Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 16, 2010
Finally Stocks Get Some Bad News...But... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Well we finally have some bad news tonight as we have the earnings numbers from Google (GOOG) and Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG). Both are down big after hours, especially GOOG. ISRG is down roughly 15, and GOOG down roughly 27. Now the question becomes, what, if anything, will these two losers do to the market tomorrow!?
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Friday, April 16, 2010
Despite Trillions of Debt, Can the Stock Market Keep Going Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We owe trillions of dollars, but Crude oil is at $86 a barrel, the DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ are making new highs almost everyday and unemployment is officially at 9.7%.
Everything is great! Happy days are here again... Right?
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Sell-Off Fails to Follow-Through / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Heading into the final two hours of trading, the S&P 500 emini (e-SPM) is perched right near this AM's new high of 1210.50. After an intervening, intraday pullback into the 1204 area, the index pivoted to the upside rather than fully retest the low of the session at 1201. Once again, a sell-off that could have potentially inflicted a bit of near term damage failed to follow-through on the downside (beneath the pre-open low at 1201.00 in this case).
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Rally, Is It Live? Or Is It Memorex? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Is it Live? Or Is It Memorex? Anyone remember that commercial?
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Central Banks Stoking Stock Market Euphoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
With only the slightest degree of hesitation, the Dow Jones Industrials penetrated the psychological 11,000-level this week, extending its historic gains to +70% above its March 2009 lows, and melting away deep-seeded skepticism over whether equities have gone “too-far, too-fast,” in what is the least-loved bull market in history. Yet the bearish skeptics might want to judge the outlook for the US-economy through the lens of the stock market, rather than vice versa.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Musical Chairs, INTC Marks Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
INTC beat earnings yesterday and this morning the market is loving it. Cramer is wildly bullish. BUY, BUY, BUY!
Unfortunately INTC has a history of marking turning points. Let's just say that buying the gap up on earnings hasn't been kind in the short term. Buying when INTC has closed at new 52 week highs the day they report has led to losing trades three days later every time.
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stocks Sell Now, Buy Later the ABCs of Short Selling / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest
By Jake Weber, Editor, The Casey Report writes: The catch phrases “Buy low, sell high” and “The market fluctuates” are probably the two most frequently used clichés of the investment world. The latter statement is hardly astute, and the former far easier said than done. What both of these simplistic ideas overlook is a third concept largely ignored by the investing public, “Sell now, buy later.”
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Freaky Thursday - Foreclosures and China GDP Hit Records / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around [the banks] will deprive the people of all property until their children wake-up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs." - Thomas Jefferson
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Volume is Even Weaker Than Your Think, Danger Protect Yourself! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Shah Gilani writes: Conventional investing wisdom tells us that when stocks rally on low stock market volume, traders perceive that lack of widespread participation as an indicator of the market's future vulnerability.
And as torrid as this rally in U.S. stock prices has been, the lack of trading volume has been a consistent cause for concern.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
S&P 500 Stocks Uptrend With Expanding Voume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Volume expands for two days in a row!
Uber bears have had two main arguments against the advance. They have constantly been harping on on sentiment being bullish and volume being absent.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Overbought? No One Cares... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Come on! You have to sit there shaking your head saying this can't be happening. When negative divergences exist it's bad enough. When you throw in the now 80 RSI on the daily charts along with 70+ on the weekly charts, it's just not logical for this market to have days such as it did today with the Nasdaq leading in a fashion a real healthy market should.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Forecast for April 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is a monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent at defining the longer-term trends for the market.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Stock Market Top, Day Traders 2.0 Will Tank Your IRA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A constant theme in the Investment Analysis Report has been to expect the market to move in the opposite direction of the positions of day traders. This has proven successful with regards to the Japanese Yen, the U.S. dollar and the Treasury Bond. Therefore, we were very interested in the New York Times article Day Traders 2.0. We expect that day traders, who are now buying stocks, are again on the wrong side of the trade.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Tracking Stock Market Cycles with Long Wave Dynamics and Theory 144 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
In the 1920s Russian economist Nikolai Kondratieff discovered that international free market capitalism experiences regular boom and bust cycles, he called them long waves. Investors and traders commonly view the long wave as an obscure unproven theory, without profitable application to modern financial markets. Growing evidence suggests that such an assessment of the long wave is a costly error, for both investors and traders.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Is It Time To Short The S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A real headwind for the markets -now and in the past - has been when the trends of gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury are strong and rising.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Corporate Earnings Are Upon Us... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's that time of year again. It's always that time of year, isn't it! Seems to feel that way to me. It's when we look inside the earnings reports of companies that had lowered the bar a few quarters back thus making it easy for them to meet or exceed expectations. We saw that tonight when we got the news from Intel Corporation (INTC) and CSX Corp. (CSX), a major rail company that has run way up
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Stock Market Sector Rotation Points to Continued Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Analysts and economists often refer to the strength or weakness in certain key industrial groups as evidence of a recovering or declining economy. During the recovery phase of a typical business cycle, there is usually greater buying emphasis on industry sectors that reflect a more optimistic stance.
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Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Somewhere Between Now and May We’re Going to Have a Real Stock Market Rollover / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Well known market analyst Robert Prechter, who strongly favored stocks in March of 2009, says it’s time to get out:
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Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Stock Market Greek Euphoria Fades And Alcoa Disappoints / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Looking across markets this morning I am struggling to identify consistent themes. Perhaps a little disappointingly, equities have largely failed to kick on despite confirmation of the Greek aid package over the weekend. That said, US markets did close up small enough to see the Dow close just above 11,000 and the VIX has declined to a new low (indeed the lowest level seen since July 2007). Stocks wise AIG (+8.10%) on speculation the Treasury Department may lower its stake in the bailed-out insurer and Peabody (+1.66%) as the company and state-owned Coal India are discussing possible cooperative ventures as part of broad-ranging, preliminary talks.
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Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Common Sense, Bogus Metrics Plus Baloney Justifications, Is Silver cheap relative to Gold? / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
Almost every other day I receive an email from a concerned investor asking me if some asset is cheap relative to another asset or if some metric justifies that some perceived outcome is about to unfold.
Among the various question
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