Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Stocks Bull Market or Bear Trap? It’s Easy to See / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Handbury

There has been a large volume of press regarding the latest run-up in stock prices and whether this is a legitimate beginning of a trend, or a bear market trap. The answer is pretty simple and easy to see from the plot below:

Friday, May 22, 2009

Overbought Stock Market Downtrend Signaled 10 days ago? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Marty_Chenard

C-RSI "overbought" condition ...

We have been showing this chart to our paid subscribers for days, and now we will share it with you.

Friday, May 22, 2009

How the Yield Curve Impacts on Stock Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Hans_Wagner

Will the steeper yield curve and higher interest rates have a negative affect on stock prices? During the week of May 4, 2009, the U.S. Treasury conducted a record $71 billion May refunding that required higher rates than expected to complete. In fact, the 10-year yield completed its seventh straight weekly rise, a move that has not happened in five years. A steeper yield curve means companies selling longer-term corporate bonds must pay more for the privilege. It shows that interest rates affect investors in the stock market.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Inflation Expectations Puts Pressure on Equities / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

This is a headwind for equities that has started to pop up over the past couple of weeks. Yet, it has taken years to ferment and likely will persist for the foreseeable future. The headwind I am talking about is inflation.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Stock Market Bottom? What Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Shedlock

Inquiring minds keep asking "Is The Bottom In?" Of course, no one knows for sure. However, I believe it is not, and one of the reasons is the complete collapse in S&P earnings.

Friday, May 22, 2009

This is Not a Stocks Bull Market, Fresh Bear Market Lows Expected / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Graham_Summers

How do you measure wealth generation?

• Average annual gains?
• Gains relative to an underlying index (the S&P 500)?
• Gains relative to inflation?

Friday, May 22, 2009

Economic Green Shoots with No Roots / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

U.S. asset markets were savaged yesterday. The combined smell of declining equities, bonds and the dollar is not a pleasant one. Risk takers now realise that policy makers are naked. S&P’s revision of the U.K. rating outlook has sent a shockwave, it seems. Public deficit cannot keep running at 13% per year (both the U.K. and U.S. deficits will be of that size this year), future generations can’t afford it. Zealous Quantitative Easing (QE) will also lead to long-term inflation fears.

Friday, May 22, 2009

S&P 500 Stock Market Internals Then and Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Richard_Shaw

The S&P 500 index (proxy SPY and IVV) is in much better shape now than on March 6 (the low so far, and maybe the low).  However, not all lights are flashing green yet.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Solid Down-Day for Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had a solid down-day today, falling from the get-go and stair-stepping their way lower all session, except for a late-morning consolidation. In the last hour they came back sharply, paring back the losses, but still ended down.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Why Warren Buffett Could Be Back on the Money / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: MoneyWeek

Has Warren Buffett lost the plot?

The Sage of Omaha’s recent track record hasn’t been too hot. And he’s had a fair amount of flak for getting some things wrong.
Now, reports Bloomberg, his Berkshire Hathaway holding company is cutting back on buying shares, after the firm’s cash levels have fallen to their lowest in more than five years. Will this prove to be another mis-step? Or is Buffett back on form?

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Stock Market Traders Fear That The Rally Is All Bull / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

A cautious set of Federal Reserve minutes gave the market pause for thought yesterday evening as they downgraded their growth forecast and warned in sober tones of a slow recovery on the jobs front. These factors point to a longer period of ZIRP and more QE. Other headwinds for the market came in the form of crude oil, which popped back above $62 a barrel on an unexpected decline in inventories as gold chugs ever higher ($900).

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Stock Market Indices Finally Roll Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices finally rolled over and had a negative session, but the day started out with a very strong surge to the upside. They went to new rally highs on both indices, which fell short of the early May rally highs. With the retest of the highs falling short, they rolled over in a strong 3-wave decline and got not far off the lows for the day. Only a last 10-minute slight bounce brought them off the exact lows for the session.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

India: The Easiest Investment You Will Ever Make / Stock-Markets / India

By: Q1_Publishing

What if I told you I found an investment opportunity so simple that even a two-year-old could make a fortune?

Would you believe it?

Thursday, May 21, 2009

The Sleepwalkers Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Browne

Although well off their all-time highs, American stocks are now marginally up for the current year. In the past two months, the markets have recovered over 30 percent from last year's lows. But something just does not add up. In the first quarter of 2009, average U.S. corporate earnings were down over 30 percent. There is once again a serious disconnect between stock prices and economic reality. Perhaps these sleepwalking investors think that the 50 percent sell-off in 2008 was overdone and great bargains are now available. To believe this is to misunderstand the economic hurricane of last October, and the gaping holes in America's hull that it exposed.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

How to Move the Stock Market Using Hacks and Morons / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media

By: Mike_Stathis

I just ran across a news headline by CNBC so I knew it would provide a learning point. As the VIX Continues to Drop, Is S&P at 1,000 Far Behind?

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Get Out of the Stocks Bear Market Rally Now! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Claus Vogt writes: Long-term, financial markets are driven by fundamentals. And in the medium term, they’re driven by the business cycle. That’s why your analysis should always start with both of these.

Right now, the stock market’s fundamentals are undeniably dire …

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Rallies and V Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

A tospy-turvy day saw the Dow end modestly lower by 29 points. The glass half-full bull argument of the day focused on the the VIX index (which is in layman’s terms, a measure or gauge of fear in the market) fell below 30 for the first time since last September. Bears would counter by highlighting the weak full year guidance from bellwether tech stock HP after the bell.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Will the Stock Market S&P Index Fall to 450, P/E 7 or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Andrew_Butter

Professor Shiller's numbers are persuasive; since anyone can remember, whenever the stock markets and/or the economy got into a train wreak, the bottom in the stock market that followed coincided when P/E ratios went down to about 7. 

By that logic, plus the awful economic news (a little bit better is still awful), the S&P 500 is going down to 450, and the issue is not IF it's WHEN?

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Timing of the Next Stocks Bear Market Primary Down Leg / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Brian_Bloom

In summary, it looks like the current upward technical reaction in the Primary Bear Market can be expected to suck more investors into the markets for another couple of months. Within 3 to 6 months from now the equity markets seem likely to resume their Primary Bear Trend.

This morning, when I was scrolling through the charts trying to get a feel for the mood of the market, I constructed the chart below (courtesy stockcharts.com):

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Strock Market Indices End Mixed as Blue Chips Slip into Loss Column / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets were up in the morning, and flattened out by mid-day on the S&P 500, although the Nasdaq 100 kept making higher highs. In the last hour that negative divergence finally affected the indices, as they both rolled over, closing with losses in the Dow and S&P 500, still managing to hang on to gains on the NDX and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX). So, it was a mixed close.