Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, January 28, 2017
SPX Support May be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to be testing its Orthodox Broadening top trendline at 2293.00. It is trading in a narrower and narrower band that is only two points wide in the past hour. I expect it to break soon. The break would be an aggressive sell signal, not confirmed by the VIX or the Hi-Lo.
The daily Cycle top support, which appears to be broken is at 2293.32.
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Friday, January 27, 2017
4 Investing Legends Predict Change In 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Forecasting the New Year is a curious tradition. Much evidence suggests that no one does it both accurately and consistently, yet everyone keeps trying. Just as no war plan survives contact with the enemy, no investment plan survives contact with February.
But the real value of an annual forecast is strategic. It helps you set priorities, define important issues, and think about what you should anticipate and what you can safely ignore. That’s a good exercise to go through periodically, and January is as good a time as any.
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Friday, January 27, 2017
The Single Biggest Threat to Investing Success… and How to Manage It / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: David_Galland
Dear Parader,
Have you ever encountered a rotten egg?
Remarkably, as someone who enjoys eggs with breakfast almost every day, I hadn’t.
At least until earlier this week when I came across my first, honest-to-goodness rotten egg. Or, should I say, it came across me—spraying out of the shell in all its rotten glory.
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Friday, January 27, 2017
USD rebound cut short. SPX Flat / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The overnight bounce in USD futures was stymied by the Durable Goods hard data that crushed the hopes of a rebound. A Wave [iii] may have begun.
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Friday, January 27, 2017
Stock Market Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session today. The day started off with a pop to the upside to new all-time highs, and then they pulled back down to retest successfully, particularly on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100. By midday they reached their lows and tried to rally in the afternoon, but unfortunately, they were not able to break out, and pulled back into the close.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 32.46 at 20,100.91, 25 points off the all-time high. The S&P 500 was down 1.69 at 2296.68, 23 points off its all-time high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 5.45 at 5156.92, 12 points off its high.
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Thursday, January 26, 2017
When Did The Fed Start Buying Stocks? - Indications Are When 'Taper' Ended! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gordon_T_Long
We see the forensic "finger prints" all over the economic and financial data that the Federal Reserve through a proxy likely Citadel Capital (or the Fed's CBOE Volume Options Agreement) has highly likely been buying the US equity market since its QE 3 "TAPER" ended in October 2014. We do know for a fact that the BOJ, SNB, PBOC, Norwegian and other central banks have been doing this as matter of normal monetary policy for some time and that 80% of all these central banks said they plan on buying more stocks this year. Why not the Federal Reserve? To see the forensic economic evidence more clearly, consider the following US indicators:
Thursday, January 26, 2017
Stock Market SP500 At New Record High, Will It Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, January 26, 2017
SPX Makes its Final Probe? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has spent 54 market days (83 calendar days) from its November 3 low. It appears that Wave [c] is impulsive and Wave [c] equals Wave [a] at 2305.50, so we have near equality in the final probe to the top.
This is a typical zigzag formation that I hope we have seen the last of. There is no short entry above the Cycle Top and trendline at 2291.27.
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Wednesday, January 25, 2017
Theresa May Announces That the UK Will Leave the Single Market – The Markets' Reactions / Stock-Markets / BrExit
By: Submissions
UK Prime Minister Theresa May announced, in a divisive speech, that the terms of the 'Brexit' voted for in the UK referendum last summer were to include leaving the single market. This would mean that the UK will negotiate new trade deals with the single market, as other non-EU countries do, and that the freedoms that exist within the single market (such as free movement of goods and people), as well as its regulations, will no longer apply to Britain.
Tuesday, January 24, 2017
How to Profit from Trumponomics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
While Donald Trump's election has altered a number of aspects of the economy, investors cannot ignore economic trends that were in place before the election, says Joe McAlinden, founder of McAlinden Research Partners and former chief global strategist with Morgan Stanley Investment Management. In this interview with The Gold Report, he discusses those trends and how they may be changed by Trump's election, why he is bullish on gold and which sectors he expects to thrive in the Trump era.
The Gold Report: 2017 will be a year of change. In the early days of the Trump administration, what should investors be focusing on?
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Tuesday, January 24, 2017
Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House Pattern Revisited / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
The 3PDh pattern of 2014-2016 appears to have failed. After a textbook, five-wave pullback (first floor roof/points 15-20) in April-June 2016, the Dow shot up in a vertical fashion fulfilling Lindsay's description of the 2nd floor wall (points 20-21). That was followed by a small cupola or head-and-shoulders top with the supposed bull market top arriving on 8/15/16. The following sell-off should have reached the bottom of the Separating Decline (February lows) at a minimum. As we all know, rather than experiencing a bear market, the Dow found a low on Election Day and the rally to new bull market highs has been named the "Trump Bump". But appearances can be deceiving...
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Tuesday, January 24, 2017
US Dollar may be our guide for the markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
In keeping our eyes on the USD, we can ascertain the moves of the rest of the market. USD futures declined to 99.88 in overnight trading, but
retraced to 100.40 at 6:00 am., a 28% retracement of its last decline. Since that decline was clearly impulsive while the others were not, I am labeling the first two thrusts down with an A, while the bounce was a B Wave. We may have just seen Wave [i] of C, while Wave [ii] appears to be in progress. It has retraced 28% of the decline thus far and is easing back down.
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Tuesday, January 24, 2017
Stock Market Still Vulnerable for a Pull Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
We are in TD 52 of the ten week cycle low due 50 TD’s 7.5 TD’s. The smaller 8/16 TD low is due ideally on January 25th, but could extend into January 27/31. The 27th has Venus squaring Saturn, which usually means a reversal bottom 2 TD’s. The new moon is due on the 28th.
The intermediate term still looks positive to me and should continue into the summer. There should be a period of weakness in Feb-Mar 2017, but overall, I doubt it will amount to much.
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Monday, January 23, 2017
Is Dow 20,000 a Bridge Too Far? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate P&F count to 2300 is still possible before a reversal occurs.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 22, 2017
Stock Market New Highs For 2017? Yes, But When Do I Enter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
When the SPX breaks out above its’ current resistance level, it will be the next leg up in this bull market. We are currently in a consolidation period. The SPX seems to be resting for now! The “Bollinger Bands Squeeze” is now taking hold and will result in a powerful move in either direction once broken. I do have a new BULLISH trigger for members to enter into during this amazing “melt up” that will only be shared with my ‘elite members’. I can assure you that you will want to be invested in this next BULLISH leg of the SPX!
Sunday, January 22, 2017
Active vs Passive Investing: And the Winner Is ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
The chart below comes from a new report from our friends at Elliott Wave International.
It's as straightforward as it looks -- not much need for animation.
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Friday, January 20, 2017
Stock Market Down Day with Poor Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a tough session after opening with a gap up, and a strong surge on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 was barely able to move. They plunged sharply in the morning, bounced back midday, only to roll over again, making lower lows. At the end of the day, they did have a 5-wave comeback that pared back the losses, but still it was a down day.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 72.32 at 19,732.40. The S&P 500 was down 8.20 at 2263.69. The Nasdaq 100 was down 4.68 at 5051.17.
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
Bonds, Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Silver Major Markets at Turning Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: DeviantInvestor
Bonds have risen in a 35 year bull market. That bull market looks tired and probably peaked in July of 2016.
The U.S. Dollar Index recently hit 14 year highs. Has the dollar finally peaked? Has it turned downward since January 3, 2017?
Stocks have been rising since the 2009 crash lows. Rounded to the nearest point, the Dow hit 20,000. Was that enough to make a final top before a major turn downward?
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Thursday, January 19, 2017
Stock Market Dow 20,000: A New Beginning...or The Beginning of The End? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Clif_Droke
After touching the benchmark 20,000 level last month, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has spent the last five weeks in a tight, narrow trading range just under this level. Famed trader Jesse Livermore theorized in his pseudonymous book, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, that stocks are attracted to major round number levels. In the case of the Dow, the 20,000 level has generated more press and speculation among investors than any number since the formerly mythical 10,000 level was crossed in 1999. Clearly Dow 20,000 carries a tremendous psychological significance, even if it's a simple case of self-fulfilling prophecy.
Thursday, January 19, 2017
Stock Market Interesting, Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an interesting, mixed session. A late rally on both the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 put them in the plus column, but the Dow did not get into the plus column, although it did come off the lows.
The day started out with a sharp pop to the upside, reaching 5058 Nasdaq 100, filling the gap from yesterday morning. The S&P 500 jumped as high as 2270 1/2, but couldn’t really get over yesterday’s high. The Nasdaq 100 was stronger today. They then pulled back midday, consolidated in wedges, and in the last hour, broke out and ran back up again.
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