Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 17, 2017
US Stock Market Update as the Trump Inauguration Approaches / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund forecasts a stock market "swoon" in light of the impending inauguration of Donald Trump.
The election of Donald Trump sparked a rally in the broad stock market, which has continued up to the present. According to the laws of reverse (inverse) logic that rule the markets, his inauguration as President is likely to trigger a swoon, and as we will shortly see, there are other compelling technical reasons for the market to drop back soon. It is worth noting that selling might start kicking in before the inauguration.
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Tuesday, January 17, 2017
Stock Market Inauguration Day Selling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I discussed the possibility of a Friday the 13th sell-off. Did I really believe it would happen? Actually, the odds were better for a January 20th sell-off based on the planets and dragonfly candle stick pattern we saw on 1/12 than the 13th.
What I was pointing out was the 10 week cycle low pattern ( 6 or 7 TD's from 50 TD's) and daily Bollinger Band squeeze alone. Now we have Mars Sq. Saturn 1/19 and the Sun/Jupiter lines crossing on 1/18. On 1/23 we have Mercury sextiling Neptune. That day should be very positive!
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Sunday, January 15, 2017
Cycles Call for Stock Market High this Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
A Middle Section forecast from the Basic Cycle (chart) points to a high on Monday and Lindsay’s 222-day interval points to a change in trend this week – but no confirming Middle Section forecast is found from the Multiple Cycle. This is not expected to be a significant high.
Cycles, however, may be the missing link. A two month cycle high is due near 1/20/17. A monthly cycle high is due this Tuesday and a six month cycle high is due in late January.
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Sunday, January 15, 2017
Is A Stock Market Correction Looming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: InvestingHaven
All stock market indexes in the U.S. reached all-time highs in the last couple of weeks. It is interesting to observe how diverse opinions have become. Stock forecasters are now even more bullish, while bears are more convinced that a stock market crash is around the corner.
According to MarketWatch, Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, confirmed the above viewpoint. He says his clients believe”the stock market is set for a meaningful correction.” CNBC mentioned a leading market strategist who suggests a stock market correction is near because the Trump rally is fading.
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Saturday, January 14, 2017
Stock Market Patterns & Cycles Pointing to SPX 2300 by Month End / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Jack_Steiman
Since I am a "pattern geek," what is the Emini S&P 500 pattern whispering to us now? That all of the action off of the new all-time high at 2278.25 established on December 13 -- exactly one month ago -- is taking the form of a Bullish Coil Formation, which the vast majority of the time represents a digestion period prior to continuation in the direction of the underlying trend (up).
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Saturday, January 14, 2017
SPX Stocks Bull Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2177. After a quiet session Monday the market inched up to SPX 2279 by Tuesday. Then Wednesday and Thursday the SPX declined to 2254. After that low the market rallied back to SPX 2279 on Friday and ended the week at 2275. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.0%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the downtick: import prices, consumer sentiment, Q4 GDP est., plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: consumer credit, business/wholesale inventories, export prices, the PPI, retail sales, and the WLEI. Next week’s economic highlights include: industrial production, the FED’s beige book, and the NY/Philly FED.
Friday, January 13, 2017
What Can Stock Market Tell You About Politics? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: EWI
Dear reader,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just posted a new article, "What Can Stock Market Tell You About Politics?"
The stock market and politics are indeed connected -- but probably not in the way you think.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
SPX May Have Completed Wave 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears as if the SPX has made an impulse from its top. This is very tight, but a decline beneath 2270 would give us some comfort with that call. This appears to be a repeat of where we were last Friday with a potential aggressive short entry. Some Elliotticians look for this type of entry, since it also puts a limit on losses when wrong.
Friday, January 13, 2017
Will Stocks Bull Market Continue to Charge or is it Time to Sell the News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
For a long time, our theme was to view all sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens as the trend based on our trend indicator was trading firmly in bullish territory. Secondly, one critical psychological component was in our favour too - the masses were either bearish or they cursed this market from the sidelines (neutral camp); hence the slogan the most hated bull market in history. We must deter for a second by stating that a mild or brutal correction comes down to what level you embraced this market. If you embraced this Stock Market Bull in the early stages from 2009-2011, then a mild correction would seem brutal or back breaking in comparison to someone who just jumped into the market. A 15-20% correction would knock the socks out of them, but for you, it would appear to be nothing but a blip; this is why we have consistently stated that the best time to open long positions when the masses are in a state of despair.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Is trading stocks and shares just as luck-based as roulette? / Stock-Markets / Gambling
By: Submissions
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Stock Market Unlucky Friday the 13th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market is nearing the ten week cycle low from November 4th, 2016. The daily Bollinger bands are tightly squeezed together suggesting a break-out one way or the other (an expansion of volatility). The SPX broke the uptrend line today only to close back above the line. Normally, this is a sign of strength, but the OBV did not confirm the recent highs suggesting the smart money has already moved away from the market. I would call this a sign of weakness.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Biggest Challenge of 2017 Directly Ahead for Gold, Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Clif_Droke
If you thought the pace of the head-spinning political events of the last two months couldn't get any faster, think again. One of the most critical decisions of President-Elect Trump's reign will soon be decided. The final verdict will have a direct impact on the direction of stocks, gold, and the economy in the months to come.
The decision in question is the Congressional challenge being made against the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare. Specifically, the requirement that individual Americans carry health insurance or else pay a stiff financial penalty is being challenged. Earlier this week, Trump directed the Republican-led Congress to begin efforts at repealing and replacing the health care law "very quickly."
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Thursday, January 12, 2017
SPX has Fallen Beneath the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has declined beneath the trendline, putting it on an “aggressive sell.” A confirmed sell may be had beneath the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2247.13 and a breakout above the 50-day Moving Average on the VIX.
ZeroHedge comments, “Despite the latest Small Business Optimism explosion of confidence (in December), the most up-to-date surveys of US consumer confidence appear to be crumbling after the 'Trump Bump'...
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Thursday, January 12, 2017
Massive VIX Stock Market Warning for all Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
My analysis of the recent VIX action is clearly warning of a potentially massive price volatility increase in the US and global markets. Many traders use and trade the VIX as a measurement of volatility. The VIX is a measurement of the expected market volatility over the next 30 days. As the VIX rises, traders expect larger and more volatile price swings. As the VIX declines, traders expect smaller and more narrow price swings.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
USD in Decline. SPX and TNX May Follow / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The USD is in decline, challenging its 50-day Moving Average at 10.99 by declining to 100.70 this morning. The USD has a high correlation to equities and an inverse correlation to treasuries and gold.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
Stock Market Drops After Trumps Biotech Pricing Comments, Impressive Come Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market had a very volatile day today as the indices went up in the morning, down in the afternoon on news that Trump is going to make the biotech companies accountable for pricing, rallied back up, came back down to retest, held, and then put on a very impressive afternoon rally that took the indices back into the plus column, to close up on the day.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
2017: Year of Market and Economic Extremes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Clif_Droke
Now that another New Year is upon us, it's time to reflect on what the coming months might unfold. Normally when market analysts try their hand at predicting the year ahead it involves either wild guessing or linear extrapolation based on prevailing trends. I tend to eschew both methods and instead focus on comparing past events in comparable time frames. This method is based on something known as Kress cycle "echo" analysis and was pioneered by my late mentor, Samuel J. Kress.
Wednesday, January 11, 2017
Stock Market Quiet, Mixed Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very mixed, sloppy session, and finished the day on a sour note, with the S&P 500 unchanged today. The day started out with a move down, a very strong rally in the morning ensured, reaching a new all-time high on the 5050 Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 couldn’t get back to Friday’s double-top high at 22.82, reaching 2279 today, and then rolled over to 2269. The Dow closed down, the S&P 500 closed flat, while the Nasdaq 100 closed slightly in the plus column.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
Stock Market Short, Sharp Pull Back? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brad_Gudgeon
A short, sharp in the stock market may be in the offing over the next couple of days. I believe that last Friday’s top in the SPX signaled a Y wave top and now we should see Z of "sub-minuette wave 4". Our subs made 11.7% in 5 days buying the reverse volatility ETF SVXY. Most market gurus were gloomy going into the New Year, but we went the other way. A final wave 5 should take us just over 2310 by or around January 23.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
The Market Has Become One Giant Lopsided Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The market has become one giant trade.
That trade is:
- Long US stocks
- Long the $USD
- Short Treasuries
- Short Gold