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Friday, January 30, 2009

Stock Market Rally Reverses Lower / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had a definite down day on Thursday, reversing the rally as they started out with a very negative pre-market, with lower futures. The markets gapped lower, rallied back to the gaps and failed, and then rolled over in stair step fashion for the rest of the day. A mid-afternoon rally also failed at resistance, with the S&P 500 closing very near the lows for the day.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Obama's Role in the Next Stock Market Breakout Direction / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Oxbury_Research

A hunch is a dangerous thing… And nowhere is it more dangerous than in the investment world, where a wrong hunch can get you a one way ticket to poverty bay.

That said, we thought we'd let you know ours anyway. We have a hunch the market is ready for a very sizeable move. That shouldn't surprise you; after all the VIX is still hovering in the stratosphere, and big moves are, by definition, accompanied by elevated levels in volatility.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Peter Schiff Rebuttal- A Response to My Critics / Stock-Markets / Managed Accounts

By: Peter_Schiff

My popularity on television and the internet has led a very small money manager to use his popular financial blog to promote his fledgling business by attacking the recent poor performance of my long-term investment strategy. The post is causing quite a stir and compels me to provide some badly needed context.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Wall Street Deception, Political Quest for Remedy Positives for Gold Safehaven / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Jim_Willie_CB

What an interesting time we live in! By now, anyone who feels burned by the establishment, whether the Wall Street banksters (fraud kings) or US Congressional representatives (paid lobbyist clients), or US Congress banking committees (bribed Wall Street tools), or a private hedge fund con man (protected by regulators), or financial markets (victims of naked shorting), or an employer (from foreign plant & equipment investments), beware. More deception and betrayal and smokescreens and outright lies lie directly ahead.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

How Hedge Funds, Pyromaniacs and Gangsters Caused the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: Let's face it: The financial services sector has suffered a severe loss in popularity.

The result is that governments in both the United Kingdom and the United States are looking for lightening rods to absorb all the criticism, and bankers have made for the ideal candidates.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Stock Market Buoyed By US Fed And Treasury / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

After hanging on with its fingertips to the slippy 8,000 level despite the onslaught of awful earnings, weak guidance and dire economic data, the Dow Jones went ahead last night after a market friendly FoMC statement from the US Federal reserve. New Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner helped too, saying that the government has lots of options to keep banks private and has no intention of nationalising them. Add to this the idea of a non punitive bad bank and the talk of an extra $2trn in capital injections and no wonder bank stocks went higher.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Stock Market Punches Through Resistance / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Kingsley_Anderson

So much for resistance. Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ blew through resistance levels, including their respective 50 day moving averages. The DJIA was the laggard, unable to breach overhead resistance and the 50 dma.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Stock Market Bottom Pickers Beware of the Dow Jones Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We had a slow start to the week with prices drifting sideways and upward on below average volume. Wednesday the market put in a nice rally with small and mid cap stocks leading the way higher. The chart of the Dow or the DIA exchange traded fund shows the low volume clearly. Most indexes are now trading just below a short term resistance level and Wednesdays rally was on light volume. I don't like to be a bear, low volume rallies are not a bullish sign.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Underlying Stock Market Trend Conditions / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

You are looking at the highway and see a car moving swiftly, efficiently, and smoothly down the road.  You think in my youngest son's vernacular and say, "Wow, that's a sweet car".  

After going two hundred feet down the road, the car backfires, sputters, and stops.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

"Bad Bank" Does Not Trump "Bad" Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention

By: Chris_Ciovacco

A "bad bank" does have some positive elements and in the long run could help both the economy and the financial markets. This morning's futures tell me people are focusing on the positives many of which are significant and real. However, when managing risk, especially in a bear market, it pays to play devil's advocate. For investors rushing to buy SPY (S&P 500 ETF), DIA (Dow 30), QQQQ (NASDAQ), or XLF (Financials), it may pay to temper your enthusiasm a little.

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Thursday, January 29, 2009

Stock Market Key Overhead Resistance Gives Way in Bullish Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had a fantastic bullish session as pre-market futures were sharply higher based on the government news about bank corporations that absorb bad debt. In any case, the indices opened sharply higher, backed and filled for the first 45 minutes or so, and then started a strong advance that lasted all morning into mid-afternoon, reaching as high as 1245 the Nasdaq 100, at that point up nearly 32 points. The S&P 500 spiked up near 878, up 31 points. They did have a sharp setback in the last 1 1/2 hours, but in the last 30 minutes took back most of those losses.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Nasdaq Q's Continue to Act Well / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) continue to act well and are right at their highs for today's thrust from a two-week base pattern. My next near-term target is 30.20/50, the lower portion of which already has been met. My higher target of 30.80 to 31.25 coincides with confrontation with the Nov-Jan resistance line, now at 30.80. The resistance line at 30.80 up to 31.25 should put a lid on any "euphoric" reaction to the FOMC statement released at 2:15 pm ET. Conversely, at this juncture only a decline that breaks 29.70 will begin to compromise the still-constructive near-term pattern in the Qs.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 28th January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading

By: INO

The March NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight and is trading above resistance marked by the 20- day moving average crossing at 1205.62. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1205.62 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If March renews this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1097.00 is the next downside target.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Stock Market Volatility VIX Forecasts Trends / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Marty_Chenard

Does a down moving VIX always mean that the market will move up?

As you are well aware, the market is often in conflict with opposing conditions.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Waiting for the Next Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Kingsley_Anderson

If you have been watching the news, plenty of analysts and commentators, especially the perma -bulls, are falling over themselves because the market put in three positive days in a row. That is all fine and good, but one really needs to look at the charts to see the true picture.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Stock Market Up Again Despite Grim Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Stubborn stocks ground out a few more hard yards in the face of more grim economic news. They drew some cheer from better than expected results from American Express (albeit still very weak). That the market can drag itself higher in the face of the current headwinds (job losses, poor earnings and guidance and dire real economy data) reinforces the importance of expectations and the significant pessimism currently built into market pricing.

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Catching the Stocks Bear Market Elliott Wave / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Weekly_Wizards

When we last spoke you discussed how you use investor sentiment indicators ("dumb money") and institutional volume indicators ("smart money") in your analysis. But we'd like to understand more about your third component -- technical analysis -- specifically Elliott Wave?

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Stock Market Quiet Pre-FOMC Trading Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had what we expected, a non-volatile and somewhat quiet pre-FOMC session, although gains were had at the end. The day started out with a move up. They backed off, held intraday price and moving average support, and went to new session highs, testing yesterday's rally highs on both indices, but fell short, and then backed off mid-afternoon to retest the rising 3-day trendlines, which held again. Then they moved back to once again retest the highs, but they were not able to punch through, as resistance was futile today and they backed off into the close.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Stock Markets to Bounce Or Not to Bounce– That Is The Question / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Captain_Hook

Like the others , it appears what was formerly reliable sentiment related analysis associated with the study of open interest put / call ratios has now succumb to an increasingly mature market(s) condition. Of course, technically, such a conclusion could be viewed as incorrect in that the reason stocks did not go up this week was not because of selling, but because of a buyers strike. This is why in spite of such devastatingly bad news associated with the economy, and there was a multitude of it this week, stocks did not fall more. It should be noted this has caught the attention of a great many market participants, which is the dynamic that will eventually set up the next round of ‘unwarranted complacency' we expect to grip investor psychology in spring, allowing for far stepper losses in stocks than is being witnessed at present.

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Interview With the Kress Stock Market Cycle Master, Part2 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Clif_Droke

I have long been an admirer of the stock market cycle analysis of one Samuel J. “Bud” Kress, proprietor of SJK Capital and publisher of the cycle-based SineScope advisory. During my 10 year acquaintance with Mr. Kress, I’ve been privileged to learn of his discovery of a remarkable series of weekly and yearly cycles. These cycles (Kress Cycles as I’ve taken to calling them) have an amazing correlation to each other and are based on the Fibonacci sequence. More importantly, they have accurately identified the major turning points in the financial markets and the economy over the last several years. The Kress Cycles are predicting a major period of change ahead for the U.S. stock market and economy, particularly between the years 2010-2014.

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