Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Not Finished / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Donald_W_Dony

The aggressive rally which propelled the S&P 500 upward 35% from March to June appears to be only half of the bigger picture. Long-term models for the index indicate that the S&P 500 trades on an approximate 7-8 month cycle. The complete movement is from March to October. July represents the mid-point of the cycle.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Seasonal Factors Influence Summer Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

As we wind our way into the summer duldrums, much has been written of seasonal factors. "Sell in May and go away" is an often heard refrain, and this bit of market lore suggests market underperformance during the summer months and early fall. Like most things market related, there is some truth to this dogma, but of course, there are always exceptions.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

When Economic Green Shoots Are Dandelions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Stocks haven’t seen one of those Boomtown Rats Monday routs for quite a while, breaching the key 50 day and 200 day moving averages around the 900 level on the S&P 500 yesterday. Risky assets of every persuasion sold off on Monday and the more cyclical the asset, the weaker the performance. US equities saw notable weakness across energy, financials and basic materials. Commodities were part of the lead here, with energy hardest hit.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Financial Markets Are like a Soap Opera / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Paul_J_Nolte

The financial markets are beginning to resemble a soap opera rather than the economic landscape. The daily drama of early losses, wiped out by the end of the day or the breathless rise in oil prices or even the on again, off again love affair with the dollar or gold (you pick!). But too, like a soap opera, you can walk away for a couple of weeks and pick up right where you left off, never feeling as though you missed much.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Will Institutional Investors Start Selliing Stocks ??? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

We often discuss the NYA Index because that is where the big Institutional Investors do most of their trading due to the volume of their transactions.

Monday, June 22, 2009

An Outrageous Stock Market Prediction / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Q1_Publishing

“We are at the base building period for the next bull market. What I see happening is perhaps this continuing till the end of the year, and then a break out.”

That’s what Mark Mobius, who manages $20 billion for Templeton Asset Management and who was recognized as one of the “Ten Best Investors of the 20^th Century,” told investors a few weeks ago.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Stock Market History Repeats - Rhyming And Reason / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Captain_Hook

Will history repeat in terms of the widely followed stock market comparisons that many now put against present conditions. As you may know, often, when a system that is used to forecast financial markets becomes too popular, changes in outcomes occur despite previously tight correlations. And it could be argued we are at such a juncture now, as new services are cropping up everywhere in this regard. Still however, this does not preclude similarities being maintained, as despite speculator-induced differences that may be present today, these exercises are measurements in human behavioral extremes, which history has taught us generally tend to be bounded by similar measures.

Monday, June 22, 2009

Stock & Commodity Markets Bullish Trends and Significant Corrections / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Chris_Ciovacco

We were recently asked by a client, "If you see signs of a possible new bull market, why are we still sitting on so much cash?" It can be answered by using a fence analogy. We have been taking some smaller positions while maintaining a relatively high cash position in order to play both sides of the fence:

Monday, June 22, 2009

Stock Markets Ended Last Week With A Whimper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Markets started last week on the back foot, with most major indices off the pace for the first three days. Later in the week, strong performances from the financial sector helped markets trim the losses. All major equity indices bar the Shanghai Composite were off as doubts about those elusive much hyped but little seen green shoots resurfaced. The FTSE 100 finished down 2.79% on the week at 4335, while the Dow Jones finished down 2.97% at 8530. In Europe, the DAX lost 5.13% to end the week at 4825.

Monday, June 22, 2009

The Battle Rages On Between Stock Market Bulls and Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jack_Steiman

And doing it's very best to make sure neither camp gets a whole lot of satisfaction.  The market is continuing to dance the dance between the 50 day exponential moving average on the bottom and the 200 day exponential moving average at the top. It does appear at times that we'll have a clear cut winner. It looked for a long time as if the bulls were going to have an easy time of getting above those 200's on the S&P 500 and Dow because price was right there for the taking and because the Nasdaq had already made the move thus let's get the whole party to the table. It just didn't happen. A breach above but when it got there, the market was extremely overbought and the Macd wasn't printing a good divergence.

Sunday, June 21, 2009

G2: A Tale of Two Countries, U.S. and China Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Richard_Shaw

The United States and China are referred to now as the G2; whose twists and turns dominate world economic dialogue, and perhaps outcomes. They are a study in contrasts economically, politically, demographically, socially, in terms of national balance sheet, GDP growth, government roles in business, and more.  A side-by-side comparison of the charts for two proxy funds (SPY and FXI) is also a study in contrasts.

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Stock Market Fundamental and Technical Indicators Convergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Richard_Shaw

It is interesting to see how close the institutional S&P 500 forecasts for 2009 come to the price level possibilities suggested by the S&P 500 chart.  Maybe fundamentals and technicals are converging on an idea, or maybe the institutions use technical indicators more than one might expect.

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Stock Market Rally Remains a Debt Induced Fictitious Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Joseph_Russo

As we pen this brief, equity markets deliberate near term direction as they levitate from a hyper-thrust of massive (save our monopolies) intervention in tandem with a crumbling currency. 

Share prices are attempting to recover from what is without doubt, an outright failure of long-term fundamentals and stewardship by every practical measure. 

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicator: Bulls Losing Conviction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

The "dumb money" is beginning to lose conviction. The "Dumb Money" indicator has been in the extremely bullish zone suggesting too many bulls for 7 consecutive weeks now, and over that time, the S&P500 has lost about 1%.

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Stock & Commodities Markets Profit Taking After Strong 3 Month Advances / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Caution last week crept back into investors' vocabulary for the first time in more than three months as they faced up to President Barack Obama's plan to reform the US financial market regulations, weighed the prospects of a global economic recovery and whether the "green shoots" needed more monetary water, and also started pondering the second-quarter earnings season.

Saturday, June 20, 2009

Stock Market Warning, Counter Trend Rally Moves Continue to Spark False Hopes / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

The story remains the same.  As a result, I feel that it is important to rehash the last article that I posted here a month or so ago.   As I listen to the mainstream commentators, the public and even my local news, it is obvious that optimism remains high.    William Peter Hamilton, the great Dow theorist who followed in the footsteps of Charles H. Dow, warned against allowing “the wish to father the thought.”   I have listened and closely studied the words of many of the reporters and interviewees on the news and there is little doubt that their optimism is allowing “the wish to father the thought.”   Wishing and optimism is not the basis for sound analysis.  

Saturday, June 20, 2009

Stock Market Positive Technicals / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: • While the market was down last week, there was no increase in the number of new lows.

Saturday, June 20, 2009

Stocks Bull Market Bullish Bias, "This Time its Different" / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

This Time It's Different*
Peter Bernstein, R.I.P.
Welcome to the New Normal
The Three Amigos
Credit Spreads - Bullish or Bearish?
ISM - Is Less Bad That Good?
Contain Your Enthusiasm

I have often written that the four most dangerous words in the investment world are "This Time It's Different." If memory serves me, I have written several e-letters disparaging various personages who have uttered those very words, and gone one to confirm later that it wasn't different. It almost never is.

Friday, June 19, 2009

The Deep End of a Dark Pool / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Paul_Petillo

There was some speculation that the financial markets in this country would suddenly stagnate after the most recent downturn. The innovation of products that used an ever-increasing and more complicated methodology to make money would stop, paving the way for dull and boring, over-regulated markets that offered so much oversight as to slow the growth of the country. To hear some Wall Streeters talk, the end of an era was upon us.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Larger Upleg Still Intact for Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

When Goldman Sachs (GS) puts Microsoft (MSFT) on its Conviction Buy List, not only is it positive for the name, but perhaps it is very positive for big-cap technology, too, perhaps the kind of technology names imbedded in the NDX.  Maybe GS is impressed with BING, which gives MSFT a new product that can and will effectively compete with Google (GOOG).