Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, June 07, 2009
The S&P 500 Stock Market Index Trend Momentum Conundrum / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A conundrum wrapped in an enigma… that’s the S&P 500 index.
I was just looking at the S&P 500 index as we come to a close for the week of June 6th. While the market appears to be higher for week, it also appears that we’re losing momentum on the upside.
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Sunday, June 07, 2009
Financial Markets React to Growing Signs of Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Ups and downs on financial markets were plentiful during the past week, but investor sentiment, on balance, brightened on the back of constructive financial and economic data - capped by a better-than-expected US non-farm payrolls report on Friday.
“It appears that the global economy has finally found the ripcord,” said Rebecca Wilder (News N Economics) in her weekly review of global economic reports.
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Sunday, June 07, 2009
Financial Markets Schizophrenia and Madness / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Martin Weiss writes: While stocks have been rising, bonds have been plunging.
Rarely in my lifetime have I seen these suffer from a more extreme case of schizophrenia!
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Saturday, June 06, 2009
Investing in the Transportation System of the Future / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Sean Brodrick writes: President Obama’s chief-of-staff says …“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. What I mean by that is it’s an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before.” —Rahm Emanuel, November 19, 2008
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Saturday, June 06, 2009
The Great Crash Not Over, Stocks Bear Market Rally Built on Sand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A recovery is supposed to be in the works in the midst of increased savings, declining debt balances on credit cards, more bankruptcies, higher unemployment and new wave of foreclosures. Consumer participation in GDP is down from 72% to 70.4%. Bank and other financial firms’ balance sheets are what they say they are and we have a stock market bear rally built on sand just as we had in 1931. And, lest we forget, bogus government statistics calculated to confuse professionals and investors alike.
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Saturday, June 06, 2009
Stock Market Hesitation at Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
So is the market done here? We gapped over the 200 day exponential moving average on the S&P 500 at 943. Last night I talked about how I felt we would likely gap up and over that level today based on how we closed yesterday. It didn't matter it almost seemed like what the news was going to be from the jobs report. The news was bad. 9.4% unemployment versus 9.2% expected. The market somehow didn't care and flew higher on the report. Slow erosion began just before the market opened but we still gapped up nicely.
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Saturday, June 06, 2009
U.S. Employment Downtrend Continues, Recession Not Over Yet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Nonfarm payroll employment fell by 345,000 in May, about half the average monthly decline for the prior 6 months, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The unemployment rate continued to rise, increasing from 8.9 to 9.4 percent. Steep job losses continued in manufacturing, while declines moderated in construction and several service-providing industries.
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Friday, June 05, 2009
MSCI Japan Index Fund EWJ and the US Dollar Japanese Yen Relationship / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
I would like to explore the relationship between the i-Shares MSCI Japan Index Fund (symbol: EWJ) and the US Dollar Japanese Yen (symbol: USDJPY) cross match. What piques my interest is that the Dollar is up almost 2% today against the Yen. Furthermore, the "next big thing" indicator suggests that both assets have a high likelihood of undergoing secular trend reversal.
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Friday, June 05, 2009
Period of Recovery for the Stock Market UltraShort SPY (SDS) / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The one salient feature of the enclosed hourly chart of the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) is the series of lower highs and lower lows, which represents a powerful downtrend. However, after this morning’s new low at 51.47 and upside reversal to a high of 54.17, I have to consider that “something” ended on the downside and that a period of recovery rally already has started.
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Friday, June 05, 2009
Stock and Bond Market Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Last week we compared bonds and thought that T Notes were a good sell. They have fallen further - are they still a good sell? Some doubts have arisen…
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Friday, June 05, 2009
Stocks Modest Boost Ahead of US Jobs Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks got a modest boost from a upward revision to Q1 US productivity data (which was corrected to double the initial estimate) and a stabilization in continuing jobless claims. The number of people who have been claiming social security for a number of weeks which fell for the first time since early January.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
Thursday Stock Market Snap Back Rally Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had a real good snapback session after yesterday's losses, moving higher from the get-go, consolidating all morning, and then moving higher mid-day. A subsequent mid-afternoon consolidation held support, and they came back up in the last hour to close near the session highs.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
S&P 500 Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast for June 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Analyzing monthly stock market trends uses the S&P 500 charts to indicate important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 trend line chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
This Stock Market is a Fool’s Paradise / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
Bernard Baruch, one of the world’s most legendary speculators, said, “The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible.”
Right now, that’s exactly what’s going on. And I assure you, a lot of folks will be made into complete fools in the next year or so.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
Bullish Formation for Financial Stocks XLF ETF / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
The Financial Select Sector SPDR (AMEX: XLF) has spent the last 4 weeks carving out a coil formation atop its Mar-May upleg, which translates into a bullish continuation pattern, which when complete should trigger upside acceleration towards the next optimal target zone of 13.20/40. As long as the prior pivot low within the coil – at yesterday’s low of 11.88 – remains intact, I want to be long the XLF in anticipation of the upside breakout.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
Stock and Commodity Trends Impact of a Weak U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Comments as of Wednesday's close: Risk assets have been benefiting from a weakening U.S. dollar. On Wednesday, the dollar strengthened on concerns about the economy (acting as a safe haven). From a technical perspective the dollar index has some support near 79.05 and 78.98 (today’s low was 78.33 – we are at 79.53 now). Last time these areas came into play, a three week countertrend rally followed, which is one reason we have been taking relatively small positions in recent weeks. A multi-week dollar counter-trend move is a possibility - we just need to be aware of it.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
Taking Profits On The China Stock Market Growth Trade / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks pared losses as the Dow finishes down 64 points yesterday having dipped to minus 142 points earlier as investors and traders took profits on the “China growth play” i.e. there was notable selling of commodity, metals, oil, & mining shares.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
Stock Market Rally, Focusing on the Facts / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
There is no doubt that the equity markets have been rising in recent weeks. It would be foolish to argue with that fact. There is also no doubt that those who have “played” the rise will have made significant profits during the past few weeks. Indeed, according to the chart below – courtesy Bigcharts.com – the Dow Jones Industrials Index has risen by over 30%. To those who caught that particular wave: Well done!
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Wednesday, June 03, 2009
Stock Market June Gloom / Summer Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Two years ago, and some five months and 1000-pts away from the Dow's historic print high above 14K in October of 2007; we penned an article entitled June Swoon / Summer Rally.
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Wednesday, June 03, 2009
CNBC Jim Cramer Perpetuates Myths of Calling the Top, Bottom and just about Everything in between / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
Don Harrold writes: This story took turn for the odd last night.First, I did a video last week called, "Jim Cramer: I Told You to Sell!" In that video I showed Jim Cramer claiming that he told his viewers to get out of the market at "Dow 11,000." Then, I showed Jim calling "the bottom" and being insanely bullish at "Dow 11,000". I challenged people to show me Jim on Mad Money telling folks to get out, short the market, it was "too dangerous," and, with equal bearishness and no caveats (the last point is the most important). I offered $1100 to the first person to provide the video. (see original email and video for details).
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