Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Dow Jones Stock Index Soars from 8,200 to 10,000 in a Single Day! India Did! / Stock-Markets / India
Tony Sagami writes: How would you react if the Dow Jones jumped from about 8,200 to 10,000 in a single day?
That type of one-day moon shot happened to the Indian stock market last week. The Bombay Stock Exchange’s benchmark Sensex vaulted 2,110.79 points, or 17.3 percent, to 14,284.21 May 18.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Interest Rate Flashing Strong Stock Market Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Claus Vogt writes: One of the first lessons I learned in analyzing and forecasting the direction of the stock market was the extreme importance of interest rates. That’s because holding a stock gives you the right to part of a company’s future cash flow. And to determine the value of that cash flow back to today’s value, you need an accurate interest rate gauge.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Stock Market Feeling Confident on Economic Prospects / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
An upside surprise in the US consumer confidence number (to it’s best level in 8 months) trumped a record drop in the Case-Shiller home price survey report (down 19.1% in Q1 2009, with nationwide US home prices now back at 2003 levels).
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Financial Markets and Economic Crash, the Next Leg Down Will be Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Collapsing home prices and credit markets continue to put downward pressure on consumer spending, forcing the Federal Reserve to take even more radical action to revive the economy. Last week, Fed chief Ben Bernanke raised the prospect of further monetizing the debt by purchasing more than the $1.75 trillion of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) already committed. The announcement sent shock-waves through the currency markets where skittish traders have joined doomsayers in predicting tough times ahead for the dollar. Foreign central banks have been gobbling up US debt at an impressive pace, adding another $60 billion in the last three weeks alone. That's more than enough to cover the current account deficit and put the greenback on solid ground for the time-being. But with fiscal deficits ballooning to $3 trillion in the next year alone, dwindling foreign investment won't be enough to keep the dollar afloat. Bernanke will be forced to either raise interest rates or let the dollar fall hard.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Investment Opportunities in Asia Abound / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
I spent last week in Asia at the Corporate Access Forum in Singapore sponsored by CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, which produces some of the most detailed and insightful investment research available.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Bullish Congestion or Near-Term Top? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ) provide us with a very interesting price picture. What type of pattern is developing off of the May 7 high at 35.39 – a sideways bullish congestion area OR a near-term top? We don’t know just yet, but the morning’s inability to break below 33.00-32.96 support, followed by a powerful upside reversal, certainly suggests that the bulls are back in control and are pushing the Q’s towards a test of critical near-term resistance between 35.00 and 35.40, which if hurdled should trigger upside continuation towards 36.20/50 thereafter.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
S&P 500 Index 17 Week Trading Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Here's a key video to look at this week. I was just looking at the S&P 500 and I noticed a very pronounced cycle in this market that I want to share with you.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Weak Start to European Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
Stock markets remained on the defensive overnight, with the Dax yesterday closing at 4918 while the Nikkei was last down 69 at 9277. International tensions remain elevated in the wake of the nuclear test by North Korea with wires reporting there could be further missile tests by the country this week. There are also fears that shares in the Stoxx 600 may have gotten well ahead of themselves, with a P/E ratio of 24 (a 5 year high) versus the cycle low of 8.3 in Nov 2008.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Stocks, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil Inter Market Analysis & Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
After a 10 week rally traders and investors are starting to think twice about dumping money into stocks. Since March, we have seen the equities market rally 30% and now everyone is starting to think prices are a little top heavy.
So what do we do now if the market is possibly forming an intermediate (6-10 week) correction?
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Global Financials Continue to Stabilize / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
Models are indicating that the global financial sector continues to form a base and stabilize. As this industry group is a leading indicator to the broader Dow Jones World Stock Index, it suggests that a bottom for the DJWSI is close. Limited downward pressure can be anticipated in June as the iShares S&P Global Financial ETF (IXG) nears the next expected low in late June.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
IMF Praises Canada's Stable Banking and Financial System / Stock-Markets / Canada
The IMF Country Report for Canada published Friday offers some unique perspectives on the reasons for the stability of Canada’s financial system since the credit crunch began. There have no been no failures of financial institutions, no large scale bailout of banks and the financial system did not undergo severe systemic pressures like it did in the U.S. and UK. Let's review some of the key points from this report.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Shekels on U.S. Dollars, Currency & Financial Markets Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
To be ANTI-SOPITALIST means to stand with those who do not approve of the unproductive parts of society getting rich on the backs of the-productive people. There is only one reason prices should be rising, some people do not work their fair share and make it more expensive for others to have the necessities of life that is what printing money does. So, how exactly do the SOPITALISTS get rich? They must do something to manipulate things to their benefit and everyone else's detriment. Yes they do. They use their connections and money to stand first in the cycle of money that government recycles endlessly.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Stock Market Rally Over, Prepare for New Bear Market Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Fundamentally the rally in the broad stockmarket from early in March is viewed as being the result of a combination of media hype, wishful thinking and short covering, but there may be more to it than that - it would appear that a sizeable proportion of the TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program) funds not thus far deployed have been used to drive up the stockmarkets in order to create a positive environment for the banks to issue secondary shares and thus raise equity. While this is perfectly understandable, it also means that once the banks have finished selling this stock to the public, or the market is simply exhausted by being soaked in this way, it is likely to go into reverse in a big way.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Widening Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
For the US equities market, we see a widening divergence between the "Smart Money" and the "Dumb Money" indicators. The "dumb money" has maintained its extreme bullishness from last week while the "smart money" is now more bearish.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Stock Market Trends Pattern Recognition TimeĀ / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The dollar ($) is breaking down, and everybody is watching (including the Chinese), so it must be time to throw a deleveraging scare back into the market to affect a rally and support Treasuries. This is what the good conspiracy theorists are thinking right now. And you know what, not coincidentally this is actually the way things just might play out, looking like the markets are being managed right when it’s needed. In fact however, this time around price managers are getting a great deal of help from speculators who continue to bet wrong, where another rally in stocks (and test of support for the $) after a brief sell-off here would look like just what the doctor ordered from a price management perspective (equities must remain firm for re-inflation efforts to take hold), but in fact would be more the result of renewed bearish speculation within the context of our faulty and fraudulent market mechanisms.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
No Battle Between the Bulls and Bears Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Larry Edelson writes: Thirty-eight years ago, in 1971, President Richard Nixon declared the last Monday in May a federal holiday — a day to remember and honor America’s fallen soldiers, as well as other loved ones who have passed away.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Memorial Day Disaster, Foreigners Dumping Dollar Assets, Stocks & Bonds / Stock-Markets / US Bonds
Martin Weiss writes: This would normally be my time for a quiet Memorial Day at home.
But even as we seek calm, investors overseas are doing precisely the opposite.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Bankers Shortchanging Tax Payers on TARP Bailout Stock Warrants / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Bankers - 1; Taxpayers – 0. - Banks negotiating to reclaim stock warrants they granted in return for Troubled Asset Relief Program money may shortchange taxpayers by almost $10 billion if Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s first sale sets the pace, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
North Korean Nuclear Test Shakes Sleepy Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks staggered into the long Memorial Day weekend after a late sell-off left them flat on the day and the week in light volume.
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Monday, May 25, 2009
Stock Market Rally Red Flags / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I have spoken about the red flags that are out there but we all know you don't turn bearish just because you are starting to see some red flags. It puts us on heightened awareness no doubt but you don't just flip sides until you see the proper sell signal get put in to place. That would a break and close convincingly below 862 S&P 500 or its 50 day exponential moving average.
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