Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, April 11, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
At the time of my late March article that was posted here, there was a short-term Dow theory non-confirmation at play. I explained that this non-confirmation had drawn less attention than the one that had occurred earlier in March, but that these non-confirmations only served as warnings and that it was what developed from that point that was most important. Since that time, the latest short-term non-confirmation has again been corrected.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 11, 2010
Big Banks Hiding Real Debt and Risk Levels from Investors in Corporate Earnings Reports / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Major banks have masked their risk levels in the past five quarters by temporarily lowering their debt just before reporting it to the public, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. A group of 18 banks—which includes Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc.—understated the debt levels used to fund securities trades by lowering them an average of 42% at the end of each of the past five quarterly periods, the data show. The banks, which publicly release debt data each quarter, then boosted the debt levels in the middle of successive quarters.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 11, 2010
Stock Market Consolidation Ahead Of Earnings... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market is relentless. No fun being a bear the past many months. Every time the market flashes a near-term get out of dodge signal, the bears can't seem to make it happen. All overbought conditions barely unwind before heading back higher. All negative divergences get ignored. It's bizarre. It's more than unusual, but it is what it is. A powerful bull market not seen since 1999.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 10, 2010
Credit Default Swaps Threaten the Whole System, Real Financial Form Needed / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
It's Time for Reform We Can Believe In
The Fed Must Be Independent
Credit Default Swaps Threaten the System
Too Big To Fail Must Go
And This Thing About Leverage
What Happens If We Do Nothing?
Casey Stengel, manager of the hapless 1962 New York Mets, once famously asked, after an especially dismal outing, "Can't anybody here play this game?" This week I ask, after months of worse than no progress, "Can't anybody here even spell financial reform, let alone get it done?"
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 10, 2010
These Two Market-Shaping Events Will Have an Untold Impact on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The current rally may have taken its last breath.Last week two major events happened that will have a tremendous impact on your portfolio in the months and years ahead.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 09, 2010
Climacteric for The Banking Cartel, Opportunity for Investors / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
The Heat is intensifying on The Cartel*. Exposés of their Market Interventional Regime are increasingly appearing in the Mainstream Financial Media.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 09, 2010
It’s Not So Simple, Witnessing a Stock Market Bull Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The weekly chart below of the Dow Jones industrial Index (courtesy Bigcharts.com) shows rising prices on declining volume. Typically, this is bearish sign and should be treated as a serious warning.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 09, 2010
Armstrong Cyclical Stock Market Turning Point April 16th Approaches / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Martin Armstrong is the former chairman of Princeton Economics and the Foundation for the Study of Cycles. As a cyclical theorist and economist Armstrong has predicted a variety of economic events, in many cases to the very day, including the stock market crash of 1987 and the precise movements of gold throughout the 1970’s up until the very top of the market in the early 1980’s. His models are not based on just economic data points, but specific historical cycles going back over 2000 years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market SPX Levitation Rally Act 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In less than 8 weeks, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) has relentlessly powered 12.6% higher. This big run has been very unbalanced too, utterly dominated by long up-day streaks. And for the most part, the occasional down days have been trivial. The SPX simply continues to melt up day after day, its surreal levitation act making traders nervous.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market Forget About It Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What was all that worry this week - fuhgeddaboudit!
Nothing whitewashes a wall of worry like misdirection. Wave something shiny in front of investors - like gold going over $1,150 an ounce - and everything must be fine in the markets. What’s funny to a grumpy old fundamentalist like me is that gold is flying while the economy is "great" and the financials are in "great shape" and inflation is "tame" and crises in Greece, California, New York etc., etc. are nothing to worry about. So what exactly is the premise for buying gold?
Friday, April 09, 2010
Bye, Bye Silicon Valley — Hello, China / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
I talked about this in my March 20 video issue, but the impact is so important that I wanted to make sure that all of you — readers as well as listeners — know about it because it is going to forever change how to invest successfully in technology stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market Selloff Needs Catalyst / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
So what will it take for this market to fall is the real question. Set up to fall. Starts to fall. Doesn't fall! It doesn't fall for a variety of reasons, but first and clearly the biggest reason, being the fear of missing out on something big. People just don't want to be left out in the cold. They don't want to look back some day and said they missed the biggest opportunity of a life time. Every drop of selling immediately gets bought up. It feels like a bunch of little kids who got angry and refused to play with their friends. After seeing them have a good time, they don't want to miss the next play date. Folks are like the energizer bunny. When can I buy? When can I buy? Of course, when too many want in and no one wants out, it all comes collapsing down. We're not there yet so relax. Probably not close either. However, sentiment has to be watched very closely here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Are Bonds Hinting the Rally in Stocks Will Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Stocks and bonds typically move in opposite directions. When bond prices go down stock prices go up. This is one of the reasons many financial advisors recommend that investors hold bonds and stocks, as they provide balance to their portfolio.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
The Engineering of a Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"Nothing is more common on earth than to deceive and be deceived." ~ Johann G. Seume, 1763-1810, German Theologist.
The Dow continues to put in new highs but our 3 moving averages of new highs are trading well off the highs they put in last year. The 20 day moving average (current reading = 640) of new highs would have to surge past the 2500 mark to have a chance of putting in a new high. Based on this week's readings it would have to surge 400% from its current reading. It is very strange and disturbing that a market that appears to be strong is actually not as strong as it appears to be when one examines its internal structure.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
How Might Gold, Silver and T-bonds Behave in a Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Can precious metals and U.S. Treasury bonds fall together?
Enjoy this excerpt from Elliott Wave International's free Club EWI resource, Independent Investor eBook (Now With 6 New Chapters!). Please see details on how to read the entire eBook below.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Investing in Peru, South America’s Hidden Gem / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: When investing in the emerging markets, you need to cast your net beyond the obvious candidates. Granted, China, Brazil and India have emerged to become very attractive investment stories (I don't trust Russia, the fourth and final "BRIC" economy).
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Mario's Market Takes: The New Reality Random Nightmare / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I have kept quiet for well over a week watching the threat of explosive upside frenzy boil and boil, listening to practically every very respected primary advisor I am in touch with suggest this explosive upside rally is very much possibly imminent..oh I love the wording. From 60 year cycles to "this is the inflationary response" which even I have said, to sneaky slow bull markets, the markets are only going up driven by obvious sovereign level strategy that the stock markets will indeed be the root of the recovery.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
New Stock Sector Leadership Ahead / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
We just added new tools to analyze sector allocation on our U.S. Economics Monthly research. As of March 2010, the four sectors with highest momentums are consumer discretionary, industrials, technology and financials but that last one is starting to lose some steam (1 to 4). Can we expect these market outperformers to keep being the winners of the next 12 months? What is history telling us?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Predicting All Major Stock Market Crashes Since 1965! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Discovery
We unexpectedly discovered two sets of conditions preceding every major S&P 500 peak since 1965! We coined such signal the imminent Credit Complacency Crash - CCC. When these two sets occur, it always (so far) caused major stock market crashes. We define a crash as a decline of more than -15%.
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Pullback Starting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I truly believe that this market is only pulling back and setting up again for further gains. The selling should be sporadic. Nothing severe at all. So many stocks hit hugely overbought levels but for the first time many of them we're starting to flash negative divergences on their daily charts. When you add in negative divergences on many oscillators such as RSI, MACD and stochastic's, it's time to relax, take a deep breath and not feel any urgency to be buying any longer.
Read full article... Read full article...