Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 16, 2015
Stock Market Trend Forecast Sept to Dec 2015 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
U.S. Stocks: End of the Complacent Era? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stock market bears have been conspicuously absent
August 20 was the third consecutive down day for the Dow Industrials as the index tumbled 358 points.
The U.S. stock market had managed to hover near record highs, even as other markets (oil, precious metals, housing) had long since fallen from old highs. The 34-year bull market in 30-year U.S. government bonds ended months ago.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Crashing: Is it Time to Panic? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
''Come to the edge,'' He said. They said, ''We are afraid.'' ''Come to the edge,'' He said. They came. He pushed them... and they flew. Guillaume ApollinaireThe answer to this plain question should always be a resounding no: it never pays to give into panic. The smartest option is to derail this emotion before it gains any traction. Once fear takes over, the end is nigh.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Triangle within a Triangle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Keeping in mind that the Minor Waves of Intermediate Wave (1) are in an [a]-[b]-[c] form, I had wondered how the next Wave [b] would look. Here’s our answer. It appears to be yet another Triangle with a smaller degree throw-over Wave (e). There is no guarantee that it is finished yet. We may have confirmation when we see a five-wave [c] emerge out of the bottom of the triangle at 1954.00. Note the very light volume in this ramp. Volume should pick up substantially on the decline. This has a similar feel
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
China Stock Market on the Edge. TNX Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
All eyes turn to china as the Shanghai Index sits on a ledge of support at 3000.00. As ZeroHedge comments, “What, however, is dawning right now on traders is that China has once again lost control of its market, and days after crushing index futures trading by hiking margins to unprecedented levels, the SHCOMP resumed its old acrobatics tumbling as much as 4.2% in final hour of trading, and dropping below 3,000 for the first time since Aug. 27, before closing 3.5% lower at 3,005.172.”
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
The Rollercoaster Journey of the Global Stock Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As I walked through Lowe’s last weekend, I was struck by the presence of Halloween decorations. At the risk of sounding like a cranky old man, I couldn’t help but tell my wife: “It’s not even September yet!” And then I thought how 2015 seems to be flying by. Maybe I actually am a cranky, getting-old, man.I have the same take as I read through the financial papers. Things are moving at light speed. From crashing equity markets to falling commodity prices, there’s a lot to contemplate at one time.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
This Global Financial Crisis is Set To Continue…And Get Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015
I just landed in Vancouver for our third annual Irrational Economic Summit. Besides losing some luggage on the flight over and a few other hiccups along the way, I’m here, my team’s here, and we’re ready to kick off the event tomorrow.In the past we had only offered small, live conferences to members of our Dent Network. Back in 2013, we opened the doors to a wider audience.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding Without Price Appreciation.... Fed The Last Hope For The Bull / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When a market is in a certain trend up or down you watch how the daily oscillators behave to understand what's likely next. When things are more bullish you can unwind overbought oscillators without too much price depreciation. When things are turning more bearish you can unwind oversold oscillators without too much price appreciation, and that's where we are right now. We're unwinding oversold oscillators over the past fifteen days when the bear flag first started to form, yet all we've done is remain well below key-resistance flag top at 1993 on the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stocks, Gold and Commodities Elliot Wave Theorist Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Dear reader,
With the market action during the last few weeks, many investors have been operating in panic mode; subscribers to Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist haven't. Why?
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Monday, September 14, 2015
All Investors Need To Diversify Their Investment Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Most people that make financial investments understand how important it is to research before money is invested and see how hard it can be without diversifying an investment portfolio. This basically means that the money is put into different assets like property, money markets, bonds or equities. At the same time, international market investment is also included in diversification, meaning that the money is divided in different markets, not just one.In order to understand why an investment portfolio needs to be diversified, here are some facts you have to always remember.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Stock Market Will It Or Won’t It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend – SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast for September to December 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Why Are Stocks Going Berserk? It’s All About Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If you’ve been following the markets for the last three weeks, you’ve probably figured out that something is wrong. The markets are no longer behaving the way they should, and that has people worried. Very worried. In the last 15 trading days, the Dow Jones has experienced an unprecedented 13 triple-digit days, which means that stocks have been sharply rising and falling without any rhyme or reason. The financial media has tried to explain-away the extreme volatility by pointing to slower growth in China, troubles in the Emerging Markets or various dismal data-points. But none of these adequately explain what’s going on.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
How to Prevent Costly Losses During Big Market Panics / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Sunday, September 13, 2015
FED Induced Sharp Drop in Stock Market Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The planets are coming together for the perfect storm on September 17th. First we have Mercury Retrograde, which often occurs at a top for the precious metals sector (and even the stock market). Then we have Jupiter opposing Neptune while Saturn enters into the sign of Sagittarius. Exaggerated hysteria or panic would be the best way to explain this astrological set up. My best guess is: the FED won't raise rates this time, but will hint strongly for the need to do so very soon (China may have nipped a September hike in the bud by devaluing the yuan). Everyone is expecting a retest of the August 24-25 lows anyway, so this is the perfect excuse to take it down. It also fits the pattern of an X wave of [B] bottom within an IMP (Irregular Megaphone Pattern -- discussed a few weeks ago). The big question is: will we fall just below the SPX cash price of 1867 near 1850 or below the SPY or S&P 500 futures price set the morning of August 24, 2015?
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The holiday shortened week started at SPX 1921. After a Tuesday morning, and Wednesday morning, gap up opening the SPX hit 1989. The market then declined to SPX 1937 by Thursday morning. Then the market rallied again to end the week at SPX 1961. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.05%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.15%, and the DJ World index was +2.05%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: consumer credit, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the WLEI, export/import prices, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment and long term investor sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC, Industrial production, and Options expiration.
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Waiting On The Fed... What The Stock Market Likely Wants... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market seems to have found some stability after the big push lower that saw the market flash crash one day, and even though it recovered some, it saw some real technical damage, once the heavy selling episode was over. We moved from one long-term base into a new base that's actually larger than the one that saw us go nowhere for eight months.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
QE Forever Continues Unabated / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
It is a fraud to borrow what we are unable to pay. Publilius SyrusCorporations are using share buyback programs to manipulate earnings, by reducing the float of outstanding shares. This ploy was not as ubiquitous before, but today it is being used rather indiscriminately by companies as a way to boost EPS. This modern form of alchemy turns would-be losses into profits or can be utilized to make modest profits appear to be impressive in nature. We are now in the paradigm of lies and deceit. In these conditions, the truth does not thrive.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Pay Your Fair Share (to the Teachers’ Union) / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By Justin Spittler
Taxpayers take note…you could get a much bigger tax bill than you expect.
The California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) recently announced that it may move 12% of its assets, or $20 billion, out of stocks and bonds.
CalSTRS is the second-largest public pension fund in the U.S. It manages roughly $191 billion for 868,000 teachers in California.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Stock Market Brace Yourself! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - Last month, the multi-month trading range on Wall Street ended with an abrupt break to the downside and once key support levels were violated, we witnessed an epic swoon! Thereafter, due to direct stock buying by the Chinese policymakers, the stock markets stabilised somewhat and we got a sharp relief rally.
As things stand today, we have already had the initial plunge from the multi-month distribution pattern and after the bounce; the S&P500 Index is now trading just beneath an area of overhead resistance (Figure 1). Going forwards, we are of the view that the bellwether index will struggle to get past the two zones of overhead resistance depicted on the chart. Even if it does surpass those levels, the now declining 200-day moving average (red line on chart) should keep the festivities in check.
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