Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, August 28, 2015

The Eight Energy Systems Driving The Stock Market Rout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Dan_Amerman

The energy systems which drove the global stock market rout have been building for months and years, and by the spring of this year, the danger flags were clearly flying. Indeed, as I wrote in May of 2015 in an analysis titled "A Financial "Perfect Storm" May Be Brewing" (link here):

"In the financial world at this very moment, we have eight different "weather systems" that are all developing in real time.

... if several of the more powerful components were to converge – and reinforce each other – then we could very rapidly reach the point of greatest financial instability that the world has seen since 2008."

Friday, August 28, 2015

Dow Theory Transports Daily Chart Positive Development / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

For the Dow Theory enthusiast, below is a daily Transport chart as of yesterday's close. Note that it closed higher yesterday and it was above its 7700 resistance level. That was a positive.

Friday, August 28, 2015

Stock Market Margin Calls Mount / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I have been busy aligning the Wave structures among the various Indexes that we are following. Starting with the SPX, I believe that we are seeing a larger degree wave structure on the decline than on the way up. Because SPX has broken the 4-year trendline, it is possible that Primary Wave [1] or [A] may reach its target at 1650. Diamond and Broadening Top formations usually indicate targets for Wave (C) or (3). In this case there is not enough time for a fifth Intermediate Wave, I am becoming more certain that we will see an (A)-(B)-(C) Wave of Primary Wave [A] ending next week. After a 2-3 week retracement we may see a 5-Wave Primary [C] of Cycle Wave I ending in March, 2016.

Friday, August 28, 2015

Economics of a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Alasdair_Macleod

This month has seen something that happens not very often: it appears to be the early stages of a global stock market crash. For the moment investors are in shock, seeking reassurance and keenly intent on preserving their diminishing assets, instead of reflecting on the broader economic reasons behind it. To mainstream financial commentators, blame for a crash is always placed on remote factors, such as China’s financial crisis, and has little to do with events closer to home. Analysis of this sort is selective and badly misplaced. The purpose of this article is to provide an overview of the economic background to today’s markets as well as the likely consequences.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

The Difference Between What Traders and Investors Should Do Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes:Over the last couple of weeks, the market has rallied, plunged and rallied again.

Should you buy into this craziness right now?  That depends on whether you consider yourself a trader or an investor.

There are a lot of opportunities out there right now for medium- to long-term investors. But it looks dicier for short-term traders.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Stock Market Trend & Trade Signal Of the Decade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

U.S. stocks closed lower Tuesday after a failed attempt to rally from the Dow’s worst 3-day point decline. It’s something I have not seen since the 2008 GLOBAL financial crisis.

The market had its first rally of the downtrend yesterday but it would be a BIG mistake to get bullish for new long-term investments at this point. The major trend is down. The odds favor that this is to be only the first phase of the decline. Today’s rally could take us to 1965 – 2040 level on the SP500. I will be taking short positions in the US markets soon.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Stock Market Retracement Rally May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed its retracement just shy of the 50% retracement value at 1985.25. If so, it is due for the next decline. This may be point 7 of the Orthodox Broadening Top with point 8 being the crash bottom.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Why Stocks Could Fall 50% if the Fed Makes the Wrong Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

One of the most brilliant investors in the world just made a stunning call…

Ray Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund. Dalio manages nearly $170 billion in assets. He has one of the best investing track records in the business. When he speaks, we listen.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Stock Market Relief Rally... End Of Pullback Or More To Come? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Today pretty much went as expected. Dramatically oversold conditions not seen in basically forever. A six-day down move that was historic in nature, and caused daily index-chart RSI's to get well below 20, which is extremely rare. The futures were up big yesterday into the same type of oversold conditions, but nearly five-hundred points worth of Dow gains ended the day with two-hundred points worth of losses.

Thursday, August 27, 2015

China Stocks Bear Market Crash, Are We Near the Bottom Yet? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

China's stock market meltdown that began Mid June from a SSEC trading high of 5,200 had paused under the weight of heavy the Chinese government interventions that in total amount to over $400 billion thrown at the stock market in an attempt to bring the selling to a halt. However, all of that literally went up in smoke along with one of China's largest ports which literally exploded revealing behind the truth of what the Chinese economy is, a mere mirage of the picture of strength and stability that communist party propaganda has been successfully propagating.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Stock Market Crash Black Wednesday Rally Crushes the Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The mainstream financial press and blogosfear has been full of relentless stories all week painting a picture of doom and gloom. Even the usually buoyant CNBC air heads that usually sit smack middle on the fence, today had turned bearish with expectations at mid US trading today for the days stocks rally to soon run out of steam and reverse to a down close much as the Dow did yesterday. Instead what did the stock market do? It did CRASH, but it was to the UPSIDE! For if falls of 3.5% have been reported on in the press as a CRASH with headlines of Black Monday, then an greater upwards daily move of 619 points, 3.95% should surely be reported upon as a stock market crash to the upside!

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

VIX Shorts Being Squeezed While SPX Prepares for Another Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today’s SPX managed to stay in the black, but it’s a Pivot day. This bounce is not a good omen for the market for that reason and the fact that it remains under the hourly Cycle Bottom resistance at 1923.36.

It gives us confirmation of the Wave structure illustrated on the chart. A Wave [iii] would continue to stay under Cycle Bottom resistance, while Wave [iv] may venture inside and Wave [v] ride above the Cycle Bottom until completion.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

China Stock Market Shanghai Composite Index Update... / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Clive_Maund

The Chinese market is of interest to us not because we necessarily want to trade it, but because of its effect on other world markets. Its heavy drop on Monday morning contributed to the rout on Wall St later in the day. The Chinese economy is a massive Ponzi scheme that is threatening to implode, with grave implications for the world economy.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

How to Make a Quick 20% When the Stock Market Crashes / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Investment_U

Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Have you ever gotten into an argument or fight with someone who goes from calm and rational to nuclear in an instant? It’s scary.

In my life, the few scraps I’ve gotten into took the typical course. A heated debate leads to name-calling and threats. Finally, one guy pushes the other and it’s on.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

NYA Stocks Index Drops to Very Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

You probably recall that we we discussed the NYA's triangular pattern last week ... and then made comments about the market being in a very high risk condition and that investors should be careful.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Why We Can’t Handle A Stocks Bear Market - State Budgets Will Implode / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Rubino

Back when society’s balance sheet was reasonably solid, the occasional bear market was no big deal. A 20% drop in the average S&P 500 stock would scare investors and lead to slight declines in consumer spending and government capital gains tax revenue, but the overall economy would barely notice such a minor speed bump.

But that was then. Like a person with an impaired immune system, today’s developed world is so highly leveraged that a shock of any kind risks catastrophic complications. Which is why governments and central banks now meet every incipient crisis with quick infusions of newly-created cash and lower interest rates. We can’t risk letting markets be markets any more.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Stocks Bear Market, Is This 1929 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Austin_Galt

The Dow has been smashed over the last week which has brought out the usual doom and gloomer’s predicting Armageddon once again. There are several so called experts now predicting a 1929 style bear market.

Admittedly, it is hard not to get caught up in the emotion of days where the market sees a 1000 point intraday drop. So, is this really 1929 all over again? Well, for those that can’t be bothered to read the analysis, the short answer is no. Not as far as I’m concerned anyway.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Start of Stock Market Third Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX nearly took out SPX’s Monday morning lows by mere ticks. This doesn’t bode well for the overnight session. It appears that wave [iii] of 3 or C has begun.

Potentially bad news out of China may set the stage for a much larger sell-off both in China and in the US.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Stock Market Tanks In Last 15 Minutes; Correction Not Done? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

That was sudden. After soaring at the open and holding big gains all day, US equities fell off the table in the last 15 minutes of trading, ending over 500 DOW points below the day’s high. Guess the, um, uncertainty isn’t over.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

The One Trading Strategy You Needed for Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Tom Gentile writes: After yesterday – the worst trading day in recent memory – I want to get serious with you about risk.

If you get this right, you could have banked serious profits yesterday.

And I want to make sure you DO get it right.