Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, March 06, 2018
The Powell Fed is Draining Liquidity. Here’s Where Stocks Are Going / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
The Fed officially has a new Fed Chair, Jerome Powell. And ever since he took office, it is clear that “something” has changed at the Fed.
That something is the famed “Fed put” or the idea that the Fed would immediately move to prop up stocks any time they began to fall.
Jerome Powell was sworn in as Fed Chair on February 5th 2018. At that time, the market was in the sharp sell-off annotated in the chart below:
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Monday, March 05, 2018
Wild Stock Market Swings Coming Up.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I had thought the Fractal Model would only work on the impulses and not the corrections. However this rally is emulating Wave A perfectly with a 50% retracement. This implies a 175 point decline may be coming next. The target appears to be 2540.00-2545.00. This does not appear to be taking out the February 9 low, as suggested. This sets up the buy-the-dippers for a smashing after another probe of the 50-day Moving Average at 2738.50 or the mid-Cycle resistance currently at 2748.63.
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Monday, March 05, 2018
Stock Market SPX 100 Point Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures have started to decline again as of 6:00 am. SPX is on a sell signal, having declined beneath all Cycle supports, including the 50-day Moving Average.
Today the Fractal Model suggests a decline of approximately 100 points that should take SPX beneath the Cycle Bottom support at 2603.68. Unless something breaks down, it does not appear that it will take out the prior low at 2532.69. That may complete Wave 1 of (3). From there we may see a bounce back to the trendline near 2675.00. Prepare yourself for some wide swings as the volatility increases.
ZeroHedge writes, “What started off as a sea of red, with S&P futures tumbling as much as -25 points ahead of the European open, on fears of trade wars and concerns about the surge in Italy's anti-establishment parties, has managed to rebound notable and stabilize, with most Asian and European markets now green. The dollar was steady and Treasuries gained, while Italian bonds dropped as the nation headed toward a hung parliament.”
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Monday, March 05, 2018
Friday's Bounce Gave Stock Market Bulls Some Hope, Stocks at a Crossroads, or a Cliff? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Friday's trading session brought an intraday rebound of the main U.S. stock market indexes. They opened lower and continued short-term downtrend before bouncing off and closing between -0.3% and +1.1% vs. their Thursday's closing prices. Was this a final sell-off within a downtrend from Tuesday's local high? The broad stock market may have found at least some temporary bottom, but will it continue upwards or just go sideways?
The main U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.3% and +1.1% vs. their Thursday's closing prices on Friday, following lower opening of the trading session and an intraday bounce off support levels. The S&P 500 index closed 0.5% higher, and it is currently trading 6.3% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.3%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market again and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.1% on Friday.
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Monday, March 05, 2018
Will The Trump Trade Tariffs Send The Stock Market Into A Tizzy? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Each week, I believe the silliness being espoused as to what moves the market reaches a climax. Yet, the following week somehow always proves me wrong.
Two weeks ago, I noted how the pundits claimed the market dropped because of rising rates, but when the market rallied, the same pundits claimed that it was rallying because of rising rates.
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Monday, March 05, 2018
Fade The News – Another Leg Higher For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, quite a bit of news has been published warning of a massive market correction or top that may scare you. Our research shows this is not the case. We want to set your mind at ease with regards to these fears they may be experiencing with some real research and price modeling that has proven to be extremely accurate over the past 5+ months.
The research team at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com has continued to publish market research documents that have contradicted many of the largest research firms on the planet. Our small, but dedicated, team of analysts and researchers have spent years developing modeling systems that assist us in knowing what the markets will do in the future. In some cases, many weeks in advance. This helps us time our trades and select market sectors that are about to rotate well before the moves begin.
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Monday, March 05, 2018
A Complex Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2872 has become more complex.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 04, 2018
More Stock Market Selling in the Offing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I wrote about the looming bull trap. On Feb 27th, the stock market topped and the SPX fell 142 points or about 5% in 3 days. My observation was based on time cycles, Elliott Wave and Mars conjunct Vesta. Most of the decline was blamed on the Trump announcement of tariffs on Aluminum and Steel, with fears igniting about a coming trade war.
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Saturday, March 03, 2018
Stock Market Fears of Inflation are Overblown Right Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Bears attribute the stock market’s recent correction to fears of rising inflation. This isn’t true. The rally before this correction was the longest rally in history without a 6%+ “small correction”. Hence, a correction was overdue. Rising inflation was merely an excuse for the market’s selloff.
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Friday, March 02, 2018
Significant Decline In Stocks On The Cards! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Enda_Glynn
There is a whole lot going on across thet markets after todays trade!
And a lot of opportunity developing in the charts.
So lets not waste time chatting,
And get right into it!
UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:
USD: Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment.
EUR: German Retail Sales m/m.
GBP: BOE Gov Carney Speaks, Construction PMI, Prime Minister May Speaks.
JPY: n/a.
Thursday, March 01, 2018
Stock Market High Volatility, Higher inflation, low unemployment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Abalgorithm
Unemployment in the last year has sunk to a 17-year low, yet inflation continues to run below the Fed’s 2% target. Abroad, it is the same story: in Germany and Japan unemployment is at multidecade lows but inflation remains stuck below 2%. We are in a new normal of low reported unemployment and low inflation across the world. However if history is a gauge of what is to come, we are headed into a different normal, one that will spell trouble for all those who have reposed blind faith in risk markets without due diligence. Volatility has broken into a new normal range of 18 to 35. Bond yields are flirting at 2.9% from 2.6% earlier last year. A new normal in yields around the world. Bond investors are fleeing. The equity markets have had a damaging correction in Feb. It has dead cat bounced back but most smart traders will be exiting their long positions. This may be the final chance. We look at some key indicators to see where we stand and what the future may hold.
Thursday, March 01, 2018
Dark Cloud Covers Blue Chip Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Yesterday's trading session brought the main U.S. stock market indexes 0.8-1.5% down, as investors' sentiment worsened following Tuesday's downward reversal. Stocks broke above their short-term consolidation on Monday, but they failed to continue higher. Consequently, they fell into their last week's consolidation and the S&P 500 index got closer to 2,700 mark again. Stocks are expected to open lower today, but they may retrace some of their two-day-long sell-off. Where is a potential support level?
Stocks extended their Tuesday's move down yesterday, as the main U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.8-1.5% vs. their Tuesday's closing prices. Investors' sentiment worsened and the market got back to its last week's trading range. The S&P 500 index fell closer to 2,700 mark again. It currently trades 5.5% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.5% yesterday, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market gauge. On the other hand, the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.8% yesterday. Tech stocks were relatively stronger than the rest.
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Wednesday, February 28, 2018
Does the Stock Market Need to Make a Pullback? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
I expected the S&P 500 to make a short term pullback before rallying higher in the medium term. Hence the current rally’s intensity does surprise me a little. But I’m unfazed because 95% of my capital is traded via the Medium-Long Term Model, which ignores the short term.
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Tuesday, February 27, 2018
Stocks May be Turning Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are pulling back from their overnight high and have turned red from yesterday’s close. Yesterday may have indeed been a Cycles turn date, but delayed by the algos. However, if their motive was to bring investors back into the market, they may have succeeded.
Yesterday’s high clearly marked this rally as a Wave C of Wave (2). My original Wave count was correct. However, I allowed myself to be influenced by others who were a little less careful about Wave structure.
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Tuesday, February 27, 2018
US Stock Market in Position for Downwave #2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund explains why he believes the stock market rally of the past couple of weeks is not a resumption of the bull market.
This is a very timely point to remind ourselves that when the market broke down and plunged a few weeks ago, it did so from a parabolic blowoff top, or as we had defined it, a 4-arc Fan Ascent, which amounts to the same thing for practical purposes, a top that was accompanied by all oscillators and indicators being at record overbought extremes. While this top may not look all that extreme compared to something like Bitcoin, we should keep in mind that the broad US stock market is infinitely greater in magnitude than something like Bitcoin, and therefore vast amounts of capital are required to create any kind of parabolic blowoff. Given that there was a long lead in to this parabolic blowoff it means that the stock market is done—finished—and the bell has been rung on a new bear market.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Probable Stock Market Pop-n-Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are up enough to complete a fifth Wave of C. The 61.8% Fibonacci level and Intermediate-term resistance at 2754.93 are still key to this retracement, although the SPX may briefly go as high as 2763.59 in a pop-n-drop to clean out any short positions with stops. This market is being vicious to those who shorted late and making it difficult to keep their positons. It may be a good time to layer in any short positons you may wish to have.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Stock Market Bull Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The rally into early Monday, February 26, 2018 is no surprise to me. The charts below were written over the weekend suggesting follow through buying into early Monday at or above SPX 2754 and then a sudden fast reversal down below the 2532 area.I’ve seen this e-wave pattern before following a wxy W Wave where Wave X sees an irregular topping pattern (coming out of a bull flag formation) catching the bulls by surprise and leading to huge down move.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Here Is The Most Ridiculous Commentary About The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Whenever I write a new article on the stock market, I usually try to highlight just how ridiculous much of the commentary about the market truly is. My ultimate goal is to force you to think on your own and adopt a more intellectually honest perspective of financial markets, rather than just buying into anything you read or hear.
Two weeks ago, I noted how the pundits claimed the market dropped because of rising rates, but when the market rallied, the same pundits claimed that it was rallying because of rising rates.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Stocks Break Higher but Their Rally May Fade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks rallied on Friday, but they remained within their week-long consolidation. Which direction is next? Will bulls drive prices higher this week? Or will Friday's move up fade today? The S&P 500 index continues to trade along the level of 2,700-2,750, and it is still around 4.4% below its late January all-time high. Stocks are expected to open higher today, but will they continue upwards after 9:30 a.m.?
The main U.S. stock market indexes went 1.4-1.8% higher in Friday's trading session, as investors' sentiment improved following week-long fluctuations after previous week's rally off February 9 lows. The S&P 500 index got close to its recent local highs and it currently trades around 4.4% below January 26 record high of 2,872.87. It retraced more than 61.8% of its late January - early February sell-off (retracement level at 2,742.92). The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.4%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 1.8% on Friday.
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Monday, February 26, 2018
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – An intermediate correction from 2872 may be over.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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