Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, January 04, 2017
2017 – The Year of Banana Skin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
2016 is behind us and we have started a new year with great gusto and no small measure of anxiety. The potential for unknown unknowns turning into banana skins is very high. Right now we are looking at:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 04, 2017
Stock Market, Gold Outlook for 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger reflects on how events of 2016 affected the markets, and lays out his strategy for 2017, which includes diamonds and uranium.
One of the most bothersome peccadillos of the advisory community, be it emanations from home computer blogs or the Ivory Towers of Wall Street, is the annoying tendency to accentuate good calls and understate bad ones.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
SPX has made a daily reversal / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
SPX has performed a daily reversal by retracing the decline to its cycle Top resistance at 2260.79. It may do a smaller degree retracement to 2253.00 before going lower. The next stop may be the 50-day Moving Average at 2194.98. It may decline past that level in order to do a retest from below.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Changes We Saw in 2016… and Those We Did Not / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
I try to stay away from financial news on the television. All that yelling and hype makes me tired, and I realize later that it was mostly meaningless. I know they must make everything sound like it will change the world to keep viewers tuned in, but I have better ways to spend my time.Instead, I read a lot, from varying sources, so that I can bring the best information and analysis to you. In addition to Economy & Markets, I also write a weekly publication called the Dent Digest, which is distributed to our subscribers. In it I try to bring together the relevant stories of the week, including both the well-known and the not-so-obvious.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Market Forecasts 2017 After a Volatile 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Where to now… after what 2016 dished out?
First, there was the surprise upset of the presidential election of dear old Donald.
Then came the surprise shift in sentiment about the election. Before, he was a wrecking ball. After, he’s suddenly Jesus walking on water. Never mind that he’s already pissed off China… twice! Or that many are worried about his overly cozy relationship with “Darth” Putin, as with his new Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, who is also cozy with Putin.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Beware the $52 TRILLION $USD Debt Bomb / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
What is Janet Yellen thinking?
The Yellen Fed raised interest rates again in December 2016.
More than this, Yellen has promised the Fed will be raising rates THREE times in 2017.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Stock Market Retracement Appears Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The decline/retracement pattern is clearer now. Wave 1 bottomed at 2241.77. The additional decline was an extended Wave [b]. The five Waves necessary to complete [c] appear to be finished, although the Model suggests the SPX may linger in a small bounce for another hour. A decline beneath the mid-Cycle support at 2254.65 may be another short entry/sell signal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Stock Market Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2270 has now been met, but there are higher counts that could still be filled before a serious reversal take place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Stock Market, Gold and Silver Stocks Forecast 2017-2022 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Two weeks ago, I was looking at a possible 2330 SPX by year’s end. By December 23rd, I told my subs to expect a rally into December 27, and then a bottom near December 29th, somewhere between SPX 2238-52. The SPX closed at 2238 on the December 30th, after tagging 2233/34.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
10 Predictions for 2017: Gold, Stocks, Trump, Putin and War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The quote is a paradox within itself, but sums up the outlook of anyone that has gleaned a grain of wisdom in their life. Yet, here I am offering predictions for the future, a thing one could know with even less certainty than present conditions. We study trends, monitor political events, consider “cui bono” in all events and give it the old college try.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 01, 2017
The Stock Market Has Topped. Next Up the US Dollar Driven Bloodbath / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The momentum driven post election rally has ended. Next up is the US Dollar driven collapse in the markets.
Copper called this weeks ago as we noted before. No one listed. It’s now down nearly 10% from its peak and clinging to support for dear life.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 01, 2017
Biased 2017 Forecasts - Debt, Housing and Stock Market (1/2) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
A couple weeks ago I was lucky enough to see a live one hour interview with Michael Lewis at the Annenberg Center about his new book The Undoing Project. Everyone attending the lecture received a complimentary copy of the book. Being a huge fan of Lewis after reading Liar’s Poker, Boomerang, The Big Short, Flash Boys, and Moneyball, I was interested to hear about his new project. This was a completely new direction from his financial crisis books. I wasn’t sure whether it would keep my interest, but the story of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky and their research into the psychology of judgement and decision making, creating a cognitive basis for common human errors that arise from heuristics and biases, was an eye opener.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 31, 2016
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2016 - Stock Market Crash Postponed Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The two most unexpected political shock events of the year were Britain's EU Referendum BrExit vote that literally no one in the establishment media, markets, the pollsters or bookies saw coming, which left a newly appointment Prime Minister to explain what BrExit exactly means who response is always that "BrExit means Brexit". Though many who commentated on breakfast, I mean Brexit end up confusing the two. "Brexit means Breakfast". Anyway we shall soon find out exactly what BrExit means....
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 31, 2016
Stock Market Dow Closes 2016 Up 13.4% Confounding Perma Bear Doom Merchants For 8th Year! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The Dow Jones stock market index closed 2016 up 2338 points at 19,763, up 13.4% for year confounding the doom merchants who saw every surprise event of 2016 from Januarys oil price collapse to Britain's Brexit EU Referendum vote to America's very own self professed Mr BrExit, Donald Trump shocking the American establishment elite by winning the US Presidential election, all and more were apparently definite harbingers for a stock market apocalypse, reaching their most vocal just as the stocks bottomed and surged higher.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 30, 2016
SPX Stock Market Flash Crash May be Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
SPX cleared and retested Intermediate-term support/resistance now at 2256.83 this morning. It was a pleasant surprise to see it begin a new impulse lower. Although shallow, the new impulse tells us that there is room to decline. It is also a prime candidate for a flash crash as early as today. If the decline remains impulsive and gains momentum, we may see a low as early as Tuesday mid-day. SPX is on a sell signal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 30, 2016
FTSE Stock Market Index Ends 2016 at BrExit New All Time High, Clueless Financial Press / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
The FTSE ended 2016's last day of trading at a NEW ALL TIME high of 7,142, which according the mainstream financial press's reporting for virtually the whole year was an IMPOSSIBLE outcome. After all the surprise BrExit EU Referendum vote result was supposed to have heralded a crash, collapse, recession new bear market, NONE of which materialised!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 30, 2016
Major Stocks Bear Market Still Looms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The US stock markets spectacularly defied the odds in 2016, soaring after both the UK’s Brexit vote and US presidential election. Both actual outcomes were universally feared as very bearish for stocks before the events. These contrary stock rallies have left traders feeling euphoric, convinced stock markets are impregnable. But with stock valuations hitting bubble levels in an exceedingly-old bull, a major bear still looms.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 30, 2016
Trump, BrExit, Crude Oil, Stocks Bull - Most Popular Market Oracle Videos of 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
2016 is about to come to an end that featured two unexpected shock political events of Britain's EU Referendum BrExit vote that literally no one in the mainstream press, political elite, markets or bookies saw come, and then there was Trump winning the US Presidency, which again shocked the establishment elite. Whilst in the financial markets, the crude oil prices trend garnered much popular interest as the early year oil price collapse had pushed many oil producers towards the edge of economic collapse. And again the BrExit and Trump factors induced much market uncertainty as the consensus expectations were that both events would result in an end of the 7 year long stocks bull market, which instead resulted in the exact opposite trends to a series of new all time highs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 29, 2016
Stock Market Impulse Wave Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It now appears that SPX has completed its first impulse down to 2244.56 and appears capable of bouncing either to Intermediate term resistance at 2254.48 or to the trendline near 2260.00 in a partial retracement. It may take another hour or so to complete its bounce, then reverse into a probable Wave 3 in the final hour of the day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 29, 2016
In 2017 Be the Bank / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Dear Parader,
In our last edition before the New Year, I share an overview of an interesting and easy way to get a better return on your money. What’s most important, it allows you to largely side-step the risk and volatility inherent in stock and bond markets.
We then conclude with an approach you might want to consider using for difficult people and negative relationships that crop up in your life.
As I write, sitting at the dining table at our family house in Vermont, the snow has kicked up. If I skied, I might want to head to the mountain. But as I don’t, I am content to stay indoors and dream of returning to the sunnier climes of Cafayate, Argentina, which I will do tomorrow morning.
Read full article... Read full article...