Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 22, 2009
Stock Market History Repeats - Rhyming And Reason / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Captain_Hook
Will history repeat in terms of the widely followed stock market comparisons that many now put against present conditions. As you may know, often, when a system that is used to forecast financial markets becomes too popular, changes in outcomes occur despite previously tight correlations. And it could be argued we are at such a juncture now, as new services are cropping up everywhere in this regard. Still however, this does not preclude similarities being maintained, as despite speculator-induced differences that may be present today, these exercises are measurements in human behavioral extremes, which history has taught us generally tend to be bounded by similar measures.
Monday, June 22, 2009
Stock & Commodity Markets Bullish Trends and Significant Corrections / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We were recently asked by a client, "If you see signs of a possible new bull market, why are we still sitting on so much cash?" It can be answered by using a fence analogy. We have been taking some smaller positions while maintaining a relatively high cash position in order to play both sides of the fence:
Monday, June 22, 2009
Stock Markets Ended Last Week With A Whimper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Markets started last week on the back foot, with most major indices off the pace for the first three days. Later in the week, strong performances from the financial sector helped markets trim the losses. All major equity indices bar the Shanghai Composite were off as doubts about those elusive much hyped but little seen green shoots resurfaced. The FTSE 100 finished down 2.79% on the week at 4335, while the Dow Jones finished down 2.97% at 8530. In Europe, the DAX lost 5.13% to end the week at 4825.
Monday, June 22, 2009
The Battle Rages On Between Stock Market Bulls and Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
And doing it's very best to make sure neither camp gets a whole lot of satisfaction. The market is continuing to dance the dance between the 50 day exponential moving average on the bottom and the 200 day exponential moving average at the top. It does appear at times that we'll have a clear cut winner. It looked for a long time as if the bulls were going to have an easy time of getting above those 200's on the S&P 500 and Dow because price was right there for the taking and because the Nasdaq had already made the move thus let's get the whole party to the table. It just didn't happen. A breach above but when it got there, the market was extremely overbought and the Macd wasn't printing a good divergence.
Sunday, June 21, 2009
G2: A Tale of Two Countries, U.S. and China Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Richard_Shaw
The United States and China are referred to now as the G2; whose twists and turns dominate world economic dialogue, and perhaps outcomes. They are a study in contrasts economically, politically, demographically, socially, in terms of national balance sheet, GDP growth, government roles in business, and more. A side-by-side comparison of the charts for two proxy funds (SPY and FXI) is also a study in contrasts.
Sunday, June 21, 2009
Stock Market Fundamental and Technical Indicators Convergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Richard_Shaw
It is interesting to see how close the institutional S&P 500 forecasts for 2009 come to the price level possibilities suggested by the S&P 500 chart. Maybe fundamentals and technicals are converging on an idea, or maybe the institutions use technical indicators more than one might expect.
Sunday, June 21, 2009
Stock Market Rally Remains a Debt Induced Fictitious Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Russo
As we pen this brief, equity markets deliberate near term direction as they levitate from a hyper-thrust of massive (save our monopolies) intervention in tandem with a crumbling currency.
Share prices are attempting to recover from what is without doubt, an outright failure of long-term fundamentals and stewardship by every practical measure.
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Sunday, June 21, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicator: Bulls Losing Conviction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
The "dumb money" is beginning to lose conviction. The "Dumb Money" indicator has been in the extremely bullish zone suggesting too many bulls for 7 consecutive weeks now, and over that time, the S&P500 has lost about 1%.
Sunday, June 21, 2009
Stock & Commodities Markets Profit Taking After Strong 3 Month Advances / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Caution last week crept back into investors' vocabulary for the first time in more than three months as they faced up to President Barack Obama's plan to reform the US financial market regulations, weighed the prospects of a global economic recovery and whether the "green shoots" needed more monetary water, and also started pondering the second-quarter earnings season.
Saturday, June 20, 2009
Stock Market Warning, Counter Trend Rally Moves Continue to Spark False Hopes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
The story remains the same. As a result, I feel that it is important to rehash the last article that I posted here a month or so ago. As I listen to the mainstream commentators, the public and even my local news, it is obvious that optimism remains high. William Peter Hamilton, the great Dow theorist who followed in the footsteps of Charles H. Dow, warned against allowing “the wish to father the thought.” I have listened and closely studied the words of many of the reporters and interviewees on the news and there is little doubt that their optimism is allowing “the wish to father the thought.” Wishing and optimism is not the basis for sound analysis.
Saturday, June 20, 2009
Stock Market Positive Technicals / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: • While the market was down last week, there was no increase in the number of new lows.
Saturday, June 20, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Bullish Bias, "This Time its Different" / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
This Time It's Different*
Peter Bernstein, R.I.P.
Welcome to the New Normal
The Three Amigos
Credit Spreads - Bullish or Bearish?
ISM - Is Less Bad That Good?
Contain Your Enthusiasm
I have often written that the four most dangerous words in the investment world are "This Time It's Different." If memory serves me, I have written several e-letters disparaging various personages who have uttered those very words, and gone one to confirm later that it wasn't different. It almost never is.
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Friday, June 19, 2009
The Deep End of a Dark Pool / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Paul_Petillo
There was some speculation that the financial markets in this country would suddenly stagnate after the most recent downturn. The innovation of products that used an ever-increasing and more complicated methodology to make money would stop, paving the way for dull and boring, over-regulated markets that offered so much oversight as to slow the growth of the country. To hear some Wall Streeters talk, the end of an era was upon us.
Friday, June 19, 2009
Larger Upleg Still Intact for Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
When Goldman Sachs (GS) puts Microsoft (MSFT) on its Conviction Buy List, not only is it positive for the name, but perhaps it is very positive for big-cap technology, too, perhaps the kind of technology names imbedded in the NDX. Maybe GS is impressed with BING, which gives MSFT a new product that can and will effectively compete with Google (GOOG).
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Friday, June 19, 2009
Stock Market Headwinds as Inflation Pressures Remain / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Guy_Lerner
Whether real or perceived, inflationary pressures are a headwind for equities. Data out this week shows year over year changes in both CPI and PPI at five decade lows. Inflation? What inflation?
Friday, June 19, 2009
Another Damp Squib Day For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Yesterday was one of those hard to write about, rudderless days with pathetic volume. The only notable trend was the continued move into Healthcare, as Senator Kennedy’s health care reform bill looks dead in the water, and Utilities, as a more cautious tone prevailed. Economic news was decidedly mixed, with the Philly Fed Index and Leading Indicators providing upside surprises but the Weekly Jobless and Continuing Claims Jobs numbers continued to be worrisomely high. After the bell, BlackBerry maker Research in Motion report some underwhelming numbers which may pressure the Nasdaq and Dax at the open.
Friday, June 19, 2009
Companies Flooding Stock Markets With New Shares to Drive Stocks Lower Over Summer / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Mark Hulbert says, “Notwithstanding the carnage the stock market suffered between October 2007 and March of this year -- the worst since the Great Depression -- corporations' share issuance departments are partying like it's 1999. In fact, firms have recently issued far more shares of their stock (either through initial public offerings or secondary offerings) than they did even in the go-go years of the late 1990s and at the top of the Internet bubble in early 2000. That's not good news, from a contrarian point of view: The stock market historically has tended to perform poorly following periods in which firms have flooded the market with more shares.”Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 19, 2009
Stock Market Downtrend Targeting Key Support S&P500 at 850 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: David_Petch
The CPBE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio Index is shown below, with the S&P 500 Index shown in the background in black and accompanying stochastics shown below. For this chart the %K above the %D for a given stochastic is an indication of general weakness in the broad stock market indices, while falling beneath the %D is an indication of general strength. At present, the %K is above the %D, indicating market weakness and was running at a divergence to the S&P 500 Index that was grinding higher.
Thursday, June 18, 2009
S&P 500 Index Consolidating / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
From an intraday perspective the S&P 500 emini futures contract appears to be consolidating or triangulating around the 912 level, ahead of one more pop that projects to 920-922 prior to a resumption of the dominant near-term downtrend. Such is my preferred scenario for the recovery bounce off of yesterday’s low at 899.25 – levels that ETF traders of the SPY and SDS may want to keep an eye on.
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Thursday, June 18, 2009
The Secret Emerging Market / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: Many commentators have picked the East Asian economies of China, Korea and Taiwan to emerge the most vigorously from the ongoing global financial crisis. And with some justification, for China and the two Asian “tigers” share some alluring characteristics like: