Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 23, 2010
Stocks Secular Bear Market Rally, Trees Meet the Forest / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Many people like to look at Japan as instructive relative to the current situation facing the United States (and most of Europe). The current strong up move in stocks has been relentless. It has been no fun and of no use lately to eruditely point out how bad the underlying economy is and how bad the housing market and banking system is. There is little point of understanding the economy as an investor if you cannot make money using the information. Being a general stock market bear has been an incorrect and painful position since the March 2009 lows in many global stock markets.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Stock Market Trading Lessons From the 1998 Russian Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I remember the 1998 Russian debt default crisis and the associated Long Term Capital Management collapse very well. I was a novice trader who found the bearish arguments of the time convincing. It was evident, they said, that the market was in a massive bubble based on debt and loose money and that it couldn't go on much longer before the whole thing blew up. All that was needed was the right catalyst. Not knowing yet that the trend is your friend, I lost money continually trying to short every rally.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Stock Market 20's Hold.....MSFT/AMZN Crushed After Hours..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last night I talked about the area of critical support on the S&P 500 being the 20-day exponential moving average or 1187. 1185 also being strong horizontal support. We got down to 1190 today on the lows after some very bad earnings reports last night. We basically got to those 20-day exponential moving averages and blasted up once again. This is the sign of a very healthy market overall. Yes, we could use some deeper selling but, yes, this is a very powerful bull market that continues to be under rated in my eyes. This is why we've only had long exposure since being lucky enough to call the bottom. No shorts. We gapped down on those numbers from last night and continued to run lower.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Stock Market Indices Rally After Sharp Opening Down-Gap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices staged a fantastic late rally in the afternoon, taking back all the morning losses from the sharp gap-down at the opening and downside follow-through early on.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Greek Debt Crisis Tragedies and Wall Street Worries / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Obama is coming to Wall Street.
The President will laying out his case for legislation at 11:55 to crack down on Wall Street with new regulations. "One of the most significant contributors to this recession was a financial crisis as dire as any we’ve known in generations," Obama will say, according to excerpts from his speech released by the White House.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
Trend Forecasts for Stocks, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil ETFs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s been, an interesting week as stocks and commodities claw their way back up after the end of week sell off on Friday. Most of the chart technical are pointing to another wave lower for gold, silver, oil and the broad market.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
Stocks Bull Market Continues to March Ahead towards Dow 14,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The upward pulse of the bull trend that commenced in March of 2009 continues to forge ahead with considerable power. Both the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials gave new buy confirmation signals last week. That this happened in the middle of an earnings season is most encouraging. Thus it would appear that the probability of the Industrials hitting the 14,000 level without significant difficulty is high, allowing for the odd pullback.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
Retailers Make a Surprising Comeback / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Jon D. Markman writes: You may be hearing a lot of bearish commentary centering on the premise that the market's advance is unsustainable because it has benefited so much from government spending.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
Marc Faber Warnings on China, Industrial Commodities and Australian Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Marc Faber talks about growth in lending and increases in property prices in China. Faber also discusses his caution about buying industrial commodities and Australian stocks. He speaks with Bloomberg's Liza Lin in Singapore.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
MortiES’ EOD Analysis 21April2010 ~ Timid Bulls Pocketing Some Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A little about myself. My name is John Trapp and I write for the "Value of Perfect Information" exclusively. Trading didn't look too difficult to me 22 years ago, so I began trading October 1987. After that experience and a break from trading, I tried again. This time I was going to be a Bear. Perfect for the 90's. So I didn't have a great start as a trader. I paid a lot for my trading education. I was thrilled when I could finally break even on a regular basis. Trading is an avocation for me - one that I take seriously, and one that I consider the most difficult endeavor I have ever undertaken.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
Is the Stock Market Correction Over or Just Beginning? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Equities markets are trading near the highs but a short term lateral correction seems to be in progress.
I like to monitor how the market responds to the stimulus of news items. We have not seen an emergence of the earnings season "sell the news" phenomenon as a general rule so far and that is bullish. Select issues have been hit hard if results have disappointed but others have rallied sharply on positive results and the gains have held.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Short the S&P500, The Pain Trade / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A trading buddy and I frequently talk about the markets, and as always, the conversation turns to the "hardest trade". The "hardest trade" is that trade that has the potential to inflict a lot of pain, but ultimately in the end, it is the right trade. The pain trade is the hardest trade and the trade that yields the best results.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stock Market Whipsaw Wednesday - Is Los Angeles Burning? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Is Los Angeles Burning?
Well, if not, it may be soon as 3,500 city jobs go on the chopping block including 61 firefighters in an area that routinely bursts into flames. Los Angeles County seeks to eliminate an additional 1,400 positions with both the County and the City looking to trim their budgets down from last year. “The mayor’s budget plan will make it harder to do business here, harder to raise a family and harder to keep neighborhoods safe,” the Coalition of Los Angeles City Unions said on April 16. The group represents 22,000 workers. The mayor’s proposed budget includes $63 million in savings from forcing some employees to take as many as 26 days off without pay.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Looking Toppy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From a big-picture perspective, the stock market’s advance off the March 2009 low is nothing more than a huge, bear market rally.
To understand how I come to that conclusion, just look at two classical valuation measures, price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields, in the chart below. You can easily see how this stock market bear, which started in 2000 at record overvaluations, still has a lot of work to do …
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stock Market Five Year Forecast, You'll Lose Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: What are you getting for your money in stocks today?
Sure, the market is way up... and investors are excited... But what's the outlook over, say, five years?
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Nasdaq Leads Stock Market Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Which is exactly what you want to see when things are all right in the world. If the S&P 500 or Dow is leading, it tells me the market wants less risky plays, which is never a great thing. Good to see after a slow start this morning, the Nasdaq rise to the top of the hill and lead the way higher in front of Apple Inc. (AAPL) report this evening. It was interesting to watch how no one was afraid of being in this report. It was only down slightly during the day,
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Stock Markets Boosted by Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After a fairly see-saw session Monday, US equities shrugged off earlier weakness in Asian markets (especially in China) to close higher, with a 1% rebound in the financials leading the S&P 500 to a 0.5% gain. Shares in Goldman Sachs rose 1.6% after declining 12.8% on Friday (after newswires report SEC vote to sue was by 3-2 split). The standout performer was Citigroup, whose shares rose 7% (albeit merely erasing losses over the previous two trading sessions). The bank reported adjusted per-share earnings of 14 cents compared to expectations of a flat result. And encouragingly, Citigroup set aside less money to cover bad loans and marked up the value of its Special Asset Pool (its problematic legacy loans and trading positions).
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Profiting From Shorting America, Inside The Doomsday Machine / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Ask the average guy on the street — Main or Wall — about what caused the meltdown on Wall Street in 2008, and you might get "greed," or "arrogance," or "too much leverage," or "too little regulation," or a blank stare. After all, the arcane world of mortgage securities was new. After the dot-com bust, Wall Street needed products to make money on. And with middle Americans figuring they could collectively get rich just by taking title to a home with no money down and watching the value climb to the heavens (extracting money to maintain their lifestyles along the way), well, that's what Wall Street's all about: something for nothing.
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Indonesia Is Still a Profit Haven for Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
Jon D. Markman writes: Several readers who know of my affinity for Indonesian stocks have sent me articles reporting that one of the country's bank officials had expressed discomfort over the Jakarta's rising stock market and raised the specter of new capital controls.
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
How to Profit From Australia, The Worlds Luckiest Country / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
Martin Hutchinson writes: When the late Donald Horne called Australia the " Lucky Country" in 1964, the professor and well-known social critic meant it as an insult: He believed that while other countries were getting rich by developing special skills and embracing new technology, Australia prospered just because it happened to sit on a pile of valuable natural resources.
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