review, any weakness in coming days should be temporary, with further squeezing into expiry only two-weeks away now anticipated in knowing speculators have turned increasingly bearish. A review of Figures 1 through 7 in the attached above is the basis of this conclusion.Read full article... Read full article...