Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, January 12, 2017

Massive VIX Stock Market Warning for all Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

My analysis of the recent VIX action is clearly warning of a potentially massive price volatility increase in the US and global markets.  Many traders use and trade the VIX as a measurement of volatility.  The VIX is a measurement of the expected market volatility over the next 30 days.  As the VIX rises, traders expect larger and more volatile price swings.  As the VIX declines, traders expect smaller and more narrow price swings.

Thursday, January 12, 2017

USD in Decline. SPX and TNX May Follow / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The USD is in decline, challenging its 50-day Moving Average at 10.99 by declining to 100.70 this morning. The USD has a high correlation to equities and an inverse correlation to treasuries and gold.

Thursday, January 12, 2017

Stock Market Drops After Trumps Biotech Pricing Comments, Impressive Come Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had a very volatile day today as the indices went up in the morning, down in the afternoon on news that Trump is going to make the biotech companies accountable for pricing, rallied back up, came back down to retest, held, and then put on a very impressive afternoon rally that took the indices back into the plus column, to close up on the day.

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

2017: Year of Market and Economic Extremes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Clif_Droke

Now that another New Year is upon us, it's time to reflect on what the coming months might unfold. Normally when market analysts try their hand at predicting the year ahead it involves either wild guessing or linear extrapolation based on prevailing trends. I tend to eschew both methods and instead focus on comparing past events in comparable time frames. This method is based on something known as Kress cycle "echo" analysis and was pioneered by my late mentor, Samuel J. Kress.

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Stock Market Quiet, Mixed Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very mixed, sloppy session, and finished the day on a sour note, with the S&P 500 unchanged today. The day started out with a move down, a very strong rally in the morning ensured, reaching a new all-time high on the 5050 Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 couldn’t get back to Friday’s double-top high at 22.82, reaching 2279 today, and then rolled over to 2269. The Dow closed down, the S&P 500 closed flat, while the Nasdaq 100 closed slightly in the plus column.

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Stock Market Short, Sharp Pull Back? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

A short, sharp in the stock market may be in the offing over the next couple of days. I believe that last Friday’s top in the SPX signaled a Y wave top and now we should see Z of "sub-minuette wave 4". Our subs made 11.7% in 5 days buying the reverse volatility ETF SVXY. Most market gurus were gloomy going into the New Year, but we went the other way. A final wave 5 should take us just over 2310 by or around January 23.

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

The Market Has Become One Giant Lopsided Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The market has become one giant trade.

That trade is:

• Long US stocks
• Long the $USD
• Short Treasuries
• Short Gold

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

NDX Tek Stock Index Reaches Over Five Thousand / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started the week off in a very strange session, the Nasdaq 100 working its way higher, while the S&P 500 got hammered at the opening, and barely hung on all morning. Midday the Nasdaq 100 extended its move, making new, all-time highs today at 5034.00, while the S&P 500 tried to rally, but rolled over and continued steadily lower. At the end of the day, the Nasdaq 100 pulled back ten points, while a much deeper retrace on the session lows of the S&P 500 and Dow finished at the lows for the day.

Monday, January 09, 2017

Markets 2016 Past is 2017 Prologue / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: GoldCore

With us being just over a week into the New Year, we feel it worthwhile to look back just one last time at 2016. We believe that many of the themes and risks of 2016 continue in 2017 and that they are likely to impact markets in the coming months – especially the precious metal markets.

We always enjoy new perspectives and every year we enjoy the witty, comprehensive and insightful analysis review of the year past by David Collum. His‘2016 Year In Review’ is in the same vein and was missed by many when it was released over the Christmas period.

Monday, January 09, 2017

Stock Market Major Indexes Reached New Record Highs - But Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, January 09, 2017

Stock Market Tad More Distribution Needed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.

SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, January 08, 2017

The Trump Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

Donald Trump has a plan for dealing with the stock market bubble. Make it bigger.

Before the election candidate Trump blasted Federal Reserve chairman Janet Yellen for keeping interest rates too low for too long to keep the economy humming along while Obama was still in office. The president elect accused Yellen of being politically motivated suggesting that the Fed’s policies had put the country at risk of another stock market Crash like 2008.

Sunday, January 08, 2017

Government Bail-ins, Asset Confiscations and the Gold Sword of Self Defense / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Stewart_Dougherty

[Preface: In Part 1 of our report, “Goldman to Trump: Situation Assessment, Government Bail-ins and the Precious Metals Threat,” we inferred what Goldman Sachs’s second in command Gary Cohn might have said to President-elect Trump during their meeting on November 29, 2016. Cohn met again with Mr. Trump on December 2, 2016, and this time, we have inferred that he was accompanied by a second person. Here is Part 2 of our intuited, fictional report.]

Mr. Cohn: It is a pleasure to see you once again, Mr. Trump. I have been pre-empted. I was asked by important friends of our firm to introduce to you their envoy, Dr. Hugo Ehrlich. I can vouch for the fact that he represents extraordinarily powerful people with whom you will be working closely going forward. Let me turn it over to Dr. Ehrlich so he can explain.”

Sunday, January 08, 2017

Soft Commodities and the SPX Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started on Tuesday at SPX 2239. The market gapped up to start the week, hit SPX 2264, sold off to 2245, then gapped up on Wednesday to hit 2273. Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2260. Then on Friday the SPX made all-time new highs at 2282. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.95%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: the ADP, monthly payrolls, unemployment, factory orders, plus the trade deficit increased. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM manufacturing, auto sales, the WLEI, the Q4 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by retail sales, business/wholesale inventories and consumer credit.

Saturday, January 07, 2017

DOW Breaths FIRE on Dow 20k, Stock Market New All Time Trading High 19,999.63 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow after a 2 week holiday break on Friday finally re-attempted to break above the stocks bull market mega-milestone of 20,000, by literally breathing fire on 20k for the whole of the trading session, trading to a high of 19,999.63 early in the session, retreating to close at 19,963. The Dow literally cannot get much closer than reaching 20k than 19,999.63 without actually touching it! A remarkable trading session taking the Dow within a cats whisker of achieving 20k.

Saturday, January 07, 2017

4 Reasons the Trump Stock Market Rally Has No Legs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: David_Galland

US equity markets are already factoring in Trump’s promised reforms, while bond markets are pricing in higher inflation.

There’s just one thing: Trump hasn’t done anything yet. We’re still weeks away from his inauguration, and details of his economic plans remain scarce.

Investors seem to take potential positives for economic growth (lower taxes, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus) at face value, but ignore the potential negatives (soaring deficits, tariffs, and trade wars).

Saturday, January 07, 2017

Financial Crisis, Sleepy Dull Masses & Reality Wake-Up Call / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Many people who have been steady loyal dedicated even honorable investors in the gold & silver trade as personal protection for life savings have endured struggles with the family and friends. Whether the conversations are with dullards or stubborn types, maybe educated and formerly successful types, maybe those who are stuck in the paper world of shuffled investments of seemingly no basis, it is of no matter. The battle has been for a few years to convince those around us that a deep contracted crisis is underway. The battle has been to convince that a paradigm shift is in progress. The battle to convince family, friends, colleagues, neighbors, and acquaintances that the financial and economic system is facing a profound risk of total breakdown has been difficult. Most people are stuck in their own cocoon with family duties and business responsibilities, to be sure. Many people are also stuck within entrenched assumptions, most of which are false and easily dismissed. Many people simply do not care, since the official thermometer and barometer readings all read normal if not healthy signals, but then again they are rigged much like icing a thermometer from a rabidly sick man with a high fever. No resolution to certain pervasive intractable problems can come easily, not without a tumultuous sequence of events. The climax appears to have begun last year, while the breakdown accelerates.

Friday, January 06, 2017

Payrolls Underwhelm Markets, While China Boils Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Short-term support helped to keep the SPX aloft yesterday. The futures markets have been waiting for the monthly payrolls report. Now that it is out, it appears to be less than satisfactory. The question is, will there be a new high, or do the equities markets sell off from here?

Bloomberg reports, “The U.S. labor market turned in a solid performance at the end of 2016, sending job gains above 2 million for a sixth year as paychecks rose by the most during the current expansion.

Friday, January 06, 2017

Stock markets – the similarities between investment, and online gambling / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

Friday, January 06, 2017

Stock Market Very Mixed Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a mixed session today, although at the end of the session they came on strong. The day started out with a pop to the upside for the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 barely bounced. They barely came down in the morning, and the Nasdaq 100 held, although the S&P 500 made two lower lows. When the S&P 500 was not confirmed by the Nasdaq 100 by midday, they rallied, and rallied for the rest of the session. Not only that, the S&P 500 popped near 2270 at the close.