Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, May 06, 2009
The Current Financial Market Collapse: Contours of Crisis: Fiction and Reality Part II / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Continued from.... The Boundaries of IrrationalityBut not all is lost. Convention has it that there is nonetheless order in the chaos, a certain rationality in the irrationality. The basic reason is that greed tends to operate mostly on the upswing, whereas fear usually sets in on the downswing. “We tend to label such behavioral responses as non rational,” explains the ever-quotable Alan Greenspan, “But forecasters’ concerns should be not whether human response is rational or irrational, only that it is observable and systematic.”[Note 25] Regularity puts limits on irrationality; limits imply predictability; and predictability helps keep the faith intact and the laity in place.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
The Current Financial Market Collapse: Contours of Crisis: Fiction and Reality Part II / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Shimshon Bichler and Jonathan Nitzan write: This is the second in our Contours of Crisis paper series. The first article set the stage for the series. It began by outlining the conventional view that this is a finance-led crisis, that this turmoil was triggered and amplified by “financial excesses”; it then described the domino sequence of collapsing markets—a process that started with the meltdown of the U.S. housing and FIRE sectors (finance, insurance and real estate), expanded to the entire financial market, and eventually pulled down the so-called “real economy”; and, finally, it situated the pattern and magnitude of the current decline in historical context.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Stock Market Trends for May 2009- Buying Bear Market Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Analyzing monthly stock market trends uses the S&P 500 charts to indicate important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 trend line chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Why Stock Market 2009 is Turning Out to be a Repeat of 1975 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The impressive recovery in the S&P 500 index to date has been brought to us courtesy of a massive shift in the market’s internal rate of change. This was characterized by the extreme diminution of stocks making the new 52-week lows list on the NYSE since the early March bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Market-Based Bank Stress Test May Relieve Anxiety / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The stress test may be causing more harm than good. Why? Regulators should always have a good assessment of the health of financial institutions. If there are deficiencies in the process applied to regulate banks, then the process for the system as a whole should be reviewed.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Signs of a Continued Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It's been a while since I made any posts about the market because there hasn't been much to discuss. A few weeks ago, I mentioned that the 8200 level was fairly significant and represented a pivotal point in the market. Since then, the market has rallied to this level and has stuck around.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Stock Markets Calm Ahead of Bank Stress Test Results / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Markets paused for reflection and traded in a narrow range yesterday finishing neutral after their recent bout of bullish fireworks. The S&P 500 managed to just hold onto the 900 handle. Oil stocks struggled on a fall in crude prices while Disney shone on better than expected numbers. This was despite more upside data surprises this time from the services ISM and a cautiously upbeat testimony from Fed Chairman Bernanke. However news that Bank of America may require $35 billion in additional capital has futures in the red this morning.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Credit Crisis Investment Risks in China Outweighed by Growth Prospects / Stock-Markets / China Economy
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: MAOPING, People’s Republic of China - I’m often asked if there are investment risks in China.
My answer: Absolutely… there are investment risks everywhere.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally or New Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Since the equity markets bottomed on March 9, I have always been very careful to point out that the current rally is a bear market rally. In other words, when all is said and done, I believe that the current intermediate uptrend will be viewed as counter trend rally within an ongoing bear market. It has been my expectation that the current intermediate up trend has a high likelihood of rolling over in the next couple of weeks.
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Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Stock Markets Have Never Made a Final Bear Market Bottom in March / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This article is an update on the April 22 Market Minute. As the March rally continues to advance into its ninth week, many financial reports are now indicating that the bear market is over and the low in March was the final bottom. Though the possibility is present, the probability remains remote. Since 1946, there has never been a final bottom in March. In the 12 bear markets over the past 70 years, six of the troughs developed in October and three occurred in May and June but none ended in March. However, in all of the bear markets, deep drops in March were present.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Wall Street Oligarchs Engineer Stock Market Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
An eight-week-long upturn in European, Japanese, US and emerging stock markets since March 10th has sparked a wave of optimistic commentaries in the financial media, that the worst bear-market since the 1930’s has finally come to a merciful end, and the rocky road to recovery lies ahead. Since hitting a 12-year low on March 6th, the key global benchmark – the S&P-500 Index has rebounded by +34%%, while the KBW Index measuring 24-US-banks doubled off its lows.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Late Rally Sharply Reduces Stock Market Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The markets had a slightly lower session today in what looked like a consolidation day, as support was tested severely on two occasions and held, resulting in a late sharp rally back on the indices over the last hour, sharply reducing the losses.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2009
What New Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Some people are saying ...
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"This is the beginning of a new Super Bull Market."
"The banks are fixed, and the housing market drop is over."
Tuesday, May 05, 2009
No Meanginful Damage (Yet) to Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
A very quiet session so far, but a defensive one to be sure. The weakness has pressed the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) from 35.14 to 34.65, which in and of itself has NOT inflicted any meaningful damage to the dominant near-term uptrend off of the most recent pivot low at 32.01 (4/21). At this juncture, only additional weakness that sends the Q’s beneath 34.50/40 will begin to compromise the most recent portion of the uptrend and could press prices to 34.00-33.80 in a hurry. Conversely, as long as 34.65/45 contains forthcoming weakness, the bulls will remain in control, and the next upside target is 35.30/50.
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Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Three Ways for Investors to Profit fromTaiwan, the Other China / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Martin Hutchinson writes: As you scour the globe for potential post-financial-crisis profit plays, don’t overlook Taiwan. Stock markets around the world have already started to rebound with joy as investors begin to believe that that the unpleasant global recession is finally nearing its bottom. Unfortunately, there’s one sobering conclusion many investors have so far failed to reach: With grossly over-stimulative monetary and fiscal policies at play, most countries will find it very difficult to recover.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stocks Two-Month Rally Rolls On / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices started off the week with a bang. There was a big gap up at the beginning, a very strong follow on rally, a mid-day consolidation, and a strong afternoon thrust especially on the S&P 500. Despite the fact that the Nasdaq 100 trailed, by the end of the day it caught on and they closed at the highs for the day going on both indices as well as the Dow.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Health Sector Investing: Exclusive Interview With Alzheimer's Expert / Stock-Markets / Healthcare Sector
Good morning, Long time readers of Andrew’s know what he’s about.He says, “Our readers will only stay with us if we provide great ideas, new perspectives, and deep and thoughtful research. To be the best we have to learn from the best.”
Monday, May 04, 2009
Stock Market Rally Fatigue, the Sell in May and Go Away Mantra? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The mantra, for lack of a better term, is to sell in May and go away. While over the history of actually tracking this simple investing system it has done rather well, it has suffered some recently. Given the huge run in stocks over the past few months, will cash be a better investment than stocks over the next six months? The lass bad economic and earnings data was enough to push stocks up for the seventh of the past eight weeks and gave investors reasons to hope that the economic downturn may actually end later this year.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
The Insider Selling Question to Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The ratio of share sales to share purchases by US insiders shot way into bear territory at the height of the stock market rally in the US stock market during April.
The net sales spike was much higher than at any time in the past year.
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Monday, May 04, 2009
Stacking Up Obama's First 100 Days Stock Market Returns Compared to Past Presidents / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
With President Obama’s first 100 days coming to an end last week, it’s a good time to measure how the market has responded to his initiatives.
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