Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 29, 2009
Stock Market Complacency as Measured by VIX Returns to Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Bloomberg is reporting VIX Drops to Lowest Level Since Lehman’s Collapse as Fear Ebbs.
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Monday, June 29, 2009
Stock Market Summer Crash Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
A skyrocketing yield curve is normally a sign the economy is dangerously heating up, and that market rates in fixed income securities are signaling the likelihood of higher administered rates soon as well. Along these lines then, short-term rates have been rising on the expectation that the Fed will need to talk about higher rates at its next meeting on July 22nd, with a corresponding collapse in both the yield curve and gold. It should be noted gold is tracing out an exact pattern match on the yield curve, and rate expectations.
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Monday, June 29, 2009
CNBC Admits to Manipulated Market that Continues To Be Propped Up By Government Intervention And Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Readers of my articles and those of other authors on this site will have long come to know that CNBC lacks any credibility as it continued to pump out bullish market propaganda in the face of the severest bear market since the 1930's, whilst at the same time engaging in the re-writing of history on the channels past market calls as witnessed numerous times on Jim Cramer's Mad Money Show.
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Monday, June 29, 2009
Important Week Ahead For Economic Data / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Equity markets finished down again last week with the Dow Jones off 1.2% and the FTSE 100 down 2.2%. World indices had been on the back foot from the very start of the week due to a bearish World Bank report where they downgraded their forecasts for global economic prospects. Wednesday’s US Federal Reserve interest rate decision caused little movement as they left the target rate at between 0 and 0.25% as expected. It was a high volume week with the economic data a shade better than expected on average.
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Monday, June 29, 2009
Stock Index Trading Signals Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Positioning:
SPY: Short 50%
QQQQ: Short 25% (going to cash on Monday)
Sunday, June 28, 2009
New Stock Market Trading Signal Move to Cash on Nasdaq From Short / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The Nasdaq is showing continued strength and therefore the system is moving to cash. As a result, for the open on Monday June 29, we're going to suggest the following:Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 28, 2009
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report - Market Wrap W/E 26th July / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The Economy - Some pretty good economic reports came out this week, at least on the face of it. The talking heads and spin masters were busy plying their trade. The art of deception lives on – unfortunately. Let’s dive beneath the surface(s).
First quarter GDP was revised up to an annualized 5.5 percent contraction. This is an improvement on the fourth quarters decline.
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Sunday, June 28, 2009
Indian Stock Market, What to Expect Next Week / Stock-Markets / India
Last week saw lots of ups and downs in Nifty. Good news is that it was able to close up for the week. Another good news is that it was able to hold it’s support above the breakout levels of 4100+. Does that mean we are again in for a rally in the coming days/this week? Let’s asses.
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Sunday, June 28, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Summer Doldrums / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It is the end of the month. It is the end of the quarter. It is the week before a holiday. This gives the market a slight upward bias for the coming week. In the intermediate term, the "Dumb Money" indicator remains bullish to an extreme degree, and typically this is a bearish signal. This is a real head wind for the market. Since the "dumb money" turned bullish 8 weeks ago, the S&P500 has lost a little more than 1%, the NASDAQ 100 is up about 6% and the Russell 2000 is flat. For the week ahead, I suspect the shorter term bullish bias and the longer term bearish bias will make the markets choppy and range bound. It is the summer doldrums!
Sunday, June 28, 2009
SHEPHERD’S of Financial Markets ILLUSION / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Sadly, history will continue to show that those in positions of great power, elected by various means as prudential stewards of peoples and their economies, continue to prove themselves nothing more than shepherd’s of illusion.
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Sunday, June 28, 2009
Global Stock Market Performance and P/E Ratio Valuations / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Bespoke: Country P/E ratios “Yesterday we released a report taking a look at valuations, growth expectations, and stock market performance for more than 20 countries that have trackable ETFs. The report highlights which countries currently look the most and least attractive based on various characteristics. One simple data set highlighted was the current P/E ratios for these countries. Below is a chart showing these valuations.
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Sunday, June 28, 2009
Global Business Sentiment Improves Inline with Stock Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
While investors’ hopes of an economic recovery might have got ahead of reality, the cartoonists continually reminded us of worrisome issues …
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Sunday, June 28, 2009
China Mega-trend Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update, SSEC Up 47% / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Whilst many readers have benefited from my series of analysis on the stocks stealth bull market of the past 4 months on the western markets. However, back at the start of September 2008 I gave the first of a series of accumulating buy signals on a major world market which was for China at SSEC 2,000 or lower, which had followed a year of bearish analysis as of October 2007 at above SSEC 6,000 and therefore subsequently reflected up on accumulating into a meg-trend at less than 1/3rd the level of a year earlier.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
Smack in the Middle of the Greatest Stocks Bear Market of Our Lifetime / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I believe we are smack dab in the middle of the biggest stock bear market any of us will witness in our lifetime. This colors my views on investing tremendously and creates an inherent bias. If you don't subscribe to the same view, my rants probably seem a little over the top. But when the P:E ratio is well over 100 during the worst housing market crash and bank and Wall Street wipeout since the last great generational bear market (i.e. the 1929-1932 bear) occurs, it's time to take notice.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
Stock Market Outlook/ Potential Opportunities: More Backing And Filling / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
Trade Actions:
Sell Stop on TLL @ 25.5
Sell RJI ( Commodities) @ 8 or better TO CLOSE POSITION
Saturday, June 27, 2009
Resistance Should Contain Rangebound Brazil EWZ ETF / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Let's have a look at the pattern developing in the iShares Brazil ETF (EWZ). Forgetting for a moment that this is a chart of the Brazilian country ETF, what should we do with this chart pattern? Let¹s understand that many charts look like this one: IFN (India), FXI (China), EWH (Hong Kong) just to mention a few. So, do we treat the Nov-June upmove as a completed recovery phase against the BIG bear market?Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, June 27, 2009
The Stock Markets Repeating Weekly Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The good news is: NASDAQ new highs surged on Friday to the highest level since last September.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
Dow Jones INDU On-Balance-Volume Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The chart below (courtesy BigCharts.com) reflects an On Balance Volume sell signal that manifested on the Dow Jones Industrial Index Chart during this past week.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
Has the Stock Market Peaked for 2009? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Unemployment claims unexpectedly rise... First-time claims for state unemployment benefits rose unexpectedly in the latest week, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The number of initial claims in the week ending June 20 rose 15,000 to 627,000. It's the highest level since mid-May. A Labor Department official said that some states reported more end-of-school-year claims. Many states allow bus drivers and cafeteria workers to file for unemployment during school breaks.
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Saturday, June 27, 2009
Stock Market Trading Range Continues...Bullish Pattern Holds Potential / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We had a very interesting week of trading. We saw the bears get their chance to break the market down which would occur if the S&P 500 lost our 875-895 price and 50 EMA Support zone, yet that level was defended by the bulls mid-week. You will be able to see this very clearly in our first chart below of the SP 500. The market spent a long time trying to get through this difficult level when it blasted off the bottom in March. Once it cleared that difficult level the bears tried over and over to take that level back but the bulls would not allow that to take place. Once it became clear that our 50 EMA would hold, we saw a lot of short covering that allowed the market to trend higher late in the week.
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