Not much commentary is needed when viewing the monthly chart of the Dow. We only need an active imagination. All I will say here is that I have projections from this monthly chart to 6800-6500 and then to 4500. Since this is a monthly chart, however, we need to realize that the timeframe for such a move, and the volatility that could emerge between 8500 and 7500, add some definite challenges to capitalizing from such a move in trading the Dow Diamonds Trust (NYSE: DIA) or the ultra long or short Dow ETF instruments.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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