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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Financial Markets 2017

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 14, 2017

Dollar and Bonds are Showing Weakness/Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

USD/JPY is on a sell signal by crossing beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 112.88.

USD has also crossed beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 93.71. It is currently at 92.45.

TNX has also crossed beneath its 50-day Moving Average at 23.61. It is still within its consolidation area, so I will withhold judgement pending further developments.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 08, 2017

Gold, Stocks and Bonds - The 3 Amigos Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

I realize this theme could be wearing on some people, but with all the subtlety of a sledgehammer I am going to pound it until it either aborts or completes. It is, in my opinion, too important not to.

Amigo 1: Stock Market vs. Gold

The pattern that formed from 2015 to 2017 measures to 2.50. The 38% Fib retrace level just happens to be that as well. Interpretation: Bullish until the 2.50 area is reached, then major caution.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 01, 2017

3 Global Financial Markets That Could Indicate an Interim Correction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

Here are a few global ETFs with little room to drop in order to avoid daily chart technical breakdowns. That does not mean the end of the larger up trends, but could signal oncoming intermediate corrections if they do fall further and close the week that way (pre-market is red). The question would be, are they leading the fiscally drunk US market and its chronic tweeter in chief/stock pumper?

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 25, 2017

Taxes, Macro Signals, Market Seasonality, US Stocks and Gold Miners / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

While politicians hammer out the details it is generally accepted that corporations and by extension the investor and asset owner classes are targeted for benefits under the coming Republican tax plan. The logical implication of that beneficial treatment is that barring a market meltdown in the interim, people looking to unload stock positions and take profits would tend to wait until January in hopes of gaining the 2018 tax benefit vs. 2017’s tax code.

Among the under performing sectors subject to tax loss selling in late 2017 I have selected the gold miners for this post because they tend to be counter-cyclical and “in the mirror” to the broad risk ‘on’ asset party currently ongoing. We have noted again and again that with the asset party in full swing the miners’ fundamentals cannot possibly look good, and at face value they don’t. Sector fundamentals like gold/oil and gold/materials ratios are not good and macro fundamentals like gold vs. stock markets, the economy (which is relatively strong) and the yield curve are not at all supportive either… as they currently stand.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 24, 2017

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Thanksgiving / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Jesse

"At times our own light goes out and is rekindled by a spark from another person.

Each of us has cause to think with deep gratitude of those who have relighted the flame within us." Albert Schweitzer

"Gratitude is the most exquisite form of courtesy." Jacques Maritain

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

Financial Markets Appear Calm, But Liquidity May Be Drying Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are marginally higher, having made a premarket high of 2600.00 in futures which translates roughly to 2602.00 in the cash market.

Today’s market may trade in a narrow range on extremely low volume as most traders have left for the holiday.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 14, 2017

The Dangers of Zero / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Zero is an important number in the psychology driving demand for bullion. There are periods when investors find the argument that gold or silver prices “will never go to zero” compelling.

The 2008 financial crisis and the years immediately following it are the most recent example. The fear of conventional securities and even the fiat dollar becoming worthless was palpable for many in the metals markets. Bullion demand hit record levels.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 08, 2017

Markets are Warning, But No Major Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are challenging the upper trendline of the Broadening Wedge formation. Should it break through, the next level of support appears to be the lower Diagonal trendline at 2570.00. These supports are what makes the decline appears controlled and manageable. However, once beneath them, the decline becomes stronger as the SPX hones in on the next target indicated by the formations. For example, the Ending Diagonal formation, once triggered, is often completely retraced, with a target near 2400.00.

The smaller Broadening formation was relabeled as an Orthodox Broadening Top due to the near-horizontal lower trendline. If so, the first decline may stop at the Cycle Bottom support at 2499.76. We should remain flexible to allow for the possible conflicts between formations. It will become clear in the end.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 04, 2017

Markets At the Junction of Risk ‘On’ and Risk ‘Off’ / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

[edit] As I do the actual work of plowing through NFTRH 472 I am noting some non-bond related indicators in line with the fading Junk/Quality ratios and easing Treasury yields noted in this post. If preliminary hints in these indicators intensify and long-term yield breakouts fail, we may get a market reaction of some kind and lurch to risk ‘off’ sooner rather than later. Most market charts remain straight up bullish. But charts are charts and indicators are a whole other animal.

This post serves as a public version (i.e. more wordiness than is usual in an NFTRH report) of NFTRH 472’s Bonds & Related Indicators segment. If you’re not following bonds closely, you’re not really following stock and asset markets. You’re throwing darts.

At the junction of the inflated risk ‘on’ trade (stocks, global growth assets, etc.) and risk ‘off’ (gold, Treasury bonds, cash & equivalents, etc.) are the pivotal indicators to these conditions, Treasury bond yields, yield dynamics and bond market signals.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 01, 2017

Is a Year End Rally in Risk Markets Coming ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Submissions

The Bank of Japan left its massive monetary stimulus program unchanged even as it trimmed its inflation forecasts, signaling further divergence ahead from its global peers.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 20, 2017

GOLD Price Creates Bullish Higher Low / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

We had an interesting development in stocks today.
The market hit a no-bid 'air pocket' and the price dropped dropped 100 points right out of the gate.
This is not a good sign if you are a bull,
The price has recovered this evening but I am marking this one in my diary as the first shot across the bow.
I will elaborate on that later.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 27, 2017

DOW Jones and CRUDE Oil Reaching the End of the Line / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

Hi everyone.
All I have seen throughout the day was one article after the next speculating
on what Yellen may have meant when she said,
Well,
Whatever it is that she said!

I do not care what Jannet Yellen said,
Or what Jannet yellen thinks is going to happen in the future.
Tell me the last time a central bank actually got it right?
As far as I can see,
There is only one single thing that the FED has ever been good at doing,
And that is;
doing the WRONG THING at the wrong time,
pretty much all of the time.
Now is no different,

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 23, 2017

Stocks, Gold, Dollar, Bitcoin Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: SurfCity

As always, I will be adding to this over the weekend and should have all my updates done by 2pm PST on Sunday so please check back then.

Stocks (SPX):

Cycle Status/Outlook: Short term bullish after another new ATH on the SPX this week on day 21. We are slightly lower on day 23 but a 21 day high shifts the odds in favor of a right translated cycle that will make a higher low.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 22, 2017

USDJPY Leads the way for a Resurgent Greenback / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

A very good evening to one and all.

Despite a shock to the system last night,
the sharp USD rally has not invalidated any of the operating wave counts.
Although it is a picture of what is to come for the USD in the near future,
The short term wave counts are pointing to one last push up before completing the larger structures.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

The 5 Biggest Bubbles In Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : Bubbles aren’t new—they’ve been around since Dutch tulips—but it’s only recently that they’ve worked their way into the average investor’s lexicon. That’s probably because bubbles happen much more frequently these days.

We never used to get a giant speculative bubble every 7–8 years. But that has been the case since the new millennia.

In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: EWI

What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself...

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 18, 2017

These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

For this week’s Outside the Box (subscribe here for free), we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the Fed Swamp,” Brian Wesbury and colleagues at First Trust make the case that it was the private sector, not the federal government or the Fed, that saved the economy after the panic of 2008.

The Fed has outgrown its britches, they argue, and it’s time to fill the Board of Governors chair and vice-chair positions with people who will hold the Fed to account for its mistakes. They conclude with this trenchant line:

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Stocks and Gold; Macro Pivot Window Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

On August 11 the potential and reasoning for anticipated pivots in the US stock market and the gold sector were noted in this article: Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and Gold

As for the stock market, several reasons were put forward in support of a 2nd half of September through Q4 danger period, for a correction (no need yet to talk bear market because that would be pure promotion of an agenda). Please note that standard technical analysis was not among those reasons. The stock market was then and is now, in an uptrend across all important time frames.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 14, 2017

Capital Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Kavinesh_A

Financial trading is a type of trading that is changing all the time. This is good news for the participants in this form of trading because according to many experts, they can expect better user experience compared to the situation that they could’ve expected a few years ago. Of course, the most important change in this field is the fact that the financial trading today is automated and electronic in its essence. In the past, the entire process of trading was manual. The role of modern technology is crucial for modern-day financial trading. But, just like financial trading, technology is changing too. It looks like this is one of the fastest changing industries in the world. All these changes have an impact on financial trading and ultimately on the capital market. Those who want to witness success must analyze the latest capital market trends. We will use this article to highlight the most important trends.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

5 Markets Ready to Move Before Year-End. Eexpert Analysis and New Trading Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: EWI

Dear Trader,

Our Friends at Elliott Wave International are opening the doors to their entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week!

Now through Wednesday, Sept. 20, get free access to every forecast, every chart, every piece of expert analysis for 50+ markets -- stocks, forex, gold, oil and more.

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