Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 26, 2009
Hard Out Here for a Stocks, Bonds and Commodities Bear / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Being bearish on something requires a different temperament than simply switching one's bullishness to a different asset class. I am uber-bearish on traditional asset classes like stocks, corporate bonds and commodities. Being in cash is no fun and not very helpful when one is trying to grow their wealth through investing and speculation.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Completed Recovery Rally in Nasdaq Q's / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
If the larger pattern in the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) off of the June high at 37.29 to Tuesday’s low at 34.77 represents the initial downleg in an intermediate-term correction of the March-June advance, then all of the action off of this week’s low into today’s high likely represents a completed or very nearly completed recovery rally -- ahead of the start of another downleg to finish the larger pattern. If my pattern work proves accurate, then in the hour(s) directly ahead the Q’s should peak and roll over in the vicinity of 36.30/60, towards a retest of 34.77 –- on the way to 33.80/40.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Equity Markets Trade Volatile / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The Fed ended much of the uncertainty in the financial markets yesterday when it announced that its key lending rate would stay between 0 - .25%, and there would be no additional expansion of its balance sheet through the purchases of government assets and mortgages.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Wall Street Versus Main Street! / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
The Administration has provided Congress with a proposed overhaul of financial industry regulations that is sweeping in its coverage to say the least, the most serious attempt to protect investors since the 1930’s, but guaranteed to have Wall Street and its powerful friends taking up arms against it.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Stocks Bear Market and Financial Crisis Not Over, US Regional Banks The Next to Go / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It is consistent in major bear markets that follow through to the end, for the stocks in sectors showing the most weakness to fall between 80% and 90% from their highs.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
S&P Stock Index Trading Tools Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
This is just an update on using the internal forces of the market to time new positions. In this short video we look at the internal workings of the S&P 500 index.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Can the "Mimetic Effect" Explain Speculative Bubbles? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Jeremie T.A. Rostan writes: For the enemies of freedom in general , and of the economy in particular, the recent crash has been the occasion to re-assert that markets in general, and financial ones in particular, are inherently unstable — and thus dangerous — because they are driven by irrational behaviors such as the "mimetic effect," which, according to many experts and politicians, explains how Wall Street booms and then busts.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Status Quo Fed FOMC Meeting Disappoints The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Not much to report from the trenches where traders were a tad bemused by the more confident but still diligent Fed FoMC statement. While there was comfort from the assurances that deflation was no longer seen as a major threat and they intend to keep rates close to zero for an extended period of time, there was some surprise at no hint at an exit strategy or any thought of buying more bonds to keep a lid on mortgage rates (which had been on a sharp upward drift of late).
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Financial Crisis, : and the Winner Is… GOLDMAN SACHS / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The king to the banker did say
Tis I who ride you this day
This day it is true the banker did say
But tomorrow tis I who ride you
News of Goldman’s Sachs’ triumph arrived when Reuter’s newswire reported on June 22, 2009: “Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses”. At a time when the US is struggling with the greatest financial crisis since the 1930s, Goldman Sachs has triumphantly weathered the crisis. That should be no surprise for Goldman Sachs created the crisis in the first place.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report - Market Wrap / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
State of the Nation
From 2005 to 2009, the U.S. debt has increased $14 trillion dollars, while GDP went up a bit less than $2 trillion. It now takes over $7 dollars of new debt to “create” $1 of GDP “growth”. In 2006 the ratio was less than $5 dollars. Soon, it will be double that amount.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
U.S. Financial System, The Audacity of CHANGE (Part 1) / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Ever since (finally) acknowledging the problems within the real estate and banking industries, several historic actions have been taken by Washington, Wall Street, the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury – all in desperation.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
S&P 500 UltraShort ETF (SDS) at Channel Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Since yest. 's high, the UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares (NYSE: SDS) has declined from near the top of its June price channel (59.50-60.00), to the bottom of the channel in the vicinity of 56.40. The low today so far is 56.50. Purely from a technical perspective, my question is whether or not the decline will hold around the channel support line, or if the line will break-- on the way towards a "gap-filling" expedition down to 55.60? The fact that today is "Fed Day" adds some intrigue and uncertainty to the situation.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Prescription to Chinese Pharma Industry Stock Market Profits / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Tony Sagami writes: I was raised in a small, rural farming community in western Washington, and my parents knew most of the people in town on a first-name basis. It was a slice of Mayberry RFD heaven.
The policemen in my town routinely gave me a ride home, if they saw me walking home from baseball or basketball practice. The firemen would let my friends and me sit on the fire engines and ring the siren. We could stop by the barber shop and get a piece of free penny candy even if we didn’t get a haircut.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Stock Market Flat Ahead Of The Fed Interest Rate Decision / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Investors paused for breath yesterday before the FOMC meeting announcement tonight at 19.15. Volumes remained low with traders uncertain how the meeting would impact monetary policy down the road. The questions that have to be answered are 1) will the Fed commit to keeping policy loose over an extended period, and 2) if so, will investors be heartened by the expected continuous flood of cash, or will they begin to be concerned over inflation. For equities, this seems like a no-win situation.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Not Finished / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The aggressive rally which propelled the S&P 500 upward 35% from March to June appears to be only half of the bigger picture. Long-term models for the index indicate that the S&P 500 trades on an approximate 7-8 month cycle. The complete movement is from March to October. July represents the mid-point of the cycle.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Seasonal Factors Influence Summer Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
As we wind our way into the summer duldrums, much has been written of seasonal factors. "Sell in May and go away" is an often heard refrain, and this bit of market lore suggests market underperformance during the summer months and early fall. Like most things market related, there is some truth to this dogma, but of course, there are always exceptions.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2009
When Economic Green Shoots Are Dandelions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks haven’t seen one of those Boomtown Rats Monday routs for quite a while, breaching the key 50 day and 200 day moving averages around the 900 level on the S&P 500 yesterday. Risky assets of every persuasion sold off on Monday and the more cyclical the asset, the weaker the performance. US equities saw notable weakness across energy, financials and basic materials. Commodities were part of the lead here, with energy hardest hit.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Financial Markets Are like a Soap Opera / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The financial markets are beginning to resemble a soap opera rather than the economic landscape. The daily drama of early losses, wiped out by the end of the day or the breathless rise in oil prices or even the on again, off again love affair with the dollar or gold (you pick!). But too, like a soap opera, you can walk away for a couple of weeks and pick up right where you left off, never feeling as though you missed much.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Will Institutional Investors Start Selliing Stocks ??? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
We often discuss the NYA Index because that is where the big Institutional Investors do most of their trading due to the volume of their transactions.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
An Outrageous Stock Market Prediction / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
“We are at the base building period for the next bull market. What I see happening is perhaps this continuing till the end of the year, and then a break out.”
That’s what Mark Mobius, who manages $20 billion for Templeton Asset Management and who was recognized as one of the “Ten Best Investors of the 20th Century,” told investors a few weeks ago.
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