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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Stock Market Topping Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Savage

As you can see in the NYA chart below the SPX, the underlying stock market is topping out and likely trying to begin a bear market. The NYA quit going up as soon as the dollar started to surge in May of last year.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Will A Cascading 'Crackup-Boom' Start In The 'Peripheral Nations'? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Gordon_T_Long

This Chart Is Regularly In Gordontlong.Com's Monthly Mata Report

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Tech Stocks and Gold Big Picture, Big Moves Brewing / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Rambus_Chartology

Since gold topped out in 2011 it has been in a confirmed and unrelenting bear market. Since that bull market high in gold the INDU has been outperforming gold in a big way. The first chart I would like to show you is a combo chart which has the INDU:GOLD ratio chart on top and GOLD on the bottom. As you can see both the INDU:GOLD ratio chart on top and GOLD on the bottom reversed direction in 2011 with the ratio chart on top showing the INDU moving in a near parabolic move against gold. Gold on the bottom chart is showing a near parabolic move lower since its 2011 bull market peak. Since October of this year both have hit their respective parabolic trendlines as shown by the blue arrows. If this combo chart continues to play out then we should see the INDU keep outperforming gold going forward. The ratio chart on top shows the price action getting very close to breaking out into new highs and gold is very close to breaking down to new lows since the big reversal took place in 2011. All this chart means is that the INDU should keep outperforming gold until something changes this fact.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 31, 2015

A Look Back At Stock Market 2015...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

While 2015 was a boring year for the market, it wasn't boring for traders, and the experience overall was not a good one. It was the year of transition. The year where the bulls didn't get spoon fed the way they had for so many years prior. They had become accustomed to getting exactly what they want all the time. If the market fell a bit, no worries. It'll just blast back up in short order. It was the year when the market said not so easy this time. Time after time! As the year moved along we saw the bull-bear spread tumble lower, getting as low as 7% last week after hitting near 47% just a few months back. The constant neutrality has been playing on the emotions of those ravaging bulls. The giving-up process began after roughly eight months of being left in the cold due to high expectations.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Keep Alert for a Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX remains above its 50-day Moving Average at 2066.13. However, it may be finalizing a reversal pattern that may lead to lower prices. Keep an eye out for the breakdown.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Stock Market December 2015: Into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Donald_W_Dony

Bull market tailwinds continue to push the S&P 500 forward in 2016. Positive markers include the rising U.S. dollar, the trend of the U.S. Yield Curve, the on-going decline in unemployment and the steady upward trend in the U.S. Consumer confidence.

Over the past 40 years, the U.S. dollar has had a close relationship with the S&P 500.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Stock Market Santa Claus Rally or The Start of Something Bigger? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

Stocks are trying to live up to the expectations for a year-end "Santa Claus" rally. Most of the market's improving internal condition is due to the latest strength in the energy sector, with the NYSE Oil Index (XOI) rallying some 6% from its recent lows.

Although recent trading volume has been far lighter than normal, the NYSE advance/decline ratio for Dec. 23 was an exceptional 13:1 in favor of upside volume. That completely reversed the 1:11 downside volume day on Dec. 11. It also was the first time since Oct. 5 that the up/down volume ratio has been so high in favor of advancing volume. While the Dec. 23 big volume ratio may have been a holiday-related aberration, if it's followed by a 9:1 up/down volume ratio in the next few days it will qualify as a major volume reversal signal which would mean at least a temporary reprieve from the selling pressure of the last few months.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Year-end Effort at Stock Market Elevation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket is higher today and threatens to break through the 50-day Moving Average at 2065.13. This is all part of the effort to have SPX close in the black for 2015. It fits the profile of a Wave [e], since these waves tend to be rogues and often advance beyond the Triangle trendline. The Cycles Model calls for a reversal tomorrow or Thursday. We’ll see if the efforts to keep the markets elevated can last the rest of this week..

David Stockman comments, “The S&P 500 closed at 2052 on November 18,2014. That was 405 days ago, and despite the rips and dips in the interim the broad market average has gone nowhere.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Stock Market Herd is Heading for the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: James_Quinn

You would think investors (muppets) would be grateful for the extended topping process of the stock market, as it has given them the opportunity to exit before the inevitable crash. As CNBC and the rest of the mainstream media spin bullish stories to keep the few remaining mom and pop investors sedated and the millions of passive working Americans invested in their 401ks, the Wall Street rigging machine siphons off billions in ill-gotten gains, while absconding with fees for worthless advice.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Stock Market Of Nothing....What Is It Waiting On?.... Sentiment Bullish... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

We've all seen markets that seem to go nowhere day after day. In fact, month after month, but this market is really tough on the nerves and one's emotions. We have spent a year at the flat line, but it's not just that it's flat, it's how it's going about its business. There are just no moves that sustain themselves. It would be fun if we could ramp up and ramp down, but we do neither for the most part. Some bigger moves for sure along the way, but in reality very few of them thus there's that word we all hate again, but there's no CONVICTION. Neither side is showing the ability to establish itself. No accumulation off bottoms. No distribution off tops. Nothing from nothing.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

Chinese Markets Short Term Mess But Long Term Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Sol_Palha

A bird doesn't sing because it has an answer, it sings because it has a song. Maya Angelou

In the short term, China is still a mess, and the reasons are all but obvious.  Greed and stupidity fuelled the bubble that popped back in June of this year.  Some estimates put the number of individuals opening new accounts without high school diplomas at over 60%. Secondly, a large portion of these investors were playing the markets with borrowed money, otherwise known as trading on margin. Making matters worse to circumvent the limits placed by regular margin trading, many turned to the shadowy banking sector, where one could borrow up to ten times the value of one’s stock holding. At the height of the mania over 500,000 new brokerage accounts were being opened per week, a clear sign that the masses were ecstatic and believed that the market could only trend higher. When you couple Greed with stupidity, the result is always unpleasant.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be testing the trendline of its Orthodox Broadening Top formation and is expected to make a small bounce. At this moment, I would call the status of its current position as an aggressive sell signal, while a drop beneath the trendline at 2041.00 would turn it to a confirmed sell.

The famous stock trader, Jesse Livermore once said, “Money is made by sitting, not trading.” In this case, a short position carried since our first sell signal in early November still has value, while attempting to trade the Triangle would have led to a series of frustrations, if not losses.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

SPX, TNX Both Threatening a Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is down nearly 8 points as I write. It is possible that it has formed another Triangle formation, just as it did prior to the August panic. If so, we may see a break to the downside sometime this week. Most other analysts are focused on the idea that this is bullish. A break of the lower trendline will be proof that it isn’t.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

Stock Market No Clear Short-Term Direction - Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

Crude Oil, SP500, Exxon Mobil - When Will They Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A full blown bear market in energy resources and energy stocks has been underway since mid-2014. History shows that the price of crude oil typically bottoms before the broad stock market. And oil related stocks bottom at the same time or later than the broad market.

The monthly chart below shows how oil bottoms several months before the stock market does. This provides us with some insight on when we should start to expect a bear market to end in the US stock market.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

Stocks Bear Market is On Hold For Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Still Bull Market?

SPX: Intermediate trend - The index may have made a secondary top at the 2104 level and started another decline of intermediate duration.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 27, 2015

Stock Market, GDX Topping Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Since it is still the Holiday Season, I am making this article brief. The SPX is at the 16 TD top 3 TD as of Christmas Eve. There is an 8 TD top due Dec 30 2 TD's with the moon in Leo/Virgo on the 29th. On the 29th, Mercury squares Mars, and again this will happen on the 5th of January (these are negative). Last time we had a top like this (moon in Leo/Virgo) was Dec 1/2. Christmas Eve was the 4/8 TD low, so we may see a pop up on Monday. It looks similar to the late July top right now, so it could go into Dec 30 and as high as 2092/95. The Put/Call ratios are also very similar to that time frame.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 26, 2015

Deflation is Backā€¦ Will It Lead to Another Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Central Bankers are flummoxed.

Having cut interest rates over 600 times since 2009 (and printed over $15 trillion), they’ve yet to generate the expected economic growth.

Despite these failures, the ECB, and the Bank of Japan are currently engaging massive QE programs. The Fed is the only major Central Bank not rapidly expanding its balance sheet.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 26, 2015

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2006. On Monday the market gapped up at the open, traded back down to SPX 2006 then closed where it opened at 2021. Tuesday and Wednesday displayed gap up openings as well, as the market traded up to SPX 2065. Thursday’s half day trading was quiet, but the rally hit SPX 2067 before ending the week at 2061. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.65%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.50%, and the DJ World index gained 2.30%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the uptick: the FHFA, PCE, personal income/spending, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: Q3 GDP, existing/new home sales, and Q4 GDPn. Next week is of course is the New Year, markets will be closed Friday, and reports will be highlighted by the Chicago PMI and Case-Shiller.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 24, 2015

Stocks in Interest Rate Hike Cycles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The stock-market outlook in 2016 is riddled with great uncertainty following the Fed ending its 7-year-old zero-interest-rate policy.  With the first rate-hike cycle in nearly a decade just getting underway, traders are anxiously wondering how it will impact the stock markets.  While raising rates out of ZIRP is radically unprecedented, stock-market reactions during past rate-hike cycles still offer some interesting insights.

The Federal Reserve’s monetary-policy decisions are no longer peripheral concerns for stock-market fortunes.  Thanks to the Fed’s extreme easing of recent years, its actions have usurped everything else to become the stock markets’ overwhelmingly dominant driver.  And unfortunately the wildly-outsized upside impact on stock prices by the uber-dovish Fed is highly likely to portend proportional downside.

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