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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Stock Market Getting More Violent In The Handle..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Violent markets can be meaningful, even if we're not necessarily seeing resolution out of a range. We know the range is now down at the 50-day exponential moving average, or the last line in the sand for the bulls. The level being 1971. The 20's didn't do a great job of holding up, so now we focus on the last line in the sand for the bulls, or again, 1971. The top of the range being the old high or 2011. We have been in an increasingly violent and whipsaw range that reminds me of SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) when it was topping out for the very long term. Now listen up. These violent whipsaw handles can also be bullish, if price holds well enough, while the oscillators unwind from overbought. Handles can be violent, since both sides fight at critical junctures. The range can be more than 1% large, and, thus, things whip around to the top and bottom repeatedly.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 13, 2014

Tail Risk - Investors Suffering Permanent Loss / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Fred_Sheehan

In a recent memo to Oaktree Capital clients, Chairman Howard Marks writes about "the time I spent advising a sovereign wealth fund about how to organize for the next thirty years. My presentation was built significantly around my conviction that risk can't be quantified a priori. Another of their advisors, a professor from a business school north of New York, insisted it can. This is something I prefer not to debate, especially with people who're sure they have the answer but haven't bet much money on it."

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 13, 2014

The World Order Becomes Disorder / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Casey_Research

By Donald G. M. Coxe, Chairman, Coxe Advisors LLC.

Is the post-Cold War global boom over?

Since the fall of Bolshevism, the world has seen remarkably sustained growth in international cooperation, brought about by freer trade and new technologies. Financial assets have generally performed well, increasing prosperity across most of the world. There were just two major interruptions—the tech crash in 2000, and the financial crash in 2008.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 12, 2014

Panic On The Streets Of London ... Can Scotland Ever Be The Same Again? / Stock-Markets / UK Politics

By: GoldCore

There is now less than one week of campaigning remaining before the Scottish Independence Referendum, which takes place next Thursday, September 18. 

The pro-union ‘no’ vote campaign is back in the lead this week after the latest opinion poll from pollsters YouGov put them at 52%, marginally ahead of the pro-independence ‘yes’ campaign.

The referendum question being asked is simply “Should Scotland be an independent country?”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 12, 2014

Better Days Ahead For U.S. Stock And Housing Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE – After bottoming out in 2012, America’s housing market has climbed to a 6-year high and it is probable that the 2006-record will be surpassed within the next 2-3 years.

You will recall that we first turned positive about America’s housing market two years ago and at that time, we forecasted a multi-year upswing. Fast forward to today and property prices have already risen over the past couple of years and we expect them to appreciate for at least another 2-3 years.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Scottish Independence Vote Investor Implications / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Axel_Merk

Is your portfolio's fate dependent on Scotland's? Why is it that when a place known for haggis, kilts and bagpipes indicates it might want to be independent, the markets pay attention?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Gold, Stocks and US Dollar Long Cycles, Trend Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Several markets seem over-extended and about to reverse their current trends.

S&P 500 Index: It bottomed in March 2009 about 670 and is currently about 2,000. The S&P, thanks to QE, ZIRP, Central Bank purchases, and who knows what other contrivances, has levitated to the magical 2,000 level. Will it go higher?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Stock Market Trendlines Violated, Sell Signal Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has broken below its Broadening Wedge trendline for the second time today. Perhaps this is the charm. There is now enough information to label the Wave Structure as a Micro Wave I and ii. It is apparent that round number resistance held the bounce at 2000.00.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Stock Market Cycle - Exactly Where We Are / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: I was on stage at The California Club in Los Angeles... being put on the spot. And I didn't have a good answer...

It was a private meeting, so it was a small crowd of less than 50 people. At the end of my speech, I answered a few questions.

I like to give good answers when I can. But this time, I didn't have a good answer. I fumbled around, sharing some facts. But I knew I could give a more accurate answer once I had run some numbers. I promised that I would respond more accurately in DailyWealth. So here goes...

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Stock Market Broadening Wedge Pattern Being Activated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX broke through its Broadening Wedge trendline and may have activated it for the downside panic to come. However, it has not broken beneath Friday’s low of 1990.10, leaving it open for another retest at 2007.71. Confirmation of the reversal would be the breakdown beneath 1990.10. So far, it has declined to 1991.88.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

Italy Stock Market Primed to Soar in the Draghi Asset Bubble / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: DailyWealth

Brett Eversole writes: The Draghi Asset Bubble is here...

As regular DailyWealth readers know, we've been telling you about the opportunity in European stocks for more than two years... and about what my colleague Steve Sjuggerud has coined the "Draghi Asset Bubble" since last December.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 08, 2014

Stock Market Final Warning - Will The ECB's QE Make A Difference? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - In 1932 and 1974, the 40-yr cycle was responsible for protracted market weakness. The current phase is due this year but where is the weakness? Has man (Federal Reserve) finally achieved dominance over universal rhythms or has it simply delayed the inevitable?

Intermediate trend - We are looking for the move from 1905 to end, after which a much more serious correction should start.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 08, 2014

What Everyone Needs to Understand About Our Markets, Debt, and Empire / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Submissions

Raymond Matison writes: Every day there are numerous well written financial reports authored by highly experienced and well recognized analysts employed by large and prominent brokers as well as numerous well regarded investment advisors.  Over the years many have built respectable careers in following and recommending bond, equity and precious metal investments that have been profitable to their clients.  It is a system based on merit; and analysts with profitable recommendations thrive, while money losers soon find themselves employed elsewhere.  Working for such firms, requires writing reports on the state of the industry, individual companies, and making recommendations even at a time when investment opportunities are scarce, overvalued, or there is not much new to report.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 08, 2014

Why This Stock Market Rally is About to End Badly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Michael_Pento

The deafening cacophony on Wall Street for the past six years has been since interest rates are at zero percent that there is no place else to put your money except stocks. For most, it just doesn't matter that the ratio of Total Market Cap to GDP is 125 percent, which is 15 percent points higher than in 2007 and the highest at any time outside of the tech bubble at the turn of the century. Sovereign bond yields are at record lows across the globe and the strategy for most investors is to ignore anemic economic growth rates and just continue to plow more money into the market simply because, "there's no place else to put your money."

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 07, 2014

Stock Market Primary III or IV Inflection Point Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

Summer holiday traders returned this week in the sell mode. Every new high, tuesday-thursday, was sold within the first hour and a half, or less, of trading. But the market managed to turn the tide on friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.15%, and the DJ World index was +0.20%. On the economic front, positive and negative reports came in about even. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, the unemployment rate, and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: the ADP, payrolls, the WLEI, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get a look at Consumer credit, Retail sales and Business inventories.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 07, 2014

The Coming Stock Market Trading Range Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Although you wouldn’t know it by looking at the NASDAQ, this year has been a tough one for many investors. The relative lack of volatility, combined with the underperformance of small cap stocks, has kept many portfolios unchanged for the year to date.

To give you an idea of what 2014 has been like for some investors, checkout the following graph of the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index (RUT). Clearly, the lateral trading range action of small cap stocks, which comprise a substantial portion of many portfolios, has been a frustrating experience.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 06, 2014

World Stock Markets Are Topping - Dow, ASX, BSE, DAX and FTSE Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

In this analysis, we will examine both the small picture and big picture using the daily and monthly charts.

Dow

What a difference a week makes! In my last report I thought that the Dow would correct before embarking on one final surge higher. Instead, price made a marginal new high before heading down and threatening to break down but managing to climb back into the end of the week. When things don't play out as expected, I always head back to the charts to reanalyse. Let's see what this new analysis suggests beginning with the daily chart.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 06, 2014

Sell Financial Stocks - and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Fred_Sheehan

(RESERVE YOUR SEATS: On August 26, 2014, for what seems the fiftieth time, the U.S. Court of Federal Claims rejected the U.S. government's attempt to extinguish Starr International Co. v. United States. Judge Thomas Wheeler said the case brought by Hank Greenberg's AIG (specifically, Starr International Co., which owned 12.5% of the shares on September 15, 2008) will go to trial on September 29, 2014. Wheeler stated: "The complexity of the submissions and the factual disagreements strongly point to the need for a trial." According to Reuters, "a U.S. Department of Justice spokeswoman declined to comment." On the other hand, David Boies, the Attorney of Record from Boies, Schiller & Flexner, LLP, representing Starr International, did comment: "The decision speaks for itself." Former AIG Chairman Hank Greenberg has sued the U.S. government for $25 billion as compensation for the shares owned by Starr International. According to Reuters, "The trial is expected to last six weeks.")

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 06, 2014

Stock Market Epic Optimism that Can Be Reversed Only by a Huge Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Recent weeks brought the biggest confrontation with Moscow since the Cold War, a race riot, a new low in the popularity of President Obama and grisly beheadings at the hands of religious terrorists amidst a major re-escalation of the war in Iraq.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 05, 2014

QE3’s Ominous End Looms for Global Financial and Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The Federal Reserve’s third quantitative-easing campaign is on track to wind down in late October.  At that point the Fed will likely stop printing new money to buy bonds, a sea-change shift with ominous implications for the stock markets.  Their entire surreal levitation during QE3 mirrored the huge growth in the Fed’s balance sheet from QE3’s bond monetizations.  When they cease, another major selloff is likely.

QE3’s impact on the global financial markets has been vast beyond belief.  The Fed launched QE3 in September 2012, just before the important United States elections.  This goosed the US stock markets in that critical final couple months ahead of the elections, right when they were on the verge of selling off dramatically.  Odds are very high that the Fed’s brazen market manipulation gave the election to Obama.

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