Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Stock Market Intermediate Downtrend (Phase II) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?

Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Stock Market NYSE A/D Line “Death Crossover” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Christopher_Quigley

Last month we wrote the following:
“The chart of the % of stocks above the 200 Price Moving Average (PMA) finally shows the 100 Daily Moving Average (white line) crossing the 200 DMA (green line). This is a technical “death-cross” The only indicator not in bearish agreement is the NYSE Advance/Decline line. When this indicator shows a similar 100/200 DMA crossover, I believe it will only be a matter of time, based on historic precedent, before an “official” bear market will be declared”.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Stock Market End Run Smash Crash Looks Imminent... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

The market didn't waste any time "getting on with it" yesterday after the bearish action on the day of the Fed announcement. It fell, and hard. We are going to look at this carefully because what appears to be starting is a devastating "end run around the line" smash - if so a brutal plunge is just around the corner.

A few days back we were a little too accommodating in adjusting the upper boundary of the Pennant shown on the 3-month chart below when the index pushed out of the top of it. We shouldn't have and on this chart we are going back to our original Pennant boundaries, which is important as it enables us to define where the support is at the apex of the Pennant. As you will recall the upside breakout from the Pennant, on the basis of its original boundaries, was regarded with deep suspicion, and it appears to have been the product of manipulation - Fed buying to "paint the tape", especially as there was no such breakout in other markets like the London FTSE and Tokyo Nikkei, where a parallel Pennant had formed. If so then they may soon end up with egg on their faces.

Sunday, September 20, 2015

How We'll Capitalize on Fed Cowardice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: Markets delivered a resounding Bronx cheer to the Federal Reserve on Friday after that confederacy of dunces failed to raise interest rates at its highly anticipated, two-day September meeting.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged by 290 points (1.74%) while the S&P 500 followed by 32 points (1.62%) and the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped by 67 points (1.32%).

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Stock Market Topped Thursday, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I predicted an important top for September 17 based on astrology. While I thought it would be a lower top, nonetheless, it was an important top caused by the FED: and as predicted, I said that they would not raise rates, but they did place something in the FED-speak that would cause the market to sell-off dramatically. That something was "no more QE". From late Thursday to late Friday, the SPX fell over 4%.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

How the Chinese Will Establish a New Financial World Order / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DailyWealth

Porter Stansberry writes: For many years now, it has been clear that China would soon be pull­ing the strings in the U.S. financial system.

 

In July 2015, the American people owed the Chinese government nearly $1.25 trillion.

 

I know big numbers don't mean much to most people, but keep in mind... this tab is now hundreds of billions of dollars more than what the U.S. government collects in ALL income taxes (both cor­porate and individual) each year. It's basically a sum we can never, ever hope to repay – at least, not by normal means.

 

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Stock Market Primary IV Preparing to End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another wild FOMC week. The market started the week at SPX 1961. After a pullback to SPX 1948 on Monday, the market rallied to 2004 just before the FED announcement. After they announced no change in the ZIRP the SPX hit 2008, dropped to 1988, rallied to 2021, then dropped to 1987, all within one hour. On Friday the market was greeted with a gap down opening and the SPX ended the week at 1958. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.05%, and the DJ World index was +0.20%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, the NAHB, building permits, leading indicators, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts, and the WLEI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Q2 GDP, Durable goods and more reports on Housing.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

The Fed Blows It.... Dangerous Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

As the Byrd's wrote a long, long time ago. There is a season, turn, turn, turn. The Fed had been on a long-term zero-policy rant, and refused to raise rates even a quarter of a percent due to the fears of a global slow down. The stock market fell in love with the idea of zero rates, since it meant there were few other places to use your dollars with the ability to make any real other dollars.

Saturday, September 19, 2015

Stock Market VIX Golden Cross Not Seen Since 2007 / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The VIX may be 60% below the six-year highs reached last month, but the confluence of medium-trend measures shows a technical development seen only in three occasions over the last 14 years; August 2001, August 2007 and July 2002. This development is the Golden Cross via the 55-week moving average crossing above the 200-week moving average. It is happening again today.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Fed’s Vast Gold / Stock Market Impact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Yesterday’s Fed decision was one of the most anticipated ever, with much potential to really change the global financial-market dynamics going forward.  But thanks to the Fed’s incredible market distortions of recent years, Fed meetings spawning exceptional volatility is nothing new.  Fed decisions’ impacts on gold and stocks have been vast.  And this next tightening cycle should reverse their Fed-imparted directionality.

Before we get started, a big caveat is necessary.  While this essay was published the morning after that Fed decision, I had no choice but to research and write this draft before yesterday’s momentous 2pm event!  Producing one of these weekly essays takes a lot of time and effort, and even after writing 670 of them there was no possible way to start this process after the Fed and still make the publishing deadline.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Stock Market Testing the Flags / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is testing the inside boundaries of its Bearish Flag. I have revised the Flag minimum target to reflect yesterday’s spike high. Should SPX break below its Flag formation on heavy volume today, the probability of a flash crash within the next week becomes elevated above 50%.

Friday, September 18, 2015

How Should You Invest During Recession? / Stock-Markets / Recession 2015

By: Submissions

Nicholas Kitonyi writes: The general rule is that the best time to invest in the stock market is when stock prices are low, and sell when they are high. Ideally, stock prices trade at low prices during recession as compared to when the economy is expanding.

However, as many investors would tell you, it is not always that simple. In fact, sometimes it is much difficult to pick out the right stocks during recession because you never know where the recession would leave the company by the time it’s over.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Halloween Came Early this Year on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

The Federal Reserve guessing game ended Thursday after the FOMC made its decision on interest rate policy. The Fed left rates unchanged in a tip of the hat to investors who felt the economy was vulnerable to overseas weakness. This was what most on Wall Street wanted, although there was a sharp intraday reversal after the announcement (apparently a case of buy the rumor, sell the news).

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Great Financial Crisis 2nd Leg - The Chinese Emperor Has No Clothes / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Brian_Bloom

The first chart below may be signalling a very significant technical development from the perspective of global investor confidence.

The lower low in the On Balance Volume (OBV) chart is not yet significant in terms of extent; nevertheless, its significance lies in the fact that it is pointing to the “potential”  emergence of a wave of selling pressure in the equity market of a country that has clearly been cooking its economic books (see evidence below).

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Stock Market Fed Decision Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

A colleague, Gary, called me yesterday to comment that this formation might have a better fit as a Flag or Pennant formation instead of a Triangle. A glance at the two-hour chart shows an upward tilt that would agree with that assessment. The Wave Structure also fits, whether a Minor Wave 4 or an Intermediate Wave (B), which is the alternate view.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

The Talk of US Stock Market Crash Does Not Make Sense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Nicholas Kitonyi writes: Over the last few weeks, there has been a lot of talk of a possible US market crash. This comes following a substantial decline across all the major US Indices and their associated ETFs which saw them drop by 6%-9% between late August and early September.

However, we have already witnessed significant resurgence in US markets over the last few days, which suggests that investors still remain optimistic.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Stock Market Short Interest Off The Charts...Fed On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

A new report came out this morning showing trader-short interest is at an all-time high. Nothing like fear to create a more bullish environment. The short interest here is at a greater level than at any time during the 2000-bear market or the 2009-bear market That's almost impossible to believe, but that's what the numbers are showing. Most folks know the rule of this crazy game with regards to following the herd. Never do it! If the masses get too bullish it's probably not a bad idea to start removing most of your long holdings. No different than when things get far too bearish. Right now the trading world is far too bearish, which tells me that over time it's more likely, though no guarantee, that we'll get through S&P 500 1993 before losing S&P 500 1867. Taking out 1993 would negate the bearish-bear flag pattern, and set things up more balanced between the two sides. Then it would be more about sentiment.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Refugee Crisis is a Far Bigger Risk to Your Money than the Fed or China / Stock-Markets / Refugee Crisis

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Today we’re going to talk about the 800 pound gorilla in the room. No politician will touch it and no citizen wants to acknowledge it in an era where political correctness has run amok.

But we have to.

“It” is Europe’s desperate refugee crisis, and “it” is by far the single biggest threat to your money today. You’re not hearing about this at the moment but you will in the months ahead.

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

Jim Rogers on Timeless Investing Strategies You Can Use to Profit Today / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

Recently I spoke with Jim Rogers about the most important investment lessons he has learned over the years.

Jim is a legendary investor and true international man. He’s always ahead of the game. Jim made a bundle by investing in commodities in the 1990s when they were out of favor with Wall Street. He’s also made large profits investing in crisis markets.

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

Stock Market Sectors, Does Anyone Win With an Interest Rate Hike? / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis

By: Investment_U

Matthew Carr writes: Editorial Note: It’s the big moment investors have been waiting for. As we write, the Fed is meeting to decide if it will raise interest rates for the first time since 2006. And while there won’t be any official announcement until Thursday, folks are understandably on edge. But should you be?

We asked Matthew Carr to do what he does best - to sift through decades of market data and uncover the real effect of rate hikes on stocks. We hope you enjoy his commentary. And afterward, if you’re still worried, click here to see how our Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green is preparing Oxford Club Members for the end of the bull market.