Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, May 16, 2009
The Impact of Economic Data Revisions at Stock Market Junctures / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
Can I Have Some More of that Data, Please?
The Fault, Dear Brutus, is Not in Our Stars
Faith-Based Economics
Is Unemployment a Lagging or a Leading Indicator?
An Unsustainable Trend in Debt
Some Thoughts on the Health Care Problem
Why does government data need to be revised so often? Is it conspiracy, as some claim, or is it methodology? And if it is methodology that leads to faulty data, then why not change the methodology? Is unemployment a lagging indicator, as conventional wisdom suggests? We look again at the underlying assumptions to suggest that things are not always the same. And finally, we look at unsustainable trends, fiscal deficits, and health care -- there is a connection.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
UltraShort SPY (SDS) Looks Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
UltraShort SPAs we head into the noon-time lull, the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) is carving out an interesting and very nervous near-term pattern between 61.30/80 on the high side, juxtaposed against 59.60/40 on the low side. The weight of my near-term technical work leans towards an upside resolution to the trading range, with the SDS thrusting above 61.80/85 towards my optimal target zone of 63.50. At this juncture, only another downside pivot reversal that presses the SDS beneath 59.50/40 will wreck the developing pattern.Y (SDS) Looks HigherRead full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 15, 2009
Time to Sell the Stock Market Rally, Real Bottom is Far Away / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Bill Bonner writes: Have you checked your stops, dear reader?
Remember back in November, we waited for the Obama Bounce? It was the one of the most reliable phenomena in the world of investing, we said. Then, we began to wonder. Month after month...no bounce.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
Battle of the Tech Stock Giants, Apple vs RIMM / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
It is the battle of the tech titans as both RIMM and APPL battle for the smartphone market share. Although Research In Motion is a well established tech giant as the creator of the BlackBerry, they may have hit a wall with Apple, Inc.'s launch of the phenomenally popular iPhone.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
Stock Markets Snap Three Day Losing Streak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
On a drab, lethargic day, financials Citigroup and JP Morgan led the Dow Jones to a modest 46 point gain. Chip stocks on the Nasdaq (notably Rambus, who had an anti trust suit against them dismissed by the FTC) and the broader S&P 500 faired better, posting 1% and 1.5% rises respectively. In other equity news Wal-Mart came in with numbers that were in line with expectations, while upper end chain store Nordstrom beat profit estimations after the closing bell. They also bullishly raised guidance for the year.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
This Leading Stock Market Indicator Holds the Key for Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Tom Dyson writes: To predict the stock market, I watch lumber...
To store lumber, you need a large climate-controlled warehouse with a railroad spur. Even then, it could still spoil within six months, destroying your entire investment.
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Stock Market Indices Rally Back to Resistance Before Giving Back a Chunk of Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices had a snapback session from a technically oversold condition, and rallied back to resistance but rolled over in the last hour and took back a chunk of the gains. However, they still ended positive on the session.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
Economic Green Shoots Torpedoed by Chrysler Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
More Americans than forecast filed unemployment-insurance claims last week because of the Chrysler LLC bankruptcy that is likely to reverberate through the economy for months.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
ETFs For Every Investor! / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Ron Rowland writes: In last week’s Money and Markets column, I told you about the advantages exchange-traded funds have over mutual funds. Today we’ll go a little deeper and look at the many exciting ways you can execute your investment ideas with ETFs.
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Thursday, May 14, 2009
Withering Green Shoots of Recovery Send Stocks Reeling / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The bulls immaculate recovery lost its virginity yesterday, as news of record home foreclosures and signs of belt tightening by the all-important US consumer, in the form of very disappointing weak retail sales, sent US stocks tumbling.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Technical Leading Stock Market Indicators That Professional Investors Look At / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Professional investors have an advantage for a lot of reasons. One reason is because of the amounts and types of data they look at.
One thing that professional investors keep an eye on is the volume of Advancing and/or Declining shares every day.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Downward Pressure Building for S&P 500 Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
In the May newsletter, I indicated that major indexes were expected to retest their march lows by early July. Models were suggesting that the highest probability of renewed weakness could be expected in mid-May. Though the actual change in trend has not quite occurred, the bullish attitude and trading over the last 2-3 days for the benchmark S&P 500 has clearly shifted to a more bearish tone.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Pullback Within Incomplete Upleg for Financial XLF ETF / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
Let's have another look at the pattern that is unfolding in the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF), which is my proxy for determining whether or not to enter its inverse ultrashort counterpart, the UltraShort Financial ProShares (NYSE: SKF).
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Breaking News: Imminent Big Bank Failure on Overnight Bank Loan Failure / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Jim Willie of the Hat trick Newsletter has just sent an urgent message of a potential imminent big bank failure that would be expected to hit the financial markets hard - message as follows -
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Stock Market SP 500 Index Important Technical Trading Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Time to Take Another Look at the SP 500. The SP 500 index is caught between two trend lines that are the dominant technical indicators right now for this market. If either gives way, it will point the direction of the next major swing.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
How to Make Money Shorting Japan’s Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: I spend so much time crowing about great investing opportunities in Asia that I’m worried you may think stock market profits are practically guaranteed.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Another Yo-Yo Day For Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A lacklustre, see-saw day of modest gains for the blue chip Dow, while the Nasdaq felt some pain. A near term sell-off back to the mid-low 800s for the S&P 500 is still very much on my mind, but while this is very tradable, I do not think that it is the start of a big sell-off to fresh lows; that will come when the data turns and there are no signs of that yet. This, I feel, is about a month away.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Current Stock Market Rally Within Supercycle Stocks Bear Market Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Continued from Part 1 - GDP Continues To Accelerate Its Decline
The Commerce Department recently revised gross domestic product (GDP) downward for the fourth quarter of 2008. It shows the nation’s output of goods and services declined at a 6.3% annual rate, adjusted for inflation, from the previous quarter. It is clear confirmation that the recession is accelerating. Real GDP declined at the sharpest rate since 1982, while nominal GDP (no inflation adjustment) declined at the sharpest rate since 1958. The biggest hit to GDP came from the 4.3% annualized drop in consumer spending, the largest component of GDP. Business and residential investment also had large declines, and the deepening global recession took a toll on U.S. exports.
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Current Stock Market Rally Within Supercycle Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Confirming our long-standing forecasts:
• Notwithstanding normal fluctuations in economic data, the U.S.-led global recession continues to accelerate to the downside.
• GDP, corporate earnings, house prices, and auto sales are still dropping sharply.
• Efforts to replace the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency have begun.
• Bob Bronson wins a 10-year bet on calling the Supercycle Stock Bear Market
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Money Markets Mayhem Continues! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Nilus Mattive writes: Although Wall Street has been partying like it’s 1999 or 2007 or some other happy time, I recently saw yet another stark reminder that our recent financial crisis did in fact just happen … and that the dangers were real and long-lasting and still far from over.
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