Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, December 16, 2016
Will Stock Market VIX Spike Today? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is up, as would be expected for the close of index options at today’s open. Volatility may spike at the open as options traders settle their trades. What happens after the institutions leave the scene?
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Friday, December 16, 2016
The Fed is BEGGING China to Crash the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
What is Janet Yellen thinking?
As the Fed wound down its QE program in 2014, the $USD hit liftoff. It has since hovered in the mid- to upper-‘90s.
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Friday, December 16, 2016
How Trump Could Blow Up The Entire Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
At first glance, strictly from the point of view of the short-term impact they will have on the markets, what's not to like about the Trump/Ryan/Republican tax proposals?
Trump is proposing a top corporate tax rate of 15% , and the Ryan plan essentially calls for 20%. The proposed corporate tax reduction will really have a far greater impact than any of the proposed personal income tax cuts.
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Thursday, December 15, 2016
Stock Market Sell Signals Being Generated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has exceeded the trendline, as anticipated. It may find max resistance at or near 2266.00, the 61.8% Fib retracement.
The next decline may fall between 60 and 100 points, challenging the Wave [iv] low or possibly the 50-day Moving Average. If so, the decline may slip into high gear.
This may be an ideal aggressive short entry.
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Thursday, December 15, 2016
SPX to Mop up Wave 2 Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is lower, but hasn’t broken yesterday’s low as I write. That leaves the possibility of a second go at the trendline at the open.
ZeroHedge reports, “This morning the world awakes to a landscape in which markets are frantically rushing to catch up to a suddenly hawkish Fed which not only hiked for the second time in a decade but, as per yesterday's Fed statement and Yellen press conference, realized it has been behind the curve all along, and the result has been a spike in the dollar across virtually all currency pairs with the USDJPY surging above 118.40, coupled with a jump in bond yields around the globe as bond (the US 10 Year is trading at 2.64%, the highest since September 2014) as traders dump any hint of duration.”
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Warning: Fed Interest Rate Hike Could Trigger Stock, Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The big day has finally arrived.
The Fed adjourns its two day FOMC meeting today. At 2PM Fed Chair Janet Yellen is expected to announce that the Fed is raising rates again.
If the Fed does hike as 100% of analysts expect, it will be the first hike in 12 months and only the second in this tightening cycle.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Orthodox Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is clearly under its Orthodox Broadening Top trendline this morning. This is the first step and may be considered an aggressive sell signal (with stops).
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Exciting Day Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX nearly maxed out yesterday as it approached 2285.92, which is the limit of this wave structure. That’s not to say that it absolutely cannot change its form again. However, we’ll address that issue if it comes. Right now, it is overdue for a decline and a measure of the decline will tell us what may come after.
The Premarket is modestly down. There may not be a lot of activity until after the FOMC announcement at 2:00 pm.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Very Strong Session Despite Profit-Taking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had very nice big gains until the last few minutes when they sold off, especially on the Nasdaq 100, which gave up about 25 points off its big gains today, still finishing up at 4935, with a good trade and double top around 4960 by midsession, before the late pullback.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 114.78 at 19,911.21, a new all-time at 19,953. The S&P 500 was up 14.76 at 2271.72. The Nasdaq 100 was up 61.54 at 4935.82.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2016
Stock Market Waiting for the FOMC? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket is higher, but the futures have not made a new high. Yesterday’s decline may be impulsive, but the test is whether a new high is made today or not. In addition, the Wave structure appears to be complete as of yesterday morning. We may see some residual bullishness at the open, but the jury is still pondering the verdict as of now.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2016
Nasdaq Leads Stock Market Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market bulls are still in control of things, but we all know that there is this one gigantic red flag out there that will come into play at some point. The thing is, we don't know when that will happen, because there is no formula to tell us when it's coming, since every bull market is different. We can look back at history as a guide, but when folks do, it doesn't usually work out very well. The reason is simple. Nothing repeats perfectly, even though we'd like to believe it does. For instance, over the past year-plus we saw 35% on the bull/bear spread start a correction, but we also saw 46% start one.
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Monday, December 12, 2016
Stock Market Top?, Sucker’s Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The current rally from November 4 to December 12 (if indeed it was the top) was Minuette Wave Y of Minute Y. Minute Wave Y (of Minor Wave B) was a wxy inverted, irregular and strong bearish flat. Elliott called these B waves or irregular tops. The Trump rally is basically a "sucker's play". The internals of this rally are sick and very selective; the McClellan Summation Index is miles away from confirming it; the Dow Jones Industrials has far exceeded the SPX, which has far exceeded the NASDAQ creating a case of an inter-market bearish divergence. We also have a huge On-Balance-Volume divergence.
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Monday, December 12, 2016
The Bank of Japan Has Primed the Markets For a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
This is getting outright ridiculous.
The Bank of Japan is now depreciating the Yen against the $USD on an almost hourly basis.
This is the Yen carry trade. And it’s the SINGLE BIGGEST DRIVER OF THE MARKETS TODAY. As you can see, in the last two weeks, the S&P 500 is following this pair almost tick for tick.
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Monday, December 12, 2016
Stock Market Trading At New Record Highs As Investors' Sentiment Further Improves / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, December 12, 2016
Stock Market Extreme Greed Reading / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: If the market strength persists, the long-term trend may need to be re-evaluated.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX intermediate count to 2240 may turn out to only be a minimum projection. This will be determined by market action over the next couple of weeks.
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Sunday, December 11, 2016
2007 All Over Again, Stock Market Valuations Enter “Crash” Territory / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: John_Rubino
The Trump Christmas stock market rally has taken valuations beyond a point that in the past has signaled trouble, which in turn has generated a lot of cautionary press like the following:
Market indicator hits extreme levels last seen before plunges in 1929, 2000 and 2008
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Sunday, December 11, 2016
End of the World History Stock Chart… / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Rambus_Chartology
I try to show this long term monthly chart for the $COMPQ which I call the “End of the World History Chart” at least once a year or if something interesting takes place. When you look at the 1987 crash it felt like the end of the world at the time but that ended up being the second reversal point in the green bullish rising channel. How many remember the months leading up to the first Gulf war in 1991? No one knew at the time how that conflict would play out as the US was going up against the 5th largest army in the world. On the first night of bombing it was very clear that the conflict would be over quickly and the stock markets took off the very next day which made the fourth reversal point in the green bullish rising channel.
Sunday, December 11, 2016
Market Outlook 2017 According To Our Proprietary Indicators / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: InvestingHaven
It was quite a volatile year, with a mix of collapses and rallies across markets. Think of gold’s breathtaking rise, crude’s collapse, and copper’s rally. After the summer, gold started collapsing while crude and stocks rallied strongly. With this year’s volatility, it is quite challenging to define a market outlook for 2017. To get a sense of what 2017 will bring, we analyze our proprietary market barometer and our leading market indicator.
Sunday, December 11, 2016
Trump, Reagan Economies at Polar Opposites / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Market expectations could be based on false assumption
“Looking ahead, Credit Suisse argues against the view of many pundits that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s fiscal policies are likely to hurt gold. The market has factored in an expectation that a mix of U.S. tax cuts, deregulation and infrastructure spending will boost the economy, pushing up real interest rates and strengthening the U.S. dollar. ‘We counter that trade protectionism and anti-immigration policies are negative for growth and positive for inflation,' Credit Suisse said." – SMN News/Kitco
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Saturday, December 10, 2016
Official Warning: Stocks Are Going to Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Stocks are going to Crash.
This wasn’t the case a mere six weeks ago. But the Bank of Japan has committed one of the most egregious manipulations in history.
The Yen/ $USD pair has imploded by over 14% in the last six weeks. The last time the pair fell this much the BoJ expanded an already monstrous QE program by $260 BILLION.
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