Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, January 27, 2008
Plunge Protection Team Orchestrating a Stock Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
A Work in Progress
Well, it is blatantly obvious that the (PPT) plunge protection team, presidents working group – or whatever they call themselves - found it necessary to intervene in the free-market in attempt to orchestrate a bottom.
Where are these guys when markets are a boiling-pot of unsustainable parabolic animal spirit? We suspect during such episodes, they are patting themselves on the back for planting the seeds for such bullish orgies
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Sunday, January 27, 2008
Stock Market Update: The French 'Rogue Trader' Connection / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
You may recall in November and December I mentioned patterns that called for a Santa Claus rally extending into the first several months of '08. Now that we know of the colossal fraud at France 's second largest bank, I believe we probably would have seen that rally unfold if not for the liquidation of the massive Societie Generale long positions. As you know, the selling climaxed in the huge holiday selloff early this week and fostered lingering insecurity even after the emergency rate cut until we finally learned Wednesday who killed our rally: the French did it!!Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 27, 2008
Stock Market Crash - Robert Prechter on Bloomberg Youtube Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Everyone wants to know, "Is the worst over for stocks?" If you're familiar with Bob Prechter and his work, you won't be surprised that his short answer is "NO." But ... it's his long answer that is much more compelling, including insights into what you should be doing NOW to prepare for what's still to come.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 26, 2008
Fed Duped by Rogue Trader and the Destruction of Bond Insurers / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
- What Does the Fed Really Know?
- Fed's Folly: Fooled by Flawed Futures?
- Brother, Can You Spare a Billion?
- $5 Billion a Quarter
- Planes, Trains, and Santa Barbara
- And Charlie Wilson's War
It had been my original intention to devote this week's letter to the view from Europe, as I have been here for the last week, but events have changed that goal. The Federal Reserve made a very rare inter-meeting rate cut of 75 basis points this week, after the worldwide markets were in turmoil. Many pundits suggest the Fed was responding to the worldwide collapse in stock prices. This week we examine that suggestion, and I will offer an alternative explanation. I am beginning this letter in a London subway train. Quickly, the consensus wherever I go seems to be that Europe and the United Kingdom are also headed into recession. There is a lot of interesting ground to cover, so let's get started.
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Saturday, January 26, 2008
Bailout Battle Raging Between US Government and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Mike Larson writes: Pardon me, but am I the only one suffering a serious case of whiplash here? I mean, the financial sector developments over the past few days have been amazing ... simply amazing.
Coming into the week, the global markets were in a freefall. While U.S. markets were closed for Martin Luther King Day, stock indexes from Hong Kong to London were collapsing on fears of a bond insurance market meltdown.
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Saturday, January 26, 2008
How to Survive and Prosper During the Financial Markets Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Larry Edelson writes: Six months ago I warned you that all hell was about to break loose in the U.S. economy. Tumbling real estate values ... tens of billions of dollars in mortgage debt at risk ... the virtually non-stop decline in the dollar ... an ongoing bull market in gold — all pointed to tough times ahead for our country.
Despite the Federal Reserve slashing interest rates by three-quarters of a point this week, the time of reckoning has arrived.
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Saturday, January 26, 2008
Stock Market Dominant Trend Remains Down / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
In the end, investors and traders really did not want to go home long equities Friday, even after the Fed's emergency rate cut on Tuesday, which is certainly not a confidence builder. Maybe the bulls will feel a bit more confident after the weekend.
In any case, I think it is fitting for us to take a look at this week's
price range in the S&P 500 and to notice that all of the action, including
the post rate-cut rally, has transpired below the last week's critical
breakdown plateau at 1362.50.
Saturday, January 26, 2008
Stock Market Investors Running With the Herd / Stock-Markets / Investing
Running with the herd certainly beats trying to run against it—and getting trampled in the process. But it comes with a cost: surrendering your own common sense for “group think” that often makes no real sense at all.
As I pointed out last week, the character of the Wall Street herd has changed remarkably over the past two decades. Back in the 1980s, individual investors still accounted for the majority of stock ownership. Today, trading is squarely in the hands of big institutions and those who run them.
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Saturday, January 26, 2008
Stock Market Gloom and Doom - “Granville's Golden Rule” Versus Conventional Wisdom / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Market forecaster Joe Granville was a colorful character in what has always been perceived as a staid and conservative business. The great stock market guru of the 1970s was known for his outlandish antics and prescient market forecasts.
He would often appear at lectures wearing garish costumes, including blinking bow ties, electrified sunglasses, togas, Elvis costumes and chicken outfits. Infamously, he was known for dropping his pants and reading stock quotes to surprised observers.
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Friday, January 25, 2008
The US Fed, Societe Generale Rogue Trader, William Poole, and Black Swans / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
On Tuesday morning, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 75 basis points in response to a worldwide selloff. The selloff started on mounting fears that the United States has fallen into a recession. The mass fear became so great that the Federal Reserve felt compelled to act before next week's meeting in an attempt to restore confidence in the markets. In the press release, one governor, William Poole from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis voted against a move before next week's meeting. While his actions may leave some people scratching their heads, one needs to go to the website ( http://stlouisfed.org/default.cfm ), note the commentary on the left side of the page, and read the following speech ( http://stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2008/a/pages/inflation.html ).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 25, 2008
Stocks Secular Bear Market / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
Back in early October when the benchmark S&P 500 stock index was hitting all-time highs, “bear” was a heretical four-letter word. Merely letting it roll off your tongue or spill from your pen offered a fast track to pariah status. In the best of times, people tend to forget that the worst of times are even possible anymore.
But after the most brutal new-year selloff in market history, investors and speculators are far more receptive to the usually taboo topic of stock bears. Most on Wall Street consider a bear market a 20% decline from the latest interim high. This week we came pretty darned close to a 20% slide in S&P 500 (SPX) terms.
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Friday, January 25, 2008
Institutional Selling Goes Opposite to Stock Market Direction / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Every day, on our paid subscriber website, we show and rate 9 underlying fundamental conditions that are critical relative to rallies and corrections.
This morning, we will share one of them with you ... The rate and trend in Selling by Institutional Investors.
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Thursday, January 24, 2008
The US Debt and Yen Carry Trade Unwinding Time Bomb is About to Explode! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Synthetic Dollar Short - Richard Russell and other gold writers talked about a ‘synthetic dollar short' based on debt in 04/5. The thesis is that overly indebted entities will face a day when their loans are called in, and the demand for dollars will rise dramatically, as assets are liquidated to pay off positions/debt.
The often discussed Yen carry trade has a similar mechanism, where lots of Yen have been borrowed for the last 10 years and invested in various markets that yield more than the half percent Japanese interest rates. Big and small investors have taken advantage of this more or less free money, riding the interest rate bonus with little risk – up to now.
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Thursday, January 24, 2008
Investors Lose Relying On Worthless Rating Agencies - Moody's, Fitch and Standard & Poor's / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
"The one sure way to prolong a depression is to resist it..." – Walter Lippmann, Sept. 1931
ISN'T MODERN LIFE MARVELLOUS? All risk has vanished, not least for high-risk behavior.
Hence Scott Anthony Gomez Jr., now suing the sheriff of Pueblo County in Colorado . Gomez was able to break out of his jail cell, push up a ceiling tile, and crawl to freedom through the ventilation shafts before slipping and falling 85 feet off the roof of his prison.
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Thursday, January 24, 2008
Global Impact of the US Debt Implosion / Stock-Markets / US Debt
We have written a series articles dating back to March 2007 tracking the US debt implosion, which are available here . The story started out in early 2007 with the blowout of Novastar and New Century, the multi-billion non-bank intermediary mortgage brokers. In summer of 2007 we witnessed the collapse of American Home Mortgage, America's largest subprime mortgage issuing bank. Then we saw a series of subprime write-offs amounting to hundreds of $ billions by banks, funds, and institutions around the world. Then the trouble moved up in the chain of the mortgage complex, with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac announcing surprising losses.
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Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Corporate Income Tax - Stock Market Investors Enemy Number Two / Stock-Markets / Investing
The Investor's Eye view of politics is a simplistic, practical, dot-connecting approach to sorting things out so that win/win change can be considered. Real World politics is not concerned with such things, and that is one of the most serious problems facing investors today. As outlined in Investment Politics 2008, there are at least ten issues that require government action if we are to maintain our competitive position in the World Economy. Most of these are interrelated and need to be acted upon simultaneously... thus causing a major political dilemma.
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Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Financial Market Forecasts - Elliott Wave International Free Week Access is LIVE! / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
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Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Greenspan's Grand Design To Serve the Money Trust - Financial Tsunami Part III / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
The Long-Term Greenspan Agenda
Seven years of Volcker monetary “shock therapy” had ignited a payments crisis across the Third World . Billions of dollars in recycled petrodollar debts loaned by major New York and London banks to finance oil imports after the oil price rises of the 1970's, suddenly became non-payable.
The stage was now set for the next phase in the Rockefeller financial deregulation agenda. It was to come in the form of a revolution in the very nature of what would be considered money—the Greenspan “New Finance” Revolution.
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Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Forecasts for U.S. Stock Markets, Bonds, Metals and more! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
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Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Stock Market and Interest Rates Forecast 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Introduction
The first three weeks of the year started with a BANG and this is set to continue as the public servants wrestle with the consequences of their poor policies. And, instead of creating policies of wealth creation, the result to their decades-long policies of currency debasement and creeping socialism: “Temporary” stimulus plans, front and center with the various public servants trying to outbid each other as to the size of the package.