Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, June 11, 2009
Stock Market On the Edge of Something Big / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Q1_Publishing
I wouldn’t believe it unless I saw it myself.
After seeing it though, I’ve felt more confident than ever that the markets will be able to hang onto recent gains and add more over the next few months. Let me explain.
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Thursday, June 11, 2009
Stocks Take Solace In the Fed Economic Beige Book / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Déjà vu, as there was a late rally yesterday evening spurred by the Fed’s Beige book which noted that 5 of the 12 districts saw “that the downward trend is showing signs of moderating”. The market had earlier dipped on news of a very stodgy 10 year US Treasury Bond Auction (where investors demanded 3.99%, the highest yield since August 2008, to buy the government securities) and worries about inflation and higher gasoline pump prices. Note also that figures yesterday showed new mortgage applications at a four month low. Hardly surprising given a 30 year mortgage now costs 5.57% from 4.61% in March.
Thursday, June 11, 2009
Financial Assets Classes Quantitative Chart Analysis Comparisons / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Richard_Shaw
This table presents 336 data points that quantitatively compare 12 attributes of the price charts for 28 key asset categories that may be found in many portfolios. The categories include representation for domestic and foreign bonds, hybrid securities, domestic and foreign stocks, real assets, commodities and currencies.
Thursday, June 11, 2009
Long-term Review of Stock & Commodity Bull Markets, Alternating Leadership / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
By: Donald_W_Dony
Over the past 120 years, there has been a constant shifting of leadership between stocks and commodities. From 1875 to 1905, the U.S. stock market provided greater relative performance than raw materials. This changed to highlight commodities over equities from 1905 to 1920. The crown shifted back to stocks throughout the 1920s only to lose that leadership again to natural resources from 1930 to 1946. Stocks, once again, offered greater relative performance over commodities in the the late 1940s and continue to prove superior until 1965 where raw material prices took the leadership back from stocks and provided higher returns for investors until 1982.
Wednesday, June 10, 2009
Stock Market Afternoon Snapback Rally Pares Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets had a very similar day to Monday in that there was a sharp sell-off in the morning, a bounce mid-day morning and then a move to afternoon lows which pressed weekly support on the SPX. But once again in the afternoon they came back solidly with a move from 1473 to 1495 on the NDX and from 928 to 939 on the SPX, closing near the afternoon rally highs going away and paring way back on the day's losses. However, they did end the session on the downside.
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Wednesday, June 10, 2009
SDS UltraShort SPY Testing Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The hourly pattern carved out by the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) since the beginning of June shows that all the action appears to be developing into a sideways contractionary price range. At this point, a decline that breaks 51.80/50 should trigger downside acceleration to new low territory, while a climb above 55.05/40 should trigger upside continuation towards 57.50-58.00 thereafter. For the time being, after holding 51.79, the SDS likely is only mid-way through with its upward traverse of the recent range, as it heads for a test of 55.00 next.
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Wednesday, June 10, 2009
Stock Market Investors Don't be Fooled by NYSE Advancing and Declining Issues / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Marty_Chenard
Don't be fooled by the number of Advancing and Declining issues every day.
Some investors look at the percentage of issues Advancing and Declining and try to have an opinion about the market's direction. That stops short of getting the full story ... here's why:
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Wednesday, June 10, 2009
Stocks Snooze While The Great Economic Recovery Debate Rumbles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
A light volume yawn day saw equities crawl over the finish line to finish marginally higher. The bigger winners were the semiconductors stocks (up 4%) on the back of the bullish news from Texas Instruments Monday night. VIX (volatility) was down 5% which was odd given the tiny margin moves in the equity indices. Crude oil closed over $71 barrel (a high since Oct 2008) on seasonal demand and spec bets on the reflation trade. The Greenback was again looking soggy losing 1% though the three year Treasury Bond auction went well. Indeed fear of Fed rate hikes by the autumn appear way overdone.
Tuesday, June 09, 2009
Ten Reasons to Buy Stocks Now / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: DailyWealth
Jeff Clark writes: For the past few weeks, I've been spouting off about all the reasons to stay out of the stock market.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 09, 2009
Stock Market Rally Reaches Stalling Point? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Marty_Chenard
It is courtesy day ... a day where we share one of our charts from the paid subscriber site.
Today's chart is a ten year chart of the New York Stock Exchange Index (NYA) with our C-RSI indicator. (For reference and an explanation of what the C-RSI (zero based Relative Strength) is, please see this link: C-RSI explained.)
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Tuesday, June 09, 2009
Leading Economic Indicators, S&P 500, and 10 Month Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
Over the past month I have highlighted the strategy attributed to Mebane Faber. It is a simple but elegant strategy that probably gets more merit for its aversion to risk than its ability to time the exact bottom of a bear market. It is a strategy - a way of executing a plan of when to buy and sell. It is not a "call" or opinion on the market. That stuff I will leave to others.
Tuesday, June 09, 2009
How Investors Can Profit from European Election Results / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: The European election result has been met with little interest in the United States; for one thing, the plethora of parties from 27 different countries makes it almost incomprehensible. Yet it continued a long-term, very important trend, which should be hugely interesting to international investors.
Tuesday, June 09, 2009
Suspicious Late Day Spike Pushes Stocks Flat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Some very strange price (and some would say suspicious) action around 20.15 last night saw the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones spike sharply to close flat having been under water to the tune of 130+ points earlier in the session. Despite sluggish sales from McDonalds and news that Apple was cutting the price of its iPhones, traders cited “programme buying” from JP Morgan and UBS for the late rally. After the bell Texas Instruments increased their 2nd quarter forecasts while self appointed Mr Know ALL Nobel prize winner (and boy has it gone to his head) Paul Krugman opined that the Great Recession with end for the U.S. by September.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Volatile Stock Market Session Closes Flat / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a very interesting and volatile session, but closed near the zero line and narrowly mixed.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 08, 2009
Stock Market Summer Trend Into a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: David_Petch
The daily chart of the S&P 500 Index is shown below, with upper 21 and 34 MA Bollinger bands riding the index higher while lower BB’s continue to rise alongside the index, along with a potential Elliott Wave count displayed (which has a lower probability of occurrence compared to the other displayed patterns. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K above the %D in stochastics 1 and 3. If the %K can manage to remain hooked up and cross the %D in stochastic 2, it increases the likelihood that the continued price movement in the S&P 500 index drifts between 900-1000 over the course of the next 1-2 weeks at a minimum before topping out. As the Captain noted and as Elliott Wave charts will later show, there is a chance the markets simply go sideways for the summer before having a fall crash…to risky for most to even attempt playing, so use risk capital and no more than 5% on any given market trade.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Bull and Bear Market Moves / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Money_Morning
With Oversized Deficits Almost Certain to Persist, an Investment In America's Future is One Very Tough Sell - Peter Schiff writes: Just last week, Team Obama took its financial-crisis dog-and-pony show on the road. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner went to China. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke visited Capitol Hill. And President Barack Obama, himself, embarked on a Mideast tour that started in Saudi Arabia.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Summer Of Stock Market Discontent as Capital Flees to Precious Metals / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver 2009
By: Captain_Hook
The following study comparing the pattern in today’s Dow to the post crash Nikki, similar to our own findings, does a good job of talking about both near term and extended possibilities within a predominantly deflationary environment that would sponsor such an outcome. Within the context of this discussion, and again, a topic we have been focusing on in attempting to identify the eventual turn back down in the broad markets, in the above Sarel Oberholster correctly points out that although the Dow has almost achieved the same percentage gain witnessed in the Nikki’s post crash bounce (31% compared to 34%), timing wise, if the patterning is to be a closer match, stocks could remain buoyant for up to another four months. You will remember we cited an extended rally as a distinct possibility within the context of a ‘seasonal inversion’ up until last week when probabilities associated with the 1929 to 1932 sequence remaining dominant shot up with a collapse in US index open interest put / call ratios.
Monday, June 08, 2009
Stock Markets End Week Higher Despite U.S. Unemployment Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
While the U.S. unemployment rated jumper to 9.4% (a high since August 1983), the markets chose to focus on the welcome fall in the numbers actually losing their jobs (-345k versus consensus -520k). They concluded that despite the negative revisions to previous numbers that the pace of decline may be slowing and that elusive bottom may be in sight. As a result stocks finished higher for the third straight week.
Sunday, June 07, 2009
Stock Market S&P500 Index At a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Submissions
MarketTimingCycles write: For almost everything in nature you will find Fibonacci relationships. Also in the stock market which is governed by natural cycles we can find (double) Fibonacci relationships between significant highs (highest high/close) and lows(lowest low/close).
Sunday, June 07, 2009
Stock Market Extreme Bullish Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
As you would expect from the bullish price action last week, the "Dumb Money" indicator is moving to new extreme highs. Since 1991, this has been the 8th most extreme reading out of the 42 unique times the indicator went above the bullish extreme line (i.e., bear signal). Extreme readings, such as the current one, are generally associated with strong bull markets like those seen from 1995 to 1998 and from 2003 to 2004. The only real failure was in 2002, and this led to the flush into the July, 2002 lows.