Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, June 25, 2015
Chinese Stocks: "How to Think Like a Billionaire Investor" / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
What's next for the high-flying Shanghai Composite?
With China's main Shanghai Composite index up almost 40% this year, and the tech-heavy Shenzhen Composite index up more than 90% YTD, are Chinese stocks in a bubble?
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Thursday, June 25, 2015
Greece and Stock Market Divergences.......Transports Ugly.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market was gapping down just a drop heading in to the trading day. Nothing to get upset about but, then came the news many didn't want to hear. Talks regarding Greece breaking down, which is not unexpected. The futures fell further still and down we went. Gap down and run for the most part. Not a terrible day by any means. Not a bearish day big picture by any means, but it was a decent down-day with Greece being one part of the equation along with negative short-term divergences being the other culprit. They were pretty large, and, thus, some selling could have been expected.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
China Stocks: Where Have They Been and Where are They Going? / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Historians have aptly named the 20th century the "American Century." THIS century, many experts agree, will belong to China. In Q1 of 2015 alone, the Shanghai Composite stock index gained 16%. And over the prior 12 months, it had gained 84%.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Dow Stock Index Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Equities markets have a tendency to change direction following options expiration. Given equities rallied into the end of last week, a downturn can now be expected. It may have started last Friday or perhaps markets will sneak in one final rally on "hope" of a positive outcome from this week's meeting of European leaders on the Greece problem. Either way, a decline is expected. The only question is "how long will it last?"
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Greece / Stock Market Played Like a Bouzouki / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We have a deal!
No really. This time we do have a deal. Uh, we think.
And the cry went forth, and Very Serious People breathed a sigh of relief, the Greek people continued to take their euros out of the banks, and the markets rallied. Again.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Stock Market is on a Hair Trigger / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Ending Diagonal does not appear to be complete. Micro Wave c of Sub-minute Wave (v) must push higher. The target listed this morning still appears to be reasonable, given the circumstances. If so, this will be the top of Wave (5). I will change it as I see the progress of this (final) rally.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Stock Market Bullish Pattern Still With Us....Greece Still With Us As Well..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The S&P 500 bulls had their hopes lit up this morning. Actually, for those who follow these things, those hopes were lit up last night as soon as the futures came out. They were flying up pretty nicely giving the bulls visions of saying so long to S&P 500 2134. Those futures went higher still as night progressed but fell some before the open. With the close on the S&P 500 at 2110 Friday, there was a lot of work for the bulls to do to get it over 2134. We came within a few points of that, only to see it back off some as the day progressed. Another good old college try that just didn't happen. An up-day, but not a breakout day, so there's still not much to get overly pumped up about, even though other areas are trying to break out, such as the small and mid-cap stocks.
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Monday, June 22, 2015
Stock Market Crash Charts / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
If the Fed continues to intervene and prevents the correction then we will almost certainly have an 87 style crash this fall.
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Monday, June 22, 2015
De-Greece-ing the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
Intermediate trend - Waiting for confirmation that the ending diagonal is complete.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, June 21, 2015
Stock Market Monday Big Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It looks as though the US stock market could plunge Monday. We have Saturn Semi-Sq. Pluto while Saturn is in Scorpio and while Jupiter is trine Uranus. On the cycle front we have a Gann cycle low due Monday while we also have a Bradley turn date. The Armstrong Pi Cycle suggests a panic week for the Dow Industrials (which by my reckoning should occur on Monday).Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Global Stock Markets in Self-Perpetuating Denial / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: The central bank circus was on full display this week as the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee held a two-day meeting only to emerge with another mind-numbing series of excuses for keeping interest rates at zero when the economy is not in crisis.
One such claim was that inflation (as measured by economists) is insufficiently high, despite the fact that the price of real-world goods and services (including gasoline again) are steadily rising. The Fed stated that it's afraid raising interest rates – for the first time in nine years and by all of 25 basis points – could send the economy into a tailspin. That isn't only bad policy, it is pathetic.
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Sunday, June 21, 2015
Markets - All Eyes on New Highs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
SPX
In the last report I was looking for a bit more downside, then setup for a move higher. http://www.wavepatterntraders.com/all-eyes-on-new-highs-part-ii/
For the best part that's exactly what we saw, with the rally late last week it should now setup for a move higher now for the final piece to this suspected ending diagonal that has been in progress from the Oct 2014 lows. Whilst there is a way to count the pattern completed, based on the recent sideways chop, I favor more upside and make a new high above 2134.
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Sunday, June 21, 2015
Shanghai China Stocks Sink: Déjà vu 2001 & 2007…All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
What is occurring today in China’s Shanghai Stock Index can best be described by Yogi Berra’s famous line: “Déjà vu 2001 & 2007…All Over Again.”
Almost 85% of China-listed companies are trading at higher multiples today than they did at the previous market top in 2007…just before the crash.
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Saturday, June 20, 2015
Investor Tactics to Profit from the Greek Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There's a lot being written about the Greek debt crisis right now. It's scary, it's problematic, and, for the most part, almost totally unusable for the average investor.
That's completely unacceptable as far as I'm concerned.
So I thought we'd take a good hard look at what you actually need to know, then move on to three tactics that can help you capitalize on the situation. And I don't just mean by single digits, either.
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Saturday, June 20, 2015
Stock Market Important Week Ahead Medium-term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Very interesting week. The week started off at SPX 2094. On Monday the market gapped down, hit the low for the week at SPX 2072, which was last week’s low, and then started to rally. By Wednesday, after a gap up opening, the SPX hit 2104. It then pulled back to SPX 2089, rallied to a higher high before the close, then gapped up again on Thursday. By Thursday noon the SPX had hit 2127. It then pulled back for the rest of the week ending at SPX 2110. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.7%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.3%, and the DJ World index was +0.3%. On the economic front reports again came in with a positive bias. On the uptick: the NAHB, building permits, the CPI, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY FED, industrial production, capacity utilization and housing starts. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q1 GDP, the PCE, and more reports on housing.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Stock Market SPX is Losing Its Grip / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX is going through with the reversal as mentioned yesterday. It is difficult to say whether there will be a bounce at the 50-day Moving Average at 2106.02. The deterioration of the situation in Greece may not be able to give us the “good news” needed to spark a bounce this time.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Fed Shift Is Major Stock Market Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The US stock markets were quick to rally after the Federal Reserve did nothing at its policy meeting this week. Traders love the endless dovishness gushing forth from this Yellen Fed. But their complacency is very misplaced. It was epic Fed easing that fueled the stock-market levitation of recent years. So the Fed shifting away from these extraordinary policies is a major downside risk for these Fed-inflated stock markets.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Stock Market Watch The VIX ... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
The VIX is now coming to the end of its triangular pattern.
What does that mean? It means that, before too long, it will have to break out of the triangular pattern. When it does, it will have an important impact on the market.
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Friday, June 19, 2015
Greek Contagion Abyss Looms - Wealth Preservation Strategies / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
- Greece, EU and Banks Staring Into Abyss
- Markets Are “Irrationally Exuberant” – Gods Punish Hubris
- “Invisible Hand” Propping Up Sanguine Markets
- Short Term Considerations
- Long Term Considerations
- Best Case Outcomes
- Worst Case Outcomes
- Wealth Preservation Strategies
Thursday, June 18, 2015
Fed Cracking the Whip will no longer work to keep the tiger sitting on its stool / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Yesterday’s Fed announcement is a distinct break with the past and a watershed moment for the markets psychologically. The Fed will no longer be able to simply crack the rhetorical whip in order to keep the market tiger sitting on its stool. We will probably get a taste of what this all means in the near term, but, in my view, the Fed will find itself on the defensive with little left in the quiver, save the ultimate rate hike, to discourage speculative bubbles. Since it will be hard-pressed to actually snap the whip on Wall Street’s nose (in the form of aggressive rate hikes), the door is open to all sorts of renewed reckless behavior – a hey day for speculators of every description until the bubble ultimately bursts. The importance of a hedge in gold is now more important than ever.
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