Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, April 19, 2010
Baltic Dry Index Peaking Impact on Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The 1-month lag between the Baltic Dry Index and selected commodities strikes again. The BDI, a daily index of shipping costs of dry bulk, is often seen as a leading indicator for raw material demand, hence a precursor for global production dynamics.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
U.S. China Currency Clash, This Could Turn Out to be Very Scary... / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The U.S. vs. China currency clash is coming to an end. The investor consensus is that the yuan could appreciate by 5% by the end of this year.
What's at stake?
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Was Friday The Stock Market Top Or The Start Of A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Was that it? Was that the top? While many are asking this question the answer is yet to truly reveal itself. If it is then it's of the trendline break variety.
But more often than not usually you get some sort of rally attempt after it pulls back and then we need to be on our toes. What we really need to see is if this is just a bump in the road or the start of something more.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Breaking Down the Major China ETFs, FXI, PGI and HAO / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
China is a big story, with many moving parts. But these three ETFs can help you keep tabs on the dragon.
So let’s say, as a trader or an investor, you want to get involved in the China story. How do you do it?
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Monday Stock Market Mayhem, Is Goldman’s Goose Cooked? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Goldman, Goldman, Goldman…
Did anything happen this weekend? You sure wouldn’t know it from listening to the MSM, who have no other topic to discuss. I was contacted by over a dozen media people asking me to comment on GS’s guilt or innocence (and, big hint for those of you who like to be quoted - don’t say "how the hell should I know") but, by far, the best analysis I read this week was Sam Antar’s analysis, where Sam says:<
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Goldman Brings Down the Party / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The headline news of the week did not fail to deliver. Like Tiger’s recent life between the bed posts, the markets quickly fell flat after months of posting impressive results.
‘SEC takes off the gloves on Goldman’ reads a headline from the Financial Times…
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Stock Markets Retreat On Various Worries / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Equity investors have not had much to cheer about since our last note on Friday, resulting in widespread losses across the globe. A big dip in US consumer confidence reported Friday afternoon allied with more opinion polls pointing to a “hung” parliament in the UK (due to a surge in support for the Lib Dems). Even Mother Nature is acting against investors. Iceland’s unpronounceable erupting volcano has continued to spew ash into the skies of Europe, grounding aircraft at an estimated cost of about $200m a day according to the International Air Transport Association. In the US, financials lost close to 4% on Friday led by a 13% decline at Goldman Sachs after the SEC charged the bank with fraud in relation to a CDO.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Stock Market "Dumb Money" Indicator Remains Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Yes, it is the same story as the "Dumb Money" indicator remains extremely bullish. And yes, it is the same story as the market has once again enticed increasing number of investors that the "all clear" has been sounded. And yes, it will likely end in the same story as the market will once again serve up the maximum amount of pain for the majority of investors.
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Sunday, April 18, 2010
Goldman Sachs Black Swan Triggers Stock Market Sell Signal? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The out of the blue news that the S.E.C. will actually do its job and attempt to hold Goldman Sachs' to account for mortgage fraud on an epic scale that played a large part in bringing about the whole financial crisis as Goldman's sold toxic mortgage backed securities (MBS) to gullible greedy investors (other banks) that it was betting AGAINST, i.e. was priming the U.S. housing market to collapse so that it could profit from the collapse as the value of MBS were wiped out.
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Sunday, April 18, 2010
Financial Reform Bill Will Devastate U.S. Economy, and Goldman Sachs CDO's Squared / Stock-Markets / US Economy
First, Let's Kill the Angels
Equal Choice, Equal Access, Equal Opportunity
Some Quick Thoughts on Goldman
La Jolla and Dallas
When you draft a 1,300-page "financial reform" bill, various special interests get language tucked into the bill to help their agendas. However, the unintended consequences can be devastating. And the financial reform bill has more than a few such items. Today, we look briefly at a few innocent paragraphs that could simply kill the job-creation engine of the US. I know that a few Congressmen and even more staffers read my letter, so I hope that someone can fix this. The Wall Street Journal today noted that the bill, while flawed, keeps getting better with each revision. Let's hope that's the case here.
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Saturday, April 17, 2010
Indian Stock Market Weekly Analysis and Outlook / Stock-Markets / India
Detailed Technical Analysis with Chart studies from IndianStockCharts.com
Previous Week:
Last Week Nifty failed to make a new high and followed to the downside as was stated in our last week's analysis. We clearly stated that if the ratio of Indian Vix to Nifty touches/crosses above 0.004, then be rest assured that the correction has begun. And so it did. Almost all of last week Nifty was in correction mode with no real buying strength witnessed across the board.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Stock Market Shows Signs of Interim Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Markets move in large wave swing patterns based on the stretches and swings of investor optimism to pessimism. These are known as Elliott Wave Patterns as theorized by R.N. Elliott in the 1920’s and 1930’s. I became a student of his work in 2001 amidst the market mess, and after a few years became a convert that markets move largely on crowd behavioral patterns.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Counts and The Goldman Rule / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I don't usually analyze news events such as the SEC lawsuit against Goldman Sachs. As a trader I am only interested in the market's reaction to news, not the content of the particular item. In this case, I will weigh in on its significance first as a concerned ciitizen first and then as a trader.
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Saturday, April 17, 2010
Goldman Is The Catalyst For Stock Market Selling...Should Be More To Come... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I said over and over, what the market needed was a catalyst to get some real selling going. Where was the catalyst going to come from? Day after day all we had was good news on both the economic front and on the earnings front. The market couldn't find a spark to ignite it lower. The futures were down pre-market. Market fell pretty good once it opened only to see the same old story take place as buyers came in.
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Saturday, April 17, 2010
S&P Reverses as SEC Sues Goldman Sachs for Fraud / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Europe’s air-travel chaos worsened as the ash cloud from an Icelandic volcano spread as far east as Moscow, cutting off parts of Britain, France and Germany and threatening weekend travel.
As many as 15,000 flights may be lost in the region today, or about half the usual timetable, according to Brian Flynn, operations chief at Eurocontrol, which oversees the region’s flight paths. That’s up from 8,000 cancellations yesterday.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment, Is it Providing a Warning? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment is known as a contrary indicator. Here’s how that works.
When a market correction is underway investors naturally become increasingly fearful and bearish as prices continue to fall. By the time the correction ends, investor sentiment has reached a high level of fear and bearishness.
Friday, April 16, 2010
Is The Banking Cartel Failing? What Next? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
“The mortgage chief of the second largest U.S. bank was mobbed by angry borrowers after he invited customers to speak to him if they feared foreclosure of their homes…
"He ran. He ran like a dog with its tail between his legs," said Bruce Marks of the Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America (NACA), which helps homeowners avoid foreclosure. "He was scared to death because he doesn't really want to talk to homeowners."”
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Friday, April 16, 2010
EXTEND & PRETEND: Gaming the US Tax Payer / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Today, April 15th, most of us grudgingly settle our annual obligations with the government tax authorities. But for how long will we keep doing this? How long will we support the government’s Ponzi scheme that makes a mockery out of the monies we have annually contributed obediently to our Social Security and Medicare accounts? What I am going to share with you may make this a haunting question for you throughout the next taxation year.
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Friday, April 16, 2010
High Frequency Trading Friday, The WSJ Finally Catches On! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Has the World gone sane?
I was amazed this morning to see both the usual contrarian indicator of a bullish cover on Newsweek (mission accomplished market pumpers) and a good piece of reporting in the Journal on a topic ZeroHedge and I have been pounding the table on for a year. Our readers will find nothing new in the article "This Market Has Its Freq On" but to see it finally summarized in the MSM (giving us no credit at all, of course) is at least a little bit satisfying.
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Friday, April 16, 2010
It Is All About Corporate Earnings Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
US stocks rose again Thursday, sending the S&P 500 toward its longest weekly winning streak since 2007, as optimism that earnings and the economy are growing overshadowed an unexpected increase in jobless claims. Intel, Caterpillar and General Electric helped lead the Dow higher after Federal Reserve reports showed factory production increased 0.9% in February and regional data indicated the gains extended into this month. UPS rallied 5.3% after lifting its earnings forecast and Mariner Energy surged 42% after Apache agreed to buy the company.
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